Historical Background

The history of Uzbek - Finnish relations dates back to the early 1990s, when Finland became one of the first countries to recognize the independence of the Republic of Uzbekistan - on 30 December 1991. Just two months later, on 26 February 1992, diplomatic relations were officially established, marking the beginning of a new chapter based on mutual respect, trust, and a shared commitment to technological progress.

The first high-level visits in 1992 laid the foundation for political dialogue. During that year, Uzbekistan took part in the signing ceremonies of the OSCE Helsinki Final Act and the Paris Charter. In October of the same year, Finnish President Mauno Koivisto paid an official visit to Tashkent, further consolidating the partnership. Since then, cooperation between the two countries has developed steadily across political and economic spheres.

Legal and Institutional Framework

Today, the legal framework governing Uzbek-Finnish relations comprises eight active documents, including two interstate and six intergovernmental agreements. These include the 1992 Agreements on Mutual Protection of Investments and on Trade, Economic, and Technological Cooperation, as well as treaties on air and road transport (1996 and 1997) and agreements on avoiding double taxation and on customs cooperation.

New initiatives reflecting the modern stage of partnership are under consideration - such as a draft agreement on visa exemption for holders of diplomatic passports, a memorandum on cooperation in environmental protection, and a protocol on consultations between the foreign ministries.

Cooperation Priorities: Technology, Ecology, and Innovation

Finland, recognized globally as a leader in innovation, sustainable development, and green technologies, serves as a valuable model for Uzbekistan in its transition toward a digital and energy-efficient economy.

In 2017, a business delegation of nine Finnish companies specializing in engineering, agribusiness, telecommunications, and logistics visited Uzbekistan to participate in the AgroWorld Uzbekistan international exhibition. This visit gave new impetus to direct business-to-business engagement.

In April 2019, Tashkent hosted a delegation led by Mikko Koiranen, Deputy State Secretary of Finland for Foreign Economic Relations. The delegation included 29 representatives from leading companies and organizations - such as Nokia Siemens Networks, ABB, Wärtsilä, Uponor Infra, Tikkurila, ISKU, and Airbus Defense and Space. Discussions focused on implementing Finnish technologies in Uzbekistan, joint energy and raw material processing projects, and opportunities in smart cities and water management.

Later, in November 2019, Antti Koskelainen from the Finnish export credit agency Finnvera visited Tashkent, marking an important step toward deeper financial and investment cooperation. Meetings with the Ministry of Investment, Industry and Trade, the Ministry of Finance, and the Agency for State Asset Management addressed mechanisms for crediting and insuring Finnish export operations in Uzbekistan.

Trade: A Threefold Growth in One Year

Economic cooperation between Uzbekistan and Finland continues to expand. The two countries enjoy Most-Favored-Nation trade status, and regular meetings of the Joint Intergovernmental Commission on Trade, Economic, and Scientific-Technical Cooperation (five sessions to date, the latest held in Tashkent in February 2023) ensure a dynamic dialogue.

Trade turnover has shown remarkable growth in recent years: from USD 48.45 million in 2020 to USD 151.7 million in 2024 - an increase of over threefold. This upward trend reflects intensified business ties and growing interest among Finnish companies in the Uzbek market.

Investment and Business Cooperation

Finland is viewed in Uzbekistan not only as a trading partner but also as a source of innovation and investment. Currently, 14 enterprises with Finnish capital operate in Uzbekistan - four joint ventures and ten with 100% foreign ownership - active in sectors such as electronics, software, energy, agriculture, food processing, chemicals, and telecommunications equipment.

Finnish businesses are showing strong interest in renewable energy, waste recycling, eco-construction, water management, and sustainable agriculture. Uzbekistan, in turn, offers attractive conditions for investors - tax incentives, developed industrial infrastructure, and access to a 75-million-strong Central Asian market.

Finland’s Economic Potential: Opportunities for Partnership

Finland is one of Europe’s most advanced and innovative economies, known for its high living standards, sound macroeconomics, and strong industrial base. In 2024, its GDP exceeded USD 320 billion, with GDP per capita around USD 58,000. The economy is well-balanced, with services accounting for over 70%, industry 27%, and agriculture 2.5%. Inflation remains one of the lowest in Europe - around 3% - ensuring a stable and predictable business environment.

For Uzbekistan, cooperation with Finland opens wide-ranging opportunities for industrial, investment, and technological partnership, including:

• Energy: joint projects in renewable energy, smart grids, and energy storage; development of solar panel and wind equipment manufacturing.
• Water and Environment: Finnish expertise in water purification, waste processing, and efficient water management, particularly relevant for agriculture and urban infrastructure.
• Engineering and Electronics: creation of joint ventures in industrial equipment, automation systems, and telecommunications.
• Construction and Green Materials: Finnish participation in energy-efficient building projects, production of eco-friendly insulation and finishing materials, and smart home systems.
• Education and Science: joint engineering and IT education programs, establishment of research laboratories, and introduction of dual education models based on Finnish experience.
• Agro-Industry: cooperation in precision farming, agricultural digitalization, and production of eco-friendly export-oriented goods.

Finland’s experience in sustainable development and digital transformation makes it a strategic partner for Uzbekistan’s “green economy” agenda and industrial modernization. At the same time, Uzbekistan - with its abundant natural resources, young workforce, and expanding domestic market - offers Finnish companies favorable conditions for localization and regional expansion.

A Look Ahead

The partnership between Uzbekistan and Finland goes beyond traditional economic cooperation. It stands as an example of how innovation and sustainability can form the foundation of long-term, mutually beneficial relations. Joint projects in digitalization, green energy, and education are paving new avenues for the exchange of expertise, technologies, and investments.

Finland regards Uzbekistan as a reliable partner in Central Asia, while Uzbekistan views Finland as a strategic ally in advancing its “smart growth” model and building a knowledge-based economy.

The synergy between Finland’s pragmatic northern experience and Uzbekistan’s dynamic eastern development creates a powerful foundation for further strengthening bilateral relations - grounded in trust, innovation, and mutual respect.

The 26th International Textile and Garment Industry Exhibition TextileExpo Uzbekistan 2026 will be held from May 13 to 15, 2026 at the Uzexpocentre National Exhibition Complex in Tashkent

TextileExpo Uzbekistan is the largest B2B platform for the textile and garment industry in Central Asia, bringing together manufacturers, suppliers, and professional buyers. Here, the buyers find reliable partners, current trends, and favourable terms of cooperation, while industry representatives find comprehensive solutions for production development and optimization. Visitors can compare offers, evaluate product quality, and negotiate directly with manufacturers.

Over 150 verified suppliers from 7 countries will participate, with strong representation from companies from China.

The exhibition will traditionally cover all production cycle phases from raw materials to finished products and accessories. Visitors will find yarn, fabrics, knitwear, fittings and accessories, finished garments, technical and home textiles, hosiery, as well as chemicals and dyes for the textile industry.

According to the organizers, the traditional Buyers’ Program is planned as a unique component of the TextileExpo Uzbekistan. It is a platform focused on achieving concrete business outcomes, including targeted B2B meetings, the establishment of long-term partnerships, and the conclusion of commercial contracts. For domestic companies, the program serves as an effective channel for entering international markets and scaling export deliveries. For buyers, exclusive participation conditions are provided, allowing them to make the most efficient use of their time at the exhibition and gain priority access to key suppliers.

Dunyo IA

On June 20, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev chaired a video conference call on training engineering personnel and improving the performance of higher educational institutions.

In today's competitive world, our country, relying on domestic resources, is moving towards industrial development. Every year 3 thousand industrial enterprises are put into operation, about 150 thousand jobs are created.

This year, projects worth 21 trillion soums will be implemented within the framework of state investment programs. Also, projects with foreign and regional investments worth 37.5 billion dollars are planned for this year.

Accordingly, the state pays great attention to science, education and innovation. For example, over the past four years, 2.2 trillion soums have been allocated to 1,727 practical, innovative, fundamental and startup projects. Spending on research and development has doubled.

However, the results in this area and the number of highly qualified engineers are still insufficient. There is a gap between higher education institutions and industry.

That is why rectors of technical universities were also invited to the meeting.

The head of state first of all dwelt on the problems in this sphere.

The 36 state technical higher educational institutions annually graduate 67 thousand specialists. However, the programs and specialties in these universities do not meet the requirements of manufacturers. As a result, 60 percent of engineers do not work in their specialty.

