The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) has prepared an infographic presenting key indicators of trade, economic and investment cooperation between Uzbekistan and Tajikistan over a nine-year period.

In recent years, economic cooperation between Uzbekistan and Tajikistan has been steadily expanding, now encompassing not only trade but also industrial cooperation across various sectors, particularly energy and agriculture.

A solid legal framework has been established to support bilateral cooperation across multiple areas. In 2018, the countries signed a Treaty on Strategic Partnership, followed by a Treaty on Allied Relations in 2024.

Tajikistan is among Uzbekistan’s key trade and economic partners, ranking 9th among importers of Uzbek goods and accounting for 2% of Uzbekistan’s total exports.

Bilateral trade between Uzbekistan and Tajikistan is conducted under a free trade regime, with total trade turnover approaching $1 bn.

Bilateral Trade Indicators

Trade turnover between Uzbekistan and Tajikistan increased 3.8 times over 2017–2025, from $237.9 mln to $912.4 mln. Exports grew 3.7 times, from $186.1 mln to $683.1 mln, while imports rose 4.4 times, from $51.8 mln to $229.3 mln. Uzbekistan’s positive trade balance expanded 3.4 times, from $134.3 mln to $453.8 mln.

In 2025, compared to 2024, trade turnover increased by 29.9%, exports by 24.1%, and imports by 13.8%.

The structure of Uzbekistan’s exports to Tajikistan in 2025 totaled $683.1 mln and included: industrial goods (various knitted and felt products, plastic products, rolled metal, etc.) – $222.7 mln (32.6%); machinery and transport equipment (including electrical goods) – $58.7 mln (8.6%); petroleum products (gasoline, gas oil, bitumen) – $53.1 mln (7.8%); chemical products (polymers, sulfates, silicates, fertilizers, paints) – $53 mln (7.8%); food products (animal feed, eggs, confectionery, processed meat products, etc.) – $48.2 mln (7.1%); miscellaneous manufactured goods (construction materials, ready-made garments, silk fabrics) – $21 mln (3.1%); non-food raw materials– $8.1 mln (1.2%); other goods (including goods traded by individuals) – $70.1 mln (10.3%); as well as services (mainly railway transport) – $147.4 mln (21.6%).

The structure of imports from Tajikistan in 2025 totaled $229.3 mln and included: metal ores and concentrates (zinc, copper and precious metals) – $108.9 mln (47.5%); coal – $22.3 mln (9.7%); aluminum – $25.4 mln (11%); electricity – $17.9 mln (7.8%); cotton fiber – $17.6 mln (7.8%); fruits – $7.4 mln (3.2%); ferrous metals – $5.1 mln (2.2%); poultry — $2.4 mln (1.1%); plastic waste – $1.8 mln (0.8%); sulfur, feldspar and others; as well as services (mainly railway transport) – $6.6 mln (2.9%).

Investment Cooperation

As of March 1, 2026, there are 420 enterprises in Uzbekistan with Tajik investment (2.2% of the total number of enterprises with foreign investment), including 110 joint ventures and 310 enterprises with 100% Tajik capital.

In 2025, compared to 2024, the volume of foreign direct investment (FDI) and loans attracted from Tajikistan tripled, increasing from $64 mln to $196 mln. Over 2017–2025, the total volume of attracted FDI and loans from Tajikistan amounted to $373 mln.

The main areas of activity of enterprises with Tajik capital include trade, construction materials production, food industry, transport and other services.

Enterprises with Uzbek investment are also successfully operating in Tajikistan. In particular, major joint projects are being implemented in the energy sector, including the construction of hydropower plants on the Zarafshan River. With the participation of private capital from Uzbekistan, the joint venture “Artel Avesto Electronics” was established in Tajikistan in 2019, producing more than 10 types of household appliances.

Prospects for Trade Expansion

Uzbekistan and Tajikistan share a common border and have well-developed transport infrastructure. Given the short delivery distances, transportation costs can be relatively low, which creates favorable conditions for expanding exports.

In this context, Tajikistan represents a promising market for increasing exports of finished products from Uzbekistan that are not produced domestically in Tajikistan and are imported. These include automobiles, household appliances—especially large-sized goods such as refrigerators, washing machines and air conditioners—as well as certain food products, textiles, chemical and other goods.

Today's events and developments in the international arena once again demonstrate the growing need for the states of the Central and South Asian regions to achieve mutual understanding, solidarity, and a common goal. In this regard, the main goal of the Termez Dialogue on Connectivity between Central and South Asia, held on May 19, 2025, on the theme "Building a Common Space of Peace, Friendship, and Prosperity," was to strengthen regional connectivity and bring cooperation to a new level. It can be said that over the past year, significant results have been achieved on the topical issues discussed during the dialogue. The next Termez Dialogue is also aimed at discussing topical issues such as strengthening cooperation between Central and South Asia, deepening interregional ties and ensuring economic growth, as well as further improving security and sustainable development.

Cultural relations. It should be noted that today the city of Termez has become an important center for ensuring peace and stability in Afghanistan and restoring its economy. It is noteworthy that in the past, Termez was a center of intercultural and religious dialogue, where Zoroastrianism, Buddhism, Christianity, and Islamic traditions emerged and developed. Eldor Aripov, Director of the Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, noted that the city, located between the Greco-Bactrian, Kushan, and other ancient states, flourished during the Timurid era and became a major center of trade, craftsmanship, and science[1]. Indeed, if we look at our history, the countries of Central Asia and the South Asian region have always developed harmoniously as a single space, closely cooperating in all areas. The works of the great thinker Abu Rayhan Beruni "India," Zahiriddin Muhammad Babur "Baburnama" and other historical sources are clear evidence of these close ties. Furthermore, the following remarks by Muhammad Sobir Turkestani, Deputy Ambassador of Afghanistan to Uzbekistan, deserve attention: "Both Uzbekistan and Afghanistan are located on the land between two rivers, which was once called Mawarannahr." There are many similarities in our cultures.  The cultural heritage of Alisher Navoi is the wealth of the peoples of Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. The remains of our ancestor Alisher Navoi are in the Herat region. All the minarets built in Herat during the reign of Sultan Husayn Bayqara stand as a single complex. Zahiriddin Muhammad Babur was buried in Kabul. In a complex called Babur's Garden. There are also large cultural museums in Afghanistan. Our antiquities are kept in our museums in Kabul, Herat, and Mazar-i-Sharif.[2]" Undoubtedly, the main goal of our efforts today is to restore these historical ties, further strengthen the bonds of friendship and brotherhood between our peoples, and ultimately raise the development of our countries to a new level. To this end, Uzbekistan has been increasingly developing ties with South Asian countries in recent years.

