At the end of Q1 2026, the republic’s exports of goods and services demonstrated a steady growth trend.
During the reporting period, exports totaled $5.8 bn, increasing by 26%, or $1.2 bn, compared to the same period last year.
Export growth was driven primarily by the expansion of shipments of higher value-added products and raw materials. In particular, exports of natural uranium amounted to $402.6 mn, increasing by $196 mn, or 95%. Exports of non-ferrous metals reached $248.7 mn, up by $137 mn, with a twofold increase recorded. Exports of oil and gas products totaled $160 mn, rising by $20 mn, or 15%.
Positive dynamics were also observed in manufacturing industries. Textile exports reached $731 mn, increasing by $110 mn, or 18%. Exports of construction materials totaled $304 mn, up by $130 mn, or 75%. Exports of jewelry products reached $214 mn, increasing by $75 mn, or 54%.
Sustained growth was also recorded in agricultural and food exports. Fruit and vegetable exports reached $320 mn, increasing by $34 mn, or 12%. Food product exports totaled $282 mn, increasing by $47 mn, or 120%.
Strong growth was also achieved in services. During the reporting period, services exports amounted to $2.2 bn, increasing by 35%, or $573 mn, compared to last year.
Regional export activity also expanded. In Andijan region, exports increased by $83 mn, or 74%; in Khorezm region by $27 mn, or 66%; in Navoi region by $15 mn, or 42%; in Fergana region by $54 mn, or 42%; in Namangan region by $43 mn, or 31%; in Syrdarya region by $17 mn, or 29%; and in Samarkand region by $54 mn, or 28%. In Tashkent city, exports grew by $178 mn, or 42%.
Export growth was recorded in 147 districts and cities across the republic.
The geography of exports continues to expand. In January–March of the current year, previously non-exported goods worth $162 mn across more than 140 product categories were supplied for the first time to 86 countries, including the United States, Austria, Belarus, Poland, South Korea, Iran, Kazakhstan, and Afghanistan.
In particular, exports to Hong Kong included jewelry, solar panels, semiconductors, brass products, and spare parts worth $42.1 mn. Exports to Afghanistan included truck cranes, aluminum products, oilcake, metal fittings, pipes, and other goods worth $19.8 mn. Exports to the United States included carpets, rug fabrics, electrical equipment, solar panels, and other goods worth $9.4 mn.
In addition, exports amounted to $2.3 mn to Poland, $3.8 mn to Kazakhstan, $3.2 mn to Belarus, $1.7 mn to Austria, $1.1 mn to the United Kingdom, $1.1 mn to Iran, and $649.3 thousand to South Korea.
As a result of efforts to involve new businesses in export activity, 702 new business entities joined export operations during the reporting period. Their exports totaled $270 mn. As a result, the total number of exporting enterprises reached 4 thousand.
Within the national export support system, financial and organizational assistance to exporting enterprises continued. Through the Trade Promotion Fund, 405 exporters received financial support totaling 32.3 bn soums, while these companies exported goods worth $98.9 mn. Every $1 of state support generated $38.9 in exports.
In addition, the Light Industry Agency provided financial assistance totaling 8.8 bn soums to 212 exporters.
The achieved results confirm the effectiveness of the measures being implemented in the country to expand export potential, diversify the product range, and strengthen competitiveness in foreign markets.
Center for Economic Research and Reforms Media Sector
Despite its limited access to the world's major ports, Uzbekistan can fully develop its transportation and logistics industry through the formation of land transport corridors, developing them throughout the Eurasian region. Being located in the center of the crossroads of trade routes during the Great Silk Road, Uzbekistan has a unique opportunity to become an important provider of logistics of cargo flows between China and Southern Europe, on the one hand, and the Indian Peninsula and CIS, Northern Europe, on the other hand.
Landlocked countries account for less than 1% of world exports. Moreover, the share of Central Asian countries in the global export of transport services is very small and is represented in the following proportions: Uzbekistan, which has access to the sea only through two countries – 0.1%, Kazakhstan – 0.3%, Tajikistan – 0.007%, Kyrgyzstan – 0.03%.
However, the transport complex of Uzbekistan maintains a dominant position in foreign trade in services and is one of the main sources of foreign currency inflow into the country. Transport services in the republic form 43% of the total volume of the country's service exports and 65% of the balance of foreign trade in services. Uzbekistan's transport service exports in 2022 amounted to $2.2 billion, and the positive balance of foreign trade in transport services amounted to $1.7 billion.
Figure 1. Uzbekistan’s share in global exports of transport services in 2022, %
Calculated according to UNCTAD and Statistics Agency of the Republic of Uzbekistan
One of the main problems of Uzbekistan's international freight transport is the underutilization of its export and transit potential, which reduces revenues from the export of transport and logistics services. For example, when comparing actual exports in tons, Uzbekistan is behind Russia by 20 times, Turkey by 10 times, and Kazakhstan by 9 times.
In 2023, the volume of interstate cargo transportation in the Republic of Uzbekistan amounted to 62 million tons, which is 16% higher than in 2022. The largest share in the volume of export-import cargo transportation of the republic falls on Kazakhstan (30%), to a lesser extent on Russia (26%), China (10%), and Afghanistan (4%). Rail transport accounts for the largest share (76%) of Uzbekistan's international cargo transportation (export, import, and transit). The export of transport services includes the transit of goods through the territory of Uzbekistan with a total share in the export of railway services of up to 45%.
The unrealized transit crossroads of Eurasia
One of the main global logistics trends is trade between China and the EU. According to the ERAI review, in 2023, the trade turnover between them amounted to 738 million euros, and according to EUROSTAT exceeded 104 million tons. In the current realities, rail transportation between Europe and China is carried out along the Eurasian route through the territories of Kazakhstan, Russia, Belarus; Mongolia and Russia (Naushki border crossing), as well as along the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route – TITR (Kazakhstan, the Caspian Sea, Azerbaijan, Georgia, the Black Sea).
Part of the cargo flows that previously passed through the northern corridor has been redirected to TITR. However, the Eurasian route continues to occupy a leading position. In 2023, a total of 674 thousand TEU passed along this route, which is 1.1% less than in 2022 (681 thousand TEU), but at the same time, in the first half of 2024, the volume of container traffic by China-Europe trains along TITR increased by 12.8% with a volume of 196.6 thousand TEU.
As can be seen, Uzbekistan does not fit into the list of major transit countries between China and the EU in the "Eurasian" and "Trans-Caspian" directions and claims only a part of the target markets mainly in direction along the Southern Corridor through Turkmenistan, Iran, and Turkey.
So, a limited number of international transport corridors pass through the territory of Uzbekistan. The main countries forming the transit of Uzbekistan are neighboring Afghanistan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan, as well as Russia, which is considered an important trading partner for the Central Asian countries. The transport isolation of the region, undiversified transport routes, and limited export deliveries mainly in the northern direction lead to a loss of profit due to the sale of domestic goods mainly to neighboring countries at a fairly low cost.
Transit Priorities
To sell domestic products at competitive world prices, Uzbekistan needs to develop additional export trade routes to other countries, such as China, the Asia-Pacific region, the Middle East, India, Pakistan, and others. This requires competitive and efficient transport and transit corridors that allow for increasing the volume of transit cargo through the Republic of Uzbekistan.
Therefore, the priority directions identified by 2030 for the development of international transport corridors and bringing the volume of transit traffic through the territory of the republic to 16 million tons include the task of increasing revenues from the export of transport services. The key task in this case is to increase the volume of multimodal cargo transportation in the directions of China – Kyrgyzstan – Uzbekistan (Kashgar–Irkeshtam–Osh–Andijan–Tashkent) and Uzbekistan – Afghanistan – Pakistan (Termez – Hairatan – Logar – Karachi).
