The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) examines the prospects for expanding trade, economic and investment cooperation between Uzbekistan and Serbia.

As Uzbekistan broadens its economic engagement with Europe, new avenues for cooperation are emerging. Serbia is becoming one of these promising directions, with its strategic location offering Uzbek businesses additional opportunities to access markets across Central and Southeastern Europe.

For Serbia, closer cooperation with Uzbekistan provides access to Central Asia’s growing market as well as new manufacturing and investment opportunities. This complementarity creates considerable scope for taking bilateral economic relations well beyond their current level.

A New Stage in Economic Relations

Economic ties between Uzbekistan and Serbia have gained significant momentum in recent years. In April 2023, Serbia’s First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs Ivica Dacic paid an official visit to Uzbekistan.

A major milestone came with the first official visit of Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic to Uzbekistan on October 28–31, 2025. Following talks in Tashkent, the two countries signed an Agreement on the Reciprocal Promotion and Protection of Investments and an Agreement on Economic Cooperation.

These agreements established a stronger institutional framework for investment projects and more systematic cooperation between businesses in the two countries.

In May 2026, during a visit by Serbian Foreign Minister Marko Duric, the two sides continued discussions on expanding trade and industrial cooperation. Mechanical engineering, pharmaceuticals, the chemical industry, agriculture and a number of other sectors were identified among the most promising areas.

The economic rationale for closer cooperation is closely linked to the geographical positions of the two countries and their ability to provide access to broader regional markets.

Serbia lies at the heart of the Balkans, connecting the markets of Central and Southeastern Europe. Uzbekistan, meanwhile, has the largest consumer market in Central Asia and a rapidly expanding industrial base.

This economic complementarity creates opportunities that extend well beyond bilateral trade. For Uzbek businesses, Serbia can serve as a gateway to European markets through the Balkans. For Serbian companies, Uzbekistan offers a platform for expanding their presence across Central Asia.

Trade Is Gaining Momentum

Trade between Uzbekistan and Serbia has expanded rapidly in recent years. Between 2016 and 2025, bilateral trade increased almost ninefold, from $1.4 million to $12 million.

In 2025, Uzbekistan exported $0.9 million worth of goods and services to Serbia, while imports from Serbia exceeded $11 million.

The composition of trade highlights the different nature of the two countries’ supplies.

Food products accounted for the largest share of Uzbekistan’s exports to Serbia at 47%, followed by manufactured goods at 23.8%, services at 20.8%, chemical products at 4.8%, crude materials excluding food at 2.4%, and mineral fuels and lubricants at 1%.

Serbian exports to Uzbekistan, by contrast, are predominantly industrial in nature. Machinery and transport equipment accounted for 50% of imports, followed by chemical products at 20.1% and manufactured goods at 16.8%. Food products represented 4.8%, miscellaneous manufactured articles 4.2%, services 2.6%, and crude materials excluding food 1.5%.

Together, machinery and transport equipment, chemical products and manufactured goods account for 87% of Serbian supplies to Uzbekistan. This predominantly industrial structure creates a solid foundation for developing deeper production cooperation between companies in the two countries.

In 2026, nine enterprises with Serbian capital were operating in Uzbekistan. The cumulative volume of foreign direct investment and loans attracted from Serbia between 2016 and 2025 amounted to $2.2 million.

The next stage of bilateral cooperation could therefore involve a transition toward more sophisticated forms of economic engagement, including contract manufacturing, localization and joint investment projects.

From Trade to Industrial Cooperation

The greatest potential for further cooperation lies in expanding production and investment links between companies in the two countries.

Particularly promising areas include light industry, pharmaceuticals, mechanical engineering, electrical engineering, the chemical industry and energy. Opportunities in these sectors include placing manufacturing orders with Uzbek enterprises, localizing production, producing components and implementing joint projects.

Infrastructure represents another promising area. Uzbekistan’s potential participation in railway projects in Serbia is currently being explored. Such cooperation could enable Uzbek companies to expand exports of engineering and construction services and gain experience in implementing projects in European markets.

Serbian companies, in turn, could broaden their participation in infrastructure and industrial projects in Uzbekistan.

Stronger production linkages between enterprises could also increase the involvement of local suppliers from both countries in international value chains.

The new institutional framework, together with investment initiatives and growing industrial cooperation, creates the conditions for bilateral economic relations to move toward a broader and more diversified model.

The Balkan direction could thus become an important route for expanding the presence of Uzbek businesses in Europe, while Uzbekistan could serve as a platform for Serbian companies seeking to establish a long-term presence in Central Asia.

As production ties deepen, companies from Uzbekistan and Serbia may also gain new opportunities to jointly enter third-country markets.

Khurshed Asadov,
Deputy Director of Center for Economic Research and Reforms

Today, the combined economic potential of the OTS countries exceeds $2.1 trillion. In 2025, the economies of these countries grew by 6.8 percent. Uzbekistan’s trade turnover with OTS countries reached $10.8 billion in 2025.

These figures demonstrate the significant potential for economic cooperation across the Turkic world.

Turning Economic Initiatives into Practical Mechanisms

A key aspect of Uzbekistan’s approach within the OTS is its focus on strengthening economic cooperation through concrete mechanisms and projects. Currently, practical cooperation is being carried out in more than 35 areas within the Organization. Uzbekistan has also put forward the idea of creating a “Space of New Economic Opportunities” in the near future, bringing together favorable conditions for trade, business, and mutual investment, as well as the necessary legal framework and infrastructure.

The President of the Republic of Uzbekistan has also proposed establishing a Permanent Council on Economic Partnership of the Turkic States and locating its Project Office in Tashkent. Such a mechanism could help move from discussing economic initiatives to their systematic preparation and implementation.

Another important initiative put forward by Uzbekistan is the establishment of a Turkic States Industrial Alliance. Cooperation in such sectors as mechanical engineering, electrical engineering, mining, petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, textiles, food processing, and construction materials could enable the formation of new production chains across the OTS region. In this regard, a cooperation model based on the principle of “raw materials – processing – science and technology – finished products” is of particular importance.

For Uzbekistan, this model could, on the one hand, facilitate the integration of domestic producers into major regional value chains and, on the other, support the production of higher value-added goods and the expansion of export destinations.

Transport Connectivity as the Economic Foundation of Integration

Uzbekistan’s geographical location makes transport connectivity a strategically important area of economic integration within the OTS. As a landlocked country, the development of new transport corridors is one of the key factors determining the competitiveness of Uzbekistan’s foreign trade.

In this regard, the development of the Middle Corridor and its connection with the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway currently under construction could create new economic opportunities. In the future, connecting this system with the Trans-Afghan Corridor could further strengthen Central Asia’s potential to become a major transport hub linking the markets of East Asia, South Asia, the Caucasus, Türkiye, and Europe.

New Financial Infrastructure

Deepening economic integration also requires institutions capable of financing it. In this regard, the establishment of the Turkic Investment Fund has marked a new stage in cooperation within the OTS. The Fund is focused on developing trade and economic cooperation, financing joint projects, and supporting small and medium-sized enterprises.

The launch of the Fund’s operational activities in 2026, along with the establishment of the OTS Council of Central Bank Governors and the Turkic Council for Green Finance, demonstrates that the financial infrastructure of a common economic space is gradually taking shape.

Uzbekistan supports efforts to combine the resources of the Turkic Investment Fund with those of other international financial institutions. In particular, it has proposed establishing strategic cooperation between the Fund and the Islamic Development Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, as well as other international and national financial institutions.

Such an approach could enable the OTS to combine its own financial resources with international capital and expand opportunities for financing large-scale infrastructure, industrial, energy, and green projects.

Digital Economy – A New Frontier of Integration

The next major growth area for economic integration among the Turkic states is linked to the digital economy and artificial intelligence.

At the informal OTS summit held in Turkistan in 2026, Uzbekistan proposed establishing a strategic cooperation network in the field of artificial intelligence and developing a “Digital Turkic Corridor Concept”. The concept is aimed at interconnecting data centers across the region through high-speed communication networks, developing a unified modern digital space, and creating a new market for technology-based services.

This initiative is particularly important for Uzbekistan. The country’s geographical position in Central Asia could strengthen its future role not only as a transport hub, but also as a center for digital transit and data exchange.

Green Economy and New Markets

New sources of growth for the Turkic states are not limited to traditional industries. Renewable energy, green hydrogen and ammonia, critical minerals, organic agriculture, and environmental technologies are emerging as promising areas of cooperation.

The “Green Transformation” Consortium proposed by Uzbekistan is aimed at jointly implementing green energy projects, attracting technologies and standards, and expanding the use of public-private partnership mechanisms. In the area of critical minerals, the focus is shifting from exporting raw materials toward their deep processing and the production of higher value-added goods.

The significant agricultural potential of the OTS countries, their diverse climate zones, and proximity to major consumer markets create opportunities for establishing new cooperation chains in the production and export of organic products. In this area, Uzbekistan has proposed combining scientific research, breeding, production, and logistics capabilities and, in the future, bringing products to global markets under a common brand.

A New Stage – New Opportunities

Today, economic cooperation within the Organization of Turkic States is moving to a qualitatively new stage. Alongside increasing trade volumes, industrial cooperation, mutual investment, transport and digital connectivity, energy, and new financial mechanisms are becoming key areas of the common economic agenda.