It should be noted that the education sector in Afghanistan has experienced a deep decline due to the long-standing unstable situation. In such a situation, it should be noted that assisting the Afghan people in obtaining education and training personnel with modern knowledge and skills is one of the most rational ways to lead Afghanistan out of the crisis. In this regard, in accordance with the Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of the Republic of Uzbekistan dated November 13, 2017, "On organizing the activities of the Educational Center for Training Afghan Citizens under the Ministry of Higher and Secondary Specialized Education of the Republic of Uzbekistan," an Educational Center for Training Afghan Citizens operates in the city of Termez, Surkhandarya region. During the 2018-2019 academic year, 96 students studied at the Center in the "Uzbek Language and Literature" direction, all of whom received a bachelor's degree from the Alisher Navoi Tashkent State University of Uzbek Language and Literature.

Economic relations. It should be noted that the impossibility of achieving any positive results with weapons and troops in establishing peace and stability on Afghan soil was once again confirmed by the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan in 2021. From this perspective, today Uzbekistan's economic ties with Afghanistan serve as one of the important factors in establishing peace and economic recovery in the country.

According to estimates by the Statistics Agency of Uzbekistan, mutual trade turnover amounted to $653 million in 2021, $688.8 million in 2022, $784.1 million in 2023, and $999.9 million in January-November 2024[3]. Over the past five years, trade turnover has increased 2.5 times, reaching $1.68 billion in 2025, while Uzbekistan's exports amounted to approximately $1.5 billion. The parties set a new medium-term goal to increase the volume of trade to $5 billion. Therefore, today Uzbekistan is becoming one of the key investors in Afghanistan. Specifically, according to a $1 billion agreement signed between Uzbekistan and Afghanistan, Uzbekistan will participate in the development of the Tuti Maidan gas field in the Jauzjan and Faryab regions for 10 years. The Termez International Trade Center, established in the Surkhandarya region, plays a very important role in implementing such trade and economic instruments. This shopping center is the first trade zone in Central Asia serving various entrepreneurs, especially Afghan entrepreneurs, who cooperate with Afghanistan. The shopping center features permanent exhibitions and fairs, an Uzbek-Afghan business school, a medical clinic for the treatment and provision of medical care to patients who are citizens of Afghanistan, a hotel, enterprises specializing in the production of precious metal jewelry, a multi-currency system, and other conditions that allow entrepreneurs to trade freely.

According to analytical data, 60% of Uzbekistan's total international traffic passes through the transit routes of Central Asian countries and Afghanistan. Uzbekistan's access to seaports through Afghanistan is 2-3 times shorter than the ports with access to the Black and Baltic Seas, and 5 times shorter than the route to Pacific ports[4]. According to economic analysts, the cost of delivering one container from Central Asia to South Asia through Afghanistan to seaports will decrease from $900 to $286. In addition, transportation time will be reduced from 35 days to 3-5 days. At the same time, export potential will also increase sharply. Improving transport and infrastructure communications and attracting international transit carriers to Central Asia is one of the most important tasks uniting the countries of the region. Its resolution is determined by the need to improve the socio-economic situation in the region.

In conclusion, it should be noted that this prestigious international conference will contribute to the further expansion of ties between our regions, the opening of new horizons for cooperation, and our confident progress on the path of peace and development.

Furthermore, the Termez Dialogue, as a platform for strengthening interregional connectivity and restoring common historical, cultural, and civilizational ties, opens opportunities for the development of new international transport and logistics corridors through Afghanistan. In the current difficult conditions of growing mutual trust and conflict of interests, such a format of cooperation as the Termez Dialogue is of great importance.

[1] Eldor Aripov: "Termiz muloqoti Markaziy va Janubiy Osiyo o‘rtasidagi o‘zaro bog‘liqlikni mustahkamlashda muhim ahamiyatga ega". (21.05.2025), https://daryo.uz/2025/05/21/eldor-aripov-termiz-muloqoti-markaziy-va-janubiy-osiyo-ortasidagi-ozaro-bogliqlikni-mustahkamlashda-muhim-ahamiyatga-ega

[2] Afg‘onistonda O‘zbekistonga aloqador madaniy boyliklar kam emas. (07.11.2023). https://xabar.uz/uz/madaniyat/afgonistonda-ozbekistonga-aloqador-madaniy-boyliklar-kam-emas

[3] O‘zbekiston Respublikasi Tashqi savdo aylanmasi. 2024-yil yanvar-noyabr oylari uchun dastlabki ma’lumot // O‘zbekiston Respublikasi huzuridagi Statistika agentligi. – B.4.

[4] Akmalov Sh. O‘zbekiston va Afg‘oniston: o‘tmishdan hozirgacha. Monografiya. – T.: “Zamon poligraf”, 2023. – B. 70.

The Fifth Tashkent International Investment Forum will take place on June 16–19, 2026. This year’s theme – “Investment Resilience: New Frontiers, New Partnerships” – frames the agenda around a set of pressing questions: how to protect capital amid global uncertainty, what institutional mechanisms enhance investment resilience in frontier markets, and where the new partnership routes lie.

The forum’s context is set by macroeconomic results. According to the National Statistics Committee, Uzbekistan’s GDP grew by 7.7% in 2025 and exceeded $147 billion – the fastest pace since 2021 and among the highest in the Europe and Central Asia region. Fitch Ratings and S&P Global upgraded the country’s sovereign rating from BB– to BB for the first time, while Moody’s revised its outlook to “positive.” International reserves, per the Central Bank, surpass $77 billion. Exports rose 24% to $33.8 billion. Foreign direct investment increased by 46.9%, with FDI accounting for 40.5% of total capital investment. For an economy that attracted only $4 billion in annual foreign investment in 2017, the surge to $42 billion by 2025 represents a fundamentally different scale of growth. This tenfold increase over eight years underscores a profound transformation in the nation's investment landscape.

The forum is scaling alongside the economy. Last year’s TIIF drew over 8,000 participants, including some 3,000 international delegates from 97 countries. Guests included Bulgarian President Rumen Radev, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico, heads of government from all Central Asian states, EBRD President Odile Renaud-Basso, and New Development Bank President Dilma Rousseff. The aggregate value of signed investment contracts and trade agreements reached $30.5 billion. Yet what best speaks to the platform’s maturity is not the number of signings but the conversion rate – the share of agreements that translate into operating assets is increasingly the metric that matters to returning investors.

