A deeper model is beginning to take shape in Uzbek-Serbian economic relations, based on companies’ mutual access to each other’s markets. The Uzbek side is exploring participation in infrastructure projects in Serbia, while Serbian partners are considering localization, contract manufacturing, and the placement of orders in Uzbekistan. In this way, trade relations are being complemented by investment and production projects capable of giving cooperation a more sustainable character.
The economic logic behind this rapprochement is largely determined by the geographical position of the two countries. Serbia is in close proximity to the major markets of Central and Southeastern Europe and benefits from an extensive network of trade agreements. Uzbekistan is consistently expanding its industrial base and deepening localization in Central Asia. This combination creates favorable conditions for projects in which the partner’s market serves as a platform for production and investment, followed by access to neighboring markets.
Existing trade already outlines the sectoral foundation for cooperation. Uzbekistan supplies Serbia with food, textile, and chemical products, while Serbian exports include industrial equipment, machinery, metal products, and other goods for production purposes. The greatest potential lies in segments where supplies can be further developed through production specialization and joint investment.
The development of transport connectivity between Central Asia and Europe is increasing the importance of the Serbian route. Serbia is considered a potential European link of the Middle Corridor, or Trans-Caspian International Transport Route. Increasing the reliability and predictability of transportation reduces logistical constraints for businesses and improves the economics of projects targeting both Central Asian and European markets.
Against this background, cooperation in the railway sector is particularly significant. The sides are exploring a joint project for the construction of approximately 200 kilometers of railway infrastructure in Serbia. For Uzbekistan, the significance of this initiative goes far beyond a single infrastructure project. It provides an opportunity to bring to the European market the expertise accumulated in railway construction, engineering, and the implementation of major transport facilities. This expands the country’s export potential through engineering and construction services and gives national companies an opportunity to gain experience in implementing projects within the European business and regulatory environment.
In industry, the transition to more sophisticated forms of cooperation is taking place in several formats. In light industry, the placement of orders from Serbian brands at existing Uzbek production facilities is being considered. In pharmaceuticals, contract manufacturing of medicines in cooperation with Hemofarm and Galenika is being explored, along with local production in cooperation with the Torlak Institute. In mechanical engineering and electrical engineering, the focus is on the localization of metal components and the assembly of electric motors. This agenda is complemented by initiatives in the chemical industry and small and medium-sized hydropower.
These formats reflect different levels of enterprise involvement in joint value chains. The placement of orders makes it possible to utilize existing production capacities and establish links with international brands. Contract manufacturing raises requirements for technologies, standards, and quality control. Component localization brings more complex operations into the country and generates demand for local suppliers. In this way, commercial ties gradually create a foundation for sustainable production specialization. The mutually beneficial nature of cooperation is also evident in construction.
Alongside joint efforts to develop railway projects in Serbia, the involvement of Serbian contractors in major urban development projects in Uzbekistan is also being considered. Each side has the opportunity to apply its own experience in the partner’s market and expand the geographical reach of its national businesses.
At this stage, the institutional framework is of particular importance. The agreements on the mutual promotion and protection of investments and on economic cooperation that have entered into force provide a legal framework for long-term investment and systematic sectoral cooperation. Their practical value lies in supporting the initiatives already identified — from determining participants and developing financing models to their direct implementation.
The contours of the next stage are therefore already sufficiently clear: infrastructure services in the European market, the integration of Uzbek enterprises into international production chains, the development of more sophisticated technological operations within the country, and mutual participation of businesses in major projects. This is creating a deeper structure of relations in which trade is extended through investment and industrial cooperation.
The key task now is to consistently transform the established portfolio of initiatives into operational projects. Their implementation will make it possible to turn the geographical position of the two countries into a practical economic resource: for Uzbekistan, to expand the activities of national businesses in the European market; and for Serbia, to develop a long-term presence in the industrial space of Central Asia.
Over the past few years, Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan have moved from strategic partnership to a fully fledged alliance. Two distinct dimensions now stand out in the way they engage with one another. On the one hand, the institutional foundation of their cooperation is firmly in place; on the other, its economic momentum is only beginning to build. In our view, the balance between the development of political and diplomatic machinery and the practical substance of economic cooperation is what will define the next chapter in Uzbek–Azerbaijani relations.
The institutional architecture
The framework of bilateral ties built by Tashkent and Baku rests largely on top-down coordination: the agenda is set at the level of the heads of state, while intergovernmental, ministerial and business mechanisms deliver it. It is President Shavkat Mirziyoyev of Uzbekistan and President Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan who set the principal vectors of cooperation and its tempo, and who appreciably shorten the time needed to sign off on individual decisions.
This has gradually produced an extensive system of engagement mechanisms. The Supreme Interstate Council was established in 2023 and held its first session in 2024; the same year saw the signing of the Treaty on Allied Relations. In July 2026, Tashkent hosted the fifteenth meeting of the Intergovernmental Commission. The Uzbek–Azerbaijani Business Council has been operating since 2020, three Forums of Regions have been convened, and eleven cities have entered into sister-city arrangements. In the past three years alone there have been more than twenty high-level inter-parliamentary contacts, and in 2025 Khiva hosted the first inter-parliamentary forum.
Contact of this density is normally found between neighboring countries, or between states whose mutual trade runs at far higher levels. For Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan – separated by the Caspian and still trading comparatively little – the degree of institutionalization achieved looks all the more striking.
The practical effect is to lower political and administrative barriers, shorten approval timelines and make it easier for companies to enter the partner’s market. Yet an institutional framework does not in itself generate trade flows or investment demand. It creates favorable conditions for business activity, but it is no substitute for the economic incentives on which the further momentum of cooperation depends.
The next stage, therefore, is likely to be defined less by adding to the number of existing formats than by their capacity to convert the political relationship already achieved into concrete economic results.
The economic dimension: a question of scale
Political dialogue between the two countries is still running well ahead of the underlying economic indicators, as the statistics make plain. Bilateral trade came to $307 million in 2025, an increase of roughly 15 percent. Uzbek exports grew by 8 percent to $227 million, while imports from Azerbaijan rose by 39 percent to $80 million. The Uzbek export basket widened by 116 product lines.