This creates broad opportunities for making more effective use of the potential available across the OTS region and developing new sources of economic growth.

Opening ceremony will take place on 12 October at the Central Exhibition Hall

11^th Tashkent International Biennale of Contemporary Art, titled “Event Horizon”, will be held in Tashkent from 12^th to 16^th October this year.

Works by international and Uzbek artists will be displayed at leading museums and galleries across the capital. Program will also include a visit to Samarkand, giving cultural tourists visiting Uzbekistan in October an opportunity to explore both contemporary art and the country’s historical heritage as part of a single trip.

Biennale has been held every two years since 2001. This year’s theme explores the human condition at the threshold of technological and cultural change. According to the concept of the event, Tashkent, located at the crossroads of ancient caravan routes, is presented as an “oasis” — a symbol of hope and new meanings.

Opening ceremony will take place on 12^th October at the Central Exhibition Hall. In the following days, exhibitions will open at the Tashkent House of Photography, the Kamoliddin Behzad Museum of Miniature Art of the East, the Uzbekistan State Museum of Arts and the Ikuo Hirayama International Culture Caravanserai. The programme will also feature performances, masterclasses, an international scientific and practical conference, and the “Charxpalak” exhibition dedicated to the 35^th anniversary of Uzbekistan’s independence. The biennale will conclude on 16^th October

The 10^th biennale, held in 2024, brought together more than 40 international participants from around 30 countries.

Dunyo IA

On November 6, 2026, Astana will host an international conference on “Artificial Intelligence Safety.” The importance of this issue for Uzbekistan’s development is reflected in the planned participation of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev.

The introduction of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies creates new opportunities for economic development and many other areas of society. Their potential benefits are already widely recognized.

The economic impact of AI is primarily reflected in higher labor productivity, as software systems increasingly perform routine and repetitive tasks. This allows enterprises to accomplish more at lower costs, while government agencies can provide public services more quickly and efficiently, improving their quality and reducing budget expenditures.

The high efficiency of AI technologies has triggered an investment boom in the sector. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), investment in AI infrastructure is helping sustain global economic growth at around 3%, while contributing an additional 0.2–0.8 percentage points to growth in developing Asian economies. At the beginning of 2025, the global AI market was projected to reach $15 trillion by 2030. More recent estimates exceed $20 trillion. In Uzbekistan, the market for AI-based services could reach $10 billion by 2030.

According to McKinsey, global investment in AI totaled $167.7 billion in 2025. Most of this funding was directed toward data centers, cloud platforms and the development of new AI models. The number of job vacancies related to agentic AI increased more than tenfold over the year, while employees with AI skills earned, on average, 56% more than other workers.

Uzbekistan’s AI Development Strategy

The development of AI technologies has become one of Uzbekistan’s key priorities. Importantly, technological development and the establishment of a regulatory framework are progressing in parallel. In October 2024, Uzbekistan approved its Strategy for the Development of Artificial Intelligence Technologies through 2030.

The strategy envisages increasing the value of AI-based software products and services to $1.5 billion, establishing research laboratories and placing Uzbekistan among the world’s top 50 countries in the AI Readiness Index. A presidential decree issued in October 2025 set the objective of opening 15 AI laboratories at higher education institutions by the end of 2026. In 2026, Uzbekistan joined the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization (WAICO).

The legal framework for AI development was established in January 2026, when legislation introduced a formal definition of artificial intelligence for the first time. The law also established mandatory human oversight of decisions affecting citizens’ rights and introduced administrative liability for the unlawful processing of personal data using AI. In March 2026, ethical rules governing the use of AI technologies were approved.

At the same time, Uzbekistan is developing the computing infrastructure required for AI applications. Since January 1, 2026, government agencies and enterprises have been permitted to purchase graphics processing units (GPUs) directly from manufacturers’ authorized distributors. A modular AI computing center is scheduled to be established in the Republic of Karakalpakstan by 2027. Under a government resolution dated October 20, 2026, universities, research institutions and startups have been granted access to the AI infrastructure of the Ministry of Digital Technologies free of charge or on preferential terms for up to six months.

AI adoption in Uzbekistan is now moving from individual projects toward systematic implementation. In July 2026, the country’s first NVIDIA-based supercomputer was commissioned at the Digital Government data center, ranking 321st globally in computing performance. During its first month of operation, the computing cluster reached 90% utilization, indicating strong demand for AI computing capacity. Plans call for a threefold expansion of this capacity within the following year.

AI technologies are also gradually becoming part of widely used public services. Taxpayers can receive interactive assistance through the Tax Committee’s ai.soliq.uz portal. Justice authorities provide round-the-clock consultations, while the Customs Committee uses AI to assess risks associated with shipments and customs declarations. By the end of 2026, at least 100 AI-based projects are expected to be implemented in healthcare, energy, banking, transport and agriculture.

Uzbekistan has climbed 25 positions to 62nd place in the international AI Readiness Index, reflecting the progress achieved in this area. The country aims to enter the world’s top 50 by 2030.

Cybersecurity Threats

The development of AI technologies creates not only new opportunities but also additional risks. These are particularly evident in cybersecurity, where AI tools can be used both by law enforcement agencies to strengthen protection and by criminals to conduct illegal activities.

AI systems can analyze millions of operations in real time and operate considerably faster than humans. However, cybercriminals are increasingly exploiting the same capabilities. Fraudulent messages are becoming more convincing, while malicious software can be developed more rapidly. Traditional security measures are proving insufficient against such threats. As a result, global investment in cybersecurity and the resilience of digital systems reached $77.5 billion in 2025.

Combating cybercrime has therefore become a separate priority of Uzbekistan’s public policy. Over the past six years, the number of reported cybercrime incidents has increased 48-fold, while 82% of fraud cases in 2025 occurred in the digital environment.

To counter these threats, Uzbekistan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs, together with the Central Bank, developed an AI-based system that prevented the illegal transfer of 29 trillion sums and blocked more than 18,800 suspicious bank cards during the first half of 2026.

Furthermore, 2026 has been declared the Year of Combating Cybercrime within the Ministry of Internal Affairs. Since the beginning of the year, 17,500 cybercrimes have been solved, while more than 19,000 citizens have recovered losses totaling over 209.9 billion sums. The APK Qo'riqchi platform and the CyberWeek public awareness program have also been launched.

Pressure on Energy, Water Resources and the Labor Market

Beyond cybersecurity threats, the rapid expansion of AI is creating substantial additional pressure on energy systems, water resources and labor markets. These challenges are particularly relevant to Uzbekistan, given its growing electricity demand, limited water resources and young population. Accordingly, special attention is being paid to measures aimed at mitigating these risks.

Energy. Training and operating AI models require large data centers that consume considerable amounts of electricity. Consequently, AI development must be accompanied by a corresponding expansion of electricity generation capacity.

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), data centers accounted for approximately 1.5% of global electricity consumption in 2024. By 2030, their electricity demand is expected to more than double, reaching 945 terawatt-hours (TWh). Countries that incorporate rising electricity requirements into their AI development plans at an early stage will have an advantage over those that encounter power shortages after launching major projects.

Uzbekistan is pursuing the former approach. The combined planned capacity of the country’s data center projects is approximately 1.4 GW. At full utilization, these facilities would consume around 12.2 billion kWh of electricity annually, equivalent to 14.1% of Uzbekistan’s total electricity generation in 2025.

Four major data centers are planned for Tashkent (500 MW), Bukhara Region (300 MW), Surkhandarya Region (300 MW) and Karakalpakstan (300 MW).

By 2030, national electricity generation is expected to increase from 86.7 billion to 125.8 billion kWh. As a result, the share of electricity consumed by these data centers would decline to 9.7% of total generation.

To meet growing demand, Uzbekistan plans to double its installed power generation capacity from 25.8 GW to 51.6 GW. This expansion will include more than 17 GW of renewable energy capacity and a nuclear power plant in Jizzakh Region.

Water resources. The expansion of data centers also increases demand for water used to cool servers and computing equipment.

Evaporative cooling systems consume approximately 1.8 liters of water per kilowatt-hour. At a continuous load of 1.4 GW, this would correspond to roughly 60,000 cubic meters of water per day.

Given Uzbekistan’s existing water constraints, water consumption is being considered at the planning stage of AI infrastructure development. Air cooling, direct liquid cooling and the use of industrial water can reduce freshwater consumption severalfold.

Incorporating these requirements into projects from the outset would allow Uzbekistan to develop its data center infrastructure while minimizing competition with agriculture for limited water resources.

Labor market. According to IMF estimates, AI could partially or fully automate tasks associated with approximately 40% of jobs worldwide.

Occupations involving repetitive activities, including accountants, call center operators, administrative staff and entry-level programmers, are among those most exposed to automation. At the same time, demand is increasing for specialists capable of developing and implementing AI systems.

These trends make AI-related training and the development of complementary professional skills increasingly important priorities for the education system.

Beginning with the 2026–2027 academic year, topics related to the practical application of AI technologies are being incorporated into general secondary and higher education curricula.

More than 1.5 million users have already obtained AI-related certificates. Specialized training programs have been completed by 900 managers, more than 3,000 civil servants, 1,000 banking employees and 200 advisers.