The centrepiece of this year’s forum will be the Tashkent International Financial Centre (TIFC), established by presidential decree in March 2026. Behind the headline sits a specific institutional architecture: a special legal regime based on common-law principles, a dedicated financial services regulator, an arbitration centre (TIAC), and tax exemptions through 2076. TIFC is part of a global trend toward specialised financial hubs that offer international market participants a familiar legal environment and regulatory predictability. Its defining feature is integration within the country’s legal framework: the centre operates under a special legal regime rather than creating a separate jurisdiction, reducing regulatory fragmentation and simplifying engagement with the domestic economy. A panel session featuring leaders of major global financial centres and international investors operating in Uzbekistan will address the central question: what are the practical conditions under which TIFC can attract international market participants.

The TIIF 2026 programme is structured around four thematic pillars: investment resilience and capital protection mechanisms, financial infrastructure and capital market development, trade connectivity and logistics corridors, and energy transition and climate finance. Key sessions include a discussion of the regulatory framework for alternative investment funds (a legal basis for private equity and venture capital being adopted for the first time), a panel on the Middle Corridor and trans-Caspian logistics, a session on sovereign ratings across Central Asia, and a practitioner-led workshop on blended finance instruments in frontier markets. A dedicated arbitration and dispute resolution track features two panel sessions co-organised with the Tashkent International Arbitration Centre (TIAC), the British-Uzbek Legal Association (BrULA), and the British Embassy. Topics range from the institutional design of Uzbekistan’s arbitration ecosystem – including the innovative Dispute Avoidance Protocol (DAP) – to the country’s positioning within the global investment protection architecture: ISDS frameworks, bilateral investment treaty reform, and New York Convention enforcement.

The energy agenda warrants particular attention. Uzbekistan has set an ambitious target of raising the share of renewables in electricity generation to 54% by 2030. Currently, the country operates solar and wind facilities with a combined installed capacity exceeding 4 GW, with a project pipeline envisaging an additional 19 GW of green capacity. Alongside this, the public-private partnership mechanism continues to develop: as of early 2025, PPP agreements worth approximately $28 billion had been signed in the country. For investors, this represents a large, structured market with standardised PPA contracts and a clear entry mechanism – a subject that will be examined in detail during the forum’s energy panel.

TIIF 2026 retains its bilateral business forum format, reflecting the expanding geography of Uzbekistan’s economic partnerships. Confirmed platforms include business forums with the Republic of Korea, the United States, Croatia, Hungary, Turkey, and Albania, as well as a China–SCO countries investment dialogue; the lineup continues to grow as the event approaches. The plenary session featuring heads of state and government will set the tone for the business programme. Running in parallel is an exhibition of industrial and investment potential spanning approximately 6,000 sq m – in 2025, a comparable facility facilitated over 500 B2B and B2G meetings for 100 participating companies.

At the same time, the forum agenda implicitly flags unresolved challenges. The corporate governance session raises the question of transitioning from concentrated to dispersed ownership – a process without which the stock market will remain illiquid. The discussion of privatisation and state asset IPOs calls for a candid conversation about pacing and institutional quality. The responsible business conduct panel, anchored in OECD standards, recognises that tax incentives alone are insufficient for accessing institutional capital – what is needed is verifiable supply chain transparency and functioning National Contact Point mechanisms.

The business programme is complemented by networking formats: an FIC and EY business breakfast on digitalisation and AI, the annual SQB Investor Day, an ESG Award ceremony, and the European Business Evening. The informal component – an invitational tennis tournament, TIIF Open, and an evening run – is designed for delegates who prefer to build relationships beyond the conference hall. The anniversary evening concludes with a collaboration with the Stihia electronic music festival – a detail that captures the tone in which Uzbekistan presents itself to an international audience.

For Uzbekistan, TIIF has long ceased to be a showcase. It is a working instrument of investment policy, whose effectiveness is measured not by the number of signing ceremonies but by the volume of capital that actually enters the economy between forums. The fifth, anniversary edition takes place at a moment when the country is simultaneously launching an international financial centre, adopting an alternative investment funds law, and receiving a sovereign rating upgrade – a convergence that creates a window of opportunity for investors prepared to operate in frontier markets with a growing institutional base.

Navruz is greeted with special enthusiasm throughout the country. On March 20, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev visited Rohat mahalla in Bektemir district, where he took part in festive events.

The mahalla, specializing in services and trade, is home to 4,000 people. Under the new employment system, the mahalla's internal reserves are actively used with the participation of banks. Last year, about 100 residents got jobs, 256 people became self-employed, and 13 people started entrepreneurial activities. Two manufacturing enterprises and dozens of trade and consumer service outlets create convenience for residents.

The Head of State reviewed the activities of these enterprises.

The mahalla has landscaped streets, well-maintained houses, educational and medical institutions, sports grounds, training centers, an amphitheater, crafts and library and information centers. The center for the elderly is especially lively now.

The President took part in the Sumalak celebration and had a warm talk with residents of the mahalla and representatives of the older generation. During the conversation, plans for the current year were discussed, including ensuring peace and stability, supporting entrepreneurship and creating new jobs.

– I am glad to see your mahalla so well-maintained and people in a good mood. Over time, we will expand opportunities in all districts. The most important thing is to maintain peace and unity. Remember what the situation was on our borders before? We solve all issues in a balanced manner, with political will. Thanks to the organization of work on the ground, we see the real picture in 10 thousand mahallas. Through the "mahalla seven" system, assistance reaches every home. We still have a lot of work to do in terms of increasing the population's income, reducing poverty and youth policy. This is why we are paying more attention to education, especially to the education of girls. A society where young people are educated and spiritually developed will definitely achieve prosperity, - emphasized Shavkat Mirziyoyev.

In the Rohat mahalla, young residents receive a quality education in a comprehensive school, a children's music and art school, the “Barkamol Avlod” center and an academic lyceum. The construction of a new preschool institution was recently completed, which will open up new opportunities for the early development of children.

Today, global demand for water resources is steadily increasing. In this context, the rational use of shared water resources in Central Asia is one of the key factors in ensuring regional security, stability, and sustainable development.

The constructive proposals and practical initiatives put forward by the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, aimed at addressing global environmental challenges—particularly water security—are widely supported by countries across the region. In this regard, the introduction of modern irrigation technologies is considered the most effective solution for improving water-use efficiency in agriculture. These technologies not only help conserve water but also reduce costs related to fertilizers, fuel, and labor, while increasing agricultural productivity.

From the early stages of reforms in New Uzbekistan, enhancing the culture of water use has been elevated to the level of state policy. The “Uzbekistan–2030” Development Strategy identifies the widespread introduction of water-saving technologies across all irrigated lands as a top priority.

In his Address to the Oliy Majlis and the people of Uzbekistan, the President emphasized the importance of this issue, noting that a total of 3.3 trillion UZS will be allocated in 2026 for the implementation of water-saving technologies (approximately $275 million).

Analysis shows that since 2019, the state support mechanism—including subsidies for the adoption of water-saving technologies—has proven effective and has significantly encouraged clusters and farmers.