Higher educational institutions are limited to fundamental research, and practical developments for the economy are very rare. Hundreds of startups and innovative projects in engineering fields remain on paper.

In foreign universities there are such specialties as "value engineering", "comparative engineering", "reverse engineering". In our technical universities, these areas are not developed. As a result, industries have to spend a lot of money on training their employees abroad or attract specialists from abroad.

Although the coverage of higher education has increased 5 times in the last seven years, the interest of young people in engineering and technical specialties is very low. Some equipment of universities and scientific laboratories is outdated. Many professors and teachers are disconnected from practice. Rectors do not visit enterprises, do not familiarize themselves with new technologies, do not study equipment and machines.

Over the last four years, the number of research contracts of universities has tripled. Revenues from them have increased 6 times. However, the implementation of the results of scientific developments into production is slow. Not everyone is equally successful in patenting their inventions.

The President presented new initiatives to develop this area.

Now training and research processes in technical areas will be completely changed based on the best practices. 36 universities and their branches will be gradually consolidated, leaving a total of 20 technical universities. They will completely switch to the dual system of education.

Specialties that are not in demand in the labor market will be reduced. Some departments will be merged. The functions of dean offices to serve students will be digitalized. Based on foreign experience, a "Registrar's Office" will be created.

Each university will establish cooperation with prestigious technical universities of developed partner countries such as Germany, Japan, China, Russia, Italy, Turkey, South Korea, Singapore.

Based on the chain "industry-enterprise-university", each university will be assigned an industrial partner.

All engineering universities will open departments at their partner enterprises and introduce dual education. At the same time, the enterprises will allocate funds to equip the departments, stimulate teachers and students. Student internships and graduate training will be fully organized at partner enterprises.

Thirty-two sectoral councils will be established in the system of ministries and enterprises. They will determine priority directions of scientific research in technical fields together with institutes and will be customers of these researches.

Also at the first stage, higher engineering schools will be opened in 10 universities. Two-year applied master's degree programs will be implemented in them, and candidates will be selected by order of manufacturers. Enterprises will financially support the establishment and equipping of laboratories in higher engineering schools. The state will also provide highly qualified engineers-technologists. If every minister, industry leader, rector, professor and teacher feels deep sense of responsibility and works hard, we will definitely achieve this," Shavkat Mirziyoyev said.

The status of pilot production enterprises of universities will be legislated. They will be granted privileges applicable to IT park residents. At least 60 percent of the employees of the subsidiaries will be doctoral candidates and students.

From next year, state grants for projects in technical areas will be increased fourfold. Partner organizations of universities will also be allowed to act as founders of enterprises.

Hokims of regions and heads of industries will be able to directly provide universities with orders for scientific and production projects up to 10 billion soums.

A system of allocating at least half a percent of the cost of investment projects for scientific activities will be introduced.

It has been determined to organize national contests "Best Idea", "Best Project" and "Best Invention" in engineering fields. Teachers, students and practicing engineers will be able to participate in them. The prize for the first place is an electric car.

Also 10 best participants, authors of ideas, projects and inventions will be sent for internship to such countries as Germany, Japan, China, Russia, Italy, Turkey, South Korea, Singapore.

The meeting continued in the format of an open dialog. Industry leaders, scientists, rectors and engineers expressed their opinions on the development of science and education in engineering.

It was assigned to draft a relevant decree based on the proposals.

- We need highly qualified engineers-technologists like air for the accelerated development of the economy. If every minister, industry leader, rector, professor and teacher feels deep sense of responsibility and works hard, we will definitely achieve this," Shavkat Mirziyoyev said.

The third decade of the 21^st century is shaping up to be a complex yet opportunity-rich period for the international relations system.

In this context, trust can be viewed today as a unique form of developmental capital. This is because in an environment where political trust exists, economic cooperation expands, investment climates improve, transport and logistics links develop and scientific and technological exchanges accelerate. Most importantly, nations begin to seek solutions to common problems through collaboration rather than in isolation.

Central Asia’s role as a region of peace, trust, and cooperation has also achieved international recognition within the framework of the United Nations General Assembly. In 2025, Uzbekistan delegation to the UN emphasized that joint efforts aimed at strengthening mutual trust, expanding economic and humanitarian ties and ensuring stability in Central Asia are shaping a new regional agenda based on equality, solidarity and shared responsibility. 

Adoption of a resolution at the UN General Assembly in May 2026, aimed at strengthening regional cooperation and economic integration to ensure sustainable development in Central Asia, served as a logical continuation of this process. It places special emphasis on promoting innovation, creating new jobs, ensuring long term sustainable economic growth and further developing good-neighborly relations among Central Asian nations.  

In Uzbekistan’s contemporary foreign policy, transforming Central Asia into a peaceful, stable and prosperous region is viewed as a top priority. The Consultative Meetings of the Heads of State of Central Asian nations have become an important mechanism for coordinating positions, advancing shared initiatives and strengthening mutual trust on an institutional basis. 

Today's Asia is one of the leading spaces for the global economy, industry, innovation and technological progress. However, the long-term future of the continent is not determined solely by economic growth rates. Asia's true potential also depends on the ability of states with diverse political, economic, and cultural systems to cooperate around shared interests. 

From this perspective, the meaning of “connectivity” in modern international relations is also evolving. While it was previously explained primarily through transport and trade routes, today it manifests as a complex phenomenon encompassing transport, energy, digital infrastructure, science, education and people-to-people ties. 

A technological innovation created in one country can increase the efficiency of another nation's economy, and joint scientific research can offer a solution to a pressing issue for the entire region. For this reason, the new Asian model must rely not only on the movement of goods and capital but also on the free exchange of knowledge, technology and human capital. 

In this regard, the cooperation between Central Asia and the Republic of Korea serves as a promising example. At the first “Central Asia – Republic of Korea” Summit held in Seoul in September 2026, security, practical economic cooperation and humanitarian exchanges were discussed as priority areas. Uzbek side particularly emphasized the open, pragmatic, and constructive nature of this partnership. 

Value of such formats lies in the fact that they enrich traditional diplomatic relations with concrete economic, technological, scientific and educational projects. As a result, mutual trust transcends the level of political declarations and begins to manifest in practical outcomes. 

One of the strongest foundations for sustainable peace is mutual understanding between people. Education, science and culture play an incomparable role in shaping it. 

Political agreements establish the legal and institutional framework for relations between states. However, long-term trust between nations is primarily strengthened by people who understand each other's language, history, culture and values. 

Therefore, viewing universities merely as educational institutions that train personnel no longer fully meets the demands of the modern era. A modern university is a space where scientific ideas are generated, different cultures engage in dialogue, youth gain international experience and long-term intellectual ties are formed between states. 

Educational cooperation between Uzbekistan and the Republic of Korea

demonstrates noteworthy experience in this regard. Cooperation in higher education, vocational training, science and technology is expanding, making education a vital area of bilateral relations that shapes human capital. In particular, the need to train specialists who do not simply import modern technology but understand, adapt and develop it under local conditions is becoming increasingly urgent. 

Conceptual significance of this approach is that the education-science innovation-production chain ensures the stability of international cooperation alongside economic development. Joint scientific laboratories, academic exchange, mobility of professors and students, and international research projects build professional trust between states. Over time, professional trust transforms into intersocietal trust.  In this sense, international cooperation focused on education can be evaluated as a long-term investment in peace. Looking at this issue through the example of Bukhara, one can see a unique continuity between history and the present day. As one of the vital crossroads of the Great Silk Road, Bukhara has served for centuries not only as a hub for trade but also for science, education, culture and the exchange of ideas. 

This historical experience carries significant meaning for the modern era as well. Having connected peoples and civilizations through caravan routes in ancient times, Bukhara can contribute to dialogue between different countries today through international education, scientific cooperation and academic diplomacy. 

At Bukhara State University, we approach international cooperation precisely from this perspective. Joint educational programs with foreign higher education institutions, scientific research, international conferences, academic mobility and the exchange of professors and students are not isolated directions of the university's international activity. They serve a single purpose — bringing peoples closer together through knowledge and strengthening mutual trust through scientific cooperation. 

In this process, role of youth is especially critical. A student participating in an international academic program today may become a scientist, engineer, entrepreneur, diplomat or public administration specialist tomorrow. Their experience of communicating with representatives of other nations and cultures today will undoubtedly influence their future professional decisions. 