These figures take on a rather different meaning, however, when set against Uzbekistan’s total foreign trade turnover, which exceeded $81 billion in 2025[1]. Azerbaijan accounted for less than 0.4 percent of it. That number should not be read as a verdict on the quality of the bilateral relationship. What it shows, rather, is how hard it is to translate political alignment into economic ties of real scale – a difficulty rooted in several objective structural constraints.
These include the absence of a shared border and the resulting need for multimodal shipping across the Caspian; a partial overlap in export baskets (textiles, fruit and vegetables, selected chemical products); and similar approaches to diversifying economic ties, which leave the two sides competing on third markets more often than complementing one another.
From this follows a thoroughly practical conclusion. Simply scaling up conventional trade is unlikely to bring the two countries to the $1 billion mark set by their presidents[2]. Growth will have to be sought through investment and industrial cooperation, where trade flows arise from shared production chains.
Both countries appreciate how important it is to put such systematic work in place, and in recent years the center of gravity of the agenda has shifted noticeably from trade toward investment. The Azerbaijan–Uzbekistan Investment Company (AUIC), created in 2023 with charter capital of $500 million, is already involved in fifteen projects worth some $360 million, according to Uzbekistan’s Ministry of Investment, Industry and Trade[3]. The wider pipeline is considerably larger, taking in more than twenty projects worth around $6 billion, with a further twenty-five worth almost $1.5 billion in preparation[4].
How far investment cooperation reaches beyond declared intentions is best judged from what is happening at specific production sites. The most visible example is the joint vehicle assembly operation run by Uzavtosanoat and Azermash at the Hajigabul industrial park, which has already turned out more than 11,000 Chevrolet cars and Isuzu buses[5]. The project is now moving into its next phase: a full-cycle plant with investment of more than $84 million. Textile and sericulture clusters are developing in parallel, alongside agro-industrial and logistics projects.
The significance of such ventures is not measured by output alone. Their principal value lies in forging durable production links between the two countries.
Joint manufacturing generates steady demand for mutual deliveries of components, raw materials and equipment, which in effect embeds bilateral trade within a single production chain.
Ties of this kind tend to be less sensitive to swings in the market, since they rest not on one-off deals but on the long-term needs of production. Another consideration matters just as much. Localizing production in Azerbaijan, provided the relevant rules of origin are met, potentially opens the door to third-country markets with which Baku holds preferential trade arrangements.
In that sense, joint ventures can be seen not merely as a means of serving the two national markets, but as a possible platform for promoting products together beyond Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan. That effect does not materialize automatically, however: it calls for dedicated work on the trade, customs and legal mechanisms involved.
What will shape further growth?
The institutional architecture now in place, together with the results already achieved in economic cooperation, creates considerable scope for taking the relationship further. Realizing that potential, though, will depend on the two sides’ ability to overcome a number of structural constraints.
Foremost among them are the competition between similar products on third markets noted above and the volatility of Caspian logistics, which reflects the condition of the ferry fleet and the seasonality of shipping. A further brake comes from the difficulty of making direct payments between the two countries’ banks and of insuring cargo, both of which add to the cost and duration of foreign trade transactions.
Against this backdrop, a natural question arises: what could accelerate the pace of cooperation?
One of the most practical steps would be mutual recognition of certificates and laboratory test results, above all for agricultural produce, which would cut both the time and the cost of bringing goods to the partner’s market.
In the financial sphere, there is a strong case for broadening correspondent banking relations and settlement in national currencies, by way of direct payments between banks and convenient currency conversion arrangements. This would reduce reliance on intermediaries and make settlement of trade and investment operations more predictable.
Transport deserves attention in its own right. Expanding the capacity of the Caspian routes, harmonizing tariffs and shipping schedules, and developing digital cargo tracking would all help lower costs for business.
Uzbek–Azerbaijani relations have thus reached the point at which the political capital accumulated over recent years is gradually acquiring economic and practical substance. In this sense it can be said with confidence that the two countries have laid a solid foundation for moving into new areas and deeper forms of allied partnership.
Miraziz Mirumarov, Leading Research Fellow,
Institute for Strategic and Interregional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan
Iroda Imamova, Leading Research Fellow,
Institute for Strategic and Interregional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan
[1]https://stat.uz/ru/press-tsentr/novosti-goskomstata/66431-2025-jilda-zbekistonning-tash-i-savdo-ajlanmasi-81-mlrd-dollardan-oshdi-3
[2]https://president.uz/ru/lists/view/8287
[3]https://surl.li/rgudkn
[4]https://surl.li/wbqoju
[5]https://economiczones.gov.az/post/hsp-de-avtomobil-istehsali-artir-az
Belarus and Uzbekistan actively cooperate in the transport and logistics sector within the framework of the Coordinating Transport Conference of the CIS Member States (CIS CTC), the Organization for Cooperation of Railways (OSJD), and the Commonwealth Railway Transport Council (CIS RTC).
An additional basis for the development of bilateral and multilateral cooperation is the participation of both countries in the CIS and SCO, where issues of developing international transport corridors and strengthening transport connectivity between states occupy an important place on the cooperation agenda.
A practical result of cooperation is the steady positive growth in freight traffic between the Republic of Uzbekistan and the Republic of Belarus, which is one of the republic's key trade and transport partners.
In terms of export and import freight volumes, Belarus is among Uzbekistan's top ten trading partners. By the end of 2025, freight traffic between the two countries reached 850,000 tons, an increase of 30% compared to the previous year.
The structure of freight traffic is dominated by imports, primarily timber, timber products, and food products, while export volumes remain insignificant and consist primarily of agricultural products.
The current situation demonstrates significant potential for increasing mutual freight traffic, primarily through the expansion of Uzbek exports and the development of new logistics routes.
In the context of geopolitical conflicts and the diversification of global supply chains, the creation of new international transport corridors in Eurasia using mixed modes of transport in the East-West and North-South directions is acquiring strategic importance.
The following are promising cooperation projects:
A promising area is the development of the international transport route "Belarus – Russia – Kazakhstan – Uzbekistan – Afghanistan – Pakistan – Indian Ocean ports," which utilizes the shortest railway section running through Kazakhstan between the Dina Nurpeisova and Karakalpakstan stations.
On November 1, 2023, in Tashkent, at the SCO Transport Forum, the transport ministers of Uzbekistan, Russia, and Kazakhstan signed a Memorandum of Understanding on the creation and development of this corridor. Belarus and Pakistan joined the Memorandum in 2024, and negotiations are currently underway to add Afghanistan.