As a result, between 2019 and 2025:

• drip irrigation was introduced on 664,000 hectares,
• sprinkler irrigation on 124,000 hectares,
• other modern irrigation methods on 73,000 hectares,
• water-saving irrigation using flexible pipes and film-lined furrows on 124,000 hectares,
• and 1.6 million hectares were laser-leveled.

As a specialist in this field, I can confidently say that water-saving irrigation methods—particularly drip and sprinkler systems—are becoming increasingly popular among farmers.

On February 3 of this year, a presentation was held before the President focusing on improving water efficiency and expanding the use of water-saving technologies. Additional measures to scale up these efforts were discussed.

In particular, by 2028 it is planned to introduce water-saving technologies on an additional 930,000 hectares, increasing the total coverage to 3.5 million hectares, or approximately 80% of all irrigated land.

The adoption of these technologies will ensure more reliable water supply, especially for regions facing water scarcity. Reforms aimed at strengthening state support in this area are being consistently advanced.

In accordance with the Presidential Resolution dated February 5, 2026, new incentive mechanisms are being introduced for agricultural producers.

Specifically:

• the target is to expand water-saving technologies to 3.5 million hectares by 2028;
• drip irrigation will be introduced on 220,000 hectares,
• sprinkler irrigation on 110,000 hectares,
• and laser land leveling will be carried out on 600,000 hectares.

In 2026, commercial banks will allocate 2.6 trillion UZS in loans, while 800 billion UZS will be provided as subsidies.

A system for continuous professional development based on the experience of Xinjiang (China) will also be introduced.

Starting from 2027:

• water-use tax rates and subsidies will be differentiated based on water availability;
• a 1.25 coefficient will be applied for subsidies in water-scarce regions;
• and a doubled tax rate will apply where water-saving technologies are not implemented despite stable water supply.

From April 1, 2026, the use of traditional irrigation methods on subsidized lands where water-saving technologies have already been introduced will be considered unauthorized water use and will result in financial penalties.

In Uzbekistan, human capital development remains a priority. Under the “School of Water Specialists” initiative, 10,000 agricultural workers will be trained this year, and 358 specialists will undergo training abroad.

In addition, starting from the 2026/2027 academic year, higher education institutions will enhance training programs in this field, incorporating international best practices.

In conclusion, efforts to ensure the rational use of water resources, expand the adoption of water-saving technologies, and deepen sectoral reforms are reaching a new level.

Today, the time has come to elevate water conservation into a true nationwide value.

Dauranbek Kdirbaev,
Ministry of Water Resources

Head of the Department for the Implementation

Climate change, diminishing water resources, biodiversity loss and transboundary environmental challenges in Central Asia require closer cooperation among the countries of the region. In this context, environmental cooperation between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan has developed steadily in recent years and is entering a qualitatively new stage.

The legal foundation for bilateral environmental cooperation was established by the Intergovernmental Agreement on Cooperation in the Field of Environmental Protection and the Rational Use of Natural Resources, signed on 24 December 1996. Building on this framework, the relevant ministries and agencies of both countries have maintained regular dialogue. Specialists from Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan actively participate in environmental forums, international conferences, scientific seminars, and training programmes, exchanging knowledge and best practices on current environmental issues.

It is noteworthy that cooperation between the two countries intensified significantly during the period 2022–2025. In 2022, representatives of Uzbekistan participated in the Seventh Steering Committee Meeting of the Global Snow Leopard and Ecosystem Protection Program (GSLEP), held in Bishkek. In 2023, a regional seminar on combating illegal wildlife trade became an important platform for enhancing the professional capacity of specialists from both countries. In 2024, cooperation continued through a training seminar dedicated to the preparation of Biennial Transparency Reports under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

On 19 July 2024, a Memorandum on the Allocation of Grant-Based Study Places at Green University was signed with the Ministry of Natural Resources, Ecology and Technical Supervision of the Kyrgyz Republic. The memorandum contributes to the development of a new model for training highly qualified environmental professionals. In addition, in December 2024, Green University, in cooperation with the Embassy of the Kyrgyz Republic, organized an event marking the International Mountain Day, representing an important step toward strengthening environmental diplomacy and scientific cooperation.

Environmental challenges do not recognize national borders. For this reason, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan actively cooperate through a number of regional and international initiatives. In 2019, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan signed a Memorandum on the Management of the UNESCO Transboundary World Natural Heritage Site "Western Tien-Shan." This document became an important mechanism for preserving the region's unique mountain ecosystems. In 2021, the parties also signed a Memorandum of Understanding on the Conservation of the Snow Leopard, Its Prey Species, and Their Habitats in the Western Tien-Shan and Pamir-Alai Mountains.

In addition, the two countries cooperate actively within the frameworks of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), the International Fund for Saving the Aral Sea (IFAS), GSLEP and other international platforms. In 2023, the Central Asian countries prepared a joint climate statement during COP28. In 2024, ministers responsible for environmental affairs from across the region participated in the opening ceremony of Green University. In 2025, the delegation of Uzbekistan actively participated in the Ninth Steering Committee Meeting of GSLEP, held in Cholpon-Ata.

Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan are also implementing joint projects with a number of leading international organizations. These include cooperation with Fauna & Flora International (FFI) to combat illegal wildlife trade, participation in the Green Central Asia programme implemented by GIZ, initiatives on climate risk management and integrated land resources management, as well as projects of the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) aimed at strengthening landscape resilience to zoonotic diseases. These initiatives contribute to improving environmental governance across the region, enhancing scientific capacity, and promoting the adoption of modern environmental technologies.

Today, the two countries face a number of new priorities for cooperation.

First, involving the Kyrgyz Republic in the activities of the existing Uzbekistan–Kazakhstan Joint Working Group on Water Quality in the Syr Darya Basin and Environmental Protection would contribute to more effective management of transboundary water resources.

Second, strengthening dialogue on the joint management of protected natural areas within the Western Tien-Shan would help conserve biodiversity, protect wildlife migration corridors and expand scientific cooperation and information exchange.

Third, promoting the development of a Regional Environmental Performance Review for the countries of Central Asia, with the support of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE), would establish a unified regional mechanism for assessing the effectiveness of environmental policies. Equally important is the expansion of joint scientific research on ecology, water resources, glacier monitoring, high-mountain snow cover, and biodiversity, with particular emphasis on strengthening transboundary environmental security.

Today, environmental cooperation between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan is evolving into a strategic partnership. Joint initiatives in the areas of climate action, water security, biodiversity conservation, the green economy, and scientific innovation are of great importance not only for the two countries but also for strengthening the environmental sustainability of Central Asia as a whole.