Therefore, it is not enough to evaluate the results of cooperation between universities simply by the number of signed memorandums or implemented projects. Its most significant outcome is the formation of a new generation that understands one another and can cooperate for the sake of common goals. 

United Nations Sustainable Development Goals also define the formation of peaceful and inclusive societies as an indispensable condition for sustainable development. This approach is no coincidence. Where there is no peace, long-term investment is difficult; in an unstable environment, scientific research and innovation slow down; and under conditions of distrust, states are forced to spend their resources on risk management rather than development.  Therefore, when thinking about sustainable development in Asia, it is necessary to view three interconnected concepts as a single whole: peace, trust and human capital. Peace creates a stable environment for development. Trust expands cooperation between states, institutions, and societies. Human capital, in turn, transforms these opportunities into scientific, technological, economic and social outcomes. 

Support for the initiative to strengthen regional cooperation and economic integration in Central Asia at the UN General Assembly in 2026 also shows the intrinsic link between peace, good-neighborliness, and sustainable economic development. 

In today's environment, Asia's future is determined not by the isolated success of a single state, but by the capacity of regional states to collectively find solutions to shared problems. Climate change, water resources, ecological safety, energy, food supply, digital transformation and technological progress are issues that are not restricted by national borders. Their solution also demands transnational cooperation. 

Therefore, modern era requires us to understand peace not merely as the absence of conflicts, but as an active socio-political environment that creates opportunities for development. Trust should be evaluated not as an abstract category of diplomatic relations, but as a practical mechanism for economic and intellectual cooperation.

Asia's progress in the 21st century largely depends on the degree to which we strengthen trust between states, how effectively we establish dialogue, and our ability to place common interests above competition. 

New cooperative environment emerging in Central Asia demonstrates important experience along this path. Open dialogue, good-neighborliness, economic integration and scientific and humanitarian exchanges are shaping a qualitatively new stage of relations between states.  The task now is to further deepen this trust through strong institutions, joint economic and scientific projects, academic exchanges, cultural dialogue and youth cooperation.  After all, peace is not just today's tranquility — it is an opportunity created for future development. Trust, on the other hand, is the force that realizes this opportunity.  Peace builds trust, trust expands cooperation and cooperation creates a solid foundation for sustainable development and shared prosperity.  This principle must become the most essential substance of Asia's future development paradigm.

Obidjon Khamidov 

Rector of Bukhara State University

On 23 January, under the chairmanship of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, a videoconference meeting was held on the key tasks of poverty reduction and employment provision for 2026. In terms of both substance and the framing of issues, the meeting marked a turning point in the evolution of the country’s social policy.

The relevance of transitioning to a new model

The results of the reforms demonstrate a transition to the next stage of social policy. For the first time, poverty reduction has been placed in direct dependence on outcomes at the level of individual mahallas.

This shift is a consequence of the socio-economic results achieved. By the end of 2025, the national economy grew by 7.7%, significantly above the forecast level of 6.5%. GDP exceeded $147 bn, reaching approximately $3,900 per capita. Growth rates in all sectors surpassed those of 2024. Foreign investment reached $43 bn, while exports amounted to $33.8 bn. Inflation declined from 9.8% to 7.3% in 2025.

Sustained economic growth ensured a significant increase in budget revenues, which were consistently directed toward addressing social issues, reducing poverty, and developing mahallas. As a result, in 2025 income sources were provided for 5.4 mn people, and 330,000 families were lifted out of poverty. Unemployment declined to 4.8%, while the poverty rate fell to 5.8%.

As overall poverty indicators decline, its geography is changing. Poverty is becoming localized, concentrated, and heterogeneous. Nearly one-third of low-income households and around one-fifth of the unemployed are concentrated in a limited number of mahallas, which necessitates a transition to a new model.

Against this backdrop, the primary indicator becomes the outcome achieved at the level of each mahalla. The persistence of poverty or unemployment indicates that measures require further calibration.

Accordingly, for the first time at the national level, a systematic classification of all territories by poverty level was conducted. Based on 20 criteria, 37 “difficult” districts and 903 “difficult” mahallas were identified, home to around 120,000 poor families and approximately 155,000 unemployed citizens. At the same time, work to shape the image of a “New Uzbekistan” has also begun in an additional 33 districts and 330 “difficult” mahallas.

A distinctive feature of the new approach is that “difficult” territories are viewed as points of structural transformation. For each mahalla and district, comparative advantages are assessed, including economic, agricultural, industrial, logistics, or service-related strengths.

Individual development programmes for mahallas are being formulated. Practice shows that even in the most vulnerable areas, ensuring stable access to water and electricity, basic infrastructure, and integration with markets can multiply household incomes.

In the current year, territorially targeted development becomes the main instrument for achieving the stated goals, as clearly articulated by the President.

Infrastructure as an economic asset

A particular emphasis in the new model is placed on revising regional policy priorities. As noted by the President, residents and entrepreneurs in “difficult” districts and mahallas primarily expect improvements in roads, water supply, and electricity provision, rather than an expansion of tax incentives.

Concentrating resources on a limited number of problem territories allows infrastructure investment to be transformed from general budget spending into an instrument of targeted socio-economic impact. In 2026, $1.6 bn will be allocated for regional infrastructure development, of which $990 mn will be directed to “difficult” districts and mahallas.

At the same time, transfers from the republican budget to local budgets will double.

Additionally, allocations of $4.1 mn to each “difficult” district and $165 ths to each “difficult” mahalla are envisaged.

In total, district hokimiyats (district executive administrations) and local kengashes (local representative councils) will receive an additional approximately $330 mn exclusively to support problem territories.

A key element of this model is ensuring stable energy supply for “difficult” districts and mahallas.

In 2026, each of the 903 “difficult” mahallas is expected to host the construction of a small solar power plant with a capacity of 300 kW, with a total investment of around $110 mn. These plants will be transferred to the mahallas free of charge, creating a local energy asset. Through the generation of “green” electricity, each mahalla will gain a sustainable additional income source of $33-41 ths per year.

The proceeds are intended to be used for energy-efficient renovation of housing stock, reducing utility costs, and improving quality of life. Operation of the solar plants will involve members of low-income households, simultaneously addressing employment and infrastructure sustainability objectives.

A separate emphasis is placed on supporting the most vulnerable households. An instruction has been issued to conduct targeted assessments of 6,700 families with a member having a first-degree disability and no able-bodied household members, followed by identification of needs for energy-efficient housing upgrades and the launch of “green” renovation.

Taken together, these measures form a model of territorial and energy resilience. The effectiveness of local authorities’ performance will be subject to public evaluation, reinforcing the transition to results-oriented governance.

Comparative advantages of mahallas

The President clearly defined key socio-economic targets for 2026, including the provision of permanent employment for around 1 mn people, lifting 181,000 families out of poverty, increasing the number of poverty-free mahallas by 2.5 times to 3,500, and reducing the unemployment rate to 4.5%.

Achievement of these targets is expected to be based on the comparative advantages of specific districts and mahallas in industry, agriculture, and services. This approach allows resources to be concentrated where they generate the greatest multiplier effects for employment and household incomes.

As an example of leveraging comparative advantages based on location and specialization of mahallas, the President cited Furqat District. Its advantages include, first, cooperation with neighboring economically active centers; second, deepening specialization among nearby mahallas and combining competencies; and third, increasing value added through the launch of processing activities.

Further measures were outlined within the framework of a differentiated approach to developing problem territories.

Deepening mahalla specialization

Primary attention will be focused on deepening mahalla specialization, as welfare levels are significantly higher in mahallas with deep specialization. Practice shows that in such mahallas, welfare levels are noticeably higher, while the number of recipients of social assistance is half as large, at around 7 people per 10,000 population.

Currently, the 903 “difficult” mahallas encompass around 90,000 hectares of household and leased land. To transform this resource into a source of sustainable income, a new mechanism of a “social contract” between the state and the mahalla has been proposed. Mahallas that, by leveraging residents’ skills and rational land use, manage to increase household incomes by three to four times will receive additional financing of $165 ths for the development of road, water, and irrigation infrastructure. Implementation of this model is planned to begin with “difficult” mahallas.

To support deeper specialization, banks will allocate a total of $1.4 bn in loans. For production projects, 4% of the loan will be compensated, while for processing projects the compensation will amount to 6%.