The economic logic of the project is very clear. The corridor is approximately half the length of existing alternative routes and reduces delivery times by 2-3 times. It will directly connect the countries of the European Union and the CIS with Southeast and South Asia via a land-based rail and road route, increasing our countries' transit potential by transporting goods to the densely populated countries of South Asia – India and Pakistan – via the Uzbekistan – Afghanistan – Pakistan route.
In the future, joint work is planned to develop uniform standards for the operation of the international transport corridor, including the introduction of a single shipping document and the unification of technological and technical standards.
It should be noted that the new route through Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, and Pakistan will contribute to the diversification of the geography and structure of foreign trade and will lead to an increase in the region's transit potential.
This potential is already being demonstrated in practice. In the first quarter of 2026 alone, freight transit to the south through Uzbekistan increased by 23% compared to the same period last year, reaching 1.8 million tons, of which 1.3 million tons were transported by rail and 0.5 million tons by road.
A significant element of the long-term partnership is cooperation in the training and advanced training of transport specialists.
Belarus has a recognized track record in transport training. For example, the Belarusian State University of Transport in Gomel is a leading specialized educational and research institution, which includes the Institute for Advanced Training and Retraining of Personnel and the Research Institute of Railway Transport.
Developing cooperation between the Belarusian State University of Transport and specialized organizations in Uzbekistan, particularly the Tashkent State Transport University, would enable the organization of internships and advanced training programs for specialists, the development of academic mobility for undergraduate, graduate, and postgraduate students, and joint research in priority areas of rail transport development, multimodal transportation, and international transport logistics.
III. Digitalization of Permit Exchange for Road Transport.
A separate practical area is the transition to the electronic exchange of permit forms—the E-permit system. Uzbekistan currently fully implements this exchange with Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, China, and Turkey, and partially with Tajikistan. Work is underway to launch it with Turkmenistan.
Implementing this system in cooperation with Belarus will ensure transparency in permit distribution, eliminate human error, and strengthen oversight of their use, which is especially relevant given the growing volume of road transport between the countries.
Thus, cooperation between Belarus and Uzbekistan in transport and logistics goes beyond increasing mutual traffic and acquires a strategic dimension.
The implementation of these projects—from a multimodal corridor to Indian Ocean ports to the digitalization of permitting procedures—could transform our countries' geographical location into a real competitive advantage, making the Belarus-Uzbekistan-South Asia route convenient, fast, and predictable.
Joint and consistent work in these areas will strengthen economic ties between the two countries and make a significant contribution to the development of sustainable transport connectivity in the Eurasian space.
Head of Department, Center for the Study of Transport and Logistics Development Problems under the Ministry of Transport of the Republic of Uzbekistan Dildora Ibragimova
Uzbekistan’s total external debt amounted to $75.4 billion as of October 1, 2025.
According to the Ministry of Investment, Industry and Trade of Uzbekistan (MIIT), $37.4 billion of this amount accounts for the government’s external debt.
It is important to note that the issue of investment and external financing always attracts interest and raises questions. This is natural, as society wants to understand where resources come from and what results the country achieves.
The key principle here is simple: the purpose of attracting investment and resources is to improve living standards. This is not about “impressive reports” or “eye-catching figures,” but about tangible improvements felt in everyday life-jobs and household incomes, infrastructure, access to clean water, energy and transport, and quality social services.
The economic logic is also clear: for the economy to grow faster, resources are needed- capital, technology, equipment, and new markets. If a country stops attracting resources, growth slows down: fewer jobs are created, it becomes harder to modernize logistical and social infrastructure, expand water supply, and ensure affordable energy.
Therefore, Uzbekistan is consistently working to attract investments - to accelerate economic development, boost GDP, and ultimately improve both the quality and longevity of life. Notably, since 2020, life expectancy has shown steady growth - from 73.4 years to 75.1 years in 2024.
At the same time, what matters to people are not slogans, but measurable results - changes that can be seen and assessed.
By structure, Uzbekistan’s total external debt as of October 1, 2025, amounted to $75.4 billion. Of this, $37.4 billion is government external debt, while the remaining $38 billion consists of borrowings by private and state-owned enterprises without a government guarantee (corporate debt).
Notably, according to international classifications, Uzbekistan’s government debt level is regarded as moderate and manageable. The government’s external debt of $37.6 billion amounts to roughly 26% of GDP (with official GDP around $145 billion), well below the threshold levels that are generally seen as potentially risky for macroeconomic stability worldwide.
What has been achieved through government borrowings in 2017-2025:
Modernization of Transport and Urban Services:
Education and Social Sector:
Agriculture and Water Management:
These figures reflect already utilized borrowings. A significant portion of infrastructure and social sector modernization projects is still underway and will continue to deliver benefits as the work is completed.
Overall, as a result of the comprehensive measures implemented during 2017-2025, over 2 million jobs were created, exports increased by 270%, and GDP per capita grew by 418%.
What is fundamentally important is that resources can only be mobilized under strict rules, transparency, and oversight. In his Address to the Oliy Majlis and the people of Uzbekistan, the President highlighted that parliamentarians will oversee the entire project cycle - from selection and competitions to implementation and results. Project statuses, stages, and milestones will be published in real time, ensuring full transparency of competitions, tenders, and the fulfilment of obligations.
Uzbekistan’s approach to investment is clear and straightforward: the country needs resources for growth, while simultaneously ensuring full oversight, transparency, and measurable results for the population. This is exactly how the work is organized - openly, in stages, with clear accountability.
Dunyo IA
Uzbekistan and Serbia are exploring new avenues for cooperation in environmental protection, sustainable natural resource management, biodiversity conservation and environmental education.
As an important step in advancing environmental dialogue, the participation of a delegation from the Republic of Serbia, led by Minister of Environmental Protection Sara Pavkov, in the 8th Assembly of the Global Environment Facility, held in Samarkand from May 30 to June 5, 2026, as well as in the international exhibition “Eco Expo Central Asia 2026,” held on June 2–4, can be highlighted. In particular, the Serbian side participated in the high-level plenary session on “Green Investments and Innovations” held as part of the exhibition.