There is every reason to believe that further expansion of scientific cooperation, stronger transboundary environmental monitoring, broader international partnerships, and the continued development of environmental diplomacy will elevate the strategic partnership between the Republic of Uzbekistan and the Kyrgyz Republic to a new level, contributing to sustainable development across the region.

In recent years, cooperation between Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan in the field of information and communication technologies (ICT) has expanded steadily, acquiring strategic significance. This partnership not only strengthens economic ties between the two nations but also serves as a foundation for the formation of a unified digital space across Central Asia.

A Robust Legal Framework

The legal foundations of bilateral cooperation were established in the early years of independence and have been progressively refined since. Agreements and memoranda concluded in the areas of electrical and postal communications, cross-border telecommunications services, radio frequency coordination, and space research have created a solid basis for bilateral relations. Notably, a new agreement on radio frequency usage signed in 2025 is contributing to the harmonised development of shared digital infrastructure.

Digital Economy: Growth and Investment

Cooperation in the digital economy has intensified considerably in recent years. The number of IT Park residents with Kazakhstani capital has reached 67, with export services valued at USD 2.8 million rendered in 2025 and 755 new jobs created. The number of companies exporting services to the Kazakhstani market has reached 155, with total export volume amounting to USD 17.6 million and a combined workforce of 4,600 employees — a clear indicator of growing mutual trust and an increasingly favourable business environment.

The Central Asian Innovation Hubs platform, established through the cooperation of the region's leading technology parks, has elevated the regional startup ecosystem to a new level, enabling hundreds of startups to access international markets.

Startups and Global Integration

Special attention is being devoted to startup support within the framework of bilateral cooperation. Both countries' startups are actively participating in such prestigious events as ICT Week Uzbekistan and GITEX Global. Kazakhstani and Uzbekistani startups have attracted new investment through participation in international acceleration programmes held in the United States, the UAE, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Forty startups participated in the Draper University, AlchemistX, and Silicon Valley Residency programmes.

One hundred startups under the Central Asian Innovation Hubs umbrella participated in major international conferences, including the AI Forum in Kazakhstan, Eurasia Technology Week in Turkey, Machines Can See Summit in the UAE, GITEX in Germany, and London Tech Week in the United Kingdom.

More than 20 companies with Uzbek capital are currently operating among Astana Hub residents, including Oson, Billz, Sales Doctor, IT Academy for Engineers, Verifix, Smartup, Iman, Uysot, Smartcast, Tezbor, Platma, and BITO.

The opening of the Khan Tengri Innovation Hub in Shanghai has broadened market entry opportunities for regional startups in China.

On 3 October 2025, the Kazakhstan Market Entry global acceleration programme was launched during the Digital Bridge 2025 international conference, with 10 startups from the Republic of Uzbekistan presenting their projects on stage. The programme is being conducted in partnership with Astana Hub as an exchange initiative, under which 10 Kazakhstani startups are actively developing their products in the Uzbekistani market through the Digital Startup Awards acceleration programme.

The Digital Startup Awards — one of the region's most prominent initiatives with a total prize fund of USD 1 million — brought together startups from Central Eurasia, including Kazakhstan and other regional markets, through its incubation, acceleration, and Best Startup Project competition components. Upon completion of the programme, 14 startups successfully completed the acceleration track and 15 completed incubations. Based on results achieved and expansion potential, IT Park Ventures invested up to USD 50,000 per startup in SAFE format for acceleration participants, and up to USD 10,000 for incubation participants on the same terms.

Telecommunications: Strengthening Interconnectivity

In the field of telecommunications, direct communication channels have been established between major operators of both countries, enabling the efficient exchange of international telephone and internet traffic. Operators including Uzbektelecom JSC, Kazakhtelecom JSC, Jusan Mobile JSC, TransTeleKom JSC, and TNS-Plus LLC are facilitating the exchange of international direct and transit telephone and telegraph traffic. Additionally, a system for sharing data on the IMEI codes of mobile devices is being introduced between the two states — a significant measure in ensuring information security and combating the circulation of unauthorised devices.

Artificial Intelligence: Forward-Looking Cooperation

Cooperation in the field of artificial intelligence is progressing consistently. Scientific and research ties have been established with the Institute of Artificial Intelligence at Nazarbayev University in Kazakhstan. Specialists from both countries are engaged in joint work on personnel training, the development of research laboratories, and the creation of innovative solutions.

Digital Government: Cross-Border Collaboration

On 17 December 2025, agreements were reached to launch a pilot project on tourism data exchange, building on Memoranda of Understanding signed between the UN ESCAP and both the Republic of Uzbekistan and the Republic of Kazakhstan.

On 13 March 2026, a meeting held at the Digital Government Project Management Centre between UN ESCAP, Korea's National Information Society Agency (NIA), and Kazakhstan's NITEC JSC announced the successful completion of the first phase of the project. During this phase, the legal and technical frameworks for cross-border data exchange among Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and Korea were developed, and data-driven analyses were prepared demonstrating their value in decision-making processes. Results pertaining to the activities and consumer behaviour patterns of Korean tourists in Uzbekistan proved particularly significant.

Upon the successful completion of subsequent phases, the project envisions expanding data exchange to other priority sectors and establishing a unified intergovernmental data-sharing platform among Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and the Republic of Korea — an initiative that will drive the development of cross-border digital cooperation and enhance the efficiency of both public and commercial services.

Information Security and Infrastructure

Efforts are under way within the framework of cooperation memoranda to develop e-government systems, digital platforms, and public data management systems. The transition of digital television broadcasting to enable the rollout of 4G and 5G networks in the 700 MHz band is being implemented in a coordinated manner across Central Asia.

ICT cooperation between Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan today carries strategic importance not only for both nations, but for the entire Central Asian region. Joint initiatives in digital economy, the startup ecosystem, artificial intelligence, and telecommunications are accelerating innovation-driven development across the region. This partnership will undoubtedly serve as a key driver in the formation of a unified digital space and the enhancement of global competitiveness.

Ahead of the upcoming “Central Asia–Republic of Korea” Summit, which will be held for the first time in a Heads-of-State format in the coming days, Bekzod Normatov, Leading Research Fellow at the Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan (ISRS), noted in a commentary for Dunyo that the new format opens up opportunities to take regional cooperation to a qualitatively new level.

According to his assessment, of particular significance are the development of technological partnership, localization of manufacturing, deep processing of raw materials, implementation of regional projects and the training of engineering personnel.

The inaugural “Central Asia – Republic of Korea” Summit should be viewed as a significant milestone in the institutionalization of relations between the region and one of its most technologically advanced and proven partners.