China - Kyrgyzstan - Uzbekistan. The volume of cargo transportation of the PRC with such countries as Turkey, Iran, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, and Pakistan in 2023 amounted to almost 50 million tons, with the main volume of cargo transportation carried out by sea transport. Studies have shown that it is possible to attract part of the cargo to the "China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan" route, in the amount of about 10 million tons, and with the stable organization of cargo transportation along the route, the volume of cargo transportation by 2040 may increase by 4 times.
Uzbekistan – Afghanistan – Pakistan. The geographical proximity to Afghanistan, and further south to Pakistan and India, gives Uzbekistan the opportunity to unlock its existing potential and provide cargo transportation services in export, import, and transit traffic in the direction of South Asian countries (Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India), without competing for existing transport and trade corridors. Therefore, Uzbekistan is extremely interested in trade and transport cooperation with Afghanistan and in the implementation of the Trans-Afghan Railway project "Uzbekistan–Afghanistan–Pakistan." This road will allow establishing a direct rail link between Uzbekistan and Pakistan through the territory of Afghanistan with further access to the ports of the Indian Ocean.
The importance and effectiveness of the "Uzbekistan–Afghanistan–Pakistan" (UAP) project can be significantly increased if it is implemented in parallel with the project of building the "Uzbekistan – Kyrgyzstan – China" (CKU) railway line, which is the shortest way to connect China with Pakistan and India and will allow a multiple increase in the volume of traffic from/to China to the countries of Central and South Asia.
In this regard, within the framework of two strategic projects UAP and CKU, the ongoing activities on formation of new uninterrupted perspective multimodal transport corridors in the region are relevant. In November 2023 in Tashkent within the framework of the ECO Ministerial Meeting the Protocol of the multilateral meeting on establishment of the international multimodal route between Asia-Europe through “Uzbekistan-Turkmenistan-Iran-Türkiye”, was signed.
In November 2023, a Memorandum on mutual Understanding on the creation and development of international transport corridor “Belarus-Russia-Kazakhstan-Uzbekistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan” with access to the ports of the Indian Ocean was signed in Tashkent. In April of this year, Termez hosted meetings of transportation agencies and railway administrations of the countries-participants of this corridor, which resulted in the adoption of the Road Map, including the main activities for further development of the corridor.
It should be noted that the abovementioned documents are open for other interested countries to join the transport corridors.
Multifaceted Transport Policy
It should be noted that the policy of forming international transport corridors in Uzbekistan is somewhat different from the policies of several other countries and is aimed at attracting as many countries as possible to the active development of a branched network of transport corridors that ensure efficient foreign trade cargo transportation. As emphasized by the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, at the SCO Summit in Astana on July 4 of this year, "the multivariance of transport corridors is the most important condition for the sustainable development of our entire region."
However, the effective functioning of various corridor options is hindered by the lack of unified Cargo Transportation Rules, a unified Transport Document Standard that would be used on all types of transport, as well as the absence of digital platforms for providing customers with freight transportation services remotely from anywhere in the world. All this slows down the transport integration of Asian countries in the context of developing routes between Central and South Asia, and China, on the one hand, and the integration of Asian countries with European communications on the other.
To solve the problems of different legal and technical standards in freight transportation between European and Asian countries, which hinder the full-fledged transportation of goods without delays, it makes sense to develop new services for logistics and cargo transportation market participants, while applying modern technologies.
These include the production of universal wagons with variable gauge axle systems at the country's industrial facilities, with their further use both in Uzbekistan and southern countries, China and others, as well as the development of a digital platform for online registration of cargo transportation and transportation documents, which will lead to additional revenues from the export of transport services.
In this regard, the initiative of the President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev, announced in June at the OTS Summit on the formation of a Council of Railway Administrations within the framework of the organization and the placement of its directorate in Tashkent, is relevant. The Council could act as a regulator for the integration of the railways of China, the Asia-Pacific region, South and Southeast Asia with the countries of Central Asia, the Caucasus, and the EU.
To assess the prospects for the coordinated development of transport corridors, a forecast of foreign trade volume was made based on an analysis of panel data using a combined model of two directions of international cargo transportation: China-EU and China-CA. The results of this forecast showed that by 2050, the volume of trade between China and the EU will increase by 4.5 times compared to 2023, and between China and CA - by 5 times. At the same time, the total volume of trade between South Asian countries (India and Pakistan) with trading partners (EU, Russia, China, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan) will increase by 3.8 times compared to 2023.
In the near future, a clearly defined strategy for integrating Central Asian countries into the international transport network can help solve the region's problems and lead to an increase in the export of transport and logistics services and attract cargo flow, and later passenger flow, to the territory of the Asia-Pacific region, South and Central Asia. As the President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev said: "We are open to cooperation and ready to become a reliable partner in creating new transport corridors and integration projects."
Dildora Ibragimova,
Center for the Study of Transport and Logistics Development Problems under the Ministry of Transport of the Republic of Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan views its participation in the Organization of Turkic States (OTS) as an opportunity to give a new industrial dimension to trade relations. The focus is on production chains in which enterprises from different countries participate in the manufacturing of finished products and bring them to international markets. This is one of the key objectives of the “Space of New Economic Opportunities” initiative put forward by President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev.
Uzbekistan’s trade turnover with the other OTS member states, as well as Turkmenistan and Hungary, increased from $4.13 billion in 2017 to $10.82 billion in 2025. In January–July 2026, trade turnover grew by 19.8 percent compared with the same period of the previous year. The presence of partner countries in Uzbekistan’s economy is also expanding. As of early August, 4,871 enterprises with their capital participation were operating in the country.
With trade ties reaching such a scale, the structure of trade is becoming increasingly important. In the first seven months of 2026, Uzbekistan’s exports to these countries amounted to $2.29 billion, while imports reached $4.46 billion. Strengthening export positions requires expanding the production of goods with a higher degree of processing. Industrial cooperation enables Uzbek enterprises to respond to demand in partner markets and expand beyond the OTS region.
This objective has gradually become central to Uzbekistan’s agenda within the OTS. Following Shavkat Mirziyoyev’s participation in the summit of Turkic states in 2018, Uzbekistan became a full member of the then Turkic Council in 2019. In 2022, Uzbekistan hosted the OTS summit in Samarkand and assumed the chairmanship of the organization. At the summit, the President proposed creating value-added production chains and entering third-country markets with finished products. At the 2024 summit in Bishkek, he put forward an initiative to conclude a strategic partnership agreement that could strengthen the political foundation for long-term projects.
In 2025, Uzbekistan proposed instruments to develop direct business-to-business ties. At the meeting in Budapest, the President called for the creation of the “TURK-TRADE” platform, the development of an industrial cooperation programme, and the establishment of a unified investment portal. These proposals cover successive stages of business cooperation: finding partners, presenting investment opportunities and preparing production projects. Direct contacts were also strengthened at the Trade Forum of the Turkic States in Baku, where Uzbek producers concluded agreements on the supply of finished knitwear and construction materials.
Alongside these proposals, practical decisions have also been adopted. In February 2026, the ministers responsible for economy and trade of the OTS member states signed a memorandum on partnership in trade and approved a “roadmap” for cooperation in the areas of economy, trade, investment and finance. The Turkic Investment Fund also began its operations that year. The establishment of a Council for Economic Partnership remains subject to further agreement among the participating states.
Bilateral investment ties with partner countries already provide a foundation for developing production facilities. In 2025, investments from Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Türkiye, Turkmenistan and Hungary amounted to $4.29 billion. In 2026, work is underway on 280 projects with a total value of $17.24 billion. Between January and August, $3.84 billion had been actually invested within these projects. The future impact of these investments will depend on the commissioning of new capacities and the resulting production volumes.