By the end of 2026, the number of resident companies operating in this sector is expected to reach 300, with their services totaling 2 trillion sums and exports reaching $160 million.

Sector-specific hackathons and competitions have been held in Nukus, Samarkand, Termez, Bukhara, Fergana, Andijan, Gulistan and Jizzakh. In addition, a national hackathon with a prize fund of 2 billion sums is organized annually.

The government has also set the objective of fully implementing the “Five Million AI Leaders” initiative over the next two years.

Thus, Uzbekistan is undertaking large-scale efforts to develop the human resources required for the expansion and effective application of AI technologies.

The Need for International Cooperation

As AI-related cybersecurity threats extend beyond national borders, ensuring AI safety requires international cooperation and coordination.

Kazakhstan is one of Uzbekistan’s closest partners in this field. The country has declared 2026 the Year of Digitalization and Artificial Intelligence, established the Ministry of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Development, and launched the international Alem.AI center. Its national supercomputer, Alem.Cloud, ranks 86th globally in computing performance.

Moreover, Uzbekistan’s IT Park and Kazakhstan’s Astana Hub have signed a memorandum on organizing joint technology forums, webinars, business missions and B2B meetings, as well as strengthening cooperation between the two countries’ startup ecosystems.

The challenges associated with AI development extend beyond cybercrime to energy supply, water resources and labor market transformation. These challenges are highly relevant to both Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, given the similarities in their climatic and demographic conditions.

This creates a strong basis for closer bilateral cooperation and coordination in addressing the risks accompanying the development and widespread adoption of AI technologies.

Against this background, the international conference on “Artificial Intelligence Safety” in Astana is particularly timely and relevant not only for Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan but also for other countries.

The conference is expected to provide an opportunity to discuss practical solutions to existing challenges and develop new forms of interstate cooperation aimed at addressing them.

Drawing on its accumulated experience in AI development, regulation and cybersecurity, Uzbekistan can make a meaningful contribution to the discussions and to the formulation of joint approaches for ensuring the safe and sustainable development of artificial intelligence.

Farkhad Tutkabaev,

Center for Economic Research and Reforms

The forthcoming state visit of President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev to Kyrgyzstan on 30–31 July will mark a new milestone in the development of Uzbek–Kyrgyz relations, which have undergone a profound transformation in recent years—from overcoming accumulated disagreements to building a comprehensive model of strategic cooperation.

Today, relations between the two countries are experiencing one of the most substantive periods in their history. Only a few years ago, a significant part of the bilateral agenda concerned issues relating to the state border, the operation of border checkpoints, and the restoration of mutual trust. However, consistent political dialogue has made it possible to resolve the outstanding issues and create space for a new level of cooperation in industry, investment, energy, transport, cross-border development, and the humanitarian sphere.

At the heart of these changes lies the political will of the leaders of the two states. Reciprocal visits and a shared readiness to seek mutually acceptable solutions have created a new atmosphere of trust that now defines the nature of bilateral cooperation. The regular and trust-based dialogue between President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev and President of the Kyrgyz Republic Sadyr Japarov has brought bilateral relations to a fundamentally new level. The signing of the Declaration on Comprehensive Strategic Partnership in 2023 was a logical continuation of this course. The document became both a political symbol of rapprochement and an institutional foundation for long-term cooperation, formalizing the transition of relations to a qualitatively new stage.

The main achievement of recent years is that the border between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan is no longer perceived solely as a dividing line. It is gradually becoming a space for economic growth, people-to-people contacts, and shared opportunities. This transformation has been one of the most significant accomplishments of the new era of Uzbek–Kyrgyz relations. The final settlement of state border issues was of particular historical importance.

The signing in Khujand on 31 March 2025 of the Treaty on the Junction Point of the State Borders of Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan demonstrated the ability of the region’s states to resolve the most complex issues independently, on the basis of mutual respect and due consideration of one another’s interests.

It is symbolic that the successful completion of the process of resolving border issues in Central Asia has also received international recognition. Adopted on 20 May 2026 at the initiative of the Kyrgyz Republic, the United Nations General Assembly resolution entitled “Peaceful Settlement of Border Disputes” established at the global level the principles of resolving territorial issues peacefully through dialogue, mutual trust, and consideration of the interests of all parties. For Central Asia, where historic progress has been achieved in recent years in the delimitation of state borders, the document represented important confirmation of the relevance of the region’s accumulated experience and recognition of the contribution made by Central Asian countries to international security.

The political and legal foundation that has been established is now undergoing further institutional development. The leaders’ declarations and agreements are supported by a comprehensive set of mechanisms, including the Supreme Interstate Council, the Intergovernmental Commission, the Interparliamentary Commission, the Business Council, and formats for interregional cooperation. Significantly, the twelfth meeting of the Joint Intergovernmental Commission was held in Cholpon-Ata in June this year, during which the parties agreed on further measures to expand trade, industrial cooperation, and transport and energy interaction.

The intensive political dialogue is naturally reflected in the economy, which today serves as one of the clearest indicators of the changes that have taken place. Over the past ten years, bilateral trade has increased more than sevenfold, from USD 167.5 million to USD 1.2 billion. Last year alone, growth of 40 percent was recorded.

At the same time, Uzbekistan has become one of Kyrgyzstan’s largest trading partners, accounting for approximately 7 percent of its foreign trade turnover. It is noteworthy that mutual trade has become considerably more diversified in recent years.

Whereas bilateral trade was previously based mainly on the exchange of agricultural products, it is now increasingly dominated by higher value-added goods and products from processing industries. In particular, more than 90 percent of Uzbek exports consist of processed products (40 percent), finished goods (45 percent), and services (6 percent).

A clear example of this progress is the growing number of enterprises involving capital from the two countries. More than 300 enterprises with Kyrgyz investment currently operate in Uzbekistan, while around 70 enterprises involving Uzbek businesses operate in Kyrgyzstan. This indicates that the business communities of the two countries increasingly regard each other not only as markets for their products, but also as partners in joint production and the development of long-term industrial ties.

The Uzbekistan–Kyrgyzstan Development Fund has become an important instrument in supporting this trend. The decision to increase its authorized capital to USD 200 million significantly expands opportunities to finance projects in industry, agriculture, logistics, energy, construction, tourism, and services. This is helping to create a more sustainable economic foundation for bilateral cooperation. In the future, joint ventures could become the core of cross-border production chains targeting third-country markets by combining Uzbekistan’s industrial capacity, Kyrgyzstan’s natural resource and energy potential, and the advantageous geographical position of both countries.

The dynamic growth of trade and industrial cooperation has naturally increased the importance of transport connectivity, which is becoming one of the key areas of the new stage of Uzbek–Kyrgyz cooperation. In recent years, cooperation has moved beyond the modernization of roads and border checkpoints toward the implementation of regional-scale infrastructure projects. Chief among them is the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway, which opens a new chapter in the transport integration of Central Asia.

After almost three decades of discussion, the project has entered the implementation stage. With a total length of 538 kilometres, the railway will connect China’s western regions with Central Asia and provide the shortest overland route toward the Middle East and Europe.

The new railway is expected to shorten the freight route between China and Europe by approximately 900 kilometres, reduce delivery times by seven to eight days—almost one-third—and carry up to 15 million tonnes of cargo annually.

For Kyrgyzstan, the project means transforming from a landlocked country into an important Eurasian transit link. For Uzbekistan, it means diversifying export routes, strengthening ties with China, and improving the resilience of foreign trade. At the same time, the project’s significance extends far beyond the construction of a railway. Logistics centres, industrial zones, and new production facilities will emerge along the route. Combined with the development of the Trans-Afghan Transport Corridor, this will create the conditions for Central Asia to become one of Eurasia’s key transport and logistics hubs.

Energy cooperation occupies a special place in the Uzbek–Kyrgyz partnership. For many years, water and energy issues remained among the most sensitive aspects of relations between the countries of the region. Today, however, a fundamental shift is taking place: rather than focusing on differences, the parties are increasingly concentrating on joint solutions.

The most ambitious example of this approach is the construction of the Kambarata-1 Hydropower Plant, which Kyrgyzstan is implementing jointly with Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. The project, valued at approximately USD 4 billion, envisages the construction of a hydropower facility with a capacity of 1,860 MW and annual electricity generation of 5.6 billion kWh, making it one of the largest energy facilities in Central Asia.

The project’s importance goes far beyond the energy sector. For the first time in the region’s history, three states are jointly implementing an infrastructure project of this scale, sharing investment, risks, and future benefits. Its implementation will strengthen regional energy security, enhance the sustainability of the water and energy balance, and expand opportunities for mutual electricity supplies.

At the same time, the sustainability of the strategic partnership is determined not only by large-scale infrastructure projects. The humanitarian dimension of cooperation, rooted in the historical closeness of the two peoples and intensive interpersonal contacts, plays an equally important role.

More than 300,000 ethnic Kyrgyz currently live in Uzbekistan, where six Kyrgyz cultural centres and more than 50 schools offering instruction in the Kyrgyz language operate. Kyrgyzstan, in turn, is home to a large Uzbek community that forms an integral part of the country’s social and cultural fabric. These humanitarian ties have become one of the most important sources of trust between the two states.