One promising area of cooperation is the exchange of experience in forestry and sustainable forest management. Serbia has considerable practical expertise in managing forest resources and developing public–private partnerships. Between 2008 and 2023, the share of forested land in the country increased from 25% to 37%. Of Serbia’s forests, 53% are state-owned, while the remaining 47% are privately owned.
Cooperation in biodiversity conservation and the protection of natural ecosystems is another area of particular importance. Serbia has granted protected status to 460 natural sites, including five national parks, 17 nature parks, 20 protected landscapes, 68 nature reserves, 309 natural monuments and three protected habitats. Studying this experience is of practical interest for the further development and improvement of approaches to the conservation of natural areas and biodiversity in Uzbekistan.
Environmental education and scientific and academic cooperation represent another promising avenue for partnership. In particular, there is potential to expand cooperation between Serbia’s leading universities and the Central Asian University of Environmental and Climate Change Studies, Green University. Such initiatives could include joint academic programmes, scientific research, student and faculty exchanges, as well as the implementation of collaborative projects in the fields of climate change, biodiversity and sustainable development.
Serbian universities, including the University of Belgrade and the University of Novi Sad, have significant capacity in environmental sciences and are recognised among the world’s leading universities in relevant fields. This creates favourable opportunities for strengthening academic and research partnerships.
Eco Expo Central Asia 2027 could also serve as an important platform for further strengthening the environmental dialogue. The exhibition is scheduled to take place in June 2027 in Tashkent, alongside the Tashkent International Investment Forum, which will focus on “Sustainable Development and Green Investment”.
The Serbian side is invited to take an active part in the exhibition, which has already established itself as one of Central Asia’s leading environmental platforms. The successful organisation of Eco Expo Central Asia in Tashkent in 2025 and in Samarkand in 2026 demonstrated the strong interest of the international community in the region’s environmental initiatives.
The development of cooperation between Uzbekistan and Serbia in these areas will help expand the exchange of advanced practices, promote joint environmental and investment projects, strengthen scientific and educational ties and create new opportunities for advancing the principles of sustainable development and “green” economy.
Mahmud Khaydarov,
Chief Specialist of the Department of International Cooperation, Grants and Rankings of the National Committee on Ecology and Climate Change
In October, the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, will pay a state visit to the Kingdom of Belgium, during which important decisions are expected to be made that will mark a qualitatively new stage in relations between Uzbekistan and the European Union. In particular, the visit will feature the signing of the Agreement on Enhanced Partnership and Cooperation.
In recent years, Uzbekistan has been actively shaping a new framework of engagement with Europe – a key pillar of stability amid current geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainty. The ties between Uzbekistan and European countries continue to grow, and the areas of cooperation are diversifying, supported by the ongoing reforms in Uzbekistan.
Building a New Chapter in Relations
After gaining independence, Uzbekistan’s relations with the European Union developed dynamically. A Memorandum of Understanding between the Government of Uzbekistan and the European Commission was signed in 1992, followed by the establishment of diplomatic relations in 1994. The foundation of cooperation was laid by the Partnership and Cooperation Agreement (PCA) signed in June 1996 and entering into force in 1999. However, at a certain stage, cooperation faced difficulties due to the insufficient pace of democratic reforms in Uzbekistan.
With the election of Shavkat Mirziyoyev as President, the situation changed dramatically. As early as 2017, during his visit to Tashkent, Stefano Manservisi, Director-General for International Cooperation and Development of the European Commission, stated that “the EU regards Uzbekistan as a strategic partner.” The sweeping democratic and economic reforms launched in Uzbekistan helped resolve within a short period many issues that had long remained unsolved. Forced labor was completely eradicated, and reforms in the cotton sector enabled the country to abandon raw cotton exports altogether.
As reforms advanced, the legal and institutional framework of relations with Europe expanded rapidly. While previously Uzbekistan and the EU granted each other most-favored-nation treatment under the PCA, in April 2021 the EU granted Uzbekistan GSP+ beneficiary status, and in 2022 the Enhanced Partnership and Cooperation Agreement (EPCA) was initialed.
Along with internal transformation, Uzbekistan’s foreign policy architecture also changed. Priority was given to closer cooperation with neighboring Central Asian states, as well as the active expansion of ties with European countries – a vector that has strengthened steadily in recent years.
Just in the past year, Uzbekistan established strategic partnership relations with France, Italy, and Slovakia, while discussions on expanding strategic cooperation with Hungary continued. President Mirziyoyev also visited Slovenia, and Italy’s Prime Minister and Bulgaria’s President visited Uzbekistan.
A milestone in strengthening relations between Uzbekistan and Europe, and between Europe and Central Asia as a whole – was the first EU–Central Asia Summit, held in Samarkand in April 2025 under the chairmanship of Shavkat Mirziyoyev. Uzbekistan presented a broad range of initiatives to create a new model of regional cooperation between Central Asia and Europe, including: a multilateral agreement on investment protection and promotion; the launch of a Central Asia–EU Joint Chamber of Commerce; the adoption of a regional support program for SMEs and women’s entrepreneurship; the establishment of an investment platform to promote regional projects in green energy, innovation, transport, infrastructure, and agriculture.
The Samarkand Summit was highly productive. A Joint Declaration was adopted, establishing a strategic partnership between the two regions in trade, transport, energy, digital connectivity, and water management. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced that the EU had prepared a €12 billion investment package for Central Asia under the Global Gateway initiative.
The Trajectory of Economic Cooperation
Uzbekistan’s deep democratic transformations have significantly improved relations with European countries. Economic reforms have enhanced the competitiveness of Uzbekistan’s economy, stimulating investor confidence and growing interest from European businesses.
The results are impressive. Over the past 8 years, Uzbekistan’s GDP has doubled, reaching $115 billion in 2024. Since 2017, investment in fixed capital has totaled $240 billion, of which foreign investment exceeded $130 billion. The country’s foreign exchange reserves surpassed $48 billion for the first time in history. Structurally, the share of industry in the economy increased from 20% to 26%, and services from 44% to 47%. Labor productivity (GDP per employed person) rose by 45%.
As a result, opportunities for mutually beneficial cooperation between Uzbek and European businesses have expanded. Between 2017 and 2024, Uzbekistan’s trade with the EU increased 2.4 times to $6.4 billion; exports grew 3.6 times to $1.7 billion, and imports 2.2 times to $4.7 billion. In 2024, the EU’s share in Uzbekistan’s total trade turnover was 9.7%, in exports 6.3%, and in imports 12%. The EU ranked third among Uzbekistan’s trade partners, after China and Russia.