One example of bilateral cooperation is located in Kashkadarya Region. There, the first stage of a project by the Azerbaijani company Matanat to produce gypsum products has been completed, while the second stage — the development of gypsum board production capacity — has begun. In this way, partner investment is being channelled into processing and manufacturing activities within Uzbekistan.
The transport sector already offers an example of a result achieved at the level of the Organization as a whole. The E-permit electronic permit system began as a joint project between Uzbekistan and Türkiye and now operates between Uzbekistan and all OTS member states. This experience demonstrates how a solution initially agreed upon by two countries can develop into a common procedure. Further progress in transport connectivity is linked to the coordination of tariffs, digital customs procedures and the operation of logistics hubs. Uzbekistan advocates connecting the Middle Corridor with the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway currently under construction and the prospective Trans-Afghan route.
Alongside transport connectivity, the digital agenda is also developing. At the 2026 summit in Turkistan, the President proposed developing a “Digital Turkic Corridor” that would connect regional data centres through high-speed communication networks. He also invited partners to participate in a venture capital fund being established jointly with Kazakhstan. These initiatives focus on the next potential source of economic growth: technologies, innovation and entrepreneurship capable of operating across multiple markets.
For Uzbekistan, the next stage of cooperation within the OTS will be determined by the quality of economic growth. Trade turnover and investment ties provide scale to industrial cooperation. Its strategic impact will depend on the role Uzbek enterprises play in creating finished products and on how widely the markets for those products can expand. Uzbekistan’s initiatives in industry, investment, transport and technology are aimed precisely at addressing this objective.
The current stage of global economic development is characterized by a large-scale transformation of international supply chains and growing geopolitical uncertainty. In this context, transport connectivity is becoming a key factor in ensuring economic security and sustainable development.
These processes are particularly relevant for the countries of Eurasia. Comprehensive transport and logistics cooperation between the Russian Federation and the Republic of Uzbekistan, which serve as key links in the new transit corridor architecture, is of strategic importance here.
Russian-Uzbek cooperation is demonstrating stable positive dynamics. By the end of 2025, the total volume of freight traffic between the countries reached 18.2 million tons, an increase of 13.6 percent compared to the previous year. Exports accounted for 3.6 million tons, imports for 9.2 million tons, and transit for 5.4 million tons.
Rail transport traditionally forms the bulk of freight turnover. In 2025, volumes reached 12.9 million tonnes, representing a 12.3 percent increase compared to the previous year, while transit traffic increased by almost 15 percent to 4.8 million tonnes.
The development of strategic industrial cooperation has become an important stage of cooperation. Specifically, a large-scale project to transfer the Tashkent Passenger Carriage Construction and Repair Plant to the trust management of Transmashholding JSC is being implemented. The signed agreements provide for the complete modernization of the plant by the end of 2026, with the prospect of its phased privatization.
In terms of passenger rail transportation, service has been fully restored on the Tashkent-Moscow and Tashkent-Kazan routes. The launch of train service from Andijan to Moscow and the establishment of direct rail service between the two countries' tourist centers are currently on the agenda.
The development of road transportation also remains an important area of cooperation. By the end of 2025, the volume of road freight transport exceeded 5.2 million tons, representing a 16.5% increase. At the same time, passenger bus service continues to develop. Regular bus services have been established from Tashkent to Novosibirsk, Kazan, Perm, Krasnodar, Ufa, Moscow, and St. Petersburg.
Routes to Nizhny Novgorod, Tyumen, and Yekaterinburg are planned for 2026–2028. To improve service quality, unified service standards, monitoring systems, and digital services, including electronic ticket booking, are being implemented.
Significant results have also been achieved in aviation services. In 2025, more than 34,000 bilateral flights were operated, representing a 4.8% increase, carrying over 4.2 million passengers. Currently, flights operate at a frequency of 340 per week, involving over 45 Russian airlines and leading Uzbek carriers (Uzbekistan Airways, Qanot Sharq, Panorama Airways, and My Freighter).
A breakthrough was reached in June 2025 in Moscow by aviation authorities. The parties agreed to increase the frequency to 1,000 scheduled flights per week. If these quotas are fully utilized, the annual passenger capacity will exceed 16 million passengers. The most significant area of cooperation is the joint development of new international transport corridors, the key one being the multimodal corridor "Belarus – Russia – Kazakhstan – Uzbekistan – Afghanistan – Pakistan." The project was initiated by the signing of a memorandum on the development of this corridor in 2023 at the first SCO Transport Forum.
In April 2024, the first meeting of the working group was held in Termez, where the parties signed a roadmap providing for the analysis of cargo flows, the implementation of electronic digital documents, and the optimization of customs procedures. After Pakistan joined the memorandum, a number of additional meetings of the working group were held throughout 2025, during which tariff conditions, logistics solutions, and the organization of test container shipments along the route were agreed upon.
This transport corridor has the potential to become one of the most important routes in the Eurasian space, providing direct transport and logistics links between the Union State of Belarus and Russia, the countries of Central Asia, and the markets of South Asia.
Russian-Uzbek cooperation in transport and logistics has become a full-scale strategic partnership. The synchronized development of all modes of transport, deep industrial cooperation, and the joint development of new transit routes form a reliable framework for Eurasian connectivity, capable of ensuring economic growth throughout Greater Eurasia.
Leading specialists of the Center for the Study of Transport and Logistics Development Problems under the Ministry of Transport of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Sh. Akhmedov and M. Tohirov
Uzbekistan has historically been a proactive driver in strengthening ties among Turkic-speaking nations. Following a period of limited engagement, a pivotal turning point occurred in 2018 when the President of the Republic attended the 6th Summit of the Organization as a Guest of Honor. In 2019, the country ratified the Nakhchivan Agreement, officially becoming a full member of the Organization of Turkic States (OTS). Since joining, Uzbekistan has proposed 116 specific initiatives, more than half of which have already been successfully implemented. The economic impact of this strategic course is evidenced by the data: at the end of 2025, trade turnover with OTS member states increased by 9.6%, reaching $10.8 billion.
Investment cooperation also shows a steady upward trend, with 4,352 enterprises operating with capital from member states as of early 2026. The Republic of Türkiye remains a key strategic partner, with bilateral relations officially elevated to the level of a Strategic Partnership in 2017. Türkiye leads all OTS countries in the number of enterprises established in Uzbekistan, reaching 2,137 units. Investment collaboration in 2025 was characterized by the utilization of funds totaling $3.2 billion, while trade turnover during the same period amounted to $3.024 billion. Transport connectivity is exceptionally robust, with 97 scheduled weekly flights operating between the cities of both nations across eight different routes, including Istanbul and Ankara.
Kazakhstan stands as Uzbekistan's largest trading partner within the Organization, with trade turnover growing by 11.4% in 2025 to nearly $5 billion. There are 1,212 enterprises with Kazakh capital successfully operating in the republic. The transport sector demonstrates immense scale, with freight volume exceeding 22.3 million tons in 2025, the majority of which—19.6 million tons—was transported via rail networks.
The dynamics of economic relations with Kyrgyzstan are marked by the highest growth rates in trade turnover, which surged by 37.1% in 2025 to reach $1.199 billion. The parties have solidified a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, facilitating an increase in joint ventures to 346 units. The transport sector recorded a significant rise, with total freight volume growing by 22.4% in 2025 to nearly 5.4 million tons. Export shipments across all modes of transport more than doubled, indicating deep integration of production chains.