To date, a multi-level system of contacts encompassing political, economic, parliamentary, business and humanitarian spheres has been established. In particular, “Republic of Korea – Central Asia” Cooperation Forum was established in 2007, followed by the creation of the Permanent Secretariat of the Forum in 2017. The Economic Council has been operational since 2020, the meeting format for parliamentary speakers was established in 2023 and the inaugural Think Tank Forum was convened in 2024.

The very fact of transitioning from long-standing cooperation at the ministerial level to the format of heads of state demonstrates that former mechanisms no longer fully correspond to the scale of accumulated interaction and new objectives. South Korean side also directly attributes the summit to the growing strategic significance of Central Asia and the intention to elevate cooperation to a new level in the spheres of trade, investment, energy, critical minerals and supply chain resilience.

“In my view, it is of fundamental importance that today the objective interests of the two sides are becoming increasingly complementary. The Republic of Korea has advanced technologies, capital and expertise, while Central Asia offers significant resource potential, expanding markets and opportunities for access to new high-tech markets”, expert noted.

The expert emphasized that cooperation in critical minerals could become one of the most promising areas. The region possesses substantial reserves of critical minerals, while the Republic of Korea has advanced technologies for their processing and industrial application.

Establishment of a regular mechanism for meetings of the ministers of industry within the “C5+K” format is already under discussion, while bilateral efforts with Uzbekistan focus particularly on artificial intelligence in industry, investments and concrete projects.

At the same time, the expert believes that it is crucial here not to reduce the new format predominantly to the supply of raw materials from Central Asia to South Korea. For the states of the region, a model where cooperation encompasses the entire production chain – from geological exploration and extraction to the deep processing of raw materials and the manufacturing of components and finished goods – would be far more promising.

Localization of manufacturing, technology transfer, training of engineers, and joint entry into third markets are capable of making this partnership long-term and truly mutually beneficial.

Second important emphasis is the regional nature of the projects. Today, practically all Central Asian nations are interested in industrial modernization, the development of transport connectivity, digitalization, as well as increasing water and energy efficiency. Therefore, it is preferable to utilize the “Central Asia – Korea” format not merely as the sum of five bilateral tracks, but as a mechanism for implementing projects that unite multiple states of the region. This could pertain to cross-border production chains, digital logistics, energy infrastructure, water-saving technologies and personnel training.

Technological partnership appears to be an exceptionally promising direction. Korea possesses strong competencies in electronics, automotive manufacturing, battery technologies, artificial intelligence, power engineering, medicine, water resource management and the digitalization of industry.

Central Asia, for its part, offers a growing market, a favourable demographic profile, significant resource potential and an increasingly developed industrial base. The combination of these advantages can forge a completely new quality of economic cooperation.

ISRS expert specifically highlighted the issue of resilience. The current international situation demonstrates how vulnerable global transport, energy, and production chains have become. Therefore, Central Asia is interested not merely in attracting investment, but in creating its own internal capacities – alternative routes, localized manufacturing, technological competencies, and qualified personnel. The Republic of Korea could become one of the key partners in fostering such resilience.

In practical terms, expert notes that it would be advisable to focus on several key areas: formulating a joint portfolio of projects for the deep processing of critical minerals; establishing a mechanism for the preparation and financing of regional projects; developing cooperation in the field of artificial intelligence and the digitalization of industry; launching joint programs on water-saving technologies and significantly expanding the training of engineering and technical personnel.

In this sense, the primary outcome of the upcoming summit should be measured not by the number of signed documents, but by whether it succeeds in transitioning relations from predominantly trade and investment toward joint manufacturing, technology, and human capital.

For Uzbekistan, this format holds particular significance. Our relations with the Republic of Korea already bear the character of a special strategic partnership and possess a substantial practical foundation. Therefore, Tashkent can act as one of the initiators to ensure that successful bilateral experience gradually acquires a regional dimension.

Ultimately, the promising formula for cooperation appears quite clear: the resources, markets and strategic geographic position of Central Asia, combined with the technology, capital and expertise of the Republic of Korea, should be transformed into high-value-added products jointly produced within our region.

“Such an approach will make it possible to infuse the “Central Asia – Republic of Korea” format with concrete substance and enhance its practical returns for the nations of the region”, the expert concluded.

Dunyo IA

Uzbekistan and Serbia are exploring new avenues for cooperation in environmental protection, sustainable natural resource management, biodiversity conservation and environmental education.

As an important step in advancing environmental dialogue, the participation of a delegation from the Republic of Serbia, led by Minister of Environmental Protection Sara Pavkov, in the 8th Assembly of the Global Environment Facility, held in Samarkand from May 30 to June 5, 2026, as well as in the international exhibition “Eco Expo Central Asia 2026,” held on June 2–4, can be highlighted. In particular, the Serbian side participated in the high-level plenary session on “Green Investments and Innovations” held as part of the exhibition.

One promising area of cooperation is the exchange of experience in forestry and sustainable forest management. Serbia has considerable practical expertise in managing forest resources and developing public–private partnerships. Between 2008 and 2023, the share of forested land in the country increased from 25% to 37%. Of Serbia’s forests, 53% are state-owned, while the remaining 47% are privately owned.

Cooperation in biodiversity conservation and the protection of natural ecosystems is another area of particular importance. Serbia has granted protected status to 460 natural sites, including five national parks, 17 nature parks, 20 protected landscapes, 68 nature reserves, 309 natural monuments and three protected habitats. Studying this experience is of practical interest for the further development and improvement of approaches to the conservation of natural areas and biodiversity in Uzbekistan.

Environmental education and scientific and academic cooperation represent another promising avenue for partnership. In particular, there is potential to expand cooperation between Serbia’s leading universities and the Central Asian University of Environmental and Climate Change Studies, Green University. Such initiatives could include joint academic programmes, scientific research, student and faculty exchanges, as well as the implementation of collaborative projects in the fields of climate change, biodiversity and sustainable development.

Serbian universities, including the University of Belgrade and the University of Novi Sad, have significant capacity in environmental sciences and are recognised among the world’s leading universities in relevant fields. This creates favourable opportunities for strengthening academic and research partnerships.

Eco Expo Central Asia 2027 could also serve as an important platform for further strengthening the environmental dialogue. The exhibition is scheduled to take place in June 2027 in Tashkent, alongside the Tashkent International Investment Forum, which will focus on “Sustainable Development and Green Investment”.

The Serbian side is invited to take an active part in the exhibition, which has already established itself as one of Central Asia’s leading environmental platforms. The successful organisation of Eco Expo Central Asia in Tashkent in 2025 and in Samarkand in 2026 demonstrated the strong interest of the international community in the region’s environmental initiatives.