The EU’s share in Uzbekistan’s total exports increased from 3.8% to 6.3% over the same period. This growth was driven by Uzbekistan’s accession to the GSP+ preferential trade system, granting duty-free access to the EU market across roughly 6,200 tariff lines. The share of Uzbekistan’s exports benefiting from GSP+ reached 59%, with a preference utilization rate of 84%, indicating efficient use of trade benefits.
In 2024, Uzbekistan’s exports to the EU were dominated by chemical products (52.1%), as well as textiles, ferrous and non-ferrous metals, minerals, and food products. Among EU members, France accounted for 47.2% of exports, Lithuania for 10%, and Latvia for 6.9%.
Uzbekistan’s imports from the EU significantly exceeded exports – a reflection of the ongoing technological modernization of the national economy. Around 16% of Uzbekistan’s total imports of machinery, equipment, and transport vehicles come from EU countries.
Investment cooperation is also expanding rapidly. In 2024, foreign investments and loans from EU countries and their financial institutions increased by 77%, reaching $4.1 billion (compared to $2.3 billion in 2023). The most active investors were Germany ($1.37 billion), the Netherlands ($1.05 billion), Cyprus ($858.9 million), the Czech Republic ($137.8 million), Italy ($99.8 million), and Sweden ($97.5 million). Today, around 1,000 enterprises with EU capital operate in Uzbekistan, with a total project portfolio of €30 billion.
A special role in recent years belongs to the EBRD, of which Uzbekistan has become one of the largest beneficiaries. The Bank’s total investments in Uzbekistan’s economy exceeded €5 billion, including around €1 billion in 2024, primarily directed toward the private sector.
Reforms in Uzbekistan have become the key driver for unlocking the significant potential of trade and economic cooperation with the European Union.
Uzbekistan–Belgium
The upcoming visit will also focus on strengthening relations between Uzbekistan and Belgium. Diplomatic relations were established following the opening of the Embassy of Uzbekistan in Brussels in 1993. In 1996, the two countries signed an Agreement on avoidance of double taxation, and in 1998 – an Agreement on mutual protection and promotion of investments, which provide legal guarantees for investors in both states.
Business contacts have intensified in parallel with Uzbekistan’s reform agenda. The visits of 2019 and 2022 set the tone for cooperation in infrastructure, energy, and the digital economy. More important than the current trade volumes has been the recognition and support of Uzbekistan’s reforms by EU partners, laying the foundation for long-term engagement.
In 2024, bilateral trade amounted to $62.3 million, including $7.3 million in Uzbek exports and $55 million in imports. Investment cooperation is gaining momentum: several dozen companies with Belgian capital now operate in Uzbekistan, including wholly owned enterprises. New technologies are being localized, for example, Jaga Climate Designers is participating in a joint venture for heating and ventilation systems, and Picanol Group is localizing the assembly of high-tech textile machinery. Belgian brands Belcolade and Prefamac are exploring opportunities to launch chocolate production with subsequent localization.
Despite modest trade volumes, there is significant potential for expanding cooperation in several areas. Given Belgium’s leading role in pharmaceuticals and biomedical research and Uzbekistan’s growing pharmaceutical market, joint ventures or industrial clusters could be developed in this sector, involving companies such as UCB and Janssen Pharmaceutica.
There is also strong potential for joint fruit and vegetable processing projects in Uzbekistan, targeting exports to the EU via Belgian logistics hubs such as the Port of Antwerp and wholesale markets. Potential partners include Greenyard and Puratos. Direct seasonal exports of fresh fruits (e.g., grapes in autumn and winter), as well as dried vegetables, spices, and organic products, could also be expanded. In light industry, there is room to increase exports of ready-made knitwear and home textiles, provided European quality and safety standards are met. The market potential is evident – Belgium imported about $7.9 billion worth of clothing in 2024.
The main challenges remain logistics and standards. Belgium functions as a major EU maritime hub centered around Antwerp, while direct routes from Uzbekistan are still limited. The near-term priority should be pilot supply chains ensuring quality and traceability, the development of cold logistics, certification under EU technical and sanitary regulations, the use of Benelux consolidation hubs, and trade finance tools for SMEs. With the gradual development of new overland routes along the Middle Corridor, Uzbekistan will gain a stronger foothold in high value-added exports without higher costs or delivery delays.
Conclusion
Uzbekistan is entering a stage of deepened economic cooperation with the European Union. During the ongoing modernization and digital transformation of its economy, European investment, technology, education, and research experience can play a key role. At the same time, Uzbekistan seeks to expand exports of industrial goods as their quality improves.
Uzbekistan is also a rapidly growing market with a young and dynamic population, now reaching 38 million people – an 18% increase since 2017. Every year, around 700,000 economically active individuals enter the labor market, forming a substantial human resource base for the economy, including joint ventures.
As a result of poverty reduction policies, living standards and household incomes have risen significantly. Whereas a third of the population once lived below the poverty line, 7.5 million people have been lifted out of poverty, and the poverty rate declined to 8.9% in 2024, with plans to reduce it further to 6% this year. These policies not only address social challenges but also expand domestic demand, increasing the interest of European businesses in entering Uzbekistan’s market.
The further deepening of Uzbekistan’s economic engagement with the EU and Belgium is an objectively mutually beneficial process – one that will define the success of the upcoming state visit of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev to Belgium.
The agreements expected to be signed will help advance joint projects in sustainable energy and infrastructure, strengthen transport and technological connectivity between Central Asia and Europe, and position Europe as a key partner in Uzbekistan’s long-term growth and modernization trajectory.
Obid Khakimov,
Director of the Center for
Economic Research and Reforms
Historical Background
The history of Uzbek - Finnish relations dates back to the early 1990s, when Finland became one of the first countries to recognize the independence of the Republic of Uzbekistan - on 30 December 1991. Just two months later, on 26 February 1992, diplomatic relations were officially established, marking the beginning of a new chapter based on mutual respect, trust, and a shared commitment to technological progress.