In 2024, a fundamental Treaty on Allied Relations was signed with Azerbaijan, opening a new chapter in bilateral cooperation. Trade turnover between the countries grew by 14.6% in 2025, totaling $307.3 million. In the investment sphere, 367 enterprises with Azerbaijani capital are currently active. The logistics partnership is also strengthening, as total freight volume increased by 28.3% in 2025, supported by 14 weekly flights between the capitals.
Turkmenistan, which participates in the Organization as an observer, remains a vital partner, with trade turnover reaching $1.203 billion in 2025. The launch of the Shavat-Dashoguz joint border trade zone was a practical step toward streamlining commodity exchange. As of early 2026, 270 enterprises with Turkmen capital were functioning in Uzbekistan. In the transport sector, total cargo volume for 2025 amounted to approximately 1.785 million tons, reflecting a positive growth trend of 22.5%.
Hungary also holds observer status and is actively developing high-tech cooperation with Uzbekistan. In 2025, mutual trade grew by 41.7%, reaching $117.4 million. Although there are 20 enterprises with Hungarian capital in the republic, their projects are notable for their significant scale. These include the establishment of poultry clusters in the Syrdarya region valued at $165 million and a $59 million project for the construction of water treatment facilities in "New Tashkent."
The successful implementation of initiatives and steady growth in economic indicators confirm that Uzbekistan has found the OTS to be an effective instrument for advancing its national interests. Further deepening industrial cooperation and developing the region's transit potential create a solid foundation for transforming this space into a significant global manufacturing and trade hub. The strategic course toward closer integration with the Turkic world opens new prospects for attracting innovation and large-scale investment into key sectors of the national economy. Continuing this policy will not only strengthen the republic's international standing but also ensure long-term socio-economic prosperity for all member states of the Organization.
Professor Komil Rashidov, Head of the Sector of Legislation in the Economic Sphere at the Institute of Legislation and Legal Policy under the President of Uzbekistan, commented for the Dunyo IA on the outcomes of the working visit of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev to Türkiye and his participation in the Organization of Turkic States Summit:
—Consistent implementation of New Uzbekistan’s foreign policy, alongside the regular and effective conduct of bilateral and multilateral negotiations in political, economic, cultural, and humanitarian spheres based on the interests of the people and the state, aligns with the constitutional foundations of foreign policy.
Operating on the principle of “objective—action—result”, economic diplomacy of New Uzbekistan is filled with concrete substance, including at high-level multilateral diplomacy platforms, aimed at expanding mutually beneficial bilateral cooperation.
Thus, within the framework of the working visit of the President of Uzbekistan to Türkiye on October 29–30th to participate in the 13th Summit of the Organization of Turkic States in Ankara, high-level bilateral meetings were also held, during which issues of further strengthening the Uzbek-Turkish comprehensive strategic partnership relations, particularly in political-diplomatic, trade-economic and cultural-humanitarian spheres, were discussed.
Following the negotiations, Leaders of Uzbekistan and Türkiye signed an Agreement on the Establishment of the High-Level Business Support Council. A number of bilateral documents were also signed aimed at further expanding trade and economic cooperation, creating favorable conditions for business circles and providing them with legal assistance, as well as ensuring the effective protection of citizens' social rights.
It should be noted that the established High-Level Business Support Council is a new format for supporting comprehensive trade and economic cooperation between the two countries. Its activities are aimed at providing large-scale support to entrepreneurs, promptly eliminating barriers, and elevating the bilateral trade and economic partnership to a qualitatively new level.
New Council and the existing Joint Intergovernmental Commission will collectively address the task set by the heads of state to bring trade turnover to $5 billion, including through expanding the product list within the Framework Agreement on Preferential Trade and broadening the portfolio of promising projects.
These economic interaction structures, including Uzbek-Turkish Business Council, will serve as powerful tools within the activities of the High-Level Strategic Cooperation Council led by the heads of both states.
Meetings of the head of our state in Ankara with representatives of leading Turkish companies, during which promising avenues for investment cooperation were reviewed, testify to the business community's trust in the reforms implemented in the country:
Additional investment projects to modernize the “SamAvto” enterprise in Samarkand, expand its production capacities and increase product export volumes were discussed with “Anadolu Group”;
“Evyap Holding” expressed readiness to further expand mutually beneficial cooperation in the manufacturing of personal hygiene products and cosmetics, and to implement a new project launched in the Uzbek-Turkish industrial zone “OSTIM Global”;
Issues concerning the further expansion of projects in renewable energy, geology and the mining industry, infrastructure, establishment of an electric vehicle charging station network, as well as the food industry were discussed jointly with “Eksim Holding”;
“OYAK” expressed interest in implementing joint investment projects in the chemical industry, geology, and construction in New Uzbekistan, as well as readiness to actively participate in the construction of residential complexes and external infrastructure facilities in New Tashkent.
Comprehensive strategic partnership between the two states, Constitution, legislation on foreign economic and investment activities and the provisions of the Agreement on the Reciprocal Promotion and Protection of Investments with Türkiye serve as the legal foundation for implementing the agreements reached in Ankara with leading Turkish business circles.
Following these meetings, Head of our State emphasized the significant role and contribution of business circles to the consistently developing strategic partnership relations of our country with Türkiye.
Continuation of practical cooperation in economic diplomacy across new avenues was also proposed within the multilateral format.
Thus, in his address at the 13th Summit of the Organization of Turkic States, Head of Uzbekistan put forward a proposal to adopt the “Turkic World – 100” Program, encompassing one hundred strategic joint investment and industrial projects, including the processing of rare minerals and the localization of manufacturing equipment for green energy. Attention was focused on the importance of attracting resources from the Turkic Investment Fund, which also accumulates the financial assets of Uzbekistan and international financial institutions for the implementation of these projects.
Other important initiatives of the Uzbek side include proposals:
Historical significance of the high-level negotiations held, the signed bilateral and multilateral documents, and the business meetings within the framework of the working visit to Türkiye open a new chapter in our country's economic diplomacy. They create the necessary conditions for filling the Uzbek-Turkish mutually beneficial trade, economic and investment interaction with concrete achievements, as well as for further expanding multifaceted cooperation among the member states of the Organization of Turkic States for the sake of Turkic solidarity.
Dunyo IA
Tashkent
FROM A DIGITAL AGENDA TO PRACTICAL COOPERATION
Organization of Turkic States currently counts Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkiye and Uzbekistan among its full members, while Turkmenistan participates in observer status. The organization holds annual summits of heads of state, establishing a mechanism for reviewing results achieved and defining directions for future cooperation.
The informal OTS summit held in Turkistan on May 15th, 2026 likewise underscored the growing importance of digital technologies within this process. At a meeting devoted to “Artificial Intelligence and Digital Development”, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev of Uzbekistan put forward initiatives on building a strategic cooperation network in artificial intelligence, advancing cloud and quantum computing technologies, and creating a unified digital space.
The head of state also proposed developing a “Digital Turkic Corridor Concept” aimed at connecting the region's data centers through high-speed communication channels, and holding a Technology Forum in Tashkent with the participation of OTS member states. These initiatives placed on the agenda the task of elevating digital infrastructure from projects pursued by individual states to the level of regional cooperation.
Seen in this light, the existing bilateral ties within the OTS space form the practical foundation of the digital agenda ahead of the Ankara summit. A distinctive feature of today's cooperation is that it is no longer limited to agreements and meetings alone, but is also taking shape at the level of companies, exports, investment, technological infrastructure and specialists.
IT EXPORTS AND CAPITAL FLOWS: THE ECONOMIC DIMENSION OF COOPERATION
Uzbekistan's digital economy ties with OTS states can also be traced through the activities of IT Park Uzbekistan.