Comparative advantages of mahallas

In 2026, $11.5 bn in credit resources are earmarked for the development of small and medium-sized businesses in mahallas, compared to $10.7 bn a year earlier. At the same time, banks have been tasked with strengthening entrepreneurship financing: alongside a planned $6 bn from external sources, the total volume of funds directed to mahalla-level projects should reach $8 bn.

Not only the scale but also the principle of credit allocation is changing. The model under which loans within the “Family Entrepreneurship” programme were issued on uniform terms at a 17.5% rate across all districts and cities is giving way to territorial differentiation. In particular, for the 37 “difficult” districts, the rate is reduced to 12%. This step transforms lending into an instrument for accelerating the development of problem territories.

In parallel, programme limits and target areas are being expanded. In all districts, the maximum size of concessional loans is increased by 1.5 times, from $2.7 ths to $4.1 ths. To support this decision, an additional $165 mn is added to the planned $297 mn.

Overall, the 2026 credit policy is shaped as a targeted development mechanism, a managed conversion of credit into employment, income, and local growth.

Institutional changes in system governance

A number of institutional changes are also envisaged to enhance the effectiveness of all governance levels involved in mahalla development.

Work in mahallas is moving away from an administrative-intermediary model and is being structured around specific projects. In this framework, the hokim’s assistant acts as a territorial development manager responsible for implementing project solutions.

To ensure integrated project governance, multi-level coordination is being introduced. Initiatives proposed by hokims’ assistants are paired with regional bankers; the first deputy hokim of the region provides operational oversight; and the “Reform Headquarters” supervises issues requiring inter-agency solutions. From February, a system of training hokims’ assistants in project management will be launched, starting with “difficult” mahallas. Each district will form a project portfolio followed by a transition to practical implementation.

One hundred “difficult” mahallas that demonstrate the best performance in job creation, income growth, and poverty reduction will receive an additional $82.5 ths each. Hokims’ assistants from these mahallas will be able to upgrade their qualifications in China, Turkiye, South Korea, and Malaysia.

In this context, work on developing mahalla master plans is being intensified. International experts are being engaged, alongside the potential of domestic universities. Final-year students in architecture programmes will be able to participate in the development of “difficult” mahallas, with the best projects being supported by state grants.

Overall, the institutional changes formalize a shift from a universal approach to a differentiated territorial policy.

Resource redistribution is justified by the structure of the economy: 62% of industrial production and 57% of services are concentrated in 50 districts and cities with high entrepreneurial potential. Growth in their budget revenues creates an opportunity to concentrate state efforts on problem territories.

This is evident from revenue dynamics: three years ago, additional local budget revenues in these 50 territories amounted to $72.2 mn, while in the current year they are expected to increase 8.5 times, to $610.5 mn.

As a result, greater attention can be directed to “difficult” districts and mahallas, where poverty and unemployment are territorially concentrated.

Conclusion

The decisions and instruments for 2026 demonstrate that Uzbekistan’s social policy is moving beyond traditional resource redistribution toward a model of managed territorial development. The new model rests on three interlinked pillars.

First, the concentration of infrastructure resources in “difficult” districts and mahallas, with the creation of long-term local assets, reduced household costs, and enhanced energy resilience.

Second, the expansion of employment based on comparative advantages and deeper territorial specialization, supported by financial incentives, access to credit, and solutions along value chains.

Third, institutional recalibration of governance, where a project-based approach and multi-level coordination align resources, responsibility, and measurable outcomes.

The essence of the current phase is that targeting becomes a technology focused on “difficult” territories. Exiting poverty is understood as an individual household trajectory, in which local conditions, skills, and infrastructure are decisive. The “Mahalla Seven” and the institution of hokims’ assistants serve as the connecting link, ensuring coordination and feedback until results are achieved.

Khurshed Asadov,
Deputy Director of Center for Economic Research and Reforms

The Resolution signed by the President of Uzbekistan “On measures to introduce a system of continuous improvement of knowledge of the population and civil servants in the fight against corruption” caused an interested discussion in the international expert community.

Alexander Klishin, adviser at the UN Office of Rule of Law and Security Institutions:

– This initiative marks a significant step in the fight against corruption not only for Uzbekistan, but also on the international arena. The Virtual Anti-Corruption Academy is a leading initiative of the President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev, aimed at introducing a system of continuous improvement of knowledge among the population and civil servants in the fight against corruption.

The initiative is perfectly aligned with global efforts to promote integrity, transparency and accountability across all sectors of the economy. Uzbekistan has once again reaffirmed its commitment to building a society free of corruption, where integrity, transparency and accountability are the cornerstones of public administration. The Anti-Corruption Virtual Academy fully embodies these values and serves as a commendable example for other countries.

Anas Fayyad Qarman, UNDP Resident Representative a.i. in Uzbekistan:

– We are pleased to know the adoption of the Resolution of the President of Uzbekistan regarding the Virtual Anti-Corruption Academy. We view this measure as an important step towards further strengthening the anti-corruption ecosystem.

We have been cooperating with the Anti-Corruption Agency in various areas a long while, including the development of a compliance control system in government agencies and organizations. We are also jointly developing various digital solutions to combat corruption in the public sector. In my opinion, a distinctive feature of a new Academy is its availability to both civil servants and ordinary citizens.

Antti Karttunen, Head of OSCE Project Coordinator in Uzbekistan:

– The initiative of the President of Uzbekistan to create a Virtual Anti-Corruption Academy is a time requirement and will help find answers to many questions related to this area.

Like the Law ‘On Conflict of Interest’ recently signed by the President, it is another important step in the fight against corruption in Uzbekistan.

We look forward to continuing to support the improvement of legislation in the field of combating corruption, as well as to improve the qualification of employees of government bodies and organizations through the Virtual Academy and support all other efforts of Uzbekistan in this area.

Tuija Brax, Director of the Rule of Law Center, former Minister of Justice (Finland):

– It is my great honor to express a few words about the new Virtual Anti-Corruption Academy in Uzbekistan. We have been cooperating with the Anti-Corruption Agency of Uzbekistan for several years now, and I was greatly impressed by the initiatives of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev to combat corruption in the country, measures to improve legislation in this area and efforts to raise public awareness. The new Virtual Academy is a unique opportunity to raise awareness, develop special courses for different target groups, and also attract young people to study this field, since ultimately it is about the future of Uzbekistan.

Quentin Reed, Professor of Oxford University, INGO Regional Dialogue’s Anti-Corruption Specialist (United Kingdom):

– I am happy to hear about the President signing the Resolution, which provides for the establishment of the Virtual Anti-Corruption Academy. International NGO Regional Dialogue and the Anti-Corruption Agency have been cooperating for several years in developing preventive anti-corruption measures in Uzbekistan. We express our readiness to provide full-fledged support in the development of educational modules and programs within the Virtual Academy, as awareness-raising, education and training are key tools in the prevention of corruption. Appropriate anti-corruption system cannot be established without them. This is particularly important for public servants, especially those in vulnerable situations, but I would also pay particular attention to citizens.

Nuripa Mukanova, Secretary General, the Anti-Corruption Business Council under the President of Kyrgyzstan:

– My congratulations to the people of Uzbekistan and the Anti-Corruption Agency on the establishment of the Virtual Anti-Corruption Academy. The opening of this Academy is important for both Uzbekistan and the countries of Central Asia. This is a very important anti-corruption measure and platform for increasing the capacity of all those directly involved in anti-corruption issues, as well as those who want to increase their capacity, knowledge and skills in the field of combating and preventing corruption. This platform will also allow young people who study and then enter public service to improve their anti-corruption skills.

Dunyo IA

Development of the “Central Asia Plus” Formats

In recent years, Central Asia has increasingly acted as a unified region in international relations. Alongside bilateral ties, “Central Asia Plus” formats have been developing, allowing the countries to coordinate their shared interests and discuss trade, investment, industrial cooperation, transportation, energy, and security with external partners.

Existing formats include “Central Asia–European Union,” “Central Asia–Russia,” the C5+1 platform with the United States, as well as dialogue mechanisms with China, Japan, South Korea, and other partners. These mechanisms do not replace bilateral cooperation but complement it with a regional agenda.