The development of cooperation between Uzbekistan and Serbia in these areas will help expand the exchange of advanced practices, promote joint environmental and investment projects, strengthen scientific and educational ties and create new opportunities for advancing the principles of sustainable development and “green” economy.

Mahmud Khaydarov,

Chief Specialist of the Department of International Cooperation, Grants and Rankings of the National Committee on Ecology and Climate Change

In December 2025, the President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev will pay an official visit to Japan and take part in the high-level Central Asia + Japan Dialogue summit.

Since the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two states on 26 January 1992, the development of Uzbek–Japanese cooperation has been one of the key priorities of Uzbekistan’s foreign policy in the Asia-Pacific region. Based on mutual respect and trust, Tashkent and Tokyo are today building dynamic, multi-tiered cooperation covering politics, security, the economy, investment, innovation, education, culture, tourism, and interaction within regional formats.

Japan has traditionally been a key strategic partner in modernizing industrial and energy infrastructure, advancing digital transformation, promoting sustainable development, and supporting progress in education, science, culture, and humanitarian exchange.

Bilateral cooperation between Uzbekistan and Japan is rich and dynamic. A turning point in the development of the dialogue was President Shavkat Mirziyoyev’s official visit to Japan in December 2019, which gave a powerful impetus to the implementation of major joint economic, investment, and humanitarian projects and defined the long-term trajectory of bilateral engagement.

On the international stage, Uzbekistan and Japan interact effectively within international organizations and support each other’s positions. Over the years, Uzbekistan has supported Japan’s candidacy to UN bodies more than 40 times, while Tokyo has co-sponsored a number of UN General Assembly resolutions initiated by Uzbekistan, including resolutions on the Central Asian Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone, education and religious tolerance, youth support, and the role of parliaments in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals.

The strategic nature of bilateral relations is also reflected in inter-parliamentary cooperation. Friendship groups operate within both national parliaments, regular meetings of the Uzbekistan–Japan Inter-Parliamentary Forum are held, mutual visits take place, and online consultations and negotiations are conducted.

Cooperation between the foreign ministries is likewise intensive. Since 2002, 19 rounds of political consultations have been held between the foreign ministries of the two countries.

A significant milestone in this regard was the first Strategic Dialogue between the Foreign Ministers of Uzbekistan and Japan, held on 25 August 2025 in Tashkent. This new format underscored the long-term nature of bilateral engagement and the readiness of both sides to expand mutually beneficial cooperation across all areas.

Regular contacts, telephone conversations, meetings on international platforms, and reciprocal visits by foreign ministers help coordinate positions on bilateral and multilateral issues and further intensify cooperation in other areas.

Honorary consuls of Uzbekistan in Japan also play an important role in promoting interstate cooperation, actively contributing to the advancement of economic and cultural initiatives.

Economic cooperation between Uzbekistan and Japan is developing dynamically and encompasses industry, energy, communications, infrastructure, innovation, transport, and the “green economy.” Trade between the two countries is conducted under the most-favored-nation regime, which has contributed to steady growth in bilateral trade turnover.

In 2024, the Uzbek–Japanese Trade House opened in Nagoya, demonstrating Japan’s growing interest in expanding trade ties with Uzbekistan.

Joint meetings of the Uzbekistan–Japan and Japan–Uzbekistan Committees on Economic Cooperation serve as the key coordination mechanism for bilateral economic projects.

Today, 84 joint ventures with Japanese capital operate in Uzbekistan, and 13 major Japanese companies have representative offices in the country, working in the oil and gas, chemical, engineering, logistics, education, and tourism sectors.

Japanese financial institutions play a strategic role in modernizing Uzbekistan’s economy. In January 2025, a loan agreement worth USD 150 million was signed in Tashkent with the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) for the construction and equipping of the Republican Center for Neurology and Stroke — a modern project that will represent an important step in advancing national healthcare.

The cultural and humanitarian dimension of Uzbek–Japanese relations is distinguished by depth and emotional resonance. For more than two decades, the Uzbekistan–Japan Friendship Society, as well as the Fukushima–Uzbekistan Association and the Japan–Uzbekistan Association, have been actively operating. The Hiroshima Peace Stone installed in Tashkent and the Japanese Garden in the heart of the capital have become symbols of strong friendship between the peoples of Uzbekistan and Japan.

Uzbekistan regularly hosts Japanese cultural festivals, film screenings, performances, and exhibitions. In turn, Uzbekistan widely showcases its cultural traditions in Japan — from national cuisine and traditional garments to music and dance. Such exchanges form a unique basis for friendship between the two nations, fostering mutual respect and strengthening long-term cooperation.

Modern cultural projects have become the hallmark of humanitarian dialogue. In April 2022, Tokyo hosted the vibrant event “Spirit of the Silk Road — Bridge of Friendship,” and in 2024, the Japanese ensemble “Japanese Pearl” won third place at the traditional Boysun Bahori festival.

Education is one of the most rapidly developing areas of humanitarian cooperation. More than 2,500 students study Japanese language across seven universities in Uzbekistan. The Uzbek–Japanese Center for Human Resource Development operates in the country, the Japan Development Scholarship (JDS) program is being implemented, and joint projects are carried out with the universities of Tokyo, Nagoya, Tsukuba, Keio, and Toyohashi. Over 400 Uzbek students have received JDS scholarships, and about 2,500 specialists have undertaken internships in Japan. Exchange programs and faculty visits are active, and university rector forums are held.

Joint scientific research is being conducted in ancient history, archaeology, oriental studies, agriculture, and climate processes.

Japan provides financial and technical support to the development of healthcare in Uzbekistan. More than USD 60 million has been allocated for equipping medical facilities, training specialists, and supplying vaccines. Over 100 Japanese volunteers have worked in Uzbekistan, and more than 200 Uzbek medical professionals have completed internships in Japan.

Interregional diplomacy occupies an increasingly important place in bilateral relations. Sister-city partnerships have been established between Rishtan and Maizuru, Tashkent and Nagoya, and Samarkand Region and Nara Prefecture. Within this framework, Samarkand Days are regularly held in Japan, alongside cultural events in Nagoya.

Growing interest among Japanese visitors in Uzbekistan’s culture and history is stimulating cooperation in the tourism sector. The number of Japanese visitors to Uzbekistan continues to rise, facilitated by expanded air connectivity, active promotion of cultural tourism, and improved infrastructure.

Particular interest is drawn to Uzbekistan’s Buddhist heritage sites — Kara-Tepe, Fayaz-Tepe, Dalverzin-Tepe, and the temple complexes of Termez and its surroundings. Thanks to the research of Japanese scholars, these monuments have gained international recognition and attract visitors and experts from around the world.