Cooperation with Kazakhstan stands out for its particularly broad scope of indicators. As of the first half of 2026, 79 enterprises with Kazakh capital were operating as residents of IT Park Uzbekistan. Over the six-month period, these companies provided export services worth $3.1 million and created 1,409 jobs. During the same period, the number of companies exporting IT services from Uzbekistan to Kazakhstan reached 114, with export volume totaling $8.2 million and employing 2,299 people.
This cooperation is not confined to bilateral export figures alone. Since 2024, mechanisms for bringing Central Asian startups to international markets have begun taking shape within the Central Asian Innovation Hubs partnership. Through ties between Kazakhstan's Astana Hub and Uzbekistan's IT Park Uzbekistan, startups are participating in international acceleration programs, investment events and projects aimed at entering foreign markets.
Digital economy cooperation with Azerbaijan is likewise expanding steadily. According to preliminary data for the first half of 2026, the number of IT Park residents with Azerbaijani capital reached 16. These companies provided export services worth $2.6 million over six months and created 137 jobs. In turn, the number of resident companies exporting services to the Azerbaijani market reached 19, with export volume totaling $1,282,700.
Ties with Kyrgyzstan in IT and digital services are also developing at a notable pace. By the end of the first half of 2026, 28 enterprises with Kyrgyz capital were operating as IT Park residents. These companies provided export services worth $974,000 and created 255 jobs. During the same period, the number of companies exporting IT services from Uzbekistan to the Kyrgyz Republic reached 39, with export volume totaling $3.3 million and employing 1,939 people.
These figures point to a steadily strengthening economic substance within digital cooperation among the Turkic states. IT services exports, engagement with local markets, companies with foreign capital participation and new job creation are emerging as mutually reinforcing processes.
STARTUPS AND VENTURE CAPITAL: NEW MECHANISMS FOR A SHARED TECHNOLOGICAL SPACE
Another important direction of digital cooperation involves linking startup ecosystems and expanding shared opportunities for venture capital.
In 2023, representatives of the technology ecosystems of Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan held a dialogue titled “Central Asia's Emerging Digital Market”. The discussion advanced the idea of developing Central Asia not as a collection of separate national markets but as a unified technological space for global investors. In subsequent years, this approach has been reinforced by the emergence of regional acceleration and export mechanisms for startups.
Expanding activity of Kazakh venture funds in Uzbekistan represents one of the practical manifestations of this process. In 2025, the Big Sky Capital fund began operating in Uzbekistan, while White Hill Capital was selected among international venture funds by the IT Park Ventures fund. The parties are working to establish a co-investment structure based on equal participation.
At the informal OTS summit held in Turkistan in May 2026, the President of Uzbekistan invited OTS member states to join a joint venture fund being established by Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan to finance promising youth startups, innovative developments and AI-based solutions. This initiative reflects an approach focused on linking national startup ecosystems through shared capital, expertise and markets, rather than developing them in isolation from one another.
The first Technology Forum of the Organization of Turkic States was held in Tashkent as part of ICT Week Uzbekistan 2026, at the initiative of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev. The proposal to hold a Technology Forum in Tashkent with the participation of OTS member states had been advanced by the head of state at the informal OTS summit in Turkistan in May 2026. The forum brought together representatives of leading technology parks and innovation agencies from Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkiye.
Within the forum, a memorandum was signed between IT Park Uzbekistan, the Azerbaijan Innovation and Digital Development Agency, Astana Hub, the High Technology Park of the Kyrgyz Republic and Bilişim Vadisi. The document is aimed at the systematic development of cooperation among the technological and innovation ecosystems of the Turkic states.
Under the memorandum, the OTS Technology Forum will be held annually on a rotating basis in one of the member states, with the heads of technoparks and innovation organizations to meet regularly to discuss cooperation outcomes and new joint initiatives.
In addition, IT Park Ventures and Bilişim Vadisi signed a cooperation memorandum within the forum aimed at strengthening ties between the startup and investment ecosystems of Uzbekistan and Turkiye. Key areas of this cooperation include the exchange of promising startups and investment opportunities, along with the joint review of potential deals, attracting investors, and developing mechanisms to support technology companies' entry into and expansion within international markets.
DIGITAL GOVERNMENT AND TELECOMMUNICATIONS: THE INFRASTRUCTURE LAYER OF COOPERATION
Digital cooperation with the Turkic states is not confined to IT business alone. E-government, telecommunications, data exchange and state information systems are likewise becoming increasingly significant areas of engagement.
In the field of e-government, cooperation with Azerbaijan has been established between the Digital Government Projects Management Center and the “ASAN” agency. Practical assistance has also been provided to Azerbaijan's “DOST” agency in introducing an online queuing service for socially vulnerable population groups.
Ties with Kazakhstan in cross-border data exchange and digital government services are likewise advancing. Within a pilot project on data exchange in tourism launched in 2025, the legal and technical foundations for cross-border data exchange among Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and Korea have been developed. Subsequent stages envisage extending this mechanism to other priority areas and establishing a unified platform for interstate data exchange.
Bilateral mechanisms have likewise taken shape in telecommunications. Traffic exchange through international communication channels has been established with Kazakhstan, while services related to international internet connectivity, channel leasing and international traffic exchange are being carried out with Kyrgyzstan.
In his address at the Turkistan summit, the President of Uzbekistan noted that the “E-Permit” electronic permit system had been fully launched between Uzbekistan and OTS member states, and advanced practical objectives concerning the digitalization of customs and transit procedures, the expansion of data exchange, and improved efficiency of logistics chains.
Digital transformation within the OTS framework is thus emerging not as a collection of separate technological projects, but as an infrastructural layer connecting trade, logistics, customs, government services and telecommunications processes.
TIES WITH TURKIYE AND TURKMENISTAN: OTHER AREAS OF COOPERATION
Within digital cooperation with Turkiye, professional development and workforce training occupy a distinct place. Through TIKA, various professional development programs and short-term training courses are being carried out in Uzbekistan. Proposals exist for further deepening cooperation in digital technologies, state information systems, digital healthcare and cybersecurity.
This approach places particular emphasis on human capital, a factor of central importance to the digital economy. The sustainable development of a technological ecosystem depends not only on infrastructure and investment, but equally on training qualified specialists, exchanging international experience and building new competencies.
Turkmenistan participates in the OTS in observer status. Cooperation with Uzbekistan also exists in the digital economy and telecommunications sectors. As of the end of the first quarter of 2026, three IT Park residents with Turkmen capital were operating. A contract for international telecommunications services also remains in effect between “Uztelecom” and “Turkmentexnokurilishyk” of Turkmenistan.
A PRACTICAL FOUNDATION TAKING SHAPE AHEAD OF THE ANKARA AGENDA
The current picture indicates that digital cooperation among the Turkic states is gradually evolving from a collection of individual projects into a systematic ecosystem. Within this process, ties among IT services exports, foreign capital and startups are strengthening on one hand, while infrastructural areas such as data exchange, e-government, logistics, telecommunications and cybersecurity are advancing on the other.
The initiatives put forward by Uzbekistan at the informal summit in May 2026 have likewise defined the next stage of this process. Proposals concerning a strategic cooperation network in artificial intelligence, the “Digital Turkic Corridor Concept”, holding a Technology Forum in Tashkent, expanding joint venture financing mechanisms, and cooperation in cross-border data exchange and cybersecurity are giving the digital agenda a broader, regional character.
From this standpoint, the existing bilateral experience serves as an important practical foundation for the 13th Summit of the Organization of Turkic States to be held in Ankara. Uzbekistan's digital ties with OTS states today span a wide range, from companies and export geography to startup investment, government services, data exchange and digital infrastructure.