Central Asia’s Multivector Cooperation

The first “Central Asia–European Union” summit, held in Samarkand in April 2025, focused on developing a strategic partnership between the two regions. Particular attention was paid to investment, technological modernization, green energy, critical minerals, transportation, and logistics.

Uzbekistan proposed establishing an investment platform to advance regional projects and developing coordinated conditions for expanding the Trans-Caspian Transport Corridor. It also proposed holding a meeting of the transport ministers of the countries located along the route.

The second “Central Asia–Russia” summit, held in October 2025, focused on expanding trade, industrial cooperation, and collaboration in energy and transportation.

Uzbekistan proposed holding annual summits, establishing a coordination council at the deputy prime minister level, and creating an integrated transportation and logistics framework combining national road, rail, and air connectivity programs. Particular attention was also paid to developing the North–South Corridor and resilient production chains.

Thus, the “Central Asia Plus” formats enable the region to develop cooperation in several areas simultaneously. Their purpose is not to choose a single partner or route, but to expand economic ties and strengthen the region’s resilience to external changes.

Establishing a New C5+1 Format

The “Central Asia + Azerbaijan” format differs from other platforms because Azerbaijan is directly connected to the region through the Caspian Sea and is a key component of transportation routes leading toward the South Caucasus, Türkiye, and Europe.

For Central Asia, Azerbaijan is an important transit, investment, and industrial partner. For Azerbaijan, the Central Asian countries represent a growing market and a source of cargo flows for its port, railway, and logistics infrastructure. The new format therefore has not only political significance but also a specific economic dimension.

At the seventh Consultative Meeting of the Heads of State of Central Asia, held in Tashkent on November 16, 2025, a decision was made to grant Azerbaijan full participation. This became the first meeting of regional leaders in the expanded format.

President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev proposed gradually transforming the consultative dialogue into a strategic “Central Asian Community” format. Initial steps included strengthening the institutional framework of the meetings, establishing a rotating secretariat, and elevating the status of national coordinators to special representatives of the presidents.

In trade and economic cooperation, Uzbekistan proposed developing a Comprehensive Regional Program for Trade and Economic Cooperation through 2035. The document is expected to address the removal of administrative barriers, simplification of customs and tax procedures, joint use of industrial and free economic zones, and other measures to increase intraregional trade.

Initiatives were also proposed to establish a common investment space and develop e-commerce. These measures include coordinating basic approaches to investor protection, creating regional digital marketplaces, and developing reliable digital payment systems.

Particular attention was paid to transportation and energy infrastructure. Uzbekistan proposed establishing an Infrastructure Development Council at the deputy prime minister level. Priorities included the construction and modernization of roads, railways, border checkpoints, energy networks, green corridors, and digital infrastructure.

Transportation initiatives covered the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway, the Trans-Afghan route, and the Trans-Caspian transportation routes connecting Central Asia with the markets of the Caucasus, Türkiye, and Europe.

In 2026, the meeting is expected to continue under Turkmenistan’s chairmanship in the new “Central Asia and Azerbaijan” format.

Economic Foundation of Cooperation

The expansion of the regional format is taking place against the backdrop of growing trade and investment ties between Uzbekistan and the Central Asian countries.

In 2025, Uzbekistan’s trade turnover with the countries of the region reached $8.3 billion. Exports totaled approximately $3.2 billion, while imports amounted to $5.1 billion. Kazakhstan remained Uzbekistan’s largest regional trading partner, accounting for 60.2% of its trade with Central Asian countries. Turkmenistan and Kyrgyzstan each accounted for 14.5%, while Tajikistan accounted for 11%.

As of June 2026, Uzbekistan was home to 2,384 enterprises with capital from Central Asian countries. These included 1,283 enterprises with Kazakh capital, 442 with Tajik capital, 362 with Kyrgyz capital, and 297 with Turkmen capital.

The total volume of direct investment and loans attracted from the countries of the region in 2017–2025 amounted to $2.5 billion. In 2025 alone, this figure reached $1.3 billion.

At the same time, the potential of intraregional trade has not been fully utilized. According to calculations by the Center for Economic Research and Reforms, replacing some goods imported from third countries with intraregional supplies could increase trade within Central Asia by $11.4 billion, more than doubling its current volume. Unlocking this potential requires reducing tariff and non-tariff barriers, improving information exchange among businesses, and developing regional production chains.

Uzbekistan’s economic relations with Azerbaijan are also strengthening. Between 2017 and 2025, bilateral trade increased 9.5-fold, from $32.5 million to $307.3 million. Uzbekistan’s exports reached $227.3 million, while imports from Azerbaijan amounted to $80 million.

Uzbekistan’s exports mainly consist of manufactured goods, machinery and transportation equipment, food products, beverages, finished goods, and services. Imports are dominated by food and manufactured goods, machinery, transportation equipment, and chemical products.

Uzbekistan is home to 460 enterprises with Azerbaijani capital. Their number has increased 6.5-fold since 2017. In 2025, Azerbaijani investment in Uzbekistan totaled $173.7 million, bringing cumulative investment to $318.6 million.

An additional instrument was created in 2023 with the establishment of the Azerbaijan–Uzbekistan Investment Company, which has authorized capital of $500 million and can finance projects in Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, and third countries.

Cooperation is also developing in the automotive industry, textiles, construction, agriculture, and other sectors.

The Middle Corridor and Azerbaijan

Expanding trade and industrial cooperation requires reliable transportation infrastructure. For Uzbekistan, which has no direct access to the sea, developing alternative routes is essential to strengthening the resilience of foreign trade.

The Middle Corridor connects China and Central Asia with the South Caucasus, Türkiye, and Europe. Cargo from Uzbekistan can be transported through Kazakhstan or Turkmenistan to Caspian ports, shipped by sea to Azerbaijan, and then delivered to European markets through Georgia and Türkiye or across the Black Sea.

Azerbaijan occupies a central position in the western section of the route. Its transportation infrastructure includes the Alat International Sea Trade Port, the Caspian merchant fleet, and the Baku–Tbilisi–Kars railway.

The capacity of the Alat Port is expected to increase from 15 million to 25 million metric tons, while the capacity of the Baku–Tbilisi–Kars railway has been expanded to 5 million metric tons. A unified digital platform is also being developed to simplify transportation operations and trade between Caspian ports.

According to the World Bank, if the necessary infrastructure and organizational reforms are implemented, freight traffic along the Middle Corridor could triple by 2030, while delivery times could be reduced by half.

During the first nine months of 2025, transit freight between Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan exceeded 1 million metric tons. This indicates growing prospects for using Azerbaijan’s transportation infrastructure as a transit route for Uzbek cargo.

The opening of the Zangezur Corridor is also expected to create additional opportunities for all Central Asian countries.

Opportunities for Uzbekistan and Central Asia

For Uzbekistan, the Middle Corridor provides an additional route to the markets of Azerbaijan, Georgia, Türkiye, and the European Union. This makes it possible to diversify transportation routes and reduce foreign trade dependence on a limited number of corridors.

Delivery times and predictability are especially important. They directly affect the competitiveness of textiles, fruits and vegetables, electrical equipment, automobiles, and other high-value-added products. Coordinating rail and maritime transportation schedules, introducing digital documentation, and reducing border-crossing times could lower exporters’ costs.

The corridor’s development will also create demand for dry ports, multimodal terminals, warehouses and cold-storage facilities, repair enterprises, and insurance, financial, and digital services. Transportation can therefore be viewed not only as a means of delivering goods but also as a separate area of investment and industrial development.

Additional opportunities are associated with the construction of the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway. Its integration with the Middle Corridor would establish a shorter and more resilient transportation link between China, Central Asia, the Caucasus, and Europe.

For Central Asia as a whole, developing the route would make it possible to consolidate cargo flows, harmonize transportation procedures, and increase the region’s attractiveness to international investors. A larger and more stable cargo base would support regular train and vessel services, reduce per-unit costs, and expand the geographic reach of shipments.

The Middle Corridor is not viewed as a replacement for northern or southern routes. Its main purpose is to expand available options, strengthen logistics resilience, and create additional connections to external markets.

The Importance of Industrial Cooperation

Transportation cooperation will have a long-term impact if it is linked to the development of manufacturing. Growth in transit alone will not ensure the full realization of the new format’s economic potential.

Uzbekistan, other Central Asian countries, and Azerbaijan could establish joint production chains in the automotive industry, textiles, agricultural processing, electrical engineering, construction materials, chemicals, and machinery manufacturing.