The first high-level visits in 1992 laid the foundation for political dialogue. During that year, Uzbekistan took part in the signing ceremonies of the OSCE Helsinki Final Act and the Paris Charter. In October of the same year, Finnish President Mauno Koivisto paid an official visit to Tashkent, further consolidating the partnership. Since then, cooperation between the two countries has developed steadily across political and economic spheres.
Legal and Institutional Framework
Today, the legal framework governing Uzbek-Finnish relations comprises eight active documents, including two interstate and six intergovernmental agreements. These include the 1992 Agreements on Mutual Protection of Investments and on Trade, Economic, and Technological Cooperation, as well as treaties on air and road transport (1996 and 1997) and agreements on avoiding double taxation and on customs cooperation.
New initiatives reflecting the modern stage of partnership are under consideration - such as a draft agreement on visa exemption for holders of diplomatic passports, a memorandum on cooperation in environmental protection, and a protocol on consultations between the foreign ministries.
Cooperation Priorities: Technology, Ecology, and Innovation
Finland, recognized globally as a leader in innovation, sustainable development, and green technologies, serves as a valuable model for Uzbekistan in its transition toward a digital and energy-efficient economy.
In 2017, a business delegation of nine Finnish companies specializing in engineering, agribusiness, telecommunications, and logistics visited Uzbekistan to participate in the AgroWorld Uzbekistan international exhibition. This visit gave new impetus to direct business-to-business engagement.
In April 2019, Tashkent hosted a delegation led by Mikko Koiranen, Deputy State Secretary of Finland for Foreign Economic Relations. The delegation included 29 representatives from leading companies and organizations - such as Nokia Siemens Networks, ABB, Wärtsilä, Uponor Infra, Tikkurila, ISKU, and Airbus Defense and Space. Discussions focused on implementing Finnish technologies in Uzbekistan, joint energy and raw material processing projects, and opportunities in smart cities and water management.
Later, in November 2019, Antti Koskelainen from the Finnish export credit agency Finnvera visited Tashkent, marking an important step toward deeper financial and investment cooperation. Meetings with the Ministry of Investment, Industry and Trade, the Ministry of Finance, and the Agency for State Asset Management addressed mechanisms for crediting and insuring Finnish export operations in Uzbekistan.
Trade: A Threefold Growth in One Year
Economic cooperation between Uzbekistan and Finland continues to expand. The two countries enjoy Most-Favored-Nation trade status, and regular meetings of the Joint Intergovernmental Commission on Trade, Economic, and Scientific-Technical Cooperation (five sessions to date, the latest held in Tashkent in February 2023) ensure a dynamic dialogue.
Trade turnover has shown remarkable growth in recent years: from USD 48.45 million in 2020 to USD 151.7 million in 2024 - an increase of over threefold. This upward trend reflects intensified business ties and growing interest among Finnish companies in the Uzbek market.
Investment and Business Cooperation
Finland is viewed in Uzbekistan not only as a trading partner but also as a source of innovation and investment. Currently, 14 enterprises with Finnish capital operate in Uzbekistan - four joint ventures and ten with 100% foreign ownership - active in sectors such as electronics, software, energy, agriculture, food processing, chemicals, and telecommunications equipment.
Finnish businesses are showing strong interest in renewable energy, waste recycling, eco-construction, water management, and sustainable agriculture. Uzbekistan, in turn, offers attractive conditions for investors - tax incentives, developed industrial infrastructure, and access to a 75-million-strong Central Asian market.
Finland’s Economic Potential: Opportunities for Partnership
Finland is one of Europe’s most advanced and innovative economies, known for its high living standards, sound macroeconomics, and strong industrial base. In 2024, its GDP exceeded USD 320 billion, with GDP per capita around USD 58,000. The economy is well-balanced, with services accounting for over 70%, industry 27%, and agriculture 2.5%. Inflation remains one of the lowest in Europe - around 3% - ensuring a stable and predictable business environment.
For Uzbekistan, cooperation with Finland opens wide-ranging opportunities for industrial, investment, and technological partnership, including:
Finland’s experience in sustainable development and digital transformation makes it a strategic partner for Uzbekistan’s “green economy” agenda and industrial modernization. At the same time, Uzbekistan - with its abundant natural resources, young workforce, and expanding domestic market - offers Finnish companies favorable conditions for localization and regional expansion.
A Look Ahead
The partnership between Uzbekistan and Finland goes beyond traditional economic cooperation. It stands as an example of how innovation and sustainability can form the foundation of long-term, mutually beneficial relations. Joint projects in digitalization, green energy, and education are paving new avenues for the exchange of expertise, technologies, and investments.
Finland regards Uzbekistan as a reliable partner in Central Asia, while Uzbekistan views Finland as a strategic ally in advancing its “smart growth” model and building a knowledge-based economy.
The synergy between Finland’s pragmatic northern experience and Uzbekistan’s dynamic eastern development creates a powerful foundation for further strengthening bilateral relations - grounded in trust, innovation, and mutual respect.
Navruz is considered one of the ancient and widely celebrated traditional holidays, embodying values such as humanity, kindness, generosity and diligence.
This holiday holds a significant place in the culture of the peoples of Central Asia, Iran, the Caucasus, the Near East and South Asia, reflecting the continuity of centuries-old civilizational traditions.
According to historical sources, the tradition of Navruz dates back at least three thousand years. Detailed information on this subject was provided by Abu Rayhan Beruni in his work “The Remaining Signs of Past Ages” (Athar al-Baqiya).
Navruz is closely linked to the calendar systems of ancient Iranian and Turkic peoples and is celebrated during the vernal equinox. The origins of Navruz are directly connected to astronomical events: during the equinox, the Sun moves along the ecliptic and enters the sign of Aries, making day and night equal in length. Ancient peoples interpreted this natural phenomenon as the beginning of a new year. Consequently, since antiquity, Navruz has been regarded as a symbol of nature's awakening, fertility and the renewal of life.
Today, Navruz is recognized as a cultural tradition celebrated across a vast geographical area. The holiday is observed in various forms in countries such as Uzbekistan, Iran, Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Türkiye, India and Pakistan. Its shared core philosophy is centered on harmony with nature, fostering friendship between people and strengthening unity within society.
The international significance of Navruz has received special recognition. In 2009, UNESCO inscribed Navruz on the Representative List of the Intangible Cultural Heritage of Humanity. Subsequently, the United Nations General Assembly proclaimed March 21 as International Nowruz Day, highlighting the holiday's role in strengthening cultural ties and mutual respect among nations.