The principal task ahead lies in developing these ties not as separate, isolated directions, but as an interconnected technological and economic space. Such a model could give rise to new markets for IT companies, capital and acceleration opportunities for startups, international experience for specialists, and new mechanisms for digital infrastructure and data exchange among states.
This is precisely what matters most ahead of the Ankara summit: digital cooperation within the OTS framework is no longer about technology alone. It is shaping the digital dimension of processes ranging from trade and investment to human capital, logistics, public administration and regional connectivity. Uzbekistan's bilateral experience accumulated in recent years remains one of the key factors defining the practical substance of this agenda.
The 21st century is increasingly being referred to as the era of cities. Today, urbanization extends far beyond the domestic policies of states. The quality of the urban environment directly influences countries’ investment attractiveness, economic resilience, and ability to adapt to climate challenges. Cities are increasingly becoming platforms for international cooperation, technology exchange, and the promotion of new models of sustainable development. In this era, cities are turning into a new diplomacy, a new economy, and a new form of global influence.
It is under these conditions that the 13th Session of the World Urban Forum is taking place in Baku under the theme “Housing for All: Safe and Resilient Cities and Communities.” This representative summit is dedicated to finding solutions to the global housing crisis, which today affects nearly 3 billion people.
It is symbolic that the global discussion on the future of cities is being held in one of the most dynamically transforming cities of Eurasia. Hosting the forum in Azerbaijan reflects the growing importance of the Caspian–Central Asian region as a new center of infrastructural, logistical, and urban development.
Over recent years, this vast region has gradually transformed not only into a major transport hub connecting East and West, but also into a space of large-scale urban transformation.
Baku itself has in recent years become a notable example of modernization in urban infrastructure, transportation systems, and public spaces. Additional significance is attached to Azerbaijan’s policy of restoring and modernizing liberated territories, where particular attention is paid to the concepts of “smart” and “green” cities.
Most cities and countries across Eurasia are changing rapidly. Central Asia is experiencing one of the most significant spatial transformations of recent decades. Population growth, the expansion of urban agglomerations, and increasing pressure on infrastructure require fundamentally new approaches to urban development.
All these processes are unfolding amid intensifying climate challenges. The consequences of the Aral Sea desiccation, water scarcity, and rising temperatures make urban resilience not only an environmental issue, but also a matter of the region’s long-term security.
According to the International Energy Agency, modern buildings consume around 30% of global energy and account for approximately 26% of global emissions. As a result, by the middle of the century more than 1.6 billion urban residents may face water shortages and climate-related risks. Close international cooperation in the sphere of sustainable urban development is becoming an inevitable paradigm.
It is therefore no coincidence that the urban agenda plays a prominent role in Uzbekistan’s development. In recent years, the development of urban environments, infrastructure, and housing construction has become one of the key priorities of the New Uzbekistan strategy. In the country, the construction process is viewed as the foundation for long-term economic growth, sustainability, and quality of life.
The participation of the President of Uzbekistan in the World Urban Forum reflects the country’s aspiration to integrate more actively into global urban policy. Of particular importance is the republic’s participation in the international exhibition Urban Expo, where the “New Tashkent” project, the “Yangi O‘zbekiston” residential complexes, and large-scale reforms in urban planning and housing policy are being presented.
Urbanization has become one of the key pillars of the New Uzbekistan strategy. According to forecasts, the country’s population may increase from 38 million to 50 million people over the next 15 years. Under these conditions, the development of cities, housing, and infrastructure becomes a matter of the state’s strategic future.
In recent years, Uzbekistan has been implementing the largest infrastructure and housing modernization program in the region. According to the Address of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev to the Oliy Majlis and the people of Uzbekistan, over the past nine years the country has constructed 210 million square meters of residential and non-residential facilities. In 2025 alone, multi-apartment residential buildings with a total area of 8.1 million square meters were commissioned, amounting to approximately 135,000 apartments.
Particular attention is being paid to the development of regions and small cities. Uzbekistan is pursuing a more balanced model of urbanization that предусматривает the development not only of the capital, but also of regional centers. An important element of the new urban policy is the environmental agenda. The country is introducing principles of “green” construction, expanding urban greening initiatives, and implementing the nationwide “Clean Air” project aimed at improving air quality.
The main symbol of the new era of urbanization is becoming the “New Tashkent” project — a modern next-generation megapolis with sustainable infrastructure, green areas, digital services, and a modern transport system. At the first stage, the project envisions infrastructure for 600,000 residents, while after full completion the population of New Tashkent may reach 2 million people.
“New Tashkent” demonstrates the country’s development priorities and redefines the very philosophy of the urban environment in Central Asia. The reforms initiated by the Leader of Uzbekistan have already transformed the country’s cities into a factor enhancing the nation’s international competitiveness.
At the forum, the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev presented his own comprehensive vision of what the cities of the future should become under conditions of rapid urbanization, climate challenges, and technological change. Traditionally, the Head of State addressed not only the national agenda, but also pressing issues concerning the global future of the modern urban environment.
One of the key initiatives is the idea of “balanced urbanization,” which implies the harmonious development not only of megacities, but also of small and medium-sized cities. At a time when the world’s largest cities are facing infrastructure overload, housing shortages, and deteriorating environmental conditions, this approach is becoming increasingly relevant.
In essence, this concerns the formation of a fairer and more sustainable model of urban development, where opportunities for comfortable living are created not only in capitals, but also in the regions.
Special attention has also been paid to the digital transformation of the urban environment. In particular, the initiative to establish a network of “smart and safe cities” for the exchange of technologies, advanced solutions, and experience in the fields of artificial intelligence, digital governance, and urban security appears highly relevant.
Against the backdrop of rapid technological advancement, such an initiative appears especially timely and reflects the country’s aspiration to participate more actively in shaping the new global technological agenda.
A separate topic of discussion was the climate resilience of cities. In the context of the intensifying climate crisis, there is a growing demand for promoting the principles of “green” urbanization and expanding environmental standards.
All these proposals are particularly relevant for Central Asia, where issues of water, ecology, and urban sustainability are already becoming matters of the region’s long-term security.
Importantly, today Uzbekistan is not limiting itself merely to discussing global challenges, but is striving to offer its own solutions. The large-scale reforms being implemented in the country, the construction of “New Tashkent,” and the promotion of modern approaches to urban development are gradually shaping a new image of Uzbekistan — a state ready not only to adapt to global changes, but also to participate in shaping the cities of the future.
This is precisely why it is becoming increasingly evident that, in the future, Uzbekistan is ready to become one of the international platforms for seeking constructive solutions on issues of global urbanization, sustainable development, and the formation of a new urban architecture for the 21st century.
In conclusion, it should be noted that the modern world is increasingly entering an era of global competition among cities, infrastructures, and quality of life. It is cities that in the coming decades will determine economic resilience, investment attractiveness, and the technological level of states. Against this backdrop, Central Asia is gradually turning into one of the new spaces of large-scale urban transformation in Eurasia.
By implementing the strategy of New Uzbekistan, our country is already shaping its own model of a modern, sustainable, and people-oriented city of the future. Large-scale reforms, infrastructure development, the promotion of the “green” agenda, and the “New Tashkent” project demonstrate the aspiration not only to adapt to global changes, but also to become one of the centers shaping the new urban architecture of the region.
Author: Guli Nizamova, Leading Research Fellow at the Center for Foreign Policy Studies and International Initiatives
Uzbekistan and Serbia are exploring new avenues for cooperation in environmental protection, sustainable natural resource management, biodiversity conservation and environmental education.