An analysis by the Center for Economic Research and Reforms shows that regional enterprises could supply one another with raw materials, components, and finished products, reducing their dependence on imports from third countries.

One promising area is the establishment of joint industrial zones and logistics centers along the Middle Corridor. The idea of creating “mirror” special economic zones in Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan has not yet reached the implementation stage, but it offers significant development potential.

At the same time, growing bilateral trade, the work of the joint investment company, and expanding transportation links are creating conditions for revisiting this initiative.

Such zones could specialize in product assembly and processing, consolidation of export shipments, warehousing operations, and transportation services. Establishing interconnected production facilities in Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan would combine Central Asia’s industrial potential with the transportation infrastructure of the South Caucasus.

Conclusion

The first meeting in the expanded format established a political and institutional foundation for cooperation between Central Asia and Azerbaijan. The next meeting, under Turkmenistan’s chairmanship, could focus on the practical development of the Middle Corridor and the expansion of industrial cooperation.

In transportation, the main priorities include coordinating tariffs and procedures, developing regular rail and maritime services, modernizing port and border infrastructure, digitizing documentation, and exploring opportunities to connect the Middle Corridor with the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway.

In industry, priorities could include establishing joint production chains, developing industrial zones, implementing projects through the Azerbaijan–Uzbekistan Investment Company, and attracting international financial institutions to infrastructure and manufacturing projects.

For Uzbekistan, the “Central Asia + Azerbaijan” format creates opportunities to expand exports, diversify transportation routes, and attract investment in manufacturing and logistics. For other Central Asian countries, it provides an additional route to Western markets.

The format’s future significance will depend on how consistently the participating countries develop the Middle Corridor and complement the transportation agenda with industrial and investment cooperation. The upcoming meeting could provide practical momentum for implementing the most ambitious and mutually beneficial projects.

Edvard Romanov,

Center for Economic Research and Reforms

An analysis of nighttime satellite illumination data indicates a strengthening of economic activity across regions and an expansion in the number of territories exhibiting urban-type development.

The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) applied satellite-based nighttime lights (NTL) data to assess economic activity at the level of regions and cities in Uzbekistan.

The analysis shows that higher light intensity corresponds to higher levels of economic activity and more advanced urban infrastructure.

CERR’s findings demonstrate a high degree of consistency between satellite-based indicators and official statistics. In particular, according to estimates based on NASA nighttime lights data, nominal GDP per capita in Uzbekistan grew by 80.3% in 2020–2025, corresponding to an average annual growth rate of 15.8%, increasing from $2,090 to $3,887 over five years.

For comparison, according to official statistics, GDP per capita increased by 81.8% over the same period, with an average annual growth rate of 16.1%, rising from $2,048 to $3,881.

Economic Activity in Large and Medium-Sized Cities

According to the data, over the past five years the highest growth in gross regional product (GRP) per capita among regions was recorded in the city of Tashkent, where the indicator increased by approximately $5,000, reaching $9.3 thousand by the end of 2025 (according to official statistics — $9.2 thousand).

Estimates for 2025 also show high GRP per capita levels in a number of large and medium-sized cities. In Navoi, the NTL-based estimate reached $9.3 thousand, in Zarafshan $7.9 thousand, in Samarkand $7.2 thousand, in Kokand and Andijan $6.7 thousand each, and in Akhangaran, Yangiyul, and Bukhara ranged from $5.8 thousand to $5.2 thousand, respectively.

Relatively high growth rates of GRP per capita were also observed across several regions. In Tashkent region, the indicator increased by $1.8 thousand to reach around $4 thousand. In Navoi region, GRP per capita also grew by $1.8 thousand to approximately $4 thousand. In Fergana and Syrdarya regions, the increase amounted to $1.6 thousand, reaching about $3.5 thousand and $3.4 thousand, respectively.

Economic Activity in Small and Medium-Sized Cities

Relatively high GRP per capita levels were also recorded in a number of small and medium-sized cities. In Termez, the indicator reached $5.1 thousand, in Margilan and Chirchik around $5 thousand, and in Namangan $4.8 thousand. Economic activity levels also remain relatively high in the cities of Kagan and Urgench.

Economic Activity at the District Level

At the district level, the highest GRP per capita growth dynamics in 2020–2025 were observed in Mirabad district, where the indicator increased by $7.1 thousand, in Yakkasaray district by $6.3 thousand, and in Chilanzar district by $5.6 thousand. As a result, GRP per capita in these districts exceeded $10 thousand, which is nearly three times higher than the average across other districts and cities in the country.

Among districts, the highest growth rates of economic activity were also recorded in Karmana district (2.5-fold increase), Yashnabad and Bektemir districts (2.4-fold), as well as Sergeli, Yangi Hayot, and Mirzo Ulugbek districts (2.3-fold).

Expansion of Territories with High Economic Activity

The use of nighttime lights data also made it possible to assess urbanization processes at the district level. In particular, between 2020 and 2025, the number of territories with high nighttime light intensity (NTL above 10), characteristic of urban agglomerations, increased from 22 to 31. The average GRP per capita in these territories rose from $3.8 thousand to $7 thousand.

At the same time, over five years the number of districts with low nighttime light intensity (NTL below 1) declined from 129 to 85, confirming the transition of 44 districts toward an urban-type development model.

In these districts, NTL levels increased on average by more than 2.5 times, while GRP per capita rose from $1.7 thousand to $3.2 thousand.

Conclusion

The results confirm that satellite-based nighttime lights data can effectively complement official statistics and be used for timely assessment of regional economic activity.

This approach enables the identification of new growth points and allows for more targeted allocation of state support toward infrastructure development and investment activity in the regions.

Abdulaziz Gaybullayev, CERR

CERR Public Relations Sector

Tel.: (+998) 78 150-32-20 (417)

On 4-6 June, Tashkent will host the second meeting of the Termez Dialogue on Connectivity between Central and South Asia under the theme: “Peace, Connectivity, and Resilience: Shaping the Foundation for Shared Prosperity”.

Established in 2025 as a permanent international platform, the Termez Dialogue is intended to facilitate the practical advancement of the initiative put forward by the President of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, aimed at strengthening interconnectivity between Central and South Asia. This initiative has received broad international support and was enshrined in a special resolution adopted by the United Nations General Assembly on 11 July 2022.

The current meeting is organized by the Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the Head of our State and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Uzbekistan in partnership with the Conference on Interaction and Confidence Building Measures in Asia (CICA).

The forum will bring together more than 150 representatives of political, business, and expert communities, as well as international and regional organizations from Central and South Asia, Europe, the CIS, the South Caucasus, the Asia-Pacific region, the Middle East, and the Americas. This underscores the inclusive and open nature of the Termez Dialogue as a comprehensive international platform for developing joint approaches to strengthening connectivity, trust, and sustainable development across the Eurasian space.

Partners and participants of the Dialogue include the United Nations Regional Centre for Preventive Diplomacy for Central Asia (UNRCCA), the United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA), as well as leading think tanks, research institutions, and peacebuilding organizations, including the International Water Management Institute (IWMI), the Center for Progressive Reforms, the Konrad Adenauer Foundation, the Berghof Foundation, PeaceNexus, Search for Common Ground, Georgetown University, and other organizations.

The forum programme includes a high-level plenary session on the theme: “Political Dialogue and Economic Connectivity as Pillars of Sustainable Development in the CICA Region”, as well as two special thematic sessions dedicated to joint climate change adaptation and environmental sustainability, and to deepening cultural and humanitarian cooperation.

The event will also feature expert and academic discussions, as well as side events devoted to regional security, expanding engagement with Afghanistan, including the development of the Afghanistan–Uzbekistan–Pakistan dialogue, strengthening transport and logistics connectivity, fostering regional trust, and advancing a common sustainable development agenda. Particular attention will be paid to issues of Central Asian regional identity, as well as to expanding youth cooperation in the fields of peacebuilding and sustainable development.

The forum programme also envisages off-site sessions. Participants of the Dialogue are scheduled to visit Termez, where they will have an opportunity to familiarize themselves with the modern trade, economic, and logistics infrastructure supporting cooperation with South Asian countries, including the operations of the Airitom International Trade Center and the international logistics hub Termez Cargo Center, as well as experience the rich cultural and historical heritage of the ancient city.