Another vivid example of Japanese public interest in Uzbekistan was the success of the Uzbek pavilion, “Garden of Knowledge: Laboratory of the Future Society,” at EXPO 2025 in Osaka. Uzbekistan’s national pavilion was recognized as one of the most remarkable exhibits and was awarded a Gold Medal. The world premiere of the National Symphony Orchestra of Uzbekistan’s performance “Celestial Dance,” dedicated to bilateral friendship, captivated Japanese audiences.

The Central Asia–Japan Dialogue, whose first leaders’ summit President Mirziyoyev will attend during his visit, is a format that fully aligns with Uzbekistan’s regional priorities and reflects the growing political consolidation of Central Asian states.

The initiative to establish the Dialogue was first proposed by Japan’s Foreign Minister Yoriko Kawaguchi during her visit to Tashkent on 24 August 2004. The priority goals identified at the time included ensuring peace and stability in the region, supporting reforms and social development, strengthening intra-regional ties, enhancing Central Asia’s partnership with neighboring regions and the international community, and cooperating on pressing regional and global issues.

Today, the Dialogue has evolved into a stable platform for trusted interaction and discussions on sustainable development.

To provide the format with practical substance, regular working meetings of senior officials, sectoral expert consultations, and Tokyo Intellectual Dialogues are held. In recent years, the Economic and Energy Dialogues at the ministerial level, conducted in Tokyo in 2023–2025, have become particularly significant.

Infrastructure assistance has always been one of Japan’s priorities within the Dialogue. Japanese organizations such as JICA and Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) systematically participate in modernizing transport corridors, logistics hubs, roads, engineering facilities, airports, and rail infrastructure. These projects significantly increase regional connectivity and strengthen Central Asia’s role as a key bridge between East Asia, the Middle East, and Europe.

Japan, a global leader in digitalization and automation, actively shares its expertise with the countries of the region. For Uzbekistan, this cooperation is especially important: the country is rapidly developing its IT sector, creating IT parks and technology parks, launching digital economy programs, and attracting Japanese experts for training national specialists.

Given Japan’s long-standing leadership in environmentally sustainable development and energy-efficient technologies, environmental cooperation is also a central element of the partnership.

As the most populous country in the region and a major transport and logistics hub, Uzbekistan plays a central role in shaping the agenda of the Dialogue. In recent years, Uzbekistan has contributed significantly to strengthening the practical content of cooperation by initiating new projects across various fields.

Over the past two decades, the Dialogue has proven itself as a stable and in-demand mechanism of partnership that allows the countries of the region and Japan to build systematic cooperation across a wide range of areas.

Thus, the upcoming visit of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev to Japan and his participation in the Central Asia + Japan Summit will deepen both bilateral and multilateral political dialogue, expand economic and investment cooperation, and strengthen educational and scientific ties. Undoubtedly, the active efforts of the President to expand mutually beneficial partnerships will once again confirm Uzbekistan’s commitment to regional integration and open, constructive international dialogue.

In January, growth in the business climate was mainly driven by an outpacing increase in the expectations component. The agricultural sector and services became the key drivers of business confidence.

The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) presented the results of its business climate analysis based on monthly surveys of entrepreneurs across the republic. Based on the collected data, a composite Business Climate Indicator was formed, reflecting both current assessments of business conditions and expectations for the next 3 months.

Dynamics of Uzbekistan’s Composite Business Climate

In January of the current year, Uzbekistan’s composite Business Climate Index stood at 64 points (on a scale from −100 to +100), which is 23% higher than the level of 2025.

The improvement in the business climate was primarily driven by stronger assessments of the current business situation, which increased by 28%.

An additional contribution came from improved optimism regarding short-term business prospects. In particular, business expectations rose by 20%.

According to the survey, 22% of enterprises increased their number of employees. At the same time, 71% of respondents expect demand for their products to grow over the next three months, compared to about 60% in the same period last year.

The share of enterprises forecasting an increase in employment in the coming quarter rose to 65%, up from 58% a year earlier.

Sectoral Dynamics of the Business Climate Index

In sectoral terms, an improvement in the business climate compared to last year was observed in construction, agriculture, and services.

In agriculture, the Business Climate Index increased by 62% year-on-year and reached 77 points, compared to 48 points in January 2025.

Growth was mainly supported by a significant improvement in assessments of current conditions and more favorable expectations. The current situation indicator in the sector increased 2.7 times from 27 to 72 points, while expectations grew by 17% to reach 82 points.

44% of entrepreneurs assessed the condition of their business in the sector as “good,” compared to 39% a year earlier. Growth in demand for products over the past three months was reported by 46% of enterprises versus 39% in January last year. Expectations for further demand growth in the near term remain high at 71%, compared to 68% a year earlier.

In the services sector, the business climate increased by 25% compared to January last year, reaching 65 points versus 52 points a year earlier.

Growth was driven by a gradual improvement in current business conditions. Current assessments in services rose by 18% to 52 points. At the same time, a more pronounced increase was observed in the expectations component, which grew by 32% to 79 points, indicating a substantial strengthening of companies’ confidence in short-term prospects.

70% of entrepreneurs expect demand for their services to grow over the next three months, compared to 58% in January 2025. The share of enterprises expecting to increase employment in the coming quarter amounted to 61%, up from 54% a year earlier.

In the construction sector, the business climate increased by 13% to 61 points, compared to 54 points a year earlier. The current situation indicator improved by 43% to 57 points. Expectations were formed at the level of 66 points, showing a decline of 4%.

38% of respondents reported that business conditions in construction had improved over the past three months, compared to 35% a year earlier. The share of enterprises reporting workforce growth rose to 38% from 22% a year earlier. Expectations of demand growth over the next three months were expressed by 77% of entrepreneurs, compared to 61% in January last year.

In industry, the business climate slightly declined by 5% compared to last year, while remaining at a sufficiently high level of 54 points.

At the same time, optimism among industrial enterprises remains steadily high. In January, expectations increased by 10%, reaching 78 points, indicating a continued positive outlook regarding development prospects.

According to the survey, the share of respondents reporting an improvement in business conditions over the past three months reached 32%, compared to 30% a year earlier. Demand growth over the same period was noted by 38% of industrial enterprises versus 36% in January last year. Meanwhile, employment expansion plans strengthened — 69% of entrepreneurs expect to increase their workforce in the next three months, compared to 62% a year earlier.

Barriers to Entrepreneurial Activity

According to the survey, more than half (57%) of entrepreneurs see no barriers in their activities. Among the problems cited, the most frequent are taxation (11%), utilities (9%), and access to credit (8%).

CERR Sector for the Study of Sectoral Competitiveness and Investment Activity

Tel: (78) 150 02 02 (441)

CERR Public Relations and Media Sector

Tel: (78) 150 02 02 (417)

The text of the article is in Uzbek!