As an important step in advancing environmental dialogue, the participation of a delegation from the Republic of Serbia, led by Minister of Environmental Protection Sara Pavkov, in the 8th Assembly of the Global Environment Facility, held in Samarkand from May 30 to June 5, 2026, as well as in the international exhibition “Eco Expo Central Asia 2026,” held on June 2–4, can be highlighted. In particular, the Serbian side participated in the high-level plenary session on “Green Investments and Innovations” held as part of the exhibition.
One promising area of cooperation is the exchange of experience in forestry and sustainable forest management. Serbia has considerable practical expertise in managing forest resources and developing public–private partnerships. Between 2008 and 2023, the share of forested land in the country increased from 25% to 37%. Of Serbia’s forests, 53% are state-owned, while the remaining 47% are privately owned.
Cooperation in biodiversity conservation and the protection of natural ecosystems is another area of particular importance. Serbia has granted protected status to 460 natural sites, including five national parks, 17 nature parks, 20 protected landscapes, 68 nature reserves, 309 natural monuments and three protected habitats. Studying this experience is of practical interest for the further development and improvement of approaches to the conservation of natural areas and biodiversity in Uzbekistan.
Environmental education and scientific and academic cooperation represent another promising avenue for partnership. In particular, there is potential to expand cooperation between Serbia’s leading universities and the Central Asian University of Environmental and Climate Change Studies, Green University. Such initiatives could include joint academic programmes, scientific research, student and faculty exchanges, as well as the implementation of collaborative projects in the fields of climate change, biodiversity and sustainable development.
Serbian universities, including the University of Belgrade and the University of Novi Sad, have significant capacity in environmental sciences and are recognised among the world’s leading universities in relevant fields. This creates favourable opportunities for strengthening academic and research partnerships.
Eco Expo Central Asia 2027 could also serve as an important platform for further strengthening the environmental dialogue. The exhibition is scheduled to take place in June 2027 in Tashkent, alongside the Tashkent International Investment Forum, which will focus on “Sustainable Development and Green Investment”.
The Serbian side is invited to take an active part in the exhibition, which has already established itself as one of Central Asia’s leading environmental platforms. The successful organisation of Eco Expo Central Asia in Tashkent in 2025 and in Samarkand in 2026 demonstrated the strong interest of the international community in the region’s environmental initiatives.
The development of cooperation between Uzbekistan and Serbia in these areas will help expand the exchange of advanced practices, promote joint environmental and investment projects, strengthen scientific and educational ties and create new opportunities for advancing the principles of sustainable development and “green” economy.
Mahmud Khaydarov,
Chief Specialist of the Department of International Cooperation, Grants and Rankings of the National Committee on Ecology and Climate Change
The text of the article is in Uzbek!
For decades, Afghanistan was perceived primarily as a source of instability, geopolitical rivalry and security threats. In recent years, however, the regional agenda surrounding Afghanistan has gradually been shifting. Increasingly, expert and diplomatic circles in the Central Asian states are discussing not only the question of security but also Afghanistan’s potential as a transport, energy and trade corridor capable of linking Central and South Asia.
In this context, the «Termez Dialogue»[1] acquires particular significance as a platform symbolizing the transition from a policy of isolation to a pragmatic model of regional interaction. For Uzbekistan and its neighbors, the issue is no longer merely the stabilization of Afghanistan, but the formation of a new geoeconomic architecture for Eurasia.
From a Geopolitical Buffer to a Geoeconomic Bridge
Historically, Afghanistan lay at the crossroads of major trade routes connecting the East, Central Asia and the Indian subcontinent. In the twentieth and early twenty-first centuries, however, the country became a space of geopolitical confrontation among world powers rather than a territory of cooperation.
Today the situation is gradually changing under the influence of several factors at once. Firstly, global logistics is undergoing a profound transformation. Geopolitical tension, sanctions restrictions and crises affecting traditional transport routes are forcing states to seek new paths for trade and transit. Secondly, the Central Asian states are increasingly striving to diversify their foreign economic ties and reduce their dependence on a limited number of transport directions.
Against this backdrop, Afghanistan is acquiring new significance as the shortest overland route capable of providing the Central Asian states with access to the ports of the Indian Ocean through the territory of Pakistan. Whereas the Afghan factor was once viewed primarily through the lens of threats, today growing attention is being paid to its transit potential.
Of particular importance in this regard is the project of the Trans-Afghan Railway Corridor[2]. Initially, the principal route was considered to be Termez – Mazar-i-Sharif – Kabul – Peshawar. However, by 2025 the states of the region moved[3] to elaborating a new direction: Termez – Naibabad – Maidan Shahr – Logar – Kharlachi. This route implies access to the Pakistani railway network through the Kharlachi border crossing and is regarded as more realistic in terms of security, cost, and implementation timelines.
The realization of this project could substantially reshape[4] the transport geography of the region. For the Central Asian states, this would mean: a reduction in cargo delivery times; a decrease in transport costs; access to the new markets of South Asia; an expansion of export opportunities; a strengthening of the region’s transit potential.
Especially important is the fact that this concerns access to the South Asian market, with a population of nearly two billion people. For the export-oriented economies of Central Asia, this opens up fundamentally new prospects.
Equally important are the energy projects passing through Afghanistan. Among them are CASA-1000 and the TAPI gas pipeline, both intended to facilitate electricity and natural gas supplies between Central and South Asia.
These processes reflect a broader transformation of regional politics: states increasingly view Afghanistan not only as a source of risk but also as an important element of the transport architecture of Eurasia. Priority is shifting more and more from politically symbolic objectives toward the pragmatic logic of transit, connectivity, and economic efficiency.
Termez — the Southern Gateway of Central Asia
A special role in shaping the new regional interaction is played by Termez - the southernmost city of Uzbekistan, which is gradually turning into an important logistical, diplomatic, and humanitarian center. Its significance is reinforced by its unique geographical position: the city lies in the immediate proximity of the Afghan border, connected to it by a bridge across the Amudarya river, across which hundreds of cargo trucks and substantial flows of humanitarian aid and commercial goods pass daily[5].
In logistical terms, Termez relies on developed infrastructure, including an international transport and logistics hub and a rail connection with the Afghan city of Hairatan, through which millions of tons of cargo are transshipped each year. This corridor is considered one of the most stable and manageable routes of regional trade with Afghanistan.
An additional dimension of Termez’s role is formed by its humanitarian component: the city operates[6] as a platform for coordinating international assistance to Afghanistan, where deliveries of food, medicine, and basic goods are regularly carried out with the participation of international organizations. In 2025, the hub was incorporated into the UNHCR Global Supply Network, through which humanitarian aid shipments worth more than $500 million are distributed annually[7].
At the same time, through Termez, Uzbekistan is actively promoting the concept of regional connectivity, in which Afghanistan is viewed not as a peripheral zone of instability but as a transit bridge capable of linking the markets of Central and South Asia. In this context, Termez is becoming not merely a border town, but an infrastructural and politico-economic node of a new regional architecture founded on pragmatism, trade interdependence, and phased integration.
In this context, Uzbekistan has attempted to institutionalize this Forum. Thus, in 2025 the international forum “Termez Dialogue” was held in Termez, devoted to questions of peace, stability, and economic interaction with Afghanistan. It was attended by representatives of the Central and South Asian states, as well as international organizations, including UN structures. The forum became one of the first attempts to institutionalize the discussion of Afghanistan precisely as an economic partner of the region.
Earlier, in 2021, Uzbekistan initiated[8] the international conference “Central and South Asia: Regional Connectivity. Challenges and Opportunities,” held in Tashkent. One of the central themes of the event was the role of Afghanistan as a transit link between the two macro-regions. The conference was attended by representatives of more than 40 states and international organizations, which underscored the global interest in the Uzbek initiative.
The Termez Dialogue as a New Model of Regionalism
Under present-day conditions, the “Termez Dialogue” acquires significance not only as a diplomatic platform but also as a symbol of a new model of regional interaction.