The third day of the Dialogue will take place in Samarkand, where delegates will explore the unique civilizational heritage of the Samarkand Renaissance, which historically served as a bridge between East and West, North and South.

The meeting is expected to conclude with the adoption of a Communiqué intended to reaffirm the commitment to strengthening trust, advancing constructive cooperation, and promoting sustainable connectivity between Central and South Asia.

Dunyo IA

At the invitation of the President of the United States, Donald Trump, the President of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, will pay a working visit to Washington, D.C. on February 17–19 of this year to participate in the inaugural meeting of the Peace Council. The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) has prepared an infographic presenting key indicators of trade, economic and investment cooperation between Uzbekistan and the United States over the past 9 years.

History of visits

The President of the Republic of Uzbekistan has visited the United States several times on working visits aimed at expanding bilateral Uzbek-American cooperation, as well as participating in events organized by the United Nations. The first official visit of the Head of our State to the United States took place on May 15–17, 2018 at the invitation of the U.S. President. During the visit, negotiations were held at the White House, the U.S. Congress and the Pentagon, and agreements were signed that marked the beginning of a new stage in the development of Uzbek-American relations.

In subsequent years, dialogue between the two countries developed through bilateral meetings and regional initiatives, including the C5+1 platform.

On September 20–24, 2025, a historic visit of the President of our country to New York took place to participate in events of the юбилейной 80th session of the UN General Assembly. The central event of the visit was the meeting between the Head of our State and U.S. President Donald Trump. The leaders of the two countries agreed to further strengthen Uzbek-American strategic partnership relations and expand practical cooperation.

During his stay in the US, the President of Uzbekistan also held a roundtable with representatives of the U.S. business community, as well as negotiations with executives of a number of leading multinational companies, corporations, investment funds and financial institutions, and took part in a ceremony for the exchange of signed bilateral trade contracts and investment agreements, including in the fields of critical minerals, civil aviation, chemical industry, energy and other priority sectors.

In order to create favorable conditions for the further development of bilateral interstate relations in trade, economic and tourism spheres, by Presidential Decree dated November 3, 2025, a visa-free regime for U.S. citizens entering Uzbekistan was introduced effective January 1, 2026.

Mutual trade indicators

The two countries operate under a Most Favored Nation trade regime.

Over the period 2017–2025, trade turnover between Uzbekistan and the United States increased 4.7-fold, from $215 mln to $1 bn. Exports grew 9.1-fold, from $32.1 mln to $291.7 mln, while imports increased 3.9-fold, from $182.9 mln to $712.3 mln.

The share of the United States in Uzbekistan’s foreign trade over this period rose as follows: in total trade turnover from 0.8% to 1.2%, in exports from 0.3% to 0.9%, and in imports from 1.3% to 1.5%.

In the structure of exports to the United States, the main share is accounted for by services — 81% (programming, financial, information and transport services), as well as petroleum products — 8.6% (aviation kerosene and others). These are followed by machinery and equipment — 3.7%; food products — 3.5% (dried fruits and vegetables, spices, rice and others); industrial goods — 3.3% (aluminum bars and profiles, rhenium metal and others); miscellaneous manufactured articles — 0.9%; chemicals — 0.4%; beverages and tobacco — 0.2%; and non-food raw materials — 0.1%.

In imports from the United States, machinery and equipment dominate — 59% (aircraft, automobiles and their parts, computer units, engines, pumps, machine tools and industrial installations). A significant share is also accounted for by services — 20.5% (financial, licensing, leasing and transport services). These are followed by chemicals — 9.7% (pharmaceuticals, binding agents and cosmetic substances); industrial goods — 3.8% (plastic and ferrous metal products and others); food products — 3.2% (poultry meat and by-products); miscellaneous manufactured articles — 2.2% (devices, instruments, paper products); non-food raw materials — 1.1% (cellulose and others); as well as beverages and tobacco — 0.5%.

Investment cooperation

As of February 1, 2026, there are 346 enterprises with U.S. capital operating in Uzbekistan, which accounts for about 2% of the total number of enterprises with foreign investment. Of these, 146 are joint ventures and 200 are foreign companies with U.S. capital participation.

The volume of foreign direct investment and loans from the United States over the past nine years has increased nearly 64-fold — from $8.6 mln in 2017 to $383.2 mln in 2025.

Overall, in 2017–2025 the cumulative volume of attracted U.S. FDI and loans into Uzbekistan’s economy exceeded $2.9 bn.

Investments were directed primarily into manufacturing industries (metallurgy, production of motor vehicles, beverages and textile products), mining industry, construction, services (real estate operations, education), as well as agriculture.

CERR Public relations and media sector

Tourism is taking on an increasingly prominent role in cooperation between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. The geographic proximity of the two countries, the intensity of mutual travel, and growing interest in Central Asia are creating the conditions for a shift from traditional tourism exchange toward closer cooperation — developing cross-border tourism, creating combined travel routes, and jointly promoting the region on the international market.

Over the first seven months of 2026, the flow of tourists from Kyrgyzstan has continued to grow, reflecting the expanding scale of tourism ties and the steady development of bilateral cooperation. This positive momentum is laying the groundwork for the next stage — creating conditions that make travel between the neighboring countries easier, while allowing the tourism potential of both states to complement one another.

Major international events are drawing additional attention to Central Asia. In 2026, Bishkek is hosting the Sixth World Nomad Games, giving the region an opportunity to showcase its national culture, traditions, and tourism potential to an international audience.

Against this backdrop, the initiative put forward by President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev to create a "Central Asian Tourism Ring" takes on particular significance. The proposal, unveiled in May 2026 at the annual meeting of the Board of Governors of the Asian Development Bank, envisions a more interconnected tourism space across the region and the creation of routes linking several countries. For Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, this approach opens up further opportunities to develop combined travel itineraries and attract tourists from third countries.

A certain foundation for this has already been laid. The two countries are developing joint tourism products such as "Journeys Along the Silk Road" and "Journeys Through the Natural Landmarks of Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan," and are conducting mutual familiarization tours, visits by tourism industry representatives and media, and presentations of regional tourism potential.

At the same time, the further development of combined travel routes depends directly on the ease of movement between the two countries. One option under consideration is introducing an expedited border-crossing mechanism at the "Dustlik" checkpoint in Andijan region and the "Uchkurgan–Kensai" checkpoint in Namangan region. This measure is intended to create more comfortable conditions for tourist groups and to support the development of cross-border routes.

Consideration is also being given to granting international status to a number of other checkpoints. This would expand opportunities for foreign tourists to travel to areas with potential for ecological, health, mountain, and adventure tourism.

Cooperation between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan in tourism is gradually taking on a broader regional dimension as well. The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation has become one of the platforms for this work. In April 2026, a meeting of the heads of tourism administrations of SCO member states held in Bishkek addressed the development of transport logistics, the streamlining of visa regimes, the promotion of joint routes and tours, and the expansion of cooperation between tourism organizations.

Of particular importance is the joint initiative by Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan to establish a tourism hub for SCO member states. At the Bishkek meeting, the parties backed further work on the concept and agreed to merge the draft concepts of the "Tourism Hub" and the "SCO Tourism Corridor" into a single, coordinated document. In this way, bilateral cooperation between the two countries is being extended to the level of one of the world's largest organizations.

The prospects of this approach extend beyond mutual travel by residents of Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. The next step could be to more actively attract travelers from third countries by developing combined routes. This direction can be strengthened through joint expeditions by tourism companies, the creation of new cross-border tourism products, and their promotion in foreign markets. This would make travel across Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan more diverse while broadening the international audience for both destinations.

Major international events, the development of cross-border routes, and new initiatives within the SCO are creating additional opportunities for further convergence of the tourism spaces of Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. The next step is not simply to increase the number of mutual trips, but to create conditions in which tourists can move more easily between the two countries, combine them in a single journey, and discover different destinations across Central Asia. It is precisely in this that tourism is acquiring the significance of an independent and promising dimension of partnership between the two neighboring states.

Uzbekistan continues to strengthen its position as one of the most active hubs of cooperation between Central and South Asia. Changes in the global trade architecture, the restructuring of supply chains, and the growing importance of regional markets are increasing the significance of the South Asian direction.

South Asia, home to one of the world's largest consumer markets, substantial industrial potential, and rapidly expanding investment activity, is emerging as one of the key centers of the global economy.