The most vivid practical manifestation of the level of trust achieved can be seen in the Fergana Valley, a region where the most complex issues of cross-border interaction had been concentrated for decades. In many ways, the valley serves as a reflection of the processes taking place across Central Asia. Today, it is gradually being transformed from an area of potential disagreement into a territory of cooperation, dialogue, and joint development.

An important symbol of this transformation was the first Fergana Peace Forum, held in the city of Fergana in October 2025 under the slogan “Fergana Valley: Joining Efforts for Peace and Progress.” For the first time, the Fergana Valley became a platform for developing joint solutions. Discussions focused on strengthening trust, advancing cross-border cooperation, unlocking the region’s economic potential, promoting cultural engagement, and enhancing the role of young people in ensuring sustainable peace.

A notable feature of the Fergana Forum was the holding of Yntymak Day, or “Day of Unity,” under its auspices. Since 2023, the event has been held in Kyrgyzstan as a platform for strengthening dialogue among government bodies, civil society institutions, and international organizations in support of peace and harmony in the region. In 2025, it was held in Uzbekistan for the first time.

The emerging atmosphere of cooperation is reflected not only in political initiatives but also in the growth of humanitarian contacts between the citizens of the two countries. Cooperation in tourism expanded considerably in 2025. Kyrgyzstan is among the largest sources of tourists visiting Uzbekistan. While approximately 652,000 Kyrgyz citizens visited the country in 2021, the figure reached 3.3 million in 2025. The growth in mutual travel demonstrates that open borders and improved transport links are already having a direct impact on everyday contacts between the people of the two countries.

Cultural exchange is also expanding. Days of Culture, joint festivals, educational programmes, and events dedicated to the legacy of prominent figures from both nations are strengthening Central Asia’s shared humanitarian space. The legacy of Chinghiz Aitmatov, whose works form part of the region’s common cultural heritage, carries particular symbolic importance.

Joint events marking anniversaries associated with his life and work demonstrate that culture is becoming an important means of strengthening mutual understanding between the two peoples.

Kyrgyzstan’s election as a non-permanent member of the United Nations Security Council for 2027–2028 adds an international dimension to the Uzbek–Kyrgyz partnership. This historic achievement not only reflects the high degree of confidence that the international community places in Kyrgyzstan’s foreign policy, but also opens new opportunities to promote Central Asian interests on the global stage.

For Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan’s membership of the Security Council offers an additional opportunity for closer coordination on regional security, sustainable development, the water and climate agenda, transport connectivity, and the strengthening of multilateral cooperation. It will enable the countries to advance Central Asia’s shared interests more consistently, building on the high level of trust and strategic partnership established between the two states.

Kyrgyzstan’s election can also be regarded as a shared achievement for the region, reflecting Central Asia’s growing international standing and recognition of the policy of good-neighbourliness and constructive cooperation pursued by the region’s states.

Against this background, the issue of further deepening the Uzbek–Kyrgyz strategic partnership is taking on particular significance. Whereas the previous stage of bilateral relations focused on restoring trust, resolving accumulated disagreements, and creating a solid political and legal foundation for cooperation, the success of the current stage will largely depend on the ability of the two states to make joint use of emerging opportunities and translate the level of political trust achieved into sustainable institutional mechanisms for long-term development.

This is especially relevant in the context of implementing major projects designed for decades to come, including the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway, the Kambarata-1 Hydropower Plant, the expansion of industrial cooperation, and the formation of new transport, logistics, and production chains. Their effectiveness will depend not only on the volume of investment but also on the parties’ ability to ensure predictable conditions for cooperation, coordinated decision-making, and the long-term stability of the mechanisms they establish.

The development of cross-border cooperation remains one of the most promising areas. The final settlement of state border issues has created opportunities to transform border regions into spaces of shared economic growth. Further improvement of cooperation mechanisms between border regions, the implementation of joint infrastructure projects, and stronger interregional ties could make these areas one of the key drivers of bilateral cooperation.

At the same time, construction of the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway is creating the conditions for the establishment of joint logistics and industrial zones along the route, the development of modern multimodal terminals, and the digitalization of customs and border procedures. This will make it possible to transform the new railway from merely a transport route into a fully fledged economic corridor that stimulates industrial development and attracts international investment.

The development of industrial cooperation offers equally important prospects. The next stage could involve the establishment of sustainable cross-border production chains, expanded cooperation between small and medium-sized enterprises, joint access to third-country markets, and the further removal of remaining administrative barriers to mutual trade and investment.

The strong complementarity of the two economies creates opportunities for deeper sectoral specialization, particularly in the agro-industrial sector. The establishment of joint clusters for the advanced processing of agricultural products would significantly increase added value, improve the competitiveness of producers, and expand export potential.

At the same time, climate change and the growing risks posed by transboundary natural hazards are objectively broadening the strategic partnership agenda. In these circumstances, strengthening mechanisms for the joint prevention of and response to emergencies, developing information-sharing and early-warning systems, and coordinating efforts to ensure the environmental security of border areas are becoming increasingly important.

The further development of water and energy cooperation remains another major priority. The Kambarata-1 Hydropower Plant project already demonstrates a transition toward a new model of regional cooperation based on joint investment, shared infrastructure management, and the distribution of benefits. In the future, the principles of mutual consideration of interests, equitable benefit-sharing, and collective responsibility for the rational use of water resources could form the basis of a modern system of regional water and energy partnership.

Thus, the further development of the Uzbek–Kyrgyz strategic partnership will be determined not only by maintaining a high level of political dialogue but also by consistently strengthening the institutional foundations of cooperation. This approach will ensure the sustainability of the progress achieved and create a solid basis for implementing joint projects in the interests of both states and Central Asia as a whole.

In conclusion, Uzbek–Kyrgyz relations are currently experiencing perhaps the most dynamic stage in the independent history of the two countries. The strategic partnership between Tashkent and Bishkek extends far beyond bilateral cooperation and is becoming an important factor in shaping a new architecture of interaction in Central Asia.

The joint settlement of border issues, implementation of major infrastructure projects, advancement of regional initiatives at the United Nations, and expansion of opportunities for coordinating international efforts demonstrate that Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan are moving from resolving accumulated problems to jointly shaping the future. This model of partnership is becoming one of the key sources of stability, connectivity, and international agency for Central Asia as a whole.

Azamat Sulimanov
Head of Department, Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan (ISRS)

Shakhlo Khamrakhodjaeva
Leading Research Fellow, Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan (ISRS)

Today's events and developments in the international arena once again demonstrate the growing need for the states of the Central and South Asian regions to achieve mutual understanding, solidarity, and a common goal. In this regard, the main goal of the Termez Dialogue on Connectivity between Central and South Asia, held on May 19, 2025, on the theme "Building a Common Space of Peace, Friendship, and Prosperity," was to strengthen regional connectivity and bring cooperation to a new level. It can be said that over the past year, significant results have been achieved on the topical issues discussed during the dialogue. The next Termez Dialogue is also aimed at discussing topical issues such as strengthening cooperation between Central and South Asia, deepening interregional ties and ensuring economic growth, as well as further improving security and sustainable development.

Cultural relations. It should be noted that today the city of Termez has become an important center for ensuring peace and stability in Afghanistan and restoring its economy. It is noteworthy that in the past, Termez was a center of intercultural and religious dialogue, where Zoroastrianism, Buddhism, Christianity, and Islamic traditions emerged and developed. Eldor Aripov, Director of the Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, noted that the city, located between the Greco-Bactrian, Kushan, and other ancient states, flourished during the Timurid era and became a major center of trade, craftsmanship, and science[1]. Indeed, if we look at our history, the countries of Central Asia and the South Asian region have always developed harmoniously as a single space, closely cooperating in all areas. The works of the great thinker Abu Rayhan Beruni "India," Zahiriddin Muhammad Babur "Baburnama" and other historical sources are clear evidence of these close ties. Furthermore, the following remarks by Muhammad Sobir Turkestani, Deputy Ambassador of Afghanistan to Uzbekistan, deserve attention: "Both Uzbekistan and Afghanistan are located on the land between two rivers, which was once called Mawarannahr." There are many similarities in our cultures.  The cultural heritage of Alisher Navoi is the wealth of the peoples of Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. The remains of our ancestor Alisher Navoi are in the Herat region. All the minarets built in Herat during the reign of Sultan Husayn Bayqara stand as a single complex. Zahiriddin Muhammad Babur was buried in Kabul. In a complex called Babur's Garden. There are also large cultural museums in Afghanistan. Our antiquities are kept in our museums in Kabul, Herat, and Mazar-i-Sharif.[2]" Undoubtedly, the main goal of our efforts today is to restore these historical ties, further strengthen the bonds of friendship and brotherhood between our peoples, and ultimately raise the development of our countries to a new level. To this end, Uzbekistan has been increasingly developing ties with South Asian countries in recent years.