What is at issue is the formation of an approach in which the states of the region strive to build mechanisms of cooperation independently, proceeding above all from common economic interests and mutual infrastructural interdependence.
In this sense, Afghanistan is gradually becoming not an object of external administration but a potential participant in a new system of regional connectivity.
For Central Asia, the development of the southern direction means an expansion of strategic autonomy, a diversification of foreign economic routes, and a strengthening of its own agency in international relations.
It is precisely for this reason that the future of Afghanistan is increasingly viewed not only as a question of security but also as a question of regional integration, logistics and geoeconomics.
Conclusion
Today Afghanistan stands at a historical crossroads. The country may either remain a space of chronic instability or gradually be transformed into a vital transport and economic bridge between Central and South Asia.
To a large extent, the outcome will depend on the ability of the regional states to construct a long-term strategy of cooperation founded not only on questions of security but also on the development of infrastructure, trade, and mutual economic interest.
In this process, Termez is already becoming one of the key centers of the new Eurasian interaction - a space in which the transition from geopolitical rivalry to geoeconomic partnership is taking shape.
Aziza Mukhammedova
Research Fellow
Center for Afghanistan and South Asian Studies at the
Institute for Advanced International Studies
[1] https://www.euronews.com/2025/05/21/central-asian-countries-push-for-regional-development-at-termez-dialogue
[2] https://pakistan.mfa.uz/ru/news/trans-afghan-corridor-a-new-bridge-connecting-central-asia-with-the-world-1
[3] https://kun.uz/en/news/2025/07/18/uzbekistan-afghanistan-and-pakistan-agree-to-develop-new-railway-corridor
[4] https://thediplomat.com/2024/05/uzbekistan-and-the-new-realities-of-trans-afghan-trade/
[5] https://eurasianet.org/uzbekistan-offers-to-act-as-hub-for-afghanistan-aid
[6] https://unsdg.un.org/latest/stories/uzbekistan-steps-support-neighbor-afghanistan-critical-humanitarian-juncture
[7] https://iica.uz/ru/news/2025/02/13/termiz-logistik-habi-bmtning-global-yetkazib-berish-tarmogiga-qoshildi
Since 2017, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev’s administration has pursued a sweeping reform agenda, liberalizing the economy while strengthening social welfare. These reforms are enshrined in new policies and the 2023 Constitution, which explicitly defines Uzbekistan as a “social state” responsible for ensuring employment and reducing poverty. The government’s national strategy (“Uzbekistan–2030”) even set a target of halving poverty by 2026. In short, Uzbekistan’s policy framework has shifted toward the combined goals of economic growth and inclusive social protection.
By 2023 the new National Agency for Social Protection (NASP) and community “Inson” service centres were delivering aid to roughly 2.3 million needy families – about a four-fold increase from 2017. Pensions and basic benefits were also raised: for instance, pension and disability payments in real terms are now about 1.5 times higher than before the reforms.
Community service is delivered through Inson centers, one-stop offices in each locality that help citizens apply for benefits and services. These “Inson” centres provide personal assistance with applications and information, reflecting a shift to integrated, client-oriented support. Relatedly, a new registry of persons requiring care has been established (by 2023 it contained ~17,800 profiles) to manage support for the disabled and elderly; each case is reviewed quarterly so that aid can be adjusted as needed. Together, these digital tools and organizational changes – one-stop “Inson” centers, a unified registry, targeted lists and case management – represent a modern social protection architecture far beyond Uzbekistan’s previous fragmented system.
International partners have closely supported and evaluated these reforms. The World Bank has played a leading role: it delivered roughly $2.1 billion through policy-based loans (2018–2021) to finance structural reforms in jobs, governance and social policy. In mid-2024 the Bank approved an additional $100 million “INSON” project to improve social care for vulnerable groups. This project will establish more than 50 community-based social service centres and expand services to some 50,000 people (including older persons, disabled, and children).
Within the framework of the “From Poverty to Prosperity” program, launched on 1 November 2024, families receive support across seven key dimensions:
More than 600,000 families have gained access to 1.3 million social services aimed at employment and income growth. Members of these families have also benefited from over 2.2 million guaranteed healthcare services, directly contributing to their sustainable participation in the labor market.
Expanding Social Care Provision
For individuals requiring continuous care, a new model of service provision through private providers has been introduced. These services include household assistance, home- and field-based care, medical and social rehabilitation, and personal assistant support. Currently, 13,800 individuals — representing 76% of all those in need of care — receive such services from the private sector.
According to the Presidential Decree of the Republic of Uzbekistan, by 2030 the number of recipients of social services is expected to reach at least 3 million citizens annually, while the share of services provided by the non-state sector will rise to 30%. This approach fully aligns with the principles of the social and solidarity economy.
The programs implemented by the National Agency for Social Protection are characterized as accessible, effective, and oriented toward sustainable economic development.
As part of the “From Poverty to Prosperity” program, a National Registry of Poor Families has been established. The identification of households and decisions regarding their inclusion are made directly at the community (mahalla) level. As of today, 667,000 families, comprising approximately 2.8 million individuals, have been registered. This provides a comprehensive understanding of their living conditions and the opportunities for poverty reduction.
In the first nine months of the current year, the average per capita income among registered families has nearly doubled, rising from 174,000 soums (~USD 14) to 338,000 soums (~USD 27) per month. Furthermore, 73,000 families that previously had no income now earn official wages. During the same period, 150,000 families have successfully escaped poverty, with 105,000 (70%) doing so primarily due to increased formal employment income.
To ensure targeted support, families are categorized into three groups:
This classification enables the application of differentiated measures: “red” families receive priority care and social support; “yellow” families are targeted with employment and training programs; and “green” families benefit from measures aimed at preventing a return to poverty.
Within this framework, the development of a “care economy” has emerged as a key priority. The Agency has introduced daycare services for children with disabilities and the “Step into an Active Life” program for older persons. These initiatives enable family members to participate in the labor market, thereby activating previously unpaid caregivers.
Investing in Human Capital
Particular attention is given to children from low-income families. The state subsidizes up to 90% of the costs associated with their education and development. In 2025, 125,000 children from poor households gained preferential access to preschools, demonstrating how social protection systems can make an indirect yet significant contribution to poverty reduction.
In conclusion, the programs implemented by the National Agency for Social Protection go far beyond material support. They create enabling conditions for income generation, employment, and human capital development, thereby contributing directly to the sustainable economic growth of the country.
Olima Almatova Qorabekovna, a resident of “Ezgulik” makhalla, Buka district, Tashkent region, who received support from the Agency, said:
“My spouse worked at the mining combine for forty years, but after he became ill, he could no longer continue. For his sake, I took on whatever jobs people offered me. When the doctors suggested placing stents in his heart arteries, I refused, saying: ‘Whatever help you can give, give it to my family. I’ve lived my life, I am already sixty-seven. I’ve seen so much — whatever comes, I will accept it. I don’t need stents. I only ask that you give a little help to my family.’
When support arrived under the President’s decision, I cannot express how happy I was. I said: ‘Oh God, there really is someone who came to open my door.’ They came and extended a helping hand. We planted cucumbers and tomatoes, and soon money began to come in. We have already earned income three times. So much support has reached us, and we are deeply grateful to our President. Feeding even one family is difficult, yet he is taking care of millions. For those who are struggling and in need, such help gives strength, brings joy, and inspires them to move forward. One can hardly imagine just how powerful that is.”
In conclusion, the programs implemented by the National Agency for Social Protection go far beyond material support. They create enabling conditions for income generation, employment, and human capital development, thereby contributing directly to the sustainable economic growth of the country.