The traditional festive table (dasturkhon) plays a central role in Navruz ceremonies. Various dishes prepared from spring bounties, including Uzbek national specialties such as kuk somsa (green somsa), kuk chuchvara (herb dumplings), halim and sumalak, are considered symbolic elements of the holiday. In particular, ceremony of preparing sumalak represents a centuries-old communal tradition. Made from wheat sprouts, this dish is interpreted as a symbol of abundance and prosperity.
Historical sources record that ceremonies associated with sumalak were held in the form of ancient communal festivities. Some researchers note that these traditions continued through the Middle Ages. In particular, historical records from the Timurid era contain information about spring festivals and public celebrations. These ceremonies were often organized in open fields, gardens, or city centers, featuring various traditional folk games.
Another ancient tradition associated with Navruz is the spring festival. Events such as the Tulip Festival (Lola Sayli) or the Red Flower Festival (Guli Surkh Sayli) are dedicated to celebrating the awakening of nature. These festivities were primarily held in mountain and foothill regions, evolving as ceremonies linked to the blooming of spring flowers.
Cultural scholars explain the significance of Navruz in society through several key aspects. First and foremost, it ensures the continuity of centuries-old traditions and values. Secondly, the holiday strengthens social virtues such as collectivism, generosity, and tolerance. Thirdly, Navruz serves as an important platform for promoting cultural dialogue and mutual understanding among diverse peoples.
From this perspective, Navruz is regarded not only as a spring holiday but as a unique cultural phenomenon shaped throughout the history of human civilization. Its ancient customs, ceremonies and symbolic meaning continue to play a vital role today in strengthening social harmony, preserving historical heritage, and passing it on to future generations.
Dunyo IA
An analysis of nighttime satellite illumination data indicates a strengthening of economic activity across regions and an expansion in the number of territories exhibiting urban-type development.
The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) applied satellite-based nighttime lights (NTL) data to assess economic activity at the level of regions and cities in Uzbekistan.
The analysis shows that higher light intensity corresponds to higher levels of economic activity and more advanced urban infrastructure.
CERR’s findings demonstrate a high degree of consistency between satellite-based indicators and official statistics. In particular, according to estimates based on NASA nighttime lights data, nominal GDP per capita in Uzbekistan grew by 80.3% in 2020–2025, corresponding to an average annual growth rate of 15.8%, increasing from $2,090 to $3,887 over five years.
For comparison, according to official statistics, GDP per capita increased by 81.8% over the same period, with an average annual growth rate of 16.1%, rising from $2,048 to $3,881.
Economic Activity in Large and Medium-Sized Cities
According to the data, over the past five years the highest growth in gross regional product (GRP) per capita among regions was recorded in the city of Tashkent, where the indicator increased by approximately $5,000, reaching $9.3 thousand by the end of 2025 (according to official statistics — $9.2 thousand).
Estimates for 2025 also show high GRP per capita levels in a number of large and medium-sized cities. In Navoi, the NTL-based estimate reached $9.3 thousand, in Zarafshan $7.9 thousand, in Samarkand $7.2 thousand, in Kokand and Andijan $6.7 thousand each, and in Akhangaran, Yangiyul, and Bukhara ranged from $5.8 thousand to $5.2 thousand, respectively.
Relatively high growth rates of GRP per capita were also observed across several regions. In Tashkent region, the indicator increased by $1.8 thousand to reach around $4 thousand. In Navoi region, GRP per capita also grew by $1.8 thousand to approximately $4 thousand. In Fergana and Syrdarya regions, the increase amounted to $1.6 thousand, reaching about $3.5 thousand and $3.4 thousand, respectively.
Economic Activity in Small and Medium-Sized Cities
Relatively high GRP per capita levels were also recorded in a number of small and medium-sized cities. In Termez, the indicator reached $5.1 thousand, in Margilan and Chirchik around $5 thousand, and in Namangan $4.8 thousand. Economic activity levels also remain relatively high in the cities of Kagan and Urgench.
Economic Activity at the District Level
At the district level, the highest GRP per capita growth dynamics in 2020–2025 were observed in Mirabad district, where the indicator increased by $7.1 thousand, in Yakkasaray district by $6.3 thousand, and in Chilanzar district by $5.6 thousand. As a result, GRP per capita in these districts exceeded $10 thousand, which is nearly three times higher than the average across other districts and cities in the country.
Among districts, the highest growth rates of economic activity were also recorded in Karmana district (2.5-fold increase), Yashnabad and Bektemir districts (2.4-fold), as well as Sergeli, Yangi Hayot, and Mirzo Ulugbek districts (2.3-fold).
Expansion of Territories with High Economic Activity
The use of nighttime lights data also made it possible to assess urbanization processes at the district level. In particular, between 2020 and 2025, the number of territories with high nighttime light intensity (NTL above 10), characteristic of urban agglomerations, increased from 22 to 31. The average GRP per capita in these territories rose from $3.8 thousand to $7 thousand.
At the same time, over five years the number of districts with low nighttime light intensity (NTL below 1) declined from 129 to 85, confirming the transition of 44 districts toward an urban-type development model.
In these districts, NTL levels increased on average by more than 2.5 times, while GRP per capita rose from $1.7 thousand to $3.2 thousand.
Conclusion
The results confirm that satellite-based nighttime lights data can effectively complement official statistics and be used for timely assessment of regional economic activity.
This approach enables the identification of new growth points and allows for more targeted allocation of state support toward infrastructure development and investment activity in the regions.
Abdulaziz Gaybullayev, CERR
CERR Public Relations Sector
Tel.: (+998) 78 150-32-20 (417)
The capital of Uzbekistan will host the 17th Central Asian International Textile Machinery Exhibition – CAITME 2026. It will inaugurate the traditional Global Textile Days week.
CAITME is a major event for Central Asia's textile and garment industries and, according to an independent audit, the largest specialist exhibition of its kind in the CIS. The exhibition plays an important role in equipping and uprading the region's textile and garment sector, helping manufacturers increase productivity, adopt advanced technologies and strengthen their competitiveness in the international markets.
This year, the exhibition will bring together 250 companies and brands from 17 countries. Germany will be represented by its National Pavilion, while companies from Austria, India, Italy, China, Turkiye, the USA, Switzerland and other leading textile-producing countries will also take part. Registration of participants is in full swing.