It should be noted that the education sector in Afghanistan has experienced a deep decline due to the long-standing unstable situation. In such a situation, it should be noted that assisting the Afghan people in obtaining education and training personnel with modern knowledge and skills is one of the most rational ways to lead Afghanistan out of the crisis. In this regard, in accordance with the Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of the Republic of Uzbekistan dated November 13, 2017, "On organizing the activities of the Educational Center for Training Afghan Citizens under the Ministry of Higher and Secondary Specialized Education of the Republic of Uzbekistan," an Educational Center for Training Afghan Citizens operates in the city of Termez, Surkhandarya region. During the 2018-2019 academic year, 96 students studied at the Center in the "Uzbek Language and Literature" direction, all of whom received a bachelor's degree from the Alisher Navoi Tashkent State University of Uzbek Language and Literature.

Economic relations. It should be noted that the impossibility of achieving any positive results with weapons and troops in establishing peace and stability on Afghan soil was once again confirmed by the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan in 2021. From this perspective, today Uzbekistan's economic ties with Afghanistan serve as one of the important factors in establishing peace and economic recovery in the country.

According to estimates by the Statistics Agency of Uzbekistan, mutual trade turnover amounted to $653 million in 2021, $688.8 million in 2022, $784.1 million in 2023, and $999.9 million in January-November 2024[3]. Over the past five years, trade turnover has increased 2.5 times, reaching $1.68 billion in 2025, while Uzbekistan's exports amounted to approximately $1.5 billion. The parties set a new medium-term goal to increase the volume of trade to $5 billion. Therefore, today Uzbekistan is becoming one of the key investors in Afghanistan. Specifically, according to a $1 billion agreement signed between Uzbekistan and Afghanistan, Uzbekistan will participate in the development of the Tuti Maidan gas field in the Jauzjan and Faryab regions for 10 years. The Termez International Trade Center, established in the Surkhandarya region, plays a very important role in implementing such trade and economic instruments. This shopping center is the first trade zone in Central Asia serving various entrepreneurs, especially Afghan entrepreneurs, who cooperate with Afghanistan. The shopping center features permanent exhibitions and fairs, an Uzbek-Afghan business school, a medical clinic for the treatment and provision of medical care to patients who are citizens of Afghanistan, a hotel, enterprises specializing in the production of precious metal jewelry, a multi-currency system, and other conditions that allow entrepreneurs to trade freely.

According to analytical data, 60% of Uzbekistan's total international traffic passes through the transit routes of Central Asian countries and Afghanistan. Uzbekistan's access to seaports through Afghanistan is 2-3 times shorter than the ports with access to the Black and Baltic Seas, and 5 times shorter than the route to Pacific ports[4]. According to economic analysts, the cost of delivering one container from Central Asia to South Asia through Afghanistan to seaports will decrease from $900 to $286. In addition, transportation time will be reduced from 35 days to 3-5 days. At the same time, export potential will also increase sharply. Improving transport and infrastructure communications and attracting international transit carriers to Central Asia is one of the most important tasks uniting the countries of the region. Its resolution is determined by the need to improve the socio-economic situation in the region.

In conclusion, it should be noted that this prestigious international conference will contribute to the further expansion of ties between our regions, the opening of new horizons for cooperation, and our confident progress on the path of peace and development.

Furthermore, the Termez Dialogue, as a platform for strengthening interregional connectivity and restoring common historical, cultural, and civilizational ties, opens opportunities for the development of new international transport and logistics corridors through Afghanistan. In the current difficult conditions of growing mutual trust and conflict of interests, such a format of cooperation as the Termez Dialogue is of great importance.

[1] Eldor Aripov: "Termiz muloqoti Markaziy va Janubiy Osiyo o‘rtasidagi o‘zaro bog‘liqlikni mustahkamlashda muhim ahamiyatga ega". (21.05.2025), https://daryo.uz/2025/05/21/eldor-aripov-termiz-muloqoti-markaziy-va-janubiy-osiyo-ortasidagi-ozaro-bogliqlikni-mustahkamlashda-muhim-ahamiyatga-ega

[2] Afg‘onistonda O‘zbekistonga aloqador madaniy boyliklar kam emas. (07.11.2023). https://xabar.uz/uz/madaniyat/afgonistonda-ozbekistonga-aloqador-madaniy-boyliklar-kam-emas

[3] O‘zbekiston Respublikasi Tashqi savdo aylanmasi. 2024-yil yanvar-noyabr oylari uchun dastlabki ma’lumot // O‘zbekiston Respublikasi huzuridagi Statistika agentligi. – B.4.

[4] Akmalov Sh. O‘zbekiston va Afg‘oniston: o‘tmishdan hozirgacha. Monografiya. – T.: “Zamon poligraf”, 2023. – B. 70.

The global economy has entered a stage in which sustainable development is no longer merely a declarative agenda but has become one of the key criteria for assessing trust in governments, companies, and financial institutions. As a result, ESG standards are now viewed not as an image-building tool, but as a means of evaluating reliability, governance quality, technological maturity, and long-term competitiveness.

For reference: ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) refers to business principles under which a company considers its impact on the environment, society, and the quality of governance while seeking to achieve sustainable development and minimize risks.

Today, this trend is naturally shifting from voluntary commitments toward stricter requirements, including non-financial disclosure, climate reporting, independent verification, carbon regulation, supply-chain oversight, and measures to combat greenwashing—that is, the unjustified presentation of activities as environmentally sustainable.

Notably, according to available estimates, global ESG assets exceeded USD 30 trillion in 2022 and may reach USD 40 trillion by 2030. At the same time, sustainable bond issuance amounted to approximately USD 1.1 trillion in 2025. This demonstrates that sustainable development has become part of the global financial infrastructure rather than a narrow area of corporate policy.

Against this backdrop, Uzbekistan is shaping its own model of sustainable development based on national priorities. Water and energy security, employment, social stability, improved performance of state-owned enterprises, greater transparency in governance, and stronger investment appeal are of particular importance to the country.

A key feature of Uzbekistan’s approach is that the ESG agenda is not being developed in a fragmented manner, but as part of broad reforms implemented under the leadership of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan. The Uzbekistan–2030 Strategy, the transition toward a green economy, national sustainable development goals, the green taxonomy, the MRV system, ESG reporting by state-owned enterprises, social protection, the development of mahallas, and anti-corruption measures together form a unified framework for public policy.

A new stage in the institutional development of ESG was formalized by Cabinet of Ministers Resolution No. 221 dated May 4, 2026. The document approved rules for introducing environmental, social, and corporate governance principles, preparing ESG reports, and disclosing information on sustainable development. As a result, ESG in Uzbekistan is moving from a broad strategic framework toward a specific system of implementation, monitoring, and reporting.

This is therefore not a collection of isolated initiatives, but a new logic of governance. The economy must not only grow, but also remain sustainable; state-owned enterprises must not only be large, but also transparent; social policy must not only compensate for hardship, but also support development; and the environmental agenda must not only protect nature, but also carry economic significance.

The environmental pillar remains the most developed area. Given Uzbekistan’s water scarcity, high climate vulnerability, the consequences of the Aral Sea crisis, and the need to modernize the energy sector, the green economy is an objective necessity.

Key documents signed by the Head of State define the main areas of environmental transformation: the development of renewable energy, improved energy efficiency, the introduction of water-saving technologies, emissions reduction, waste recycling, the expansion of green spaces, the restoration of natural ecosystems, and the creation of an emissions-monitoring system.

As a result, environmental policy is gradually moving beyond traditional nature conservation and becoming part of the country’s economic strategy. At a time when the carbon footprint is becoming a factor in export competitiveness, energy modernization, reduced water losses, and improved industrial efficiency are gaining not only environmental but also macroeconomic importance.

Alongside the environmental agenda, Uzbekistan’s sustainable development model includes a strong social dimension. This includes reducing poverty, expanding employment, supporting women, protecting vulnerable groups, developing mahallas, improving infrastructure, and raising living standards.

It is the social pillar that gives the reforms a human dimension. The green transition must not be limited to reporting and technical indicators. It must remain people-centered, since changes in energy, water management, and industry may affect employment, tariffs, access to resources, and household income structures.

At the same time, the aforementioned government resolution establishes ESG as an integrated system in which environmental indicators are not considered separately from social and governance factors. The focus extends beyond emissions, energy, and water to include governance quality, labor practices, risks affecting stakeholders, data transparency, and management accountability.

The quality of governance is becoming a key condition for the effectiveness of the ESG agenda. In today’s environment, investor confidence depends not only on macroeconomic indicators, but also on institutional transparency, corporate governance, information disclosure, and the predictability of public policy.

Uzbekistan has made notable progress in this area. Digital monitoring, the KPI system for government bodies, anti-corruption policy, ESG reporting by state-owned enterprises, and a national system for measuring, reporting, and verifying climate and ESG indicators for emissions accounting are all being developed.

Changes in the public sector are particularly significant. In recent years, substantial progress has been achieved in improving the investment appeal of state-owned enterprises. By the end of 2025, 17 state-owned enterprises had received international credit ratings, while seven had obtained publicly available ESG ratings. This indicates a transition from a closed administrative model toward the standards of international financial discipline.

In practice, the public sector is becoming subject to external assessment, public reporting, and corporate accountability. Ratings require the disclosure of risks, financial discipline, a clear strategy, and stronger governance. Through this mechanism, ESG is moving from the conceptual level into the practical sphere of corporate management.

Within this framework, the government resolution is of fundamental importance. It stipulates that state-owned enterprises undergoing transformation must introduce ESG reporting rules from July 1, 2026, and prepare ESG reports in accordance with disclosure standards by November 1, 2026.

Based on the above, the following conclusions may be drawn:

First, ESG is becoming a strategic instrument for modernizing Uzbekistan’s public sector and economy. Its significance extends beyond environmental policy and encompasses investment, social sustainability, and competitiveness.

Second, reforms implemented under the leadership of the Head of State are transforming sustainable development from a set of declarations into a system of practical governance. Reporting, the green economy, social policy, transparency, and ESG standards are becoming elements of a unified reform architecture.

Third, in the new global economy, the advantage belongs to countries that grow sustainably, transparently, and predictably from an investor’s perspective. This is precisely where Uzbekistan’s competitive opportunity lies: in turning sustainability into a source of trust, capital, and long-term development.

Thus, ESG is not an external slogan for Uzbekistan, but an internal logic of development. It is a mechanism for connecting economic growth with responsibility, investment with trust, reforms with quality of life, and national interests with the requirements of the new global economy.

1. Nizamov

Head of Department

Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies

under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan

1. Sattorov

Leading Research Fellow

Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies

under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan

Historically, Central and South Asia constituted a macro-region of intensive cross-cultural and civilisational exchange.

The peoples of the two regions were repeatedly incorporated into common state formations and shared political, economic, cultural and humanitarian spaces. It was through these territories that major routes passed, connecting the Middle East, Europe, India and China. Close contacts facilitated the dissemination of scientific knowledge and philosophical ideas, as well as achievements in medicine, astronomy, mathematics, architecture, diplomacy and systems of public administration.

In contemporary conditions of global turbulence and a deficit of mutual trust, understanding the deep historical and civilisational commonality of Central and South Asia is of particular importance. This is not only a matter of retrospectively analysing trade ties or political contacts of the past. Data from modern population genetics confirm the existence of stable, centuries-long anthropological interconnections among the population of the macro-region.

The results of large-scale palaeogenetic studies, including the sequencing of ancient DNA (aDNA) from representatives of the Indus civilisation, together with archaeological and linguistic evidence, make it possible to reconstruct the directions of migration flows and the transformation of the gene pool over millennia.

Studies of the ancient population of southern Uzbekistan and of the Bactria-Margiana Archaeological Complex (BMAC) demonstrate the genetic continuity of local populations and their close contacts with ancient communities of the Iranian Plateau, north-western India and the Indus basin.

The specific nature of these processes in the Late Bronze Age and the Early Iron Age indicates that the territories of present-day southern Uzbekistan functioned as a space of permanent demographic and cultural exchange. They formed part of a single area of intensive circulation of people, technologies and cultural practices. This factor shaped the closeness of anthropological, linguistic and religious processes in Central and South Asia without erasing their autochthonous identities.

This is not a question of genetic homogeneity, but of a centuries-old system of demographic interactions that shaped the closeness of anthropological, linguistic, cultural and religious processes in Central and South Asia.

In this context, Uzbekistan attaches special importance to the restoration of deep historical and cultural relations in order to create a solid foundation for enhancing connectivity. After 2016, the country’s modern foreign policy is based on the synergy of pragmatic economic and transport partnership and the recognition of the common historical destiny of the macroregion.

At the same time, within the framework of the “Termez Dialogue”, projects are being formed for the joint study of Buddhist and Islamic heritage. The exceptional syncretism of the monuments of southern Uzbekistan (Kara-Tepe, Fayaz-Tepe and Kampyrtepa) reflects the historical synthesis of Indian, Hellenistic, Iranian and Central Asian traditions, marking the routes of the transfer of Buddhism from India to East Asia.

A new stage of civilisational synthesis is associated with the integration of the region into the Islamic space from the eighth century onward. Termez became one of the key intellectual centres of the Muslim world, as evidenced by the influence of Sufi networks and the legacy of the outstanding thinker al-Hakim at-Termizi, whose works retain authority in both Central and South Asia. In the Timurid era, these ties served as a basis for the formation of the unique Indo-Muslim civilisation of the Great Mughals, whose origins directly go back to the cultural matrix of Mawarannahr.

Relying on this historical and civilisational foundation, Tashkent today advocates the creation of a common cultural and humanitarian platform for Central and South Asia, one that demonstrates a high degree of complementarity with the foreign policy strategies of key South Asian states.

India: New Delhi views Uzbekistan’s initiatives through the prism of its own Connect Central Asia concept. Cultural and historical parallels (the Baburid era, Sufism and Buddhist heritage) enable India to expand its humanitarian presence in the region, as reflected, in particular, in the opening of branches of leading Indian universities (Amity and Sharda) in Uzbekistan.

Pakistan: For Islamabad, deep spiritual ties with Samarkand and Bukhara are critically important. The development of programmes of “ziyarat tourism” (pilgrimage tourism) acts as a catalyst for humanitarian contacts and contributes to the growth of mutual trust necessary for implementing large-scale trans-regional transport projects.

Afghanistan: For Kabul, Uzbekistan’s depoliticised initiatives open a legitimate channel of interaction with the outside world, allowing the country to integrate into regional economic processes without being drawn into political confrontation.

The strategic potential of the macro-region is closely linked to its demographic characteristics. Central and South Asia are among the youngest regions in the world: the share of the population under 30 exceeds 60 per cent, while the median age is about 28. This demographic resource serves as a key driver of sustainable growth and the activation of intersocietal ties, which makes the development of human capital particularly urgent.

In these conditions, joint work in the field of human capital development becomes increasingly important. This includes the training of qualified personnel, the expansion of scientific and academic cooperation, the exchange of knowledge and technologies, and the intensification of youth and public contacts.

Uzbekistan is consistently scaling up inter-university and scientific and academic cooperation in the macro-region. A practical example of this activity is Termez, where programmes of vocational and language training for Afghan students have been launched with the support of international organisations. As a result, the city is being transformed into a major educational and humanitarian hub at the junction of the two regions.

In this context, Tashkent’s modern initiatives aimed at restoring trans-regional connectivity appear as a natural continuation of a historical model of development determined by the deep interdependence of states.

The contemporary foreign policy course of Uzbekistan is based on the synergy of pragmatic economic and transport partnership and the recognition of the macro-region’s shared historical destiny. In implementing this strategy, Termez, an ancient intellectual and logistical hub linking Mawarannahr, Afghanistan and the Indian subcontinent, acquires special significance.

Its historical role was shaped by a unique geostrategic position. Already in antiquity, Termez was an important centre of the Greco-Bactrian and Kushan worlds. It was the Kushan Empire that created one of the first stable political and economic spaces uniting the territories of present-day Central Asia, Afghanistan, Pakistan and northern India.

Today, Uzbekistan is institutionalising this heritage by creating new multilateral dialogue platforms. The key element of this architecture is the international platform “Termez Dialogue”, which is focused on developing transport and logistical connectivity, humanitarian diplomacy and academic interaction.

The expert community notes the qualitative evolution of this platform. The second session of the “Termez Dialogue”, scheduled for 4–6 June 2026 in Tashkent, Termez and Samarkand, marks a transition from conceptual discussions to the formation of applied mechanisms of cooperation in politics, logistics, climate adaptation and cultural exchange. The forum is acquiring the status of a specialised international platform for developing multilateral approaches to regional security and the Afghan settlement process.

The fundamental distinction of Uzbekistan’s approach lies in its reliance on the concept of “inclusive regionality”, which presupposes the obligatory inclusion of Afghanistan in the system of trans-regional ties. Tashkent proposes an alternative model of diplomacy, viewing humanitarian cooperation as an instrument for reducing interstate contradictions and overcoming regional fragmentation.

Thus, contemporary Uzbekistan is carrying out a conceptual rethinking of the historical experience of interaction between Central and South Asia in relation to the realities of the twenty-first century. By developing the “Termez Dialogue” platform and stimulating trans-regional connectivity, Tashkent is transforming historical memory of a single civilisational space into a viable mechanism of multilateral integration, humanitarian partnership and indivisible regional security.

Alisher Sabirov

Doctor of Historical Sciences

Nizami National Pedagogical University

of Uzbekistan

The text of the article is in Uzbek!

Amir Temur occupies a place in world history not only as a great commander and statesman who built a powerful and prosperous state. The great ruler turned his capital, Samarkand, into one of the cultural, architectural, scientific and spiritual centers of the world.

Therefore, the study of Amir Temur's exemplary life and statecraft, the history of his reign, the study of science and culture in it, as one of the major scientific directions of historiography, has always been and remains the focus of attention of world scientists, heads of state, and politicians. Also, sources on the history of the Timurids have been translated into various languages and scientific research has been carried out worldwide.

The number of publications on the study of the era of Amir Temur is increasing day by day in world historiography. Ultimately, an independent scientific direction of "Temur studies" has been formed in world social science.

Today, no one doubts the immeasurable contribution of Amir Temur and the Temurid dynasty to the development of world civilization, to the sharp rise in the scientific, political-legal, spiritual-ideal, cultural and intellectual level of humanity. It should be noted that the Timurid Renaissance was recognized by the whole world. The fact that the French scientist Vincent Fournier was the first to use the phrase "Temurid Renaissance" is evidence of this.

The world community recognizes the Timurid era as an era that was reflected in the development of science, culture, art and literature, as well as great discoveries and inventions, and our people as a people who have founded the Renaissance twice so far. That is, it is commendable that our people rightfully belong to the small number of "peoples who were able to create a Renaissance" in the full sense of the word.

In this sense, it is considered that there is every reason to believe that the efforts of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev to create a new Renaissance in New Uzbekistan, that is, the foundation of the Third Renaissance, through large-scale democratic changes in our country, including reforms in the fields of science and education, will yield the expected results.

One of the greatest services of the Leader of the Nation to our people is the restoration of the dignity and broken national pride of our people, who have lost hope in their own country, who have lost hope in a prosperous and good life, and who have lost faith in the future, the formation of a consciousness specific to New Uzbekistan, the subsequent elevation of their spirits, and the return of respect for spiritual and educational values ​​and historical figures.

At a new stage of the development of the Republic of Uzbekistan, along with radical renewal and improvement in every sphere of the state and society, comprehensive measures are being implemented to strengthen national statehood, establish a stable track and develop the political, legal, economic and social life of our country.

In particular, in historiography, a wide path has been opened for studying the history of our ancestors, giving them a correct and objective scientific assessment, and on this basis restoring our national values. Because, as the President of Uzbekistan emphasized: “We have a great history that is worth admiring. We have great ancestors that are worth admiring.”

Amir Temur: "I declare peace and tranquility!"

At the current stage of the development of new Uzbekistan, it is very important that the period of Uzbek diplomacy from ancient times to the present day - the formation and development of independent Uzbek diplomacy - is comprehensively and systematically studied. In particular, the book "History of Uzbek diplomacy", published in 2022, is the VII volume of the "History of Uzbekistan" multi-volume work. The book is a practical response to the proposals made by President Shavkat Mirziyoyev at a meeting with Uzbek diplomats in January 2018.

The publication of a book on the history of Uzbek diplomacy is a major political event. As the head of our state noted, "our national statehood has a history of several thousand years and a rich culture. Therefore, diplomatic relations also go back to the deepest layers of our history. This fact is widely recognized not only by our country, but also by scientists from around the world."

One of the most striking qualities of our great ancestor, Sahibkiran Amir Temur, is that six centuries ago he deeply understood that the development of mutually beneficial cooperation between states, the strengthening of friendship and solidarity between distant and close peoples was an important factor in ensuring the prospects of his empire. Therefore, he carried out great works that served to connect Europe and Asia. On the one hand, he established contacts with China, India, on the other hand, France, Spain, England and other countries and sought to strengthen these relations.

As recognized on a scientific basis by our country's scientists and foreign experts, Amir Temur also left a deep mark in history as the most skillful diplomat of his time. As a great statesman, Sahibkiran skillfully combined the peaceful path of diplomacy and military measures in achieving his goals.

The great empire built by Amir Temur since that time has attracted not only neighboring countries and their kings, but also rulers of distant lands. Historical documents indicate that from the 70s of the 14th century, representatives of European countries came to Transoxiana and were seriously interested in the power and potential of the new, independent state here.

Sahibkiran, in turn, especially after the formation of a powerful empire, established active diplomatic relations with almost all major states of that time and their rulers. He sent his ambassadors to various countries, as well as received foreign ambassadors sent to him.

Amir Temur sent ambassadors to the court of Don Enrique III of Castile and Leon (in some sources - King Henry III of Spain), the ruler of France Charles VI (in some sources - Charles VI), and the king of England Henry IV, who, in turn, received ambassadors from Spain, France, England, China and a number of others - a total of more than 20 foreign states - in his capital Samarkand, which clearly confirms this idea.

According to historical sources, on July 28, 1402, the Ambassadors of King Don Enrique III of Castile and Leon, who were present at the presence of Amir Temur, included Payo de Soto Mayor and Hernan Sanchez de Palazuelos. When the time came for the ambassadors to return, Sahibkiran sent one of the capable beys, Muhammad Keshi, with letters and gifts to Castile as an Ambassador with them, in order to further strengthen relations between the two states. Muhammad Keshi arrived there safely and handed over the letters and gifts to Don Enrique III.

It is known that Amir Temur recruited Nasaf and Kesh scholars, capable individuals knowledgeable in religious and secular sciences, and proficient in foreign languages ​​to his palace. They performed various duties, including the duties of Ambassador. For example, Muhammad Keshi lived in Spain for some time as Sahibqiran's ambassador, while Maulana Abdullah Keshi was sent by Amir Temur as an ambassador to Faraj, the Sultan of Egypt.

Amir Temur usually sent Christian leaders to European countries as ambassadors. Of the Muslim diplomats, only Muhammad Keshi managed to go to Europe. This also indicates his ability, knowledge of several languages, probably one of the European languages.

At that time, the fame of Amir Temur had spread throughout Europe. Therefore, Muhammad Keshi was received with great respect by the King of Castile, Don Enrique III. He attended receptions at the Royal Palace and in the palaces of the great nobles. The King accompanied him to Samarkand with his ambassadors, led by Rui Gonzalez de Clavijo, and respectfully escorted him.

One of the distinctive features of Amir Temur's diplomacy was that in all his addresses, even in letters written in the form of strict demands, he adhered to the etiquette of Eastern diplomacy. It is not difficult to learn from historical letters that have survived from those times that Sahibkiran always responded to the letters of the rulers of some countries, written in a rude manner, sometimes with anger and ignorance, expressing his opinion clearly, with culture and decency. The fact that Amir Temur's letter to the French King Charles VI contains the words "I declare peace and tranquility!" clearly confirms this.

Diplomatic correspondence of Amir Temur

The correspondence that has survived from that time to the present clearly testifies to the skillful diplomatic activity of Amir Temur and the Temurids. Currently, 4 letters are kept in the National Archives of France:

the first is the original copy of Amir Temur's letter to the French King Charles IV in Persian;

the second is a copy of this letter translated into Latin by Archbishop John himself or one of his contemporaries;

the third, a copy of a letter written in Latin by the French King Charles IV to Amir Temur;

the fourth, a Latin translation of a letter sent by Mironshah Mirzo to three European kings. The original copy was kept by John and later shown to the King of England.

When it comes to the study of relations between Amir Temur and Europe during the former Soviet era, it is worth noting that I. Umnyakov's article "International relations of Central Asia at the beginning of the 15th century. Amir Temur's relations with Byzantium and France" and other works are quite informative.

Amir Temur also conducted diplomatic correspondence with distant states of Western Europe, in particular, with the representative of the Valois dynasty - King Charles VI of France (1380-1422) and King Henry IV of England (1399-1413). The first brief information about the correspondence between Amir Temur and Charles VI in 1402-1403 was provided by the French historian Flossant, who lived at the beginning of the 19th century, in his research published in 1811.

Amir Temur's letter to Charles VI was written in Persian, in an unusual style, not similar to the style of the rulers of the East. The letter mentions that "the preacher Francis" brought letters to Amir Temur from the French king.

As far as we know, there was no official exchange of ambassadors between Amir Temur and Charles VI, as there was between King Henry III of Castile. At the same time, the text of the letter suggests that Amir Temur had previously received letters from France. However, these letters have not reached us.

There is no doubt that this letter is an original. This is clearly confirmed by the fact that Amir Temur's miraculous seal is stamped on two places on the letter. The fact that the seal on the letter actually belongs to Sahibkiran has been proven by most historians, including Ambassador Clavijo and historian Ibn Arabshah.

An important point is that Clavijo is one of the few, that is, one of four people who saw Amir Temur and wrote memoirs based on direct conversations with him. This fact further increases the authenticity of the diaries of the Spanish Ambassador, as well as the memoirs created by Ibn Arabshah, Ibn Khaldun, and Archbishop John. Therefore, honesty is the path to truth and justice.

The National Library in Paris preserves the second letter of Amir Temur to Charles VI. The Latin translation of this letter has come down to us, first published by Sylvester de Sacy.

At the same time, there is also a Latin translation of the letter sent by Charles VI to Amir Temur. This is a unique document of particular value as the only letter from the French king to Sahibkiran that has survived to this day. While both letters of Amir Temur are dated August 1, 1402, the letter of Charles VI is dated June 15, 1403.

The foreign policy and diplomatic correspondence of His Majesty Amir Temur have been and are being studied in detail by scholars around the world, including specialists from our country. Some time ago, when I met with Jean-Louis Bacquet-Grammon, a well-known French orientalist and orientalist, in Paris, he presented me with a rare copy of the book "Amir Temur's Campaign in Anatolia (1402)" written by the Romanian historian and Turkologist Maria-Matilda Alexandrescu-Dersca, published in 1942.

Despite the fact that Amir Temur's letters were written almost seven centuries ago, some of their aspects resonate as an extremely important call for our day: it is understood that the prosperity of the world with merchants, the glory of the empire is determined primarily by recognizing the glory of other empires, respecting the dignity of citizens, regardless of official and unofficial differences, and firmly adhering to human rights and freedoms.

In addition, as material evidence of the diplomatic correspondence of the Timurids, one can cite the letters between Amir Timur and his third son, the ruler of Western Iran, Iraq and Azerbaijan, Miranshah Mirza, and the kings of France, England, Castile and other countries. Some of these letters are kept in the French National Archives, the British Museum and the Spanish archives.

The diplomatic correspondence of Amir Timur and the Timurids clearly shows, firstly, that Europe has always reached out to the East, which awakened long before it, and secondly, that the East also sought to establish contacts with these countries, cooperate, establish trade and commerce, and, despite religious differences, honor merchants and protect their rights.

Akmal SAIDOV,

academician

As the SCO approaches its 25th anniversary, the Organization’s economic component is acquiring an increasingly concrete and practical character. Today, the Organization brings together 10 states with a combined population of more than 3.4 billion people, accounting for nearly one-quarter of global GDP and more than 15% of international trade. The concentration of markets, resources, and production capabilities creates a significant foundation for investment, cooperation, and the development of interconnected infrastructure.

        On August 31 – September 1, 2026, the anniversary SCO Summit will be held in Bishkek, marking the conclusion of Kyrgyzstan’s SCO chairmanship. The Summit comes in the first year of implementation of the Strategy for the Development of the Organization until 2035, adopted in Tianjin. From the perspective of the investment, trade, and industrial agenda, this period is primarily associated with improving conditions for businesses: reducing barriers, simplifying procedures, expanding production linkages, developing transport and digital infrastructure, and improving financing instruments.

        For Uzbekistan, this approach continues the consistently pursued policy of strengthening the economic dimension of the SCO. The Samarkand Summit of 2022 was an important milestone, consolidating initiatives in the areas of sustainable supply chains, food and energy security, and expanding the scope for economic cooperation.

        The importance of this resource for the national economy is already reflected in the dynamics of key indicators. In 2025, Uzbekistan’s trade turnover with the SCO countries reached USD 40.6 billion, increasing by 21.7%. In January–June 2026, it amounted to USD 21.9 billion. The volume of investments attracted from the Organization’s countries reached USD 24.8 billion in 2025 and USD 17.8 billion in the first half of 2026. The joint investment portfolio includes 1,438 projects with a total value of USD 102.8 billion.

        The volumes achieved make it possible to place greater emphasis on the quality of economic ties — increasing the share of finished products, establishing joint production facilities, localizing technological operations, and developing value-added chains with access to the markets of new countries.

        To develop such ties, businesses need to identify potential areas for industrial cooperation. One of the instruments is the Industrial Investment Projects Data Bank, the regulations for which were agreed upon in June 2026. Its value lies in the ability to match investment initiatives with the capabilities of participating states, their needs for raw materials and components, available infrastructure, and potential markets.

        This system could be further developed through the SCO Industrial Cooperation Map, which would make it possible to link individual initiatives into production chains and identify areas where the capabilities of different countries complement each other.

        At the initial stage, promising areas include the textile and agro-industrial sectors, which have the relevant raw material base, production capabilities, and sales channels. In the future, this approach could be extended to mechanical engineering, electrical engineering, pharmaceuticals, the chemical industry, and the production of construction materials.

        For each initiative, this model envisages identifying partners, sources of financing, implementation timelines, localization parameters, and target markets. This makes it possible to structure the project economics and define the role of each participant in advance.

        This directly raises the issue of financial support. In 2025, interested member states took a political decision to establish the SCO Development Bank, while at the end of June 2026, another round of consultations was held on its establishment and functioning.

        The prospective role of such an institution is primarily associated with projects whose impact extends across several countries: transport and energy infrastructure, industrial chains, digital networks, and logistics centers. Cooperation with existing development institutions, transparent selection criteria, and financial sustainability could expand the available range of project financing instruments.

        The effectiveness of industrial cooperation, in turn, directly depends on how quickly and predictably raw materials, components, and finished products can move. Therefore, the financial and industrial components are closely linked to transport development.

        For Uzbekistan, this factor is particularly important. The lack of direct access to seaports makes logistics one of the key conditions for the competitiveness of national products. The priority is to develop a network of sustainable routes that allows freight flows to be distributed flexibly while maintaining access to various supply destinations.

        The SCO space encompasses East–West and North–South routes, road and railway lines, as well as opportunities for multimodal transportation. For businesses, the efficiency of such a network depends on infrastructure capacity, the consistency of procedures, and the speed of the entire chain — from the sender to the final market.

        Therefore, the development of transport routes is directly linked to the digitalization of processes. The electronic exchange of customs and permitting documents, advance notification of control authorities, interoperability of national information systems, and end-to-end tracking of cargo reduce administrative delays and increase the predictability of transportation.

        The use of accumulated data also opens up additional opportunities for artificial intelligence — forecasting freight flows, optimizing routes, managing warehouse infrastructure, and assessing risks. This requires coordinated approaches to information security and the protection of national digital systems.

        Ultimately, all these instruments serve the development of trade. Industrial cooperation expands the product base, financing ensures the launch of new production capacities, logistics connects businesses with markets, and digital solutions reduce time and administrative costs.

        Additional benefits can be achieved through transparent requirements, mutual recognition of electronic documents, and harmonized procedures. This facilitates access for small and medium-sized enterprises to the markets of SCO countries and creates a more predictable environment for investors. At this level, the advantages of multilateral cooperation are directly reflected in the operations of businesses.

        The international visibility of the region also contributes to its economic promotion. Additional attention to Central Asia during the Summit will be generated by the 6th World Nomad Games. This large-scale event creates a favorable information environment for presenting the region’s investment and export potential, national brands, and business initiatives. For Uzbekistan, this represents an additional opportunity to demonstrate the country’s economic potential to an international audience.

        For Uzbekistan, the value of the SCO lies in the opportunity to complement well-developed bilateral ties with instruments that are particularly effective in a multilateral format. These include projects combining the production capabilities of several countries, shared infrastructure, new transport routes, and financial mechanisms.

        In this context, the Bishkek Summit will become an important stage in the further development of the Organization’s economic agenda. Its practical implementation can expand businesses’ access to markets, investment resources, and logistics opportunities, while simultaneously creating new conditions for industrial cooperation.

Today, a new and ambitious strategic direction is emerging on the global energy map. The strategic partnership established between Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan is a historic step that serves not only to strengthen regional energy security but also to elevate the global "green" transformation to a new level. At the heart of this ambitious initiative lies, first and foremost, the mutual trust, strong friendship, and high responsibility of the leaders of the three brotherly states toward future generations.

Uzbekistan's Green Development Strategy

In recent years, large-scale and intensive reforms on the use of renewable energy sources have been implemented in Uzbekistan. To date, 15 solar and 5 wind power plants with a total capacity of 5,582 MW have been commissioned in various regions of the country, producing "green" energy for the country's population and economy. Notably, the capacity of solar photovoltaic plants is 3,930 MW, and wind power plants are 1,652 MW. To ensure the stability of the energy supply, 12 additional energy storage systems with a total capacity of 1,545 MW were also commissioned.

Looking at the figures, in 2025 alone, solar and wind power plants managed to generate 10.5 billion kWh of electricity. From the beginning of 2026 to April 15, this figure exceeded 2.5 billion kWh, and the goal is to increase it to 15 billion kWh by the end of the year. By 2030, Uzbekistan will become a true "green" energy hub: the total capacity of solar and wind power plants will reach 21 GW, and 54% of the total electricity generated in the country will come from renewable sources. As a result, 18 billion cubic meters of natural gas will be saved annually, and the emission of 25 million tons of harmful gases into the atmosphere will be prevented.

Regional Solidarity: The Brothers' Strategic Choice

Relations with the countries of the region, especially with our close neighbor and strategic partner Kazakhstan, are of decisive importance in achieving such high milestones. During the recent visit of the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart Tokayev to Uzbekistan, the leaders of the two countries outlined future priorities for the development of sectors, in particular, energy. These friendly relations guarantee the energy stability not only of the two countries but of the entire region.

Thanks to the far-sighted policy and friendship of the heads of state of the three countries—Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan—the "Green Corridor" project is being implemented. This path, which began with a Memorandum of Understanding in May 2024, was further strengthened by the Strategic Partnership Agreement signed by the Presidents of the three countries at the COP-29 international summit in Baku in November of the same year. This historic document marked the beginning of a new era not only in energy production but also in the field of energy transmission.

"Green Corridor" - practical steps towards the future

The practical stages of the project are proceeding consistently. Within the framework of the founding agreement signed on December 27, 2024, the national operators of Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan - JSC "National Electric Grid of Uzbekistan," JSC "KEGOC," and JSC "Azerenerji" - united for a common goal. Negotiations held in early 2025 in Tashkent with the participation of representatives from the Ministry of Energy of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia once again proved the project's international prestige.

The establishment of the Green Corridor Alliance Limited Liability Company in Baku on July 1, 2025, laid the institutional foundation for the project. The world-renowned Italian company CESI has been involved in developing the project's feasibility study, which, according to the agreement signed with the Asian Development Bank, will be submitted by the beginning of 2027. Currently, specialists from the three countries, together with CESI, are working on a complete model (technical and economic basis) of the project.

In conclusion, this strategic partnership is not only an important pillar for exporting "green" energy to Europe but also for the transition of Central Asia and the Caspian region to a unified, environmentally friendly, and digital energy system. There is no doubt that the friendly will of the heads of state and the spirit of regional solidarity will make Uzbekistan one of the most reliable and major players in the global energy market in the future.

Ministry of Energy

of the Republic of Uzbekistan