Against this backdrop, Uzbekistan’s cooperation with South Asian countries is increasingly taking on a practical economic dimension. This involves the creation of sustainable mechanisms for trade, investment, and institutional cooperation capable of generating new growth opportunities for the entire region. Afghanistan occupies a special place in this process, serving as a bridge between Central and South Asia.

A practical manifestation of this transformation was the first interregional forum, the Termez Dialogue, held in May 2025 at the International Trade Center “Termez.” The forum became one of the most significant steps in implementing Uzbekistan’s initiative to strengthen connectivity between Central and South Asia, previously enshrined in a dedicated UNGA Resolution.

Discussions focused on trade and economic cooperation, investment, energy, food security, climate resilience, and Afghanistan’s integration into regional processes. The forum’s particular significance lay in its effort to establish a long-term platform for cooperation based on economic interdependence, openness, and shared development.

The decision to hold the Termez Dialogue on a regular basis effectively laid the groundwork for institutionalizing a new format of cooperation, with Termez emerging as one of the new geoeconomic platforms for engagement with South Asian countries.

Uzbekistan’s Trade with South Asia

Today, Uzbekistan is among the most active countries in the region in expanding trade, economic, and investment cooperation with South Asia.

The strengthening of interregional connectivity has been accompanied by growth in trade turnover, investment interaction, and business activity, reflecting a transition from limited cross-border cooperation to a broader model of economic integration.

Over the past 9 years (2016–2025), trade between Uzbekistan and South Asian countries increased 3.2 times, reaching $3.5 bn. Uzbekistan’s exports to the region tripled to $2 bn, while imports increased 4.1 times to $1.5 bn.

The main categories of Uzbekistan’s exports to South Asia include food products worth $976.4 mn (48.1%), mineral oils – $368 mn (18.1%), transport services – $277.8 mn (13.7%), industrial goods – $140.5 mn (6.9%), and chemical products – $134.9 mn (6.6%).

The main import categories from South Asian countries include chemical products worth $477.6 mn (32.2%), food products – $391.4 mn (26.4%), machinery and equipment – $309.1 mn (20.8%), other products – $99 mn (6.7%), and finished products – $67 mn (4.5%).

In 2025, the largest share of trade with South Asia was accounted for by Afghanistan. The predominance of Uzbek exports made Afghanistan a highly beneficial trade and economic partner, ranking first among South Asian countries in terms of Uzbekistan’s trade turnover, which reached $1.7 bn, or 47.7% of total trade with the region.

Food exports to Afghanistan amounted to $712.7 mn, while Afghanistan accounted for 75.5% of Uzbekistan’s food exports to South Asia.

Trade and economic cooperation between Uzbekistan and India has also expanded significantly in recent years. India ranked second among South Asian trading partners, with bilateral trade reaching $1.3 bn in 2025 (37.5% of total trade with the region).

India ranked second among Uzbekistan’s South Asian trading partners, with bilateral trade reaching $1.3 bn in 2025, accounting for 37.5% of Uzbekistan’s total trade with the region.

Pakistan ranked third, with trade turnover amounting to $445.9 mn, or 12.7% of Uzbekistan’s total trade with South Asia. In 2025, Uzbekistan’s exports to Pakistan consisted of food products worth $260.2 mn, industrial goods worth $21.2 mn, services worth $30.1 mn, and non-food raw materials worth $13.2 mn.

Imports from Pakistan in 2025 included food products worth $56.2 mn, chemical products worth $45.3 mn, industrial goods worth $6.4 mn, and various finished products worth $5.2 mn.

Over the past 9 years, the volume of foreign direct investment and loans attracted from South Asian countries to Uzbekistan totaled $1.3 bn, including $510 mn in 2025 alone. The largest contributions came from India ($586.7 mn) and Afghanistan ($519.2 mn).

Termez as a Hub of Interregional Connectivity

Termez occupies a special place in the development of Uzbekistan’s cooperation with South Asian countries. Located at the crossroads of Central and South Asia, the city serves as a trade, investment, and humanitarian hub connecting the two regions.

Historically, Termez played an important role in the system of interregional relations, situated at the intersection of the largest trade and civilizational spaces of Eurasia. Owing to its strategic geographic location, Termez linked India, Afghanistan, and Central Asia as early as ancient times, while during the Timurid era it was one of the region’s prominent administrative, commercial, and scientific centers.

The city’s current stage of development reflects the gradual restoration of this historical role under new geoeconomic conditions.

Since 2016, the Termez Cargo Center international logistics hub has been operating in the city, strategically located at the intersection of Afghanistan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan. In recent years, it has become one of the largest channels for delivering humanitarian assistance to Afghanistan through the mechanisms of the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) and the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR).

An additional impetus to regional development came with the opening of the Airitom International Trade Center in 2024, located in close proximity to the Afghan border. Today, the center is gradually evolving not only into a trading platform but also into a comprehensive geoeconomic hub bringing together logistics, business, educational, and humanitarian initiatives.

The center hosts a free trade zone with simplified business conditions for companies from South Asian countries. A visa-free regime has been introduced, transactions in foreign currencies are permitted, and entrepreneurs from Afghanistan and Pakistan have been granted the opportunity to conduct business within the complex. At the same time, social infrastructure, including educational and healthcare facilities, continues to develop.

At present, the Airitom International Trade Center covers 36 hectares, includes more than 3,000 retail outlets, and provides approximately 5,500 jobs. Since its opening, the center has been visited by more than 440,000 people, while annual exports have reached $1.2 bn.

Termez is also home to an educational institution for Afghan citizens, and a workforce development system is being expanded to support growing interregional cooperation.

In practice, Termez is becoming one of the key centers of economic interaction between Central and South Asia. The development of trade infrastructure, logistics, humanitarian projects, and business activity is strengthening economic ties between the two regions and enhancing Uzbekistan’s role in promoting interregional cooperation.

Against this backdrop, the Termez Dialogue is gaining importance as a permanent platform for aligning the long-term interests of the countries of Central and South Asia. The upcoming forum creates opportunities for advancing joint initiatives in trade, investment, food security, water resources, and sustainable development.

At the same time, the regular format of the Dialogue contributes to the development of a more sustainable model of interregional engagement based on pragmatic cooperation, economic interdependence, and the expansion of practical cooperation mechanisms between the two regions.

A New Economic Architecture of Connectivity

The significance of the Termez Dialogue extends beyond the framework of a traditional international forum. It reflects a broader transformation taking place across Eurasia, where regional connectivity, resilient supply chains, and economic cooperation are becoming increasingly important drivers of growth and stability.

For Uzbekistan, strengthening ties with South Asia represents not only an opportunity to diversify trade and investment flows but also a strategic instrument for enhancing the country’s role as a bridge between major regional markets.

The growing interconnectedness of Central and South Asia creates new opportunities for expanding trade routes, attracting investment, developing transport and logistics infrastructure, and strengthening cooperation in energy, agriculture, education, and human capital development.

Afghanistan occupies a central place within this emerging framework. Its integration into regional economic processes has the potential to transform it from a source of geopolitical uncertainty into an important transit, trade, and economic partner linking the two regions.

The development of practical cooperation mechanisms through platforms such as the Termez Dialogue may therefore contribute not only to economic growth but also to greater regional stability and long-term prosperity.

Through initiatives aimed at strengthening interregional connectivity, Uzbekistan is consistently promoting a vision of cooperation based on openness, mutual benefit, and shared development.

The experience of recent years demonstrates that expanding economic ties between Central and South Asia is no longer merely a political aspiration but an increasingly tangible economic reality supported by growing trade, rising investment flows, and expanding business engagement.

The institutionalization of the Termez Dialogue provides an important mechanism for sustaining this momentum. By bringing together governments, businesses, international organizations, and experts, the forum creates conditions for identifying common interests and developing coordinated approaches to regional challenges.

The continued development of trade infrastructure, logistics corridors, investment cooperation, and humanitarian initiatives centered around Termez further strengthens the city’s role as a gateway between Central and South Asia.

In this regard, the Termez Dialogue is evolving into a long-term platform for shaping a new model of regional cooperation – one based not on competition but on economic complementarity, interdependence, and shared prosperity.

As connectivity between the two regions deepens, Termez is increasingly positioned not only as a geographical crossroads but also as a strategic center of economic interaction capable of facilitating sustainable development across a vast part of Eurasia.

Ziyoda Rizaeva,
Center for Economic Research and Reforms