As in previous years, the exhibition will feature recognised global leaders in textile machinery manufacturing and suppliers of advanced technologies from Europe and Asia, including Rieter, Uster, Novibra, SSM, Spindelfabrik Sussen, Toyota, Muratec, Truetzschler, Saurer, Picanol, Santoni, Terrot, Habasit, MHMS, Vandewiele NV, Karl Mayer, Staubli, IRO, Biancalani, Ferraro, Epson, Zimmer Austria, Mario Crosta, Itema, Lafer, Motex Di Modiano Guido, Salvade`, Simet, Dettin, Sclavos, Effe, Mahlo, Lonati, Shima Seiki, Andritz Küsters, Brückner, Carl Schmale, Sossna, Texpa, Thies, Groz-Beckert KG, Kaeser Kompressoren, Schott & Meissner, Textima, Tetas, Temsan, Lakshmi Machine Works, Lakshmi Card Clothing, Precitex, Kansai, Brazzoli, Eliar, Guven Celik, West Global, CTMTC, Hengyi, Leadsfon, Rifa, Yingyang, Baoyu, Dyestar, NF Kimya, Eksoy, Deniz Kimya and many more.
Uzbekistan is represented by leading industry players.
A highlight of the exhibition will be the innovative TextileExpo Uzbekistan Sourcing Hub Project, which will take place on September 9th. For the first time in Uzbekistan, textile manufacturers and buyers from retail chains, factories and specialist companies will be able to hold direct business-to-business negotiations in a digital format using Artificial Intelligence.
Dunyo IA
Tashkent
At the invitation of the President of the United States, Donald Trump, the President of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, will pay a working visit to Washington, D.C. on February 17–19 of this year to participate in the inaugural meeting of the Peace Council. The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) has prepared an infographic presenting key indicators of trade, economic and investment cooperation between Uzbekistan and the United States over the past 9 years.
History of visits
The President of the Republic of Uzbekistan has visited the United States several times on working visits aimed at expanding bilateral Uzbek-American cooperation, as well as participating in events organized by the United Nations. The first official visit of the Head of our State to the United States took place on May 15–17, 2018 at the invitation of the U.S. President. During the visit, negotiations were held at the White House, the U.S. Congress and the Pentagon, and agreements were signed that marked the beginning of a new stage in the development of Uzbek-American relations.
In subsequent years, dialogue between the two countries developed through bilateral meetings and regional initiatives, including the C5+1 platform.
On September 20–24, 2025, a historic visit of the President of our country to New York took place to participate in events of the юбилейной 80th session of the UN General Assembly. The central event of the visit was the meeting between the Head of our State and U.S. President Donald Trump. The leaders of the two countries agreed to further strengthen Uzbek-American strategic partnership relations and expand practical cooperation.
During his stay in the US, the President of Uzbekistan also held a roundtable with representatives of the U.S. business community, as well as negotiations with executives of a number of leading multinational companies, corporations, investment funds and financial institutions, and took part in a ceremony for the exchange of signed bilateral trade contracts and investment agreements, including in the fields of critical minerals, civil aviation, chemical industry, energy and other priority sectors.
In order to create favorable conditions for the further development of bilateral interstate relations in trade, economic and tourism spheres, by Presidential Decree dated November 3, 2025, a visa-free regime for U.S. citizens entering Uzbekistan was introduced effective January 1, 2026.
Mutual trade indicators
The two countries operate under a Most Favored Nation trade regime.
Over the period 2017–2025, trade turnover between Uzbekistan and the United States increased 4.7-fold, from $215 mln to $1 bn. Exports grew 9.1-fold, from $32.1 mln to $291.7 mln, while imports increased 3.9-fold, from $182.9 mln to $712.3 mln.
The share of the United States in Uzbekistan’s foreign trade over this period rose as follows: in total trade turnover from 0.8% to 1.2%, in exports from 0.3% to 0.9%, and in imports from 1.3% to 1.5%.
In the structure of exports to the United States, the main share is accounted for by services — 81% (programming, financial, information and transport services), as well as petroleum products — 8.6% (aviation kerosene and others). These are followed by machinery and equipment — 3.7%; food products — 3.5% (dried fruits and vegetables, spices, rice and others); industrial goods — 3.3% (aluminum bars and profiles, rhenium metal and others); miscellaneous manufactured articles — 0.9%; chemicals — 0.4%; beverages and tobacco — 0.2%; and non-food raw materials — 0.1%.
In imports from the United States, machinery and equipment dominate — 59% (aircraft, automobiles and their parts, computer units, engines, pumps, machine tools and industrial installations). A significant share is also accounted for by services — 20.5% (financial, licensing, leasing and transport services). These are followed by chemicals — 9.7% (pharmaceuticals, binding agents and cosmetic substances); industrial goods — 3.8% (plastic and ferrous metal products and others); food products — 3.2% (poultry meat and by-products); miscellaneous manufactured articles — 2.2% (devices, instruments, paper products); non-food raw materials — 1.1% (cellulose and others); as well as beverages and tobacco — 0.5%.
Investment cooperation
As of February 1, 2026, there are 346 enterprises with U.S. capital operating in Uzbekistan, which accounts for about 2% of the total number of enterprises with foreign investment. Of these, 146 are joint ventures and 200 are foreign companies with U.S. capital participation.
The volume of foreign direct investment and loans from the United States over the past nine years has increased nearly 64-fold — from $8.6 mln in 2017 to $383.2 mln in 2025.
Overall, in 2017–2025 the cumulative volume of attracted U.S. FDI and loans into Uzbekistan’s economy exceeded $2.9 bn.
Investments were directed primarily into manufacturing industries (metallurgy, production of motor vehicles, beverages and textile products), mining industry, construction, services (real estate operations, education), as well as agriculture.
CERR Public relations and media sector
On 24–25 July, 2026, the city of Samarkand will host the International Forum of Brother Cities.
The forum will serve as an important international platform for dialogue, aimed at expanding Uzbekistan’s international cooperation, strengthening partnerships between cities, and promoting public diplomacy.
The forum program includes:
According to the organizers, the International Forum of Brother Cities will provide a valuable opportunity to strengthen international partnerships, exchange best practices, and foster long-term cooperation.
Dunyo IA