On 24–25 July, 2026, the city of Samarkand will host the International Forum of Brother Cities.

The forum will serve as an important international platform for dialogue, aimed at expanding Uzbekistan’s international cooperation, strengthening partnerships between cities, and promoting public diplomacy.

The forum program includes:

• An international scientific and practical conference dedicated to developing cooperation between the cities of Uzbekistan and foreign countries;
• Panel sessions and roundtable discussions covering a wide range of sectors;
• Signing ceremonies for memorandums of cooperation and partnership agreements between brother cities;
• Presentations focused on promoting public diplomacy and interregional cooperation;
• Cultural and educational events with the participation of foreign delegations;
• Guided tours of Samarkand’s historical and cultural landmarks;
• Exhibitions showcasing the investment, tourism, and cultural potential of Uzbekistan’s regions.

According to the organizers, the International Forum of Brother Cities will provide a valuable opportunity to strengthen international partnerships, exchange best practices, and foster long-term cooperation.

Dunyo IA

The Fifth Tashkent International Investment Forum will take place on June 16–19, 2026. This year’s theme – “Investment Resilience: New Frontiers, New Partnerships” – frames the agenda around a set of pressing questions: how to protect capital amid global uncertainty, what institutional mechanisms enhance investment resilience in frontier markets, and where the new partnership routes lie.

The forum’s context is set by macroeconomic results. According to the National Statistics Committee, Uzbekistan’s GDP grew by 7.7% in 2025 and exceeded $147 billion – the fastest pace since 2021 and among the highest in the Europe and Central Asia region. Fitch Ratings and S&P Global upgraded the country’s sovereign rating from BB– to BB for the first time, while Moody’s revised its outlook to “positive.” International reserves, per the Central Bank, surpass $77 billion. Exports rose 24% to $33.8 billion. Foreign direct investment increased by 46.9%, with FDI accounting for 40.5% of total capital investment. For an economy that attracted only $4 billion in annual foreign investment in 2017, the surge to $42 billion by 2025 represents a fundamentally different scale of growth. This tenfold increase over eight years underscores a profound transformation in the nation's investment landscape.

The forum is scaling alongside the economy. Last year’s TIIF drew over 8,000 participants, including some 3,000 international delegates from 97 countries. Guests included Bulgarian President Rumen Radev, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico, heads of government from all Central Asian states, EBRD President Odile Renaud-Basso, and New Development Bank President Dilma Rousseff. The aggregate value of signed investment contracts and trade agreements reached $30.5 billion. Yet what best speaks to the platform’s maturity is not the number of signings but the conversion rate – the share of agreements that translate into operating assets is increasingly the metric that matters to returning investors.

The centrepiece of this year’s forum will be the Tashkent International Financial Centre (TIFC), established by presidential decree in March 2026. Behind the headline sits a specific institutional architecture: a special legal regime based on common-law principles, a dedicated financial services regulator, an arbitration centre (TIAC), and tax exemptions through 2076. TIFC is part of a global trend toward specialised financial hubs that offer international market participants a familiar legal environment and regulatory predictability. Its defining feature is integration within the country’s legal framework: the centre operates under a special legal regime rather than creating a separate jurisdiction, reducing regulatory fragmentation and simplifying engagement with the domestic economy. A panel session featuring leaders of major global financial centres and international investors operating in Uzbekistan will address the central question: what are the practical conditions under which TIFC can attract international market participants.

The TIIF 2026 programme is structured around four thematic pillars: investment resilience and capital protection mechanisms, financial infrastructure and capital market development, trade connectivity and logistics corridors, and energy transition and climate finance. Key sessions include a discussion of the regulatory framework for alternative investment funds (a legal basis for private equity and venture capital being adopted for the first time), a panel on the Middle Corridor and trans-Caspian logistics, a session on sovereign ratings across Central Asia, and a practitioner-led workshop on blended finance instruments in frontier markets. A dedicated arbitration and dispute resolution track features two panel sessions co-organised with the Tashkent International Arbitration Centre (TIAC), the British-Uzbek Legal Association (BrULA), and the British Embassy. Topics range from the institutional design of Uzbekistan’s arbitration ecosystem – including the innovative Dispute Avoidance Protocol (DAP) – to the country’s positioning within the global investment protection architecture: ISDS frameworks, bilateral investment treaty reform, and New York Convention enforcement.

The energy agenda warrants particular attention. Uzbekistan has set an ambitious target of raising the share of renewables in electricity generation to 54% by 2030. Currently, the country operates solar and wind facilities with a combined installed capacity exceeding 4 GW, with a project pipeline envisaging an additional 19 GW of green capacity. Alongside this, the public-private partnership mechanism continues to develop: as of early 2025, PPP agreements worth approximately $28 billion had been signed in the country. For investors, this represents a large, structured market with standardised PPA contracts and a clear entry mechanism – a subject that will be examined in detail during the forum’s energy panel.

TIIF 2026 retains its bilateral business forum format, reflecting the expanding geography of Uzbekistan’s economic partnerships. Confirmed platforms include business forums with the Republic of Korea, the United States, Croatia, Hungary, Turkey, and Albania, as well as a China–SCO countries investment dialogue; the lineup continues to grow as the event approaches. The plenary session featuring heads of state and government will set the tone for the business programme. Running in parallel is an exhibition of industrial and investment potential spanning approximately 6,000 sq m – in 2025, a comparable facility facilitated over 500 B2B and B2G meetings for 100 participating companies.

At the same time, the forum agenda implicitly flags unresolved challenges. The corporate governance session raises the question of transitioning from concentrated to dispersed ownership – a process without which the stock market will remain illiquid. The discussion of privatisation and state asset IPOs calls for a candid conversation about pacing and institutional quality. The responsible business conduct panel, anchored in OECD standards, recognises that tax incentives alone are insufficient for accessing institutional capital – what is needed is verifiable supply chain transparency and functioning National Contact Point mechanisms.

The business programme is complemented by networking formats: an FIC and EY business breakfast on digitalisation and AI, the annual SQB Investor Day, an ESG Award ceremony, and the European Business Evening. The informal component – an invitational tennis tournament, TIIF Open, and an evening run – is designed for delegates who prefer to build relationships beyond the conference hall. The anniversary evening concludes with a collaboration with the Stihia electronic music festival – a detail that captures the tone in which Uzbekistan presents itself to an international audience.

For Uzbekistan, TIIF has long ceased to be a showcase. It is a working instrument of investment policy, whose effectiveness is measured not by the number of signing ceremonies but by the volume of capital that actually enters the economy between forums. The fifth, anniversary edition takes place at a moment when the country is simultaneously launching an international financial centre, adopting an alternative investment funds law, and receiving a sovereign rating upgrade – a convergence that creates a window of opportunity for investors prepared to operate in frontier markets with a growing institutional base.

In October, the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, will pay a state visit to the Kingdom of Belgium, during which important decisions are expected to be made that will mark a qualitatively new stage in relations between Uzbekistan and the European Union. In particular, the visit will feature the signing of the Agreement on Enhanced Partnership and Cooperation.

In recent years, Uzbekistan has been actively shaping a new framework of engagement with Europe – a key pillar of stability amid current geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainty. The ties between Uzbekistan and European countries continue to grow, and the areas of cooperation are diversifying, supported by the ongoing reforms in Uzbekistan.

Building a New Chapter in Relations

After gaining independence, Uzbekistan’s relations with the European Union developed dynamically. A Memorandum of Understanding between the Government of Uzbekistan and the European Commission was signed in 1992, followed by the establishment of diplomatic relations in 1994. The foundation of cooperation was laid by the Partnership and Cooperation Agreement (PCA) signed in June 1996 and entering into force in 1999. However, at a certain stage, cooperation faced difficulties due to the insufficient pace of democratic reforms in Uzbekistan.

With the election of Shavkat Mirziyoyev as President, the situation changed dramatically. As early as 2017, during his visit to Tashkent, Stefano Manservisi, Director-General for International Cooperation and Development of the European Commission, stated that “the EU regards Uzbekistan as a strategic partner.” The sweeping democratic and economic reforms launched in Uzbekistan helped resolve within a short period many issues that had long remained unsolved. Forced labor was completely eradicated, and reforms in the cotton sector enabled the country to abandon raw cotton exports altogether.

As reforms advanced, the legal and institutional framework of relations with Europe expanded rapidly. While previously Uzbekistan and the EU granted each other most-favored-nation treatment under the PCA, in April 2021 the EU granted Uzbekistan GSP+ beneficiary status, and in 2022 the Enhanced Partnership and Cooperation Agreement (EPCA) was initialed.

Along with internal transformation, Uzbekistan’s foreign policy architecture also changed. Priority was given to closer cooperation with neighboring Central Asian states, as well as the active expansion of ties with European countries – a vector that has strengthened steadily in recent years.

Just in the past year, Uzbekistan established strategic partnership relations with France, Italy, and Slovakia, while discussions on expanding strategic cooperation with Hungary continued. President Mirziyoyev also visited Slovenia, and Italy’s Prime Minister and Bulgaria’s President visited Uzbekistan.

A milestone in strengthening relations between Uzbekistan and Europe, and between Europe and Central Asia as a whole – was the first EU–Central Asia Summit, held in Samarkand in April 2025 under the chairmanship of Shavkat Mirziyoyev. Uzbekistan presented a broad range of initiatives to create a new model of regional cooperation between Central Asia and Europe, including: a multilateral agreement on investment protection and promotion; the launch of a Central Asia–EU Joint Chamber of Commerce; the adoption of a regional support program for SMEs and women’s entrepreneurship; the establishment of an investment platform to promote regional projects in green energy, innovation, transport, infrastructure, and agriculture.

The Samarkand Summit was highly productive. A Joint Declaration was adopted, establishing a strategic partnership between the two regions in trade, transport, energy, digital connectivity, and water management. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced that the EU had prepared a €12 billion investment package for Central Asia under the Global Gateway initiative.

The Trajectory of Economic Cooperation

Uzbekistan’s deep democratic transformations have significantly improved relations with European countries. Economic reforms have enhanced the competitiveness of Uzbekistan’s economy, stimulating investor confidence and growing interest from European businesses.

The results are impressive. Over the past 8 years, Uzbekistan’s GDP has doubled, reaching $115 billion in 2024. Since 2017, investment in fixed capital has totaled $240 billion, of which foreign investment exceeded $130 billion. The country’s foreign exchange reserves surpassed $48 billion for the first time in history. Structurally, the share of industry in the economy increased from 20% to 26%, and services from 44% to 47%. Labor productivity (GDP per employed person) rose by 45%.

As a result, opportunities for mutually beneficial cooperation between Uzbek and European businesses have expanded. Between 2017 and 2024, Uzbekistan’s trade with the EU increased 2.4 times to $6.4 billion; exports grew 3.6 times to $1.7 billion, and imports 2.2 times to $4.7 billion. In 2024, the EU’s share in Uzbekistan’s total trade turnover was 9.7%, in exports 6.3%, and in imports 12%. The EU ranked third among Uzbekistan’s trade partners, after China and Russia.

The EU’s share in Uzbekistan’s total exports increased from 3.8% to 6.3% over the same period. This growth was driven by Uzbekistan’s accession to the GSP+ preferential trade system, granting duty-free access to the EU market across roughly 6,200 tariff lines. The share of Uzbekistan’s exports benefiting from GSP+ reached 59%, with a preference utilization rate of 84%, indicating efficient use of trade benefits.

In 2024, Uzbekistan’s exports to the EU were dominated by chemical products (52.1%), as well as textiles, ferrous and non-ferrous metals, minerals, and food products. Among EU members, France accounted for 47.2% of exports, Lithuania for 10%, and Latvia for 6.9%.

Uzbekistan’s imports from the EU significantly exceeded exports – a reflection of the ongoing technological modernization of the national economy. Around 16% of Uzbekistan’s total imports of machinery, equipment, and transport vehicles come from EU countries.

Investment cooperation is also expanding rapidly. In 2024, foreign investments and loans from EU countries and their financial institutions increased by 77%, reaching $4.1 billion (compared to $2.3 billion in 2023). The most active investors were Germany ($1.37 billion), the Netherlands ($1.05 billion), Cyprus ($858.9 million), the Czech Republic ($137.8 million), Italy ($99.8 million), and Sweden ($97.5 million). Today, around 1,000 enterprises with EU capital operate in Uzbekistan, with a total project portfolio of €30 billion.

A special role in recent years belongs to the EBRD, of which Uzbekistan has become one of the largest beneficiaries. The Bank’s total investments in Uzbekistan’s economy exceeded €5 billion, including around €1 billion in 2024, primarily directed toward the private sector.

Reforms in Uzbekistan have become the key driver for unlocking the significant potential of trade and economic cooperation with the European Union.

Uzbekistan–Belgium

The upcoming visit will also focus on strengthening relations between Uzbekistan and Belgium. Diplomatic relations were established following the opening of the Embassy of Uzbekistan in Brussels in 1993. In 1996, the two countries signed an Agreement on avoidance of double taxation, and in 1998 – an Agreement on mutual protection and promotion of investments, which provide legal guarantees for investors in both states.

Business contacts have intensified in parallel with Uzbekistan’s reform agenda. The visits of 2019 and 2022 set the tone for cooperation in infrastructure, energy, and the digital economy. More important than the current trade volumes has been the recognition and support of Uzbekistan’s reforms by EU partners, laying the foundation for long-term engagement.

In 2024, bilateral trade amounted to $62.3 million, including $7.3 million in Uzbek exports and $55 million in imports. Investment cooperation is gaining momentum: several dozen companies with Belgian capital now operate in Uzbekistan, including wholly owned enterprises. New technologies are being localized, for example, Jaga Climate Designers is participating in a joint venture for heating and ventilation systems, and Picanol Group is localizing the assembly of high-tech textile machinery. Belgian brands Belcolade and Prefamac are exploring opportunities to launch chocolate production with subsequent localization.

Despite modest trade volumes, there is significant potential for expanding cooperation in several areas. Given Belgium’s leading role in pharmaceuticals and biomedical research and Uzbekistan’s growing pharmaceutical market, joint ventures or industrial clusters could be developed in this sector, involving companies such as UCB and Janssen Pharmaceutica.

There is also strong potential for joint fruit and vegetable processing projects in Uzbekistan, targeting exports to the EU via Belgian logistics hubs such as the Port of Antwerp and wholesale markets. Potential partners include Greenyard and Puratos. Direct seasonal exports of fresh fruits (e.g., grapes in autumn and winter), as well as dried vegetables, spices, and organic products, could also be expanded. In light industry, there is room to increase exports of ready-made knitwear and home textiles, provided European quality and safety standards are met. The market potential is evident – Belgium imported about $7.9 billion worth of clothing in 2024.

The main challenges remain logistics and standards. Belgium functions as a major EU maritime hub centered around Antwerp, while direct routes from Uzbekistan are still limited. The near-term priority should be pilot supply chains ensuring quality and traceability, the development of cold logistics, certification under EU technical and sanitary regulations, the use of Benelux consolidation hubs, and trade finance tools for SMEs. With the gradual development of new overland routes along the Middle Corridor, Uzbekistan will gain a stronger foothold in high value-added exports without higher costs or delivery delays.

Conclusion

Uzbekistan is entering a stage of deepened economic cooperation with the European Union. During the ongoing modernization and digital transformation of its economy, European investment, technology, education, and research experience can play a key role. At the same time, Uzbekistan seeks to expand exports of industrial goods as their quality improves.

Uzbekistan is also a rapidly growing market with a young and dynamic population, now reaching 38 million people – an 18% increase since 2017. Every year, around 700,000 economically active individuals enter the labor market, forming a substantial human resource base for the economy, including joint ventures.

As a result of poverty reduction policies, living standards and household incomes have risen significantly. Whereas a third of the population once lived below the poverty line, 7.5 million people have been lifted out of poverty, and the poverty rate declined to 8.9% in 2024, with plans to reduce it further to 6% this year. These policies not only address social challenges but also expand domestic demand, increasing the interest of European businesses in entering Uzbekistan’s market.

The further deepening of Uzbekistan’s economic engagement with the EU and Belgium is an objectively mutually beneficial process – one that will define the success of the upcoming state visit of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev to Belgium.

The agreements expected to be signed will help advance joint projects in sustainable energy and infrastructure, strengthen transport and technological connectivity between Central Asia and Europe, and position Europe as a key partner in Uzbekistan’s long-term growth and modernization trajectory.

 Obid Khakimov,  

Director of the Center for
Economic Research and Reforms

“Uzbekistan - 2030” strategy, adopted on 11 September 2023, identifies sustainable economic growth, the establishment of modern education, healthcare and social protection systems, creation of favorable environmental conditions, building a just and modern state and guaranteed national sovereignty and security as its priority areas. At the core of all reforms is the aim to increase citizens’ welfare, strengthen public trust in the state and ensure confidence in the future. The strategy represents a shift from goal-setting to results-based management, with clear accountability, measurable outcomes and linked financing.

Since its adoption, Uzbekistan has achieved significant progress. Between 2023 and 2025, nominal GDP rose from USD 107.5 billion to USD 140 billion, while exports, foreign investment and innovative activity also grew. Social indicators reflect the reforms’ impact: unemployment fell from 6.8% to 4.9% and poverty decreased from 11% to 6.8%.

What are the reasons for updating the “Uzbekistan - 2030” Strategy?

The need to accelerate the country’s further development has prompted the update of the strategy and its target indicators. The “Uzbekistan - 2030” Strategy has been revised in light of both external and internal factors.

External factors include the global geopolitical environment, international economic trends, technological innovations, environmental and natural changes and the growing demand for energy and water resources. Internal factors encompass demographic growth, urbanization and migration, which require strengthening institutional quality and improving governance efficiency.

In response to these challenges, a draft of the “Uzbekistan - 2030” Strategy for 2026-2030 has been developed and published for nationwide public discussion.

Within the updated Strategy, while retaining the same five priorities and 100 goals, certain tasks and performance indicators have been revised. Many of the previously established targets have already been achieved and new objectives have been added, resulting in an expanded and updated set of performance indicators. Moreover, the document specifies the responsible ministries and agencies as well as the concrete funding sources required to achieve each goal.

In which areas do the reforms provide “mechanisms for change”?

Economy. The largest number of tasks and performance indicators fall under “II. Ensuring the well-being of the population through sustainable economic growth.” The Strategy sets a target GDP of USD 240 billion by 2030 through measures such as maintaining annual inflation at 5–6%, ensuring fiscal stability, enhancing the country’s investment attractiveness, efficiently utilizing domestic raw materials and developing high-tech-based industry and services. The plan also emphasizes deepening Uzbekistan’s integration into global transport and logistics networks and strengthening the export potential of the national economy.

Transitioning to a green economy, transforming the country into a regional “IT HUB” through digital technology development, increasing competition in the banking sector, creating the most favorable conditions for entrepreneurial activity and implementing comprehensive regional development will generate new jobs, ensure employment and increase citizens’ incomes. These measures are expected to reduce poverty, enhance overall well-being and stimulate the growth of key economic sectors, particularly construction, tourism and the service industry.

Education. The Strategy also aims to create favorable conditions for realizing the potential of the youth as well as developing the education and healthcare sectors. Under “I. Creating dignified conditions for the realization of each person’s potential,” performance indicators have been established to achieve goals by 2030, such as ensuring that 50% of graduates from general education schools and academic lyceums receive higher education and secure employment in sectors offering fair wages. Additionally, the inclusion of 10 higher education institutions in the global top-1000 rankings (QS, THE, ARWU) will enhance the competitiveness of Uzbek youth not only in domestic labor markets but also internationally.

The implementation of a cluster system “enterprise – university – research organization” will contribute to the expansion of innovative products in the economy’s “driver” sectors. The Strategy envisions the creation of spin-off type production clusters at higher education institutions to accelerate the process of integrating scientists’ research ideas into economic practice in areas such as transport and logistics, agricultural production, energy, biotechnology, geology and metalworking, mechanical engineering and electronics. Developing science, especially among youth, will improve Uzbekistan’s position in the Global Innovation Index and enable the country to enter the list of the top 60 most innovative nations worldwide.

Health. It is often said that a person’s education reduces health risks and increases life expectancy, while health - physical, mental and social - is the foundation for a full life and self-realization. The Strategy sets goals for the next five years to increase the average life expectancy of the population, reduce premature mortality from cardiovascular diseases (ages 30–69), cancer and respiratory diseases and decrease the incidence of life-threatening congenital defects in newborns. In maternal and child healthcare, nine performance indicators have been established. The Strategy also prioritizes promoting healthy nutrition and lifestyles among the population and reducing adult obesity rates.

Social Protection. For vulnerable segments of the population, the state will continue its policy of fundamentally improving the system of professional social services, establishing a new support system for persons with disabilities and creating a comfortable and favorable environment for them. For children left without parental care, 100% implementation of alternative, non-institutional forms of care will be ensured and for children with special educational needs, coverage by inclusive education will be increased.

The state pays special attention to the expansion of women’s rights and opportunities. Different cultures have diverse perceptions of the roles of men and women, shaped by history, religion and traditions. At the same time, globalization and potential prospects for the country’s development require the implementation of policies ensuring gender equality and increasing the social and political activity of women. The draft Strategy includes tasks such as expanding the number of women trained in professional and entrepreneurial skills, increasing the number of women actively using information and communication technologies, raising the share of women in leadership positions to over 30 percent, and regulating family relations in households experiencing conflict or on the verge of divorce.

Ecology, Law and Security. The priorities of “Conservation of water resources and environmental protection”, “Ensuring the rule of law and organizing public administration oriented toward serving the people” and “Consistent continuation of a policy based on the principle of a safe and peaceful state” are also included in the Strategy, with specific tasks and performance indicators outlined.

Mechanisms for Achieving Goals for Each Priority

The mechanisms for achieving goals under each priority are reflected in strategic documents. For example, to implement the objectives of the priority “Conservation of water resources and environmental protection”, the National Climate Strategy for Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation and the Strategy for Industrial Waste Management have been developed.

To develop the driver sectors of the economy and achieve GDP growth to 240 billion dollars by 2030, sectoral strategies have been formulated: Strategy for the Development of Industry of Uzbekistan, Strategy for the Development of the Automotive Industry, Strategy for the Development of Light Industry, Strategy for the Development of the Building Materials Industry, Strategy for the Development of the Jewelry Industry, Strategy for the Development of Tourism in Uzbekistan, Strategy for the Modernization, Accelerated and Innovative Development of the Construction Sector and others.

The development and implementation of strategic documents at the regional level will allow achieving goals and objectives in a comprehensive and targeted manner. For instance, Strategies for Comprehensive Development of All Spheres by 2030 in each region of the country consider socio-economic development through the lens of the local economy and the well-being of the population. The development of such documents involves not only local authorities but also leading ministries and agencies, including the Ministry of Economy and Finance, Ministry of Investments, Industry and Trade, Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Digital Technologies, Ministry of Employment and Poverty Reduction, Ministry of Energy, National Committee on Ecology and Climate Change and others.

The development of sections of the Strategy involved national think tanks, such as the Institute of Macroeconomic and Regional Research, Center for Economic Research and Reforms, etc. This demonstrates that Uzbekistan implements a scientifically grounded policy (evidence-based policy), where decision-making in various spheres - economy, social policy, ecology, law and security - is based on scientific data, forecasts and expert assessments to achieve medium- and long-term goals.

Key expected outcomes until 2030 (macro outcomes)

The main outcomes of the updated “Uzbekistan – 2030” Strategy are expressed through economic, social, environmental, and other indicators. In the economic sphere, it is expected to achieve macroeconomic stability and sustainable GDP growth up to USD 240 billion, transform the country into a regional “IT HUB” and enter the top 60 most innovative countries in the world, deepen the republic’s integration into global transport and logistics networks and strengthen the export potential of the national economy. Creating a favorable business climate and sustainable jobs as well as ensuring employment for the population, will help reduce income inequality and poverty, with the elimination of absolute poverty based on minimum consumer expenditure and reducing its level to zero percent.

In the social sphere, Strategy provides for creating decent conditions to realize the potential of young people and improving education and healthcare, reflected in target indicators such as increasing life expectancy to 78 years, achieving 80% coverage of children in kindergartens, and 50% coverage in higher education. It also aims to enhance the quality of university education, include 10 higher education institutions in the TOP-1000 rankings of the world’s most prestigious universities (QS, THE, ARWU) and implement a cluster system connecting enterprises, universities and research organizations.

In the environmental sphere, the Strategy envisions continuing the transition to a green economy, introducing green energy technologies, constructing buildings that meet “green” standards, promoting a culture of rational water use, developing water-saving technologies, preventing air pollution and mitigating the negative impacts of climate change.

Doctor of Economic Sciences, Professor D.M. Karimova

Institute of Macroeconomic and Regional Studies

Republic of Uzbekistan

The crises observed today in the system of international relations once again testify to the growing need for mutual understanding, unity, and the achievement of common goals for the states of Central and South Asia. In this regard, dialogue platforms that contribute to strengthening mutual understanding and trust are of particular importance. In this context, the Termez Dialogue serves as a platform for developing interregional cooperation. Its first meeting took place on May 19, 2025, aimed at strengthening regional connectivity and elevating cooperation to a new level.

The growing demand for this platform was reflected in the organization of a separate session dedicated to the Termez Dialogue within the framework of the Doha Forum in December 2025. The discussions highlighted the importance of practical approaches to enhancing interregional cooperation.

The current meeting of the Termez Dialogue is aimed at defining a new stage in the development of the platform - the transition from conceptual discussions to defining priority areas and practical mechanisms for realizing the potential of interregional cooperation.  During the Termez Dialogue, special emphasis is expected to be placed on strengthening cultural ties.

This is relevant because interdependence must be understood more broadly than just trade, infrastructure, and transport corridors. It includes social, intellectual, and cultural ties that unite the communities of the region. Revisiting this history creates an important conceptual foundation for modern regional cooperation.

It is noteworthy that even in the past, Termez, a city located between the Greco-Bactrian, Kushan kingdoms, and other ancient states where Zoroastrianism, Buddhism, Christianity, and Islamic traditions emerged and developed as a center of intercultural and religious dialogue, flourished during the Timurid era and became a major center of trade, crafts, and science^[1]. Indeed, if we look at our history, the countries of Central Asia and the South Asian region have always developed harmoniously as a single space, closely cooperating in all spheres. The works of the great thinker Abu Rayhan Beruni “India,” Zahiriddin Muhammad Babur “Baburnama” and other historical sources are clear evidence of these close ties.

Furthermore, the following remarks by Muhammad Sobir Turkestani, Deputy Ambassador of Afghanistan to Uzbekistan, deserve attention: “Both Uzbekistan and Afghanistan are located on the land between two rivers, which was once called Mawarannahr.” There are many similarities in our cultures.  The cultural heritage of Alisher Navoi is the wealth of the peoples of Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. The remains of our ancestor Alisher Navoi are in the Herat region. All the minarets built in Herat during the reign of Sultan Husayn Bayqara stand as a single complex. Zahiriddin Muhammad Babur was buried in Kabul. In a complex called Babur's Garden. There are also large cultural museums in Afghanistan. Our antiquities are kept in our museums in Kabul, Herat, and Mazar-i-Sharif.”^[2] Of course, the main goal of our efforts today is not to develop these historical ties, but to restore them, and to further strengthen the bonds of friendship and brotherhood between our peoples.

To this end, in recent years, Uzbekistan has been increasingly developing ties with the countries of South Asia.

At the same time, special attention is paid to the development of cultural ties and people-to-people contacts, which contributes to strengthening economic ties and realizing untapped potential.

This approach is relevant given the ineffectiveness of using only military-political means to ensure security. For example, the failure to achieve positive results was once again confirmed by the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan in 2021, which was carried out with the help of weapons and military to establish peace and stability on Afghan soil. In this context, Uzbekistan's economic ties with Afghanistan today serve as one of the important factors in establishing peace in the country and restoring its economy.

According to estimates by the Statistics Agency of Uzbekistan, mutual trade turnover amounted to $653 million in 2021, $688.8 million in 2022, $784.1 million in 2023, and $999.9 million in January-November 2024^[3]. Over the past five years, trade turnover has increased 2.5 times, reaching $1.68 billion in 2025, while Uzbekistan's exports amounted to approximately $1.5 billion. The parties set a new medium-term goal to increase trade turnover to $5 billion. Therefore, today Uzbekistan is becoming one of the important investors in Afghanistan. Specifically, according to a $1 billion agreement signed between Uzbekistan and Afghanistan, Uzbekistan will participate in the development of the Tuti Maidan gas field in the Jauzjan and Faryab regions for 10 years.

The Termez International Trade Center, established in the Surkhandarya region, plays a very important role in implementing such trade and economic instruments. This shopping center is the first trade zone in Central Asia serving various entrepreneurs, especially Afghan entrepreneurs, who cooperate with Afghanistan. The shopping center features permanent exhibitions and fairs, an Uzbek-Afghan business school, a medical clinic for the treatment and provision of medical care to patients who are citizens of Afghanistan, a hotel, enterprises specializing in the production of precious metal jewelry, a multi-currency system, and other conditions that allow entrepreneurs to trade freely.

According to analytical data, 60% of Uzbekistan's total international transport passes through the transit routes of Central Asian countries and Afghanistan. Uzbekistan's access to seaports through Afghanistan is 2-3 times shorter than the access to the Black and Baltic Seas, and 5 times shorter than the route to the Pacific ports^[4]. According to economic analysts, the cost of delivering one container from Central Asia to South Asia through Afghanistan to seaports will decrease from $900 to $286. In addition, transportation time will be reduced from 35 days to 3-5 days. At the same time, export potential will also increase sharply. Improving transport and infrastructure communications and attracting international transit carriers to Central Asia is one of the most important tasks uniting the countries of the region. Its resolution is determined by the need to improve the socio-economic situation in the region.

In conclusion, interdependence is the most important task for the countries of Central and South Asia in terms of ensuring stability and sustainable development. In this sense, the Termez Dialogue, as a prestigious international forum, will be effective in further expanding ties between our regions, opening new horizons for cooperation, and moving confidently along the path of peace and development.

Furthermore, the Termez Dialogue, as a platform for strengthening interregional connectivity and restoring common historical, cultural, and civilizational ties, opens opportunities for the development of new international transport and logistics corridors through Afghanistan. In the current difficult conditions of growing mutual trust and conflict of interests, such a format of cooperation as the Termez Dialogue is of great importance.

Tashkent State University of Oriental Studies, Foreign policy and international economic relations Deputy Director of the Institute PhD., O. Abdurakhmonov

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O‘zbekiston Respublikasi Tashqi savdo aylanmasi. 2024-yil yanvar-noyabr oylari uchun dastlabki ma’lumot // O‘zbekiston Respublikasi huzuridagi Statistika agentligi. – B.4.

Akmalov Sh. O‘zbekiston va Afg‘oniston: o‘tmishdan hozirgacha. Monografiya. – T.: “Zamon poligraf”, 2023. – B. 70.

In recent years, relations between the Republic of Uzbekistan and the Kyrgyz Republic have become one of the key pillars of regional cooperation in Central Asia. These relations are founded on a shared border, historical proximity, regular political dialogue between the heads of state, and growing interdependence in trade, transport and logistics, energy, industry, agriculture, and the development of border regions. Consequently, the bilateral agenda is steadily evolving beyond the framework of traditional good-neighbourly relations toward a comprehensive and long-term economic partnership.

Regular high-level contacts continue to define the strategic direction of bilateral cooperation. The Joint Commission on Bilateral Cooperation remains the principal institutional mechanism for intergovernmental coordination. In May 2026, the Deputy Prime Ministers of Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan held a meeting on the sidelines of the KazanForum. In June, the relevant ministers discussed current issues related to trade, investment, and economic cooperation. On 22–23 June 2026, the 12th session of the Intergovernmental Commission was held in Cholpon-Ata.

An important component of this cooperation architecture is the development of direct interregional ties. The Council of Governors of Uzbekistan's border regions and the Plenipotentiary Representatives of the President of the Kyrgyz Republic, established in 2017, was transformed in 2025 into the Council of Heads of Regions of the two countries. As a continuation of this process, the first Uzbekistan–Kyrgyzstan Forum of Regions is planned to be held in Uzbekistan. This format has significant practical importance for promoting trade, logistics, border crossing infrastructure, local markets, and entrepreneurship in border areas.

Business-to-business cooperation is also becoming increasingly dynamic. In July 2024, Tashkent hosted a business forum attended by 350 entrepreneurs. The event resulted in the signing of 20 agreements worth a total of USD 213 million. Preparations for the next business forum in Bishkek confirm the regular nature of this dialogue and its focus not only on trade operations but also on projects aimed at strengthening industrial cooperation.

The growth in bilateral trade reflects the expanding economic interests of both countries. By the end of 2025, mutual trade had reached nearly USD 1.2 billion, representing an increase of 36.4 percent. The positive trend continued during January–May 2026, when bilateral trade amounted to USD 468.8 million, up by 43.9 percent compared to the same period of the previous year. Uzbekistan's exports increased by 60.8 percent, while imports from Kyrgyzstan grew by 12.1 percent. The commodity structure has also become increasingly diversified: Uzbekistan primarily exports textiles, food products, construction materials, and machinery, whereas imports from Kyrgyzstan include ores, electricity, metals, and plastic products.

To consolidate these positive trends, the two countries are implementing the Programme for Increasing Bilateral Trade for 2024–2030. The programme is aimed at moving beyond the expansion of individual commodity groups toward a more sustainable trade model through the diversification of product ranges, the development of new distribution channels, and the removal of trade barriers. Within this framework, the parties are addressing issues related to coal, construction materials, livestock, seedlings, and sheet glass.

The next stage of cooperation focuses on trade, logistics, and industrial instruments. The International Trade Centre "Termez" provides Kyrgyz products with an additional southern export route. Trade houses in Bishkek and Tashkent are expected to become permanent platforms for promoting bilateral trade, while assembly production facilities utilizing Uzbek-made components will add greater industrial value to bilateral economic relations.

The investment dimension is supported by the growing presence of businesses in each other's markets. Currently, 450 enterprises with Kyrgyz capital operate in Uzbekistan, while 85 enterprises with Uzbek capital are active in Kyrgyzstan. This demonstrates a gradual transition from conventional trade transactions to more sustainable forms of business cooperation.

Industrial cooperation is acquiring tangible substance. In the Chui Region, automobile production has been launched with the participation of the Uzbek side, including the assembly of the Onix, Captiva, Damas, Cobalt, Tahoe, and Tracker models.

The opportunities for cooperation, however, extend well beyond the automotive industry. In geology, both countries are interested in jointly exploring a number of mineral deposits, including iron ore and phosphorite reserves, as well as cooperating in the development of critical minerals. In the pharmaceutical sector, the parties are working on projects to manufacture affordable medicines.

The textile and light industry also retains considerable potential. Textile enterprises have already been established in Kara-Balta and Andijan, garment production is expanding in Bishkek and Osh Region, and textile manufacturing is being developed in the Chui Region.

Alongside industrial initiatives, energy cooperation remains of strategic importance. The Kambarata HPP-1 project occupies a central place on the bilateral agenda. It is essential to expedite the conclusion of the intergovernmental agreement on the project while ensuring a balanced approach to the water and energy interests of both countries.

Transport cooperation complements this agenda, as it directly affects the sustainability of economic ties. Creating predictable operating conditions for transport operators requires the establishment of a joint working group and the development of a Joint Transport and Logistics Programme for 2026–2028.

Financial support for a number of bilateral initiatives is provided by the Uzbekistan–Kyrgyzstan Development Fund. Its portfolio already includes projects in transport, finance, light industry, construction materials, and energy. Expanding the Fund's project portfolio and considering Kyrgyzstan's participation in its authorized capital could further strengthen the institution's long-term sustainability.

Border infrastructure also deserves particular attention, as it translates the broader bilateral agenda into practical cooperation at the regional level.

Overall, these developments demonstrate that Uzbekistan–Kyrgyzstan relations are entering a more mature stage of economic partnership. Growing trade, expanding industrial cooperation, energy coordination, transport connectivity, agricultural and industrial initiatives, together with enhanced financial mechanisms, are forming not merely a collection of individual agreements but an integrated system of long-term strategic partnership.

On November 29, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev convened a meeting dedicated to identifying additional opportunities, increasing investments and jobs in Bukhara region.

Previously, the economy of this region was mainly linked to agriculture. However, over the past seven years, the region has attracted more than $4 billion investments, enabling development of such industries as energy, electrical engineering, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, textiles and leather. In the past period of the current year, 1.5 million foreign tourists visited Bukhara.

The visit of the Head of State to the region on May 31-June 1 gave a new impetus to its development. All the tasks outlined during the visit will be fully accomplished by the end of the year.

At the same time, it is important to ensure further growth of economic indicators in 2025, increase employment and well-being of the population. To this end, the working group studied additional opportunities of the region and factors hindering entrepreneurship development.

The critical meeting emphasized that the region's economic performance does not correspond to its potential. Work on investment absorption, poverty and unemployment reduction was recognized as unsatisfactory.

In this regard, the hokims, their deputies and sector heads will be put on emergency duty for a period of six months. The entire focus will be on improving these three areas. Special attention will be paid to implementing 70 driver projects based on the experience of Saikhunobad, Uychi, Zarbdar and Gijduvan. They will provide income to 150 thousand people and lift 40 thousand people out of poverty.

As it was mentioned, each district of the region can be specialized for a certain industry. For example, Peshku and Shafirkan - for production of construction materials and textiles, Kagan city, Alat and Jondor districts - for food industry, Gijduvan and Romitan - for chemical industry. This will make it possible to implement projects of entrepreneurs worth $150 million, create 411 small enterprises and provide 12 thousand jobs.

Four textile factories are planned to be built in Vabkent, Karakul, Jondor and Alat at a total cost of $320 million. This will double the volume of finished knitwear and textile products and create 5,000 jobs.

Next year, the number of foreign tourists is expected to reach 2.2 million and tourism exports are expected to reach $600 million. This will be supported by opening 69 new hotels and 2 thousand handicraft stores.

It is planned to develop additional 20 thousand hectares of land, which will allow to grow additional 100 thousand tons of agricultural products and provide employment for 2 thousand people. Trees and food crops will be planted on vacant homestead land, along canals and field edges.

Another opportunity is pastures. In Bukhara region their area exceeds 2 million hectares. As part of the decisions made at a recent meeting on horticultural development, it is planned to grow pistachios on unused pastures.

Hokim of Bukhara region presented plans to utilize these opportunities. In general, next year 106 projects will be implemented, 105 thousand permanent jobs will be created, exports will be increased by $350 million due to foreign investments worth $2 billion.

The Head of State pointed out the insufficiency of these plans and instructed to intensify efforts and improve results. He tasked to revise the proposals again and draft a relevant resolution.
 

The forthcoming state visit of President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev to Kyrgyzstan on 30–31 July will mark a new milestone in the development of Uzbek–Kyrgyz relations, which have undergone a profound transformation in recent years—from overcoming accumulated disagreements to building a comprehensive model of strategic cooperation.

Today, relations between the two countries are experiencing one of the most substantive periods in their history. Only a few years ago, a significant part of the bilateral agenda concerned issues relating to the state border, the operation of border checkpoints, and the restoration of mutual trust. However, consistent political dialogue has made it possible to resolve the outstanding issues and create space for a new level of cooperation in industry, investment, energy, transport, cross-border development, and the humanitarian sphere.

At the heart of these changes lies the political will of the leaders of the two states. Reciprocal visits and a shared readiness to seek mutually acceptable solutions have created a new atmosphere of trust that now defines the nature of bilateral cooperation. The regular and trust-based dialogue between President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev and President of the Kyrgyz Republic Sadyr Japarov has brought bilateral relations to a fundamentally new level. The signing of the Declaration on Comprehensive Strategic Partnership in 2023 was a logical continuation of this course. The document became both a political symbol of rapprochement and an institutional foundation for long-term cooperation, formalizing the transition of relations to a qualitatively new stage.

The main achievement of recent years is that the border between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan is no longer perceived solely as a dividing line. It is gradually becoming a space for economic growth, people-to-people contacts, and shared opportunities. This transformation has been one of the most significant accomplishments of the new era of Uzbek–Kyrgyz relations. The final settlement of state border issues was of particular historical importance.

The signing in Khujand on 31 March 2025 of the Treaty on the Junction Point of the State Borders of Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan demonstrated the ability of the region’s states to resolve the most complex issues independently, on the basis of mutual respect and due consideration of one another’s interests.

It is symbolic that the successful completion of the process of resolving border issues in Central Asia has also received international recognition. Adopted on 20 May 2026 at the initiative of the Kyrgyz Republic, the United Nations General Assembly resolution entitled “Peaceful Settlement of Border Disputes” established at the global level the principles of resolving territorial issues peacefully through dialogue, mutual trust, and consideration of the interests of all parties. For Central Asia, where historic progress has been achieved in recent years in the delimitation of state borders, the document represented important confirmation of the relevance of the region’s accumulated experience and recognition of the contribution made by Central Asian countries to international security.

The political and legal foundation that has been established is now undergoing further institutional development. The leaders’ declarations and agreements are supported by a comprehensive set of mechanisms, including the Supreme Interstate Council, the Intergovernmental Commission, the Interparliamentary Commission, the Business Council, and formats for interregional cooperation. Significantly, the twelfth meeting of the Joint Intergovernmental Commission was held in Cholpon-Ata in June this year, during which the parties agreed on further measures to expand trade, industrial cooperation, and transport and energy interaction.

The intensive political dialogue is naturally reflected in the economy, which today serves as one of the clearest indicators of the changes that have taken place. Over the past ten years, bilateral trade has increased more than sevenfold, from USD 167.5 million to USD 1.2 billion. Last year alone, growth of 40 percent was recorded.

At the same time, Uzbekistan has become one of Kyrgyzstan’s largest trading partners, accounting for approximately 7 percent of its foreign trade turnover. It is noteworthy that mutual trade has become considerably more diversified in recent years.

Whereas bilateral trade was previously based mainly on the exchange of agricultural products, it is now increasingly dominated by higher value-added goods and products from processing industries. In particular, more than 90 percent of Uzbek exports consist of processed products (40 percent), finished goods (45 percent), and services (6 percent).

A clear example of this progress is the growing number of enterprises involving capital from the two countries. More than 300 enterprises with Kyrgyz investment currently operate in Uzbekistan, while around 70 enterprises involving Uzbek businesses operate in Kyrgyzstan. This indicates that the business communities of the two countries increasingly regard each other not only as markets for their products, but also as partners in joint production and the development of long-term industrial ties.

The Uzbekistan–Kyrgyzstan Development Fund has become an important instrument in supporting this trend. The decision to increase its authorized capital to USD 200 million significantly expands opportunities to finance projects in industry, agriculture, logistics, energy, construction, tourism, and services. This is helping to create a more sustainable economic foundation for bilateral cooperation. In the future, joint ventures could become the core of cross-border production chains targeting third-country markets by combining Uzbekistan’s industrial capacity, Kyrgyzstan’s natural resource and energy potential, and the advantageous geographical position of both countries.

The dynamic growth of trade and industrial cooperation has naturally increased the importance of transport connectivity, which is becoming one of the key areas of the new stage of Uzbek–Kyrgyz cooperation. In recent years, cooperation has moved beyond the modernization of roads and border checkpoints toward the implementation of regional-scale infrastructure projects. Chief among them is the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway, which opens a new chapter in the transport integration of Central Asia.

After almost three decades of discussion, the project has entered the implementation stage. With a total length of 538 kilometres, the railway will connect China’s western regions with Central Asia and provide the shortest overland route toward the Middle East and Europe.

The new railway is expected to shorten the freight route between China and Europe by approximately 900 kilometres, reduce delivery times by seven to eight days—almost one-third—and carry up to 15 million tonnes of cargo annually.

For Kyrgyzstan, the project means transforming from a landlocked country into an important Eurasian transit link. For Uzbekistan, it means diversifying export routes, strengthening ties with China, and improving the resilience of foreign trade. At the same time, the project’s significance extends far beyond the construction of a railway. Logistics centres, industrial zones, and new production facilities will emerge along the route. Combined with the development of the Trans-Afghan Transport Corridor, this will create the conditions for Central Asia to become one of Eurasia’s key transport and logistics hubs.

Energy cooperation occupies a special place in the Uzbek–Kyrgyz partnership. For many years, water and energy issues remained among the most sensitive aspects of relations between the countries of the region. Today, however, a fundamental shift is taking place: rather than focusing on differences, the parties are increasingly concentrating on joint solutions.

The most ambitious example of this approach is the construction of the Kambarata-1 Hydropower Plant, which Kyrgyzstan is implementing jointly with Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. The project, valued at approximately USD 4 billion, envisages the construction of a hydropower facility with a capacity of 1,860 MW and annual electricity generation of 5.6 billion kWh, making it one of the largest energy facilities in Central Asia.

The project’s importance goes far beyond the energy sector. For the first time in the region’s history, three states are jointly implementing an infrastructure project of this scale, sharing investment, risks, and future benefits. Its implementation will strengthen regional energy security, enhance the sustainability of the water and energy balance, and expand opportunities for mutual electricity supplies.

At the same time, the sustainability of the strategic partnership is determined not only by large-scale infrastructure projects. The humanitarian dimension of cooperation, rooted in the historical closeness of the two peoples and intensive interpersonal contacts, plays an equally important role.

More than 300,000 ethnic Kyrgyz currently live in Uzbekistan, where six Kyrgyz cultural centres and more than 50 schools offering instruction in the Kyrgyz language operate. Kyrgyzstan, in turn, is home to a large Uzbek community that forms an integral part of the country’s social and cultural fabric. These humanitarian ties have become one of the most important sources of trust between the two states.

The most vivid practical manifestation of the level of trust achieved can be seen in the Fergana Valley, a region where the most complex issues of cross-border interaction had been concentrated for decades. In many ways, the valley serves as a reflection of the processes taking place across Central Asia. Today, it is gradually being transformed from an area of potential disagreement into a territory of cooperation, dialogue, and joint development.

An important symbol of this transformation was the first Fergana Peace Forum, held in the city of Fergana in October 2025 under the slogan “Fergana Valley: Joining Efforts for Peace and Progress.” For the first time, the Fergana Valley became a platform for developing joint solutions. Discussions focused on strengthening trust, advancing cross-border cooperation, unlocking the region’s economic potential, promoting cultural engagement, and enhancing the role of young people in ensuring sustainable peace.

A notable feature of the Fergana Forum was the holding of Yntymak Day, or “Day of Unity,” under its auspices. Since 2023, the event has been held in Kyrgyzstan as a platform for strengthening dialogue among government bodies, civil society institutions, and international organizations in support of peace and harmony in the region. In 2025, it was held in Uzbekistan for the first time.

The emerging atmosphere of cooperation is reflected not only in political initiatives but also in the growth of humanitarian contacts between the citizens of the two countries. Cooperation in tourism expanded considerably in 2025. Kyrgyzstan is among the largest sources of tourists visiting Uzbekistan. While approximately 652,000 Kyrgyz citizens visited the country in 2021, the figure reached 3.3 million in 2025. The growth in mutual travel demonstrates that open borders and improved transport links are already having a direct impact on everyday contacts between the people of the two countries.

Cultural exchange is also expanding. Days of Culture, joint festivals, educational programmes, and events dedicated to the legacy of prominent figures from both nations are strengthening Central Asia’s shared humanitarian space. The legacy of Chinghiz Aitmatov, whose works form part of the region’s common cultural heritage, carries particular symbolic importance.

Joint events marking anniversaries associated with his life and work demonstrate that culture is becoming an important means of strengthening mutual understanding between the two peoples.

Kyrgyzstan’s election as a non-permanent member of the United Nations Security Council for 2027–2028 adds an international dimension to the Uzbek–Kyrgyz partnership. This historic achievement not only reflects the high degree of confidence that the international community places in Kyrgyzstan’s foreign policy, but also opens new opportunities to promote Central Asian interests on the global stage.

For Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan’s membership of the Security Council offers an additional opportunity for closer coordination on regional security, sustainable development, the water and climate agenda, transport connectivity, and the strengthening of multilateral cooperation. It will enable the countries to advance Central Asia’s shared interests more consistently, building on the high level of trust and strategic partnership established between the two states.

Kyrgyzstan’s election can also be regarded as a shared achievement for the region, reflecting Central Asia’s growing international standing and recognition of the policy of good-neighbourliness and constructive cooperation pursued by the region’s states.

Against this background, the issue of further deepening the Uzbek–Kyrgyz strategic partnership is taking on particular significance. Whereas the previous stage of bilateral relations focused on restoring trust, resolving accumulated disagreements, and creating a solid political and legal foundation for cooperation, the success of the current stage will largely depend on the ability of the two states to make joint use of emerging opportunities and translate the level of political trust achieved into sustainable institutional mechanisms for long-term development.

This is especially relevant in the context of implementing major projects designed for decades to come, including the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway, the Kambarata-1 Hydropower Plant, the expansion of industrial cooperation, and the formation of new transport, logistics, and production chains. Their effectiveness will depend not only on the volume of investment but also on the parties’ ability to ensure predictable conditions for cooperation, coordinated decision-making, and the long-term stability of the mechanisms they establish.

The development of cross-border cooperation remains one of the most promising areas. The final settlement of state border issues has created opportunities to transform border regions into spaces of shared economic growth. Further improvement of cooperation mechanisms between border regions, the implementation of joint infrastructure projects, and stronger interregional ties could make these areas one of the key drivers of bilateral cooperation.

At the same time, construction of the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway is creating the conditions for the establishment of joint logistics and industrial zones along the route, the development of modern multimodal terminals, and the digitalization of customs and border procedures. This will make it possible to transform the new railway from merely a transport route into a fully fledged economic corridor that stimulates industrial development and attracts international investment.

The development of industrial cooperation offers equally important prospects. The next stage could involve the establishment of sustainable cross-border production chains, expanded cooperation between small and medium-sized enterprises, joint access to third-country markets, and the further removal of remaining administrative barriers to mutual trade and investment.

The strong complementarity of the two economies creates opportunities for deeper sectoral specialization, particularly in the agro-industrial sector. The establishment of joint clusters for the advanced processing of agricultural products would significantly increase added value, improve the competitiveness of producers, and expand export potential.

At the same time, climate change and the growing risks posed by transboundary natural hazards are objectively broadening the strategic partnership agenda. In these circumstances, strengthening mechanisms for the joint prevention of and response to emergencies, developing information-sharing and early-warning systems, and coordinating efforts to ensure the environmental security of border areas are becoming increasingly important.

The further development of water and energy cooperation remains another major priority. The Kambarata-1 Hydropower Plant project already demonstrates a transition toward a new model of regional cooperation based on joint investment, shared infrastructure management, and the distribution of benefits. In the future, the principles of mutual consideration of interests, equitable benefit-sharing, and collective responsibility for the rational use of water resources could form the basis of a modern system of regional water and energy partnership.

Thus, the further development of the Uzbek–Kyrgyz strategic partnership will be determined not only by maintaining a high level of political dialogue but also by consistently strengthening the institutional foundations of cooperation. This approach will ensure the sustainability of the progress achieved and create a solid basis for implementing joint projects in the interests of both states and Central Asia as a whole.

In conclusion, Uzbek–Kyrgyz relations are currently experiencing perhaps the most dynamic stage in the independent history of the two countries. The strategic partnership between Tashkent and Bishkek extends far beyond bilateral cooperation and is becoming an important factor in shaping a new architecture of interaction in Central Asia.

The joint settlement of border issues, implementation of major infrastructure projects, advancement of regional initiatives at the United Nations, and expansion of opportunities for coordinating international efforts demonstrate that Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan are moving from resolving accumulated problems to jointly shaping the future. This model of partnership is becoming one of the key sources of stability, connectivity, and international agency for Central Asia as a whole.

Azamat Sulimanov
Head of Department, Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan (ISRS)

Shakhlo Khamrakhodjaeva
Leading Research Fellow, Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan (ISRS)

Today, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan are connected not only by a shared border and close historical and cultural ties. A common economic space is gradually emerging, built on mutual trade, industrial cooperation, joint investment, and direct ties between businesses and regions.

Over the past decade, the two countries have moved from resolving accumulated issues to implementing concrete projects. The border is becoming a link rather than a barrier, while the complementary nature of the two economies is creating new opportunities.

Drivers of Trade and Economic Cooperation

The transformation is most clearly reflected in the growth of bilateral trade. Compared with 2016, mutual trade has increased more than sevenfold. Uzbekistan’s exports have grown more than sixfold, while imports from Kyrgyzstan have increased more than ninefold. Thus, the flow of goods is expanding in both directions.

In 2025, Uzbekistan’s foreign trade turnover with Kyrgyzstan reached nearly $1.2 billion, rising by 37% year-on-year. Uzbekistan’s exports to Kyrgyzstan increased by 46.5% to $771 million, while imports reached $428 million, up nearly 23%.

The positive trend continued in 2026. In January–May, trade turnover approached $469 million, increasing by 45.5%. Uzbekistan’s exports rose by 63% to $771 million, while imports from Kyrgyzstan increased by nearly 13% to $428 million.

The structure of bilateral trade has also changed significantly in recent years. For example, while light industry products accounted for more than 50% of Uzbekistan’s exports in 2021–2022, their share declined to 19%, or $147 million, in 2025. Agricultural and food products accounted for 15%, or $112 million; machinery, equipment, and vehicles for 11%, or $87 million; and chemical products for 11%, or $81 million.

At the product level, exports are primarily composed of finished textile products, electricity, cement, mineral fertilizers, knitted fabrics, automobile bodies and components, ceramic tiles, aluminum profiles, fruit and vegetable products, and confectionery.

The quality of Uzbekistan’s export structure has also improved. The share of raw materials in exports declined from 56% in 2019 to 8.2% in 2025. Processed goods accounted for 40%, with the remainder consisting of finished products, services, and goods supplied by individuals.

Imports from Kyrgyzstan are also gaining strategic importance. In 2025, mineral and raw material products accounted for 44%, or $190 million, of imports from Kyrgyzstan. Fuel and energy products made up 26%, or $111 million, including $85 million worth of coal and lignite. Agricultural and food products accounted for 14%, or $61 million. Other significant imports included glass, natural stone, rolled metal products, tires, and packaging materials.

At the same time, considerable growth potential remains. Kyrgyzstan currently accounts for only about 1.5% of Uzbekistan’s total foreign trade turnover. This indicates that the goal set by the two countries to increase mutual trade to $2 billion by 2030 is fully achievable. However, reaching this target will require systematic efforts to diversify the range of traded goods and strengthen cooperative links that can support durable trade and investment relations.

Investment and Industrial Cooperation

Investment and industrial cooperation constitute the second major driver of economic relations between the two countries.

In 2016, only 49 enterprises with Kyrgyz capital operated in Uzbekistan. By the end of 2025, their number had reached 344, representing a sevenfold increase. As of July 1, 2026, there were already 374 such enterprises.

An important mechanism in this area is the Uzbek–Kyrgyz Development Fund, established in 2021. The fund already uses several support instruments, including investment lending, leasing, and project financing. The next stage of its development could involve expanding its portfolio and actively channeling resources into export-oriented joint ventures.

A number of joint enterprises have also been launched in recent years. These include the Kyrgyz–Uzbek Tulpar Motors automobile plant in the Chuy Region, which generates demand for metalworking, automotive components, logistics, and maintenance services.

Joint projects are also being implemented in the textile industry, household appliance manufacturing, the production of plastic and aluminum profiles, construction materials, and other sectors.

Implementation has begun on major projects such as the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway and the 1.9 MW Kambarata Hydropower Plant-1.

These projects provide a solid foundation for a new structural breakthrough in bilateral relations.

Promising Areas of Cooperation

The results achieved in trade and economic cooperation, together with the rapid economic growth of Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, create significant opportunities for further expanding bilateral economic relations.

One priority is to increase mutual trade, with a particular emphasis on products resulting from industrial cooperation. Achieving the target of $2 billion in bilateral trade will require more than simply increasing sales of finished goods. The two countries will need to expand trade in inputs intended for further processing as part of deeper cross-border value chains.

According to estimates by the Center for Economic Research and Reforms, Uzbekistan has the potential to increase exports to Kyrgyzstan of passenger vehicles and components, trucks, agricultural machinery, iron and steel products, finished textile products, polymer materials and finished plastic goods, electrical products and equipment, pharmaceuticals, and cement.

Kyrgyzstan, in turn, has the potential to increase supplies of mineral ores, plastic products, glass, natural stone, ceramic products, and environmentally friendly agricultural and food products.

A strategically important area of cooperation could be the transition to large-scale industrial collaboration through the creation of joint full-cycle production facilities and clusters in border regions.

In light industry, border regions produce more than 600 tons of raw cotton and have a cattle population of 4 million and a sheep and goat population of 6.4 million, providing a substantial raw material base. Proximity to China can also reduce the cost of purchasing synthetic raw materials for the industry.

Construction materials represent another promising area because their production is already one of the leading industrial sectors in the border regions. Kyrgyzstan is also experiencing a construction boom, with construction activity increasing 1.7 times in the first half of 2026, thereby generating additional demand for construction materials.

In the food industry, cooperation could focus on processing fruit and vegetables, meat and dairy products, and producing juices, jams, animal feed, and other food products.

In the mining sector, the two countries could develop joint projects for the exploration and development of mineral resources, including critical minerals and iron ore deposits. Such projects should aim to establish full production cycles, from extraction to the manufacture of finished products.

Additional potential for industrial cooperation and investment exists in electrical equipment, household appliances, pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and automotive components, including parts, batteries, tires, and plastic and metal components.

An important consideration in this area is ensuring that products are manufactured in accordance with the standards and market requirements of the Eurasian Economic Union. This would strengthen the export potential of joint projects.

As part of their industrial cooperation agenda, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan should begin developing joint industrial projects along the route of the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway. Logistics terminals, industrial zones, warehouses, processing centers, and freight service facilities should be established along the route. This would help create a major industrial hub in the region.

Other important areas include deeper interregional and cross-border cooperation and greater support for entrepreneurship. Promising fields include e-commerce, joint entry into third-country markets, marketplaces, startup cooperation, digital payments, tourism, and workforce training for joint enterprises.

In conclusion, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan have already established a solid foundation for economic partnership. The next stage should transform quantitative growth into qualitative production integration. The two countries need to move from trading individual goods toward joint value chains, interconnected industrial cooperation networks, and a common production and logistics space.

Ruslan Abaturov,
Center for Economic Research and Reforms

The Content Preparation Center for Mass Media under the Administration of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan has launched, for the first time in Uzbekistan, an innovative media bank — the Aura.uz platform. It consolidates photo and video materials showcasing the country’s rich cultural heritage, unique nature, modern cities, and way of life.

The primary objective of the platform is to promote Uzbekistan’s positive image to both local and international audiences through high-quality visual content.

Currently, Aura.uz hosts nearly 6 terabytes of data, comprising more than 12,000 photos, videos, and infographics. The platform is continuously updated with around 200 new items daily.

A dedicated service has been established for the collection and publication of content. In addition, the archive has been formed using materials from the National Television and Radio Company of Uzbekistan (MTRC), press services of ministries and government agencies, as well as the national news agency UzA.

This project aims to address a key issue in Uzbekistan’s media landscape — the shortage of high-quality visual content. As a result, it is expected to significantly increase (by up to 1,000 times) the global volume of professional photo and video materials about Uzbekistan.

Today, many local and international video creators, bloggers, and media professionals encounter outdated or low-quality content, often containing captions, subtitles, or watermarks, when searching for visual resources. In particular, finding modern footage — especially region-specific or drone-shot visuals — remains a challenge.

The platform features:
— exclusively high-quality content (HD, Full HD, 4K and above);
— materials provided without captions, logos, or subtitles;
— videos available in both horizontal (16:9) and vertical (9:16) formats;
— a convenient search system allowing access by season, time (day/night), region, and category;
— most importantly, all files are available for free use.

The content is systematically categorized into areas such as art, urban development, sports, historical landmarks, nature, and national traditions.

Materials of national significance are also compiled separately. In particular, videos related to the visits of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, as well as content dedicated to the “New Uzbekistan” concept, are available in dedicated sections.

The platform is open, allowing contributors to upload their own materials. A monetization system is planned for future implementation.

Aura.uz is an innovative media platform that presents the modern visual image of Uzbekistan to the world.

In the year of a historic achievement for national sport – the first-ever qualification of Uzbekistan’s national football team for the FIFA World Cup – the documentary film “O'zbek futboli” has been unveiled, telling the story of more than a century of the formation and development of football in our country.

The production of the film coincides with an event that has become a source of national pride and a landmark moment in the history of modern Uzbekistan. The national team's qualification for the FIFA World Cup is not only an outstanding sporting accomplishment, but also a historic opportunity to revisit the origins of Uzbek football and pay tribute to the people, teams, and milestones that have shaped its legacy and brought this long-awaited success within reach over the course of more than one hundred years.

The idea for the documentary emerged in September 2023 during a meeting between the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, and representatives of the Uzbek diaspora in New York. During the meeting, an initiative was proposed to create a documentary dedicated to the history of Uzbek football and its development over more than a century. The initiative received the support of the Head of State, after which work on the project commenced with the assistance of the Press Service of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan and the Center for National Content Development (Content Center), under the leadership of Kobuljon Akhmedov.

“O'zbek futboli” is an effort to preserve for future generations the story of the individuals whose dedication enabled Uzbek football to travel the remarkable path from the first matches of the early twentieth century to the country's participation in the FIFA World Cup. The documentary is built upon archival materials, eyewitness accounts, and interviews with football veterans, coaches, sports experts, journalists, and current members of the national team.

Filming took place in Tashkent, Kokand, and London. These locations were carefully selected to trace the key stages in football's development – from its beginnings in Uzbekistan to the origins of the modern global game. Particular attention was devoted to historical accuracy, recreating the atmosphere of different eras, and presenting an honest and authentic account of the journey Uzbek football has undertaken over the past century.

The film explores not only the national team's road to its historic World Cup qualification but also the broader evolution of football culture in Uzbekistan. It tells the story of the emergence of the country's first football clubs, the growth of youth academies, professional teams, coaching traditions, the role of supporters, and the contributions made by many generations of athletes to the development of national football.

The documentary features legendary footballers of previous generations, current players of the Uzbekistan national team, coaches, referees, sports officials, journalists, and researchers of football history. By bringing together the voices of several generations, the film allows audiences to experience the story of Uzbek football through the eyes of those who lived it and helped shape it.

At its heart, the documentary conveys a simple yet powerful message: great victories are never accidental. Every success is built upon years of hard work, an unwavering belief in a dream, and the efforts of countless people across generations. Through this film, its creators seek to emphasize the importance of respecting history, preserving continuity between generations, loving one's homeland, believing in one's own potential, and uniting society around a common goal.

“O'zbek futboli” is a story about how dreams become reality when an entire nation continues to believe in them for many years.

Uzbek football is not merely the fulfillment of a dream. It is a reward bestowed upon generations of people who refused to stop believing in it.

https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1ZwkXogix-5oZmlgy5s1uWIzG5AJ7TFck