Uzbekistan’s total external debt amounted to $75.4 billion as of October 1, 2025.

According to the Ministry of Investment, Industry and Trade of Uzbekistan (MIIT), $37.4 billion of this amount accounts for the government’s external debt.

It is important to note that the issue of investment and external financing always attracts interest and raises questions. This is natural, as society wants to understand where resources come from and what results the country achieves.

The key principle here is simple: the purpose of attracting investment and resources is to improve living standards. This is not about “impressive reports” or “eye-catching figures,” but about tangible improvements felt in everyday life-jobs and household incomes, infrastructure, access to clean water, energy and transport, and quality social services.

The economic logic is also clear: for the economy to grow faster, resources are needed- capital, technology, equipment, and new markets. If a country stops attracting resources, growth slows down: fewer jobs are created, it becomes harder to modernize logistical and social infrastructure, expand water supply, and ensure affordable energy.

Therefore, Uzbekistan is consistently working to attract investments - to accelerate economic development, boost GDP, and ultimately improve both the quality and longevity of life. Notably, since 2020, life expectancy has shown steady growth - from 73.4 years to 75.1 years in 2024.

At the same time, what matters to people are not slogans, but measurable results - changes that can be seen and assessed.

By structure, Uzbekistan’s total external debt as of October 1, 2025, amounted to $75.4 billion. Of this, $37.4 billion is government external debt, while the remaining $38 billion consists of borrowings by private and state-owned enterprises without a government guarantee (corporate debt).

Notably, according to international classifications, Uzbekistan’s government debt level is regarded as moderate and manageable. The government’s external debt of $37.6 billion amounts to roughly 26% of GDP (with official GDP around $145 billion), well below the threshold levels that are generally seen as potentially risky for macroeconomic stability worldwide.

What has been achieved through government borrowings in 2017-2025:

• Reconstructed 1,564 km of highways
• Electrified 470 km of railway lines
• Built 6,793 km of drinking water networks and 664 km of sewage networks
• Constructed 59 km of heat pipelines, 1,286 individual heating units, 166 water distribution facilities, and 31 sewage pumping stations
• Created 2,737 MW of additional electricity capacity and laid 1,106 km of high-voltage power lines
• Commissioned additional generation of 2,084 MW, producing 16,423 million kWh of electricity and 551.8 thousand Gcal of thermal energy

Modernization of Transport and Urban Services:

• Purchased 4 Boeing 787-8 aircraft
• Acquired 2 high-speed Talgo-250 passenger trains
• Added 30 electric locomotives
• For the subway system: 70 cars and 29 train sets
• 1,900 buses
• 1,000 ambulances
• 541 units of equipment for household waste collection
• 13 heat boilers

Education and Social Sector:

• Established 119 educational and research laboratories in 60 universities
• Equipped 6,213 state preschool institutions with furniture, learning materials, and office equipment

Agriculture and Water Management:

• Restored 1,593.1 km of canals
• Modernized 3,396 hydraulic structures
• Drilled 423 vertical wells
• Established modern greenhouses on 2.2 thousand hectares and intensive orchards on 12.6 thousand hectares
• Built cold storage facilities with a capacity of 334.9 thousand tons
• Launched processing enterprises with a capacity of 258.2 thousand tons of products
• Created farms for 12.3 million poultry, 5,752 sheep, and 26.3 thousand cattle

These figures reflect already utilized borrowings. A significant portion of infrastructure and social sector modernization projects is still underway and will continue to deliver benefits as the work is completed.

Overall, as a result of the comprehensive measures implemented during 2017-2025, over 2 million jobs were created, exports increased by 270%, and GDP per capita grew by 418%.

What is fundamentally important is that resources can only be mobilized under strict rules, transparency, and oversight. In his Address to the Oliy Majlis and the people of Uzbekistan, the President highlighted that parliamentarians will oversee the entire project cycle - from selection and competitions to implementation and results. Project statuses, stages, and milestones will be published in real time, ensuring full transparency of competitions, tenders, and the fulfilment of obligations.

Uzbekistan’s approach to investment is clear and straightforward: the country needs resources for growth, while simultaneously ensuring full oversight, transparency, and measurable results for the population. This is exactly how the work is organized - openly, in stages, with clear accountability.

Dunyo IA

Recently, President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev received a special letter from President of the United States Donald Trump. In this message, which is of great significance in political and diplomatic circles, the U.S. President highly commended our Head of State’s active and constructive participation in the inaugural meeting of the Peace Council in Washington. The letter specifically acknowledged the innovative reforms being implemented by our esteemed President in New Uzbekistan and the results achieved, and invited him to the next meeting of the Peace Council as well as to the prestigious G20 Summit to be held in Miami.

It concluded with the words, “May the Creator bless you and the great people of Uzbekistan,” expressing the highest respect.

Do you know the geopolitical significance of this development?

It is an open acknowledgment that the leader of the world’s most powerful country regards New Uzbekistan not as a small Central Asian state, but as a strategic partner helping to shape global peace, security, and a new world order. The attention and invitation extended by the head of the White House represent the international community’s true assessment of the balanced, enlightened, and pragmatic foreign policy pursued by our President.

What force lies behind this diplomatic success? Why is Washington listening so closely to Tashkent’s views and position today, at a time of intensifying rivalry among global powers?

The answer is clear and well founded: humanity stands on the threshold of a profound paradigm shift. Indeed, the world’s geopolitical architecture is currently undergoing a stage of fundamental renewal, transformation, and restructuring.

Traditional methods in international relations—the use of force, financial pressure, and artificially constructed political alliances—are losing their value. At a time when humanity is caught in a vortex of unexpected global crises and conflicts, a new form of peace diplomacy—grounded in reason, science, rational analysis, enlightenment, and logic—is emerging on the geopolitical stage.

Therefore, President Donald Trump’s letter is far more than a matter of ordinary diplomatic courtesy or symbolic protocol. It demonstrates that New Uzbekistan is becoming a firm pillar of the global political architecture.

Those of us in the academic and scientific community must examine this process at a deep, fundamental level: Why is the leader of the world’s most powerful country paying such close attention to Uzbekistan’s voice and to its balanced, enlightened position?

It should be noted that the international community has recently come to recognize Tashkent’s foreign policy as a “phenomenon of pragmatism grounded in humanism and enlightenment.” Uzbekistan is therefore no longer a mere observer at global flashpoints. Tashkent proposes addressing problems through clear, systematic solutions based on reason and knowledge. This is precisely why Donald Trump attaches fundamental importance to Tashkent’s role in the Peace Council established in Davos and at the Washington summit. His views indicate that Uzbekistan has already moved beyond the status of a “geopolitical player in the shadows” or a “small state.” Our country is emerging as a pillar of stability in Central Asia and a strong bridge for peace in global diplomacy.

In his historic address at the Peace Council’s first summit in February of this year, our Head of State stated clearly and firmly: “We must seize this historic opportunity to build a New Gaza—a prosperous region with decent living conditions for its people.”

The Uzbek leader’s initiative to build homes, kindergartens, schools, and hospitals in crisis-stricken areas is a fundamental concept conveying to the world that war and destruction can be overcome only through enlightenment, education, socioeconomic recovery, and science diplomacy.

Clear evidence of this can be seen in the period from 2022 to 2026, which has been marked by entirely new initiatives, major investments, and the rapid expansion of academic exchanges in education and science. Data from the Ministry of Higher Education, Science and Innovation of the Republic of Uzbekistan, the U.S. Embassy in Tashkent, and international organizations such as American Councils clearly demonstrate the scale of this growth.

In recent years, thousands of local English-language teachers have been retrained in accordance with international standards through the English Speaking Nation (ESN) program, implemented with the support of the U.S. Department of State. American specialists—English Teaching Assistants (ETAs)—have been directly involved in teaching at schools and universities across various regions of Uzbekistan.

With U.S. support, modern teaching and learning packages for English and computer science (IT), meeting international standards, were also developed and introduced for grades 1–11 in general education schools.

Cooperation in higher education has advanced beyond student exchanges to the level of institutional development:

• The expansion of the Fulbright and FLEX programs significantly increased the quotas for academic exchanges intended for researchers, graduate students, and schoolchildren. Young Uzbek scholars and teachers gained opportunities to conduct research at leading U.S. universities, including the University of California, Berkeley, and the University of Texas.

• Franchising and partnerships with American universities have developed, while the network of joint educational programs—including double-degree programs—and academic cooperation with U.S. higher education institutions has expanded. The Tashkent branch of Webster University has further broadened its activities and continues to train highly qualified professionals through its undergraduate and graduate programs.

The number of joint research projects between the Ministry and U.S. higher education institutions in IT, alternative energy, agricultural technologies, and sociolinguistics has increased. Educational resources open to the wider public have also been developed beyond formal educational institutions. A network of modern libraries, STEM laboratories, and free language-learning centers has been established in Tashkent, Karshi, Namangan, Termez, and other cities. These centers have become free platforms for young people to acquire knowledge and exchange information. Special grants and training programs have also been introduced to increase the participation of women and girls in STEM—science, technology, engineering, and mathematics.

In addition, from July 13 to 18, a delegation from the Ministry of Higher Education, Science and Innovation was sent on an official visit as part of the international Future 100 internship program.

The program arranged internships at the world’s leading universities, technology companies, accelerators, and other organizations. In particular:

• Visits were organized to the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (TOP 1), Stanford University (TOP 3), Harvard University (TOP 5), the University of California, Berkeley (TOP 17), and San Francisco State University.

• The delegation learned about the work of Coursera, Google, OpenAI, the StartX Accelerator, the Office of the Mayor of San Francisco, and the United Nations, and took part in seminars.

Recent years have marked a fundamental shift, both quantitative and qualitative, in Uzbek-American educational relations. This cooperation serves as an important driver for developing human capital in Uzbekistan, training professionals who can compete in the global labor market, and modernizing the education system.

Today, we can say with confidence that a strong foreign policy rests upon strong enlightenment and a powerful economic foundation. In this regard, the scale of past and present economic and social cooperation between Washington and Tashkent deserves particular recognition. The agreements reached within the framework of the Tashkent International Investment Forum and business dialogues in Washington—with the leadership of the Export-Import Bank of the United States and the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC), as well as with such global corporate giants as BlackRock, John Deere, Traxys, and Valmont Industries—are no coincidence.

Major projects in healthcare, critical-mineral processing, green energy, artificial intelligence, digitalization, data centers, and the construction of a new airport hub in Tashkent are the practical fruits of intellectual power grounded in science and technology.

The United States’ view of Uzbekistan as a strategic partner is also closely linked to the reforms underway in our country’s higher education and research sectors. In modern competition, it is not raw materials but intellectual capital and advanced technologies that are becoming decisive. Science is the only universal human phenomenon that knows no borders and can show the way toward rational compromise in any situation. The global peace initiatives advanced by Uzbekistan embody the following three principal enlightened solutions:

• Resolving conflicts not through political or military pressure, but by rebuilding society’s social and cultural fabric and establishing educational infrastructure.

• Ensuring that every peace mechanism—including efforts such as the reconstruction of Gaza—is supported by the local population and founded on sustainable economic models.

• Demonstrating New Uzbekistan’s readiness to assume geopolitical responsibility and offer solutions at the world’s most painful flashpoints.

This is precisely why the United States and the international community see Shavkat Mirziyoyev as a new, reliable, and balanced guarantor of global stability.

It is evident that, in the twenty-first century—when global competition is becoming increasingly fierce—our country has its own voice, its own conceptual model, and a firmly established place on the world stage. We believe that the G20 Summit in Miami and the upcoming meetings of the Peace Council will elevate Uzbekistan’s active participation in shaping the global political agenda to an even higher level.

For our part, we must support this honorable and prudent diplomatic course led by our esteemed President through science, innovation, and a highly skilled workforce, while demonstrating to the world the strength of the Uzbek tradition of enlightenment.

Thus, New Uzbekistan is a new global center of peace, enlightenment, academic intellect, and international cooperation. This message will continue to resound from international platforms and unite the entire world around the cause of goodness.

Fazliddin MUMINOV
Head of Department, Ministry of Higher Education, Science and Innovation

The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) examines the prospects for expanding trade, economic and investment cooperation between Uzbekistan and Serbia.

As Uzbekistan broadens its economic engagement with Europe, new avenues for cooperation are emerging. Serbia is becoming one of these promising directions, with its strategic location offering Uzbek businesses additional opportunities to access markets across Central and Southeastern Europe.

For Serbia, closer cooperation with Uzbekistan provides access to Central Asia’s growing market as well as new manufacturing and investment opportunities. This complementarity creates considerable scope for taking bilateral economic relations well beyond their current level.

A New Stage in Economic Relations

Economic ties between Uzbekistan and Serbia have gained significant momentum in recent years. In April 2023, Serbia’s First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs Ivica Dacic paid an official visit to Uzbekistan.

A major milestone came with the first official visit of Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic to Uzbekistan on October 28–31, 2025. Following talks in Tashkent, the two countries signed an Agreement on the Reciprocal Promotion and Protection of Investments and an Agreement on Economic Cooperation.

These agreements established a stronger institutional framework for investment projects and more systematic cooperation between businesses in the two countries.

In May 2026, during a visit by Serbian Foreign Minister Marko Duric, the two sides continued discussions on expanding trade and industrial cooperation. Mechanical engineering, pharmaceuticals, the chemical industry, agriculture and a number of other sectors were identified among the most promising areas.

The economic rationale for closer cooperation is closely linked to the geographical positions of the two countries and their ability to provide access to broader regional markets.

Serbia lies at the heart of the Balkans, connecting the markets of Central and Southeastern Europe. Uzbekistan, meanwhile, has the largest consumer market in Central Asia and a rapidly expanding industrial base.

This economic complementarity creates opportunities that extend well beyond bilateral trade. For Uzbek businesses, Serbia can serve as a gateway to European markets through the Balkans. For Serbian companies, Uzbekistan offers a platform for expanding their presence across Central Asia.

Trade Is Gaining Momentum

Trade between Uzbekistan and Serbia has expanded rapidly in recent years. Between 2016 and 2025, bilateral trade increased almost ninefold, from $1.4 million to $12 million.

In 2025, Uzbekistan exported $0.9 million worth of goods and services to Serbia, while imports from Serbia exceeded $11 million.

The composition of trade highlights the different nature of the two countries’ supplies.

Food products accounted for the largest share of Uzbekistan’s exports to Serbia at 47%, followed by manufactured goods at 23.8%, services at 20.8%, chemical products at 4.8%, crude materials excluding food at 2.4%, and mineral fuels and lubricants at 1%.

Serbian exports to Uzbekistan, by contrast, are predominantly industrial in nature. Machinery and transport equipment accounted for 50% of imports, followed by chemical products at 20.1% and manufactured goods at 16.8%. Food products represented 4.8%, miscellaneous manufactured articles 4.2%, services 2.6%, and crude materials excluding food 1.5%.

Together, machinery and transport equipment, chemical products and manufactured goods account for 87% of Serbian supplies to Uzbekistan. This predominantly industrial structure creates a solid foundation for developing deeper production cooperation between companies in the two countries.

In 2026, nine enterprises with Serbian capital were operating in Uzbekistan. The cumulative volume of foreign direct investment and loans attracted from Serbia between 2016 and 2025 amounted to $2.2 million.

The next stage of bilateral cooperation could therefore involve a transition toward more sophisticated forms of economic engagement, including contract manufacturing, localization and joint investment projects.

From Trade to Industrial Cooperation

The greatest potential for further cooperation lies in expanding production and investment links between companies in the two countries.

Particularly promising areas include light industry, pharmaceuticals, mechanical engineering, electrical engineering, the chemical industry and energy. Opportunities in these sectors include placing manufacturing orders with Uzbek enterprises, localizing production, producing components and implementing joint projects.

Infrastructure represents another promising area. Uzbekistan’s potential participation in railway projects in Serbia is currently being explored. Such cooperation could enable Uzbek companies to expand exports of engineering and construction services and gain experience in implementing projects in European markets.

Serbian companies, in turn, could broaden their participation in infrastructure and industrial projects in Uzbekistan.

Stronger production linkages between enterprises could also increase the involvement of local suppliers from both countries in international value chains.

The new institutional framework, together with investment initiatives and growing industrial cooperation, creates the conditions for bilateral economic relations to move toward a broader and more diversified model.

The Balkan direction could thus become an important route for expanding the presence of Uzbek businesses in Europe, while Uzbekistan could serve as a platform for Serbian companies seeking to establish a long-term presence in Central Asia.

As production ties deepen, companies from Uzbekistan and Serbia may also gain new opportunities to jointly enter third-country markets.

Khurshed Asadov,
Deputy Director of Center for Economic Research and Reforms

Amid ongoing global geoeconomic transformations, Central Asia is increasingly emerging as one of the key hubs of Eurasian connectivity.

Against this backdrop, Uzbekistan has consistently strengthened its position as a proactive advocate of regional dialogue, transport integration, and economic cooperation between Central and South Asia.

One of the most prominent manifestations of this strategy is the Termez Dialogue, a new international platform aimed at fostering sustainable links between the two macro-regions.

Accordingly, the central message of the inaugural meeting of the Termez Dialogue on Connectivity between Central and South Asia, held in May 2025, was reflected in the forum’s theme: “Building a Common Space of Peace, Friendship, and Prosperity.”

The event was jointly organized by the Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and the Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Uzbekistan. The forum brought together approximately 200 participants from Central and South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific region.

The choice of Termez as the venue was highly symbolic. As Uzbekistan’s southern gateway and a major transport and logistics hub on the Afghan border, the city has historically served as a bridge between regions and is now evolving into a platform for shaping a new model of interregional cooperation.

TRANSPORT CONNECTIVITY AS THE FOUNDATION OF REGIONAL INTEGRATION

The Termez Dialogue reflects Uzbekistan’s strategic vision of creating an open and interconnected Eurasian space. In recent years, Tashkent has consistently promoted the idea of linking Central and South Asia through the development of transport corridors, energy cooperation, and humanitarian exchanges.

One of the most significant initiatives in this regard is the construction of the Trans-Afghan Railway “Termez–Mazar-i-Sharif–Kharlachi.” The project is expected to substantially reduce cargo transit times between Central Asia and Pakistan’s seaports, providing regional countries with direct access to the Indian Ocean. Uzbekistan remains actively engaged in negotiations with Afghanistan and Pakistan to advance this initiative, viewing it as a cornerstone of a future Eurasian transport corridor.

Another practical example of connectivity is the modernization of Termez’s transport and logistics infrastructure. The international transport hub in Surkhandarya Region already plays a crucial role in facilitating humanitarian assistance to Afghanistan and supporting southbound transit transportation. Through the development of multimodal transport routes, Uzbekistan is strengthening its position as a key transit state in the region.

Particular attention is also being devoted to energy connectivity. Uzbekistan continues to export electricity to Afghanistan while simultaneously promoting projects aimed at expanding regional power networks. These measures contribute not only to economic integration but also to the creation of a foundation for long-term stability in neighboring countries.

GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION AND THE GROWING IMPORTANCE OF CENTRAL ASIA

In recent years, regional connectivity has acquired not only economic but also strategic significance for Central Asia.

The conflict in the Persian Gulf, accompanied by strikes on military and energy infrastructure, has demonstrated the vulnerability of traditional transport and logistics routes passing through the Middle East. Under these circumstances, Central Asia’s role as an alternative corridor for transit and a zone of political stability has become increasingly important.

For Uzbekistan, these new geopolitical realities present both challenges and opportunities. On the one hand, instability surrounding Iran increases risks to international trade, energy supplies, and regional security. On the other hand, demand is growing for overland corridors linking East Asia, South Asia, and Europe while bypassing areas affected by military tensions.

As a result, the connectivity projects promoted by Tashkent are increasingly viewed not merely as regional initiatives but as integral elements of a new Eurasian logistics architecture.

The Trans-Afghan Corridor has gained particular significance in this context. Against the backdrop of potential disruptions to maritime transport through the Strait of Hormuz and growing risks along Middle Eastern routes, the **Termez–Mazar-i-Sharif–Kabul–Peshawar railway** could become one of the shortest and safest overland connections between Central Asia and the ports of the Indian Ocean. This has increased interest in the project not only among regional states but also among major external actors seeking to diversify trade routes.

Furthermore, tensions surrounding Iran have brought issues of food and energy security into sharper focus. In response, Uzbekistan has intensified regional coordination efforts concerning electricity supplies, logistics, and humanitarian engagement with Afghanistan.

In this context, Termez is evolving from a border city into a critical hub of regional crisis-response infrastructure.

THE TERMEZ DIALOGUE AS A MECHANISM FOR INSTITUTIONALIZING COOPERATION

The significance of the Termez Dialogue extends far beyond transport and economic issues.

The platform is gradually developing into an institutional mechanism for cooperation between Central and South Asia. Experts increasingly describe the forum as a step toward the formation of a new architecture of interregional interaction.

Against the backdrop of escalating tensions in the Middle East, Uzbekistan continues to promote a diplomatic model of regional development based on the principles of neutrality, pragmatism, and multilateral cooperation.

At a time of growing confrontation in global politics, the Termez Dialogue serves as a platform where discussions encompass not only trade and transport but also mechanisms for maintaining the resilience of the broader Eurasian space.

This explains the growing international support for Uzbekistan’s initiative. The themes addressed within the Termez Dialogue are increasingly discussed at international forums, reflecting broader recognition of Tashkent’s role as a mediator and integrator across Eurasia.

Uzbekistan is advancing an alternative model of regional development based on dialogue, economic cooperation, and infrastructure connectivity. Consequently, the Termez Dialogue is becoming not merely a diplomatic initiative but an important element of an emerging framework for interregional cooperation.

CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES WITHIN THE CONNECTIVITY AGENDA

At the same time, Uzbekistan emphasizes a comprehensive approach to addressing regional challenges. During the second meeting of the Termez Dialogue, particular attention was devoted to climate resilience, water security, and joint responses to environmental challenges.

Organizers stressed that climate-related risks have become common challenges for both Central and South Asia and therefore require coordinated solutions.

In particular, Uzbekistan advocates expanding regional cooperation on the rational management of transboundary water resources within the Amu Darya and Syr Darya basins, which directly affect the food and energy security of regional states.

Special attention is also being paid to environmental degradation in the Aral Sea region. Uzbekistan continues to promote international initiatives aimed at ecosystem restoration, including the establishment of the International Innovation Center for the Aral Sea Region and the implementation of large-scale afforestation programs on the dried seabed of the Aral Sea.

Over recent years, millions of hectares have been planted with saxaul trees, making this one of Central Asia’s largest climate adaptation projects.

In addition, Tashkent actively promotes green energy initiatives as a component of regional sustainability. Uzbekistan is implementing major solar and wind power projects with the participation of investors from the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and China.

The development of renewable energy is viewed not only as a domestic priority but also as a foundation for future cross-border energy cooperation between Central and South Asia.

Another example of this comprehensive approach is the discussion of regional mechanisms for responding to climate emergencies, including droughts, dust storms, and water shortages.

Uzbekistan has proposed intensifying the exchange of hydrometeorological data and scientific research among regional countries, emphasizing that environmental security is becoming an integral component of the broader connectivity architecture.

CONCLUSION

Today, it is increasingly evident that Uzbekistan is steadily consolidating its role as one of the principal drivers of regional connectivity.

Through transport projects, diplomatic platforms, and economic initiatives, Tashkent is contributing to the transformation of Central Asia into an active center of Eurasian interaction.

Within this process, the Termez Dialogue has emerged as a symbol of a new regional strategy – one based on openness, pragmatism, and mutually beneficial development.

Author: Shukhrat Tukhtabaev,

Chief Research Fellow

Center for Foreign Policy Studies

(Uzbekistan)

At the invitation of President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev, President of Mongolia Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh will pay a state visit to our country on June 23-26.

In accordance with the program of the high-ranking guest's stay, it is envisaged to hold high-level talks in Tashkent, during which issues of further expansion and strengthening of Uzbek-Mongolian relations of friendship and multifaceted cooperation will be considered.

In particular, the agenda includes plans to develop constructive political dialogue and inter-parliamentary contacts, increase bilateral trade turnover, implement cooperation projects in mining, agriculture, livestock, light industry, healthcare, transport, logistics and other areas. Joint measures aimed at boosting cultural, humanitarian and tourist ties will also be discussed. There will be an exchange of views on international issues.

A package of intergovernmental and interdepartmental documents will be signed following the results of the summit.

As part of the program of the state visit, the leaders of the two countries will meet with representatives of leading companies and business circles, and a number of other bilateral events will be held.

Mongolian President Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh will also visit Khiva, where he will familiarize himself with the rich cultural and historical heritage of our people.

An analysis of nighttime satellite illumination data indicates a strengthening of economic activity across regions and an expansion in the number of territories exhibiting urban-type development.

The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) applied satellite-based nighttime lights (NTL) data to assess economic activity at the level of regions and cities in Uzbekistan.

The analysis shows that higher light intensity corresponds to higher levels of economic activity and more advanced urban infrastructure.

CERR’s findings demonstrate a high degree of consistency between satellite-based indicators and official statistics. In particular, according to estimates based on NASA nighttime lights data, nominal GDP per capita in Uzbekistan grew by 80.3% in 2020–2025, corresponding to an average annual growth rate of 15.8%, increasing from $2,090 to $3,887 over five years.

For comparison, according to official statistics, GDP per capita increased by 81.8% over the same period, with an average annual growth rate of 16.1%, rising from $2,048 to $3,881.

Economic Activity in Large and Medium-Sized Cities

According to the data, over the past five years the highest growth in gross regional product (GRP) per capita among regions was recorded in the city of Tashkent, where the indicator increased by approximately $5,000, reaching $9.3 thousand by the end of 2025 (according to official statistics — $9.2 thousand).

Estimates for 2025 also show high GRP per capita levels in a number of large and medium-sized cities. In Navoi, the NTL-based estimate reached $9.3 thousand, in Zarafshan $7.9 thousand, in Samarkand $7.2 thousand, in Kokand and Andijan $6.7 thousand each, and in Akhangaran, Yangiyul, and Bukhara ranged from $5.8 thousand to $5.2 thousand, respectively.

Relatively high growth rates of GRP per capita were also observed across several regions. In Tashkent region, the indicator increased by $1.8 thousand to reach around $4 thousand. In Navoi region, GRP per capita also grew by $1.8 thousand to approximately $4 thousand. In Fergana and Syrdarya regions, the increase amounted to $1.6 thousand, reaching about $3.5 thousand and $3.4 thousand, respectively.

Economic Activity in Small and Medium-Sized Cities

Relatively high GRP per capita levels were also recorded in a number of small and medium-sized cities. In Termez, the indicator reached $5.1 thousand, in Margilan and Chirchik around $5 thousand, and in Namangan $4.8 thousand. Economic activity levels also remain relatively high in the cities of Kagan and Urgench.

Economic Activity at the District Level

At the district level, the highest GRP per capita growth dynamics in 2020–2025 were observed in Mirabad district, where the indicator increased by $7.1 thousand, in Yakkasaray district by $6.3 thousand, and in Chilanzar district by $5.6 thousand. As a result, GRP per capita in these districts exceeded $10 thousand, which is nearly three times higher than the average across other districts and cities in the country.

Among districts, the highest growth rates of economic activity were also recorded in Karmana district (2.5-fold increase), Yashnabad and Bektemir districts (2.4-fold), as well as Sergeli, Yangi Hayot, and Mirzo Ulugbek districts (2.3-fold).

Expansion of Territories with High Economic Activity

The use of nighttime lights data also made it possible to assess urbanization processes at the district level. In particular, between 2020 and 2025, the number of territories with high nighttime light intensity (NTL above 10), characteristic of urban agglomerations, increased from 22 to 31. The average GRP per capita in these territories rose from $3.8 thousand to $7 thousand.

At the same time, over five years the number of districts with low nighttime light intensity (NTL below 1) declined from 129 to 85, confirming the transition of 44 districts toward an urban-type development model.

In these districts, NTL levels increased on average by more than 2.5 times, while GRP per capita rose from $1.7 thousand to $3.2 thousand.

Conclusion

The results confirm that satellite-based nighttime lights data can effectively complement official statistics and be used for timely assessment of regional economic activity.

This approach enables the identification of new growth points and allows for more targeted allocation of state support toward infrastructure development and investment activity in the regions.

Abdulaziz Gaybullayev, CERR

CERR Public Relations Sector

Tel.: (+998) 78 150-32-20 (417)

May 13. /Dunyo IA/. Uzbekistan has nominated its candidacy for the Chair of the UN Tourism Comission for Europe (CEU) for the 2025–2027 term.

This marks the first time in its history that Uzbekistan has put forward a candidate for this prestigious position, underscoring the country’s growing engagement in global tourism affairs and the high level of trust it has earned within international tourism bodies.

The UN Tourism Comission for Europe consists of 41 member countries from Europe as well as Central and Western Asia. It plays a pivotal role in shaping tourism policy across the region, promoting regional cooperation, and advancing sustainable and inclusive tourism development.

The 71st meeting of the Commission will be held on June 4–6, 2025, in Baku, Azerbaijan. During this session, elections are scheduled to take place for the Chair of the CEU for the 2025–2027 term.

Uzbekistan’s nomination for this position is viewed as recognition of the country’s consistent reforms in the tourism sector, its practical efforts to strengthen regional cooperation, and its contribution to the development of sustainable and inclusive tourism.

If elected, Uzbekistan intends to promote new initiatives aimed at positioning Central Asia as a unified tourism destination, developing cross-border routes, widely implementing digital solutions, and enhancing regional dialogue within the framework of the United Nations World Tourism Organization.

Uzbekistan-India relations are moving from historical affinity toward a practical partnership based on industrial cooperation, investment, technology and regional connectivity

The current stage of Uzbekistan-India relations can be described in one phrase: it is a time to turn historical affinity into practical partnership. The ties between the two peoples, linked for centuries through trade routes, science and culture, are now gaining new substance in investment, industry, technology, transport, pharmaceuticals, education and energy.

The upcoming visit of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Uzbekistan could give fresh momentum to this process. The significance lies not simply in another high-level meeting, but in the opportunity to translate political trust built over many years into tangible economic and technological outcomes. Uzbekistan and India established a strategic partnership in 2011. In the years since, regular dialogue between President Shavkat Mirziyoyev and Prime Minister Narendra Modi has brought continuity and consistency to this partnership.

From political trust to economic outcomes

Economic interest is one of the main drivers of bilateral relations today. According to India's Ministry of Commerce and Industry, bilateral trade has exceeded USD 1.5 billion. At the same time, both sides acknowledge that the existing potential is considerably greater and have set the goal of doubling trade over the next three years.

The new stage is not only about increasing trade volumes. What matters is raising the share of higher value-added products, expanding joint investment and production, and entering third-country markets together. The bilateral investment agreement signed in 2024 and brought into force in 2025 is also intended to strengthen legal guarantees for investors.

Mining, textiles, pharmaceuticals, agriculture and food processing, information technology and mechanical engineering are regarded as key growth areas for economic partnership. The interest of Indian businesses in hydropower, mining and infrastructure projects in Uzbekistan also shows that cooperation is taking on an increasingly practical character.

Industry and technology - new opportunities

Critical and rare-earth minerals have gained particular importance in recent discussions. Demand for these resources is rising as electronics, batteries, electric mobility and renewable energy develop. For Uzbekistan, the main interest is not to be limited to exporting raw materials, but to develop domestic value chains for deeper processing and the production of finished goods.

Pharmaceuticals and the digital economy are also natural areas of cooperation. India has extensive experience in medicines, medical technologies, information technology and digital services. For Uzbekistan, key priorities include establishing joint ventures, localising production, developing software products, supporting start-ups and training highly skilled professionals.

The two countries also share common interests in energy. Cooperation in solar and wind power, energy-efficient technologies, energy storage systems, water-saving solutions and cleaner production can link economic partnership more closely with sustainable development objectives.

Transport and human capital

The absence of a direct overland route between the two countries remains one of the main constraints on fully realizing their trade potential. For this reason, developing transport routes through Iran's Chabahar Port is of strategic importance. Yet an efficient corridor requires more than ports and railways: competitive tariffs, simplified customs procedures, mutual recognition of standards and digitalised logistics are also essential.

Human capital, meanwhile, forms the long-term foundation of the partnership. According to the Secretariat of the President of India, more than 3,000 civil servants, professionals and students from Uzbekistan have participated in India's technical and economic cooperation and scholarship programmes. At the same time, more than 16,000 Indian students are studying at higher education institutions in Uzbekistan. This potential can be further developed through joint research, engineering and IT programmes, and academic exchanges.

Security cooperation is another important pillar of the strategic partnership. In April 2026, the armed forces of Uzbekistan and India held the joint 'Dustlik' exercise in Namangan Region. Countering terrorism and extremism, supporting stability in Afghanistan and developing secure transport corridors are among the shared interests of Tashkent and Delhi.

The key measure of the new stage

Uzbekistan-India relations today rest on a solid political foundation. Trade is growing, the legal framework for investment has been strengthened, and new industrial and technological areas of cooperation are emerging. The central task now is to turn these opportunities into practical results.

In this context, the effectiveness of the upcoming high-level dialogue should not be measured solely by the number of documents signed. The key measure will be the extent to which agreements translate into new production capacities, investment projects, technologies, jobs, export markets and training programmes.

Uzbekistan lies at the heart of Central Asia, while India is one of South Asia's major economic and technological centres. A new stage in the Tashkent-Delhi strategic partnership therefore offers an opportunity to give historical friendship modern economic substance and to strengthen bridges of trade, technology and development between the two regions.

Jakhongir Isaev,
Head of Department, NGO Center for Sustainable Development

As the most important task of judicial reform being implemented in the Republic of Uzbekistan, important work is being carried out to ensure constitutional human rights and freedoms, strengthening the authority of the judiciary, which is considered an important guarantee of effective protection of human rights and to ensure the true independence of the courts.

Also, further expansion of the population’s access to justice within the framework of the principle “New Uzbekistan - New Court” requires accelerating the reform of the judicial system and introducing advanced international standards into the field. We can also observe confirmation of this in the corresponding positions of our state in the ratings of international organizations. Thus, according to the results of the Rule of Law Index ranking for 2022 (worldjusticeproject.org), Uzbekistan took 78th place out of 140 countries with an indicator of 0.50 points, of which 75th place in terms of civil justice and 65th in terms of criminal justice.

The fact that the update of the Constitution on the basis of generally recognized principles and norms of international law is enshrined in the preface of the updated Constitution of the Republic of Uzbekistan is a clear expression of recognition of the supremacy of generally recognized international law.

Article 15 of the Constitution determines that international treaties of the Republic of Uzbekistan, along with generally recognized principles and norms of international law, are an integral part of the legal system of Uzbekistan. According to part four of this article, if an international treaty of Uzbekistan establishes rules other than those provided for by the law of the Republic of Uzbekistan, then the rules of the international treaty of the Republic of Uzbekistan are applied.

Article 17 of the Constitution especially emphasizes that the Republic of Uzbekistan is a full-fledged subject of international relations; it is established that international law is based on generally accepted principles and norms. The application by courts of generally accepted principles and norms of international law is permitted in cases where existing laws contradict these international principles and norms.

Article 11 of the Constitution states that the system of state power of Uzbekistan, which is considered a full-fledged subject of international relations, is based on the principles of separation of powers into legislative, executive and judicial. It should be especially noted here that in accordance with Article 131 of Chapter XXIII, dedicated to the judiciary, the judicial system and the procedure for the activities of courts in the Republic of Uzbekistan are determined by law; the creation of emergency courts is not allowed.

In accordance with Article 1 of the law “On Courts” in the new edition (2021), the judicial power in Uzbekistan operates independently of the legislative, executive powers, political parties, and other public associations. Judicial power is exercised only by the courts. It was established that no other bodies or persons have the right to assign powers to the judiciary.

Article 2 of this law defines the judicial system, which consists of the Constitutional Court of the Republic of Uzbekistan; Supreme Court of the Republic of Uzbekistan; military courts; Courts of the Republic of Karakalpakstan, regional and Tashkent city courts; Administrative Court of the Republic of Karakalpakstan, administrative courts of regions and the city of Tashkent; interdistrict, district, city courts for civil cases; district and city courts for criminal cases; interdistrict, district, city economic courts; interdistrict administrative courts. It has been established that in the Republic of Uzbekistan specialization of judges by category of cases can be carried out, but the creation of emergency courts is not allowed.

As noted in Article 4 of this law, the main tasks of the court are to protect the rights and freedoms of citizens, state and public interests, rights and legally protected interests of legal entities and individuals guaranteed by the Constitution and other laws, international treaties of Uzbekistan, as well as international acts on human rights entrepreneurs. The activities of the court are aimed at ensuring the rule of law, social justice, civil peace and harmony, that is, it indicates that it is implemented in accordance with international agreements and international human rights instruments.

It is worth noting that in recent years, important documents have been adopted to ensure the compliance of the judicial system of our country with generally recognized international standards. These include such important historical documents as decrees of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan “On measures to further reform the judicial and legal system, strengthen guarantees of reliable protection of the rights and freedoms of citizens” (2016), “On measures to radically improve the structure and increase efficiency of the judicial system of the Republic of Uzbekistan" (2017), "On measures to further improve the judicial system and increase confidence in the judiciary" (2020), "On measures to radically improve the system of financing the activities of the judiciary" (2021), decrees of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan dated January 28, 2022 “On the development strategy of the new Uzbekistan for 2022 - 2026”, Decree of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan dated January 16, 2023 “On additional measures to further expand access to justice and increase efficiency of the courts."

The Decree of the President of Uzbekistan dated January 16, 2023 “On additional measures to further expand access to justice and increase the efficiency of the courts” provides for:

in order to ensure the effective use of resources involved in the implementation of judicial activities, on the basis of advanced foreign experience, transfer the powers to consider certain categories of civil, economic and administrative offenses to the relevant administrative bodies:

determine the procedure for completing cases of certain categories of criminal, civil, economic and administrative offenses in lower courts;

What is relevant is that issues such as reconciliation of parties in civil and economic cases, development of reasonable proposals for the widespread introduction of the institution of mediation are raised.

It is appropriate to recognize here that the main idea and provisions of the “Universal Declaration of Human Rights” have found their full expression in the updated Constitution of the Republic of Uzbekistan, which is considered the basis of our national legislation.

It is known that the “Universal Declaration of Human Rights” consists of a preamble and a total of 30 articles, and if all its provisions are sequentially considered, then one can note the consistency and consistency of the content with the provisions of the Constitution of the Republic of Uzbekistan on human rights. For example, you can notice the similarity between the contents of Article 3 of the “Universal Declaration of Human Rights”, which reads: “Every person has the right to life, liberty and security of person” and Article 25 of the Constitution of the Republic of Uzbekistan: “The right to life is the inalienable right of every person and is protected by law. Encroachment on human life is a grave crime.”

Also, the rule that “no one shall be subjected to torture or cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment” in Article 5 of the Declaration corresponds to the second paragraph of Article 26 of the Constitution of the Republic of Uzbekistan “No one shall be subjected to torture, violence, other cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment." One may also note the reflection of the provision of Article 9 of the Declaration that no one shall be arrested, detained or persecuted without cause in the second paragraph of Article 29 of our Constitution “No one shall be subjected to arrest, detention, detention, detention or other restriction freedom except on the basis of the law" and in the third paragraph - "When detained, a person must be explained in a language he understands his rights and the grounds for detention"

Article 10 of the Declaration enshrines the right of every person to demand an independent and impartial court and its reflection in international legal acts to which the Republic of Uzbekistan has acceded inspires confidence that only an independent court can protect the rights of every citizen through an impartial and open consideration of the case in court. In this regard, it should be noted that the reforms carried out on the basis of the Action Strategy for the Development of the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2017-2021, put forward at the initiative of the President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev, taking into account international standards, laid the foundation for democratization and liberalization of the judicial and legal sphere, ensuring genuine independence of the judiciary, protection of the rights and legitimate interests of citizens.

In order to improve the judicial system and ensure the independence of the courts, one of the important steps was the creation of the Supreme Judicial Council of the Republic of Uzbekistan, the Supreme Court and the Higher Economic Court were merged, the activities of the Supreme Court were improved, the Economic Courts were reorganized into economic courts, 71 inter-district, district (city) economic courts were empowered to hear cases in the first instance. The first term of work as a judge is five years, then ten years and an indefinite term. The powers of the courts to independently resolve their financial, logistical and technical issues were withdrawn from the judiciary and transferred to the Supreme Court, which led to the independence of the courts from the executive authorities and ensuring their independence. The institution of returning a criminal case to the court for additional investigation was abolished, thereby putting an end to unnecessary censorship, and people were spared unnecessary confusion and nervousness. It was strictly established that a person’s guilt in committing a crime should be based only on evidence proven in court, that is, it was strictly forbidden to make decisions based on rumors and assumptions. In order to fully ensure fair justice, verify the legality, validity and fairness of court decisions, an audit authority was created.

One of the important problems of the judicial reform system is the new system for training qualified and mature judges and judicial staff. Increasing the population's trust in judicial institutions by the Supreme Council of Judges, ensuring the stability of justice and the rule of law, serves to transform the court literally into a “Fortress of Justice” and improve the level of justice.

The introduction of the institution of a plea agreement and its implementation in the criminal procedural legislation of our country is also an important factor in increasing the protection of human rights, freedoms and legitimate interests recognized in international law.

In accordance with the Decree of the President of Uzbekistan dated January 28, 2022 “On the new development strategy of Uzbekistan for 2022-2026”, about 300 laws were adopted in 2017-2021, more than 4 thousand resolutions of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan aimed at fundamental reforming all spheres of state and public life in five priority areas of development of our country.

Shavkat Mirziyoyev, in his report dated December 7, 2019, “The supremacy of the Constitution and laws is the most important criterion for a legal democratic state and civil society,” dedicated to the 27th anniversary of the adoption of the Constitution of the Republic of Uzbekistan, especially noted “ensuring the true independence of the courts is our highest priority. We must not allow the courts to be influenced by certain officials. In this regard, it is necessary to strengthen responsibility for interference in court cases or pressure on the court.”

The issue of ensuring compliance of the judicial system of Uzbekistan with generally accepted international standards will continue to remain relevant. In addition, practical measures are ongoing to harmonize national legislation with international legal standards in the field of human rights. After all, constitutional reforms today require an approach to constitutional norms, which are the main legal criterion that determines the value of a person in the life of our society, taking into account modern realities and international legal standards.

Ayub Muhammadiev, professor of the Department of Civil Law Sciences of the University of Public Security of the Republik of Uzbekistan, doctor of Law

Today's events and developments in the international arena once again demonstrate the growing need for the states of the Central and South Asian regions to achieve mutual understanding, solidarity, and a common goal. In this regard, the main goal of the Termez Dialogue on Connectivity between Central and South Asia, held on May 19, 2025, on the theme "Building a Common Space of Peace, Friendship, and Prosperity," was to strengthen regional connectivity and bring cooperation to a new level. It can be said that over the past year, significant results have been achieved on the topical issues discussed during the dialogue. The next Termez Dialogue is also aimed at discussing topical issues such as strengthening cooperation between Central and South Asia, deepening interregional ties and ensuring economic growth, as well as further improving security and sustainable development.

Cultural relations. It should be noted that today the city of Termez has become an important center for ensuring peace and stability in Afghanistan and restoring its economy. It is noteworthy that in the past, Termez was a center of intercultural and religious dialogue, where Zoroastrianism, Buddhism, Christianity, and Islamic traditions emerged and developed. Eldor Aripov, Director of the Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, noted that the city, located between the Greco-Bactrian, Kushan, and other ancient states, flourished during the Timurid era and became a major center of trade, craftsmanship, and science[1]. Indeed, if we look at our history, the countries of Central Asia and the South Asian region have always developed harmoniously as a single space, closely cooperating in all areas. The works of the great thinker Abu Rayhan Beruni "India," Zahiriddin Muhammad Babur "Baburnama" and other historical sources are clear evidence of these close ties. Furthermore, the following remarks by Muhammad Sobir Turkestani, Deputy Ambassador of Afghanistan to Uzbekistan, deserve attention: "Both Uzbekistan and Afghanistan are located on the land between two rivers, which was once called Mawarannahr." There are many similarities in our cultures.  The cultural heritage of Alisher Navoi is the wealth of the peoples of Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. The remains of our ancestor Alisher Navoi are in the Herat region. All the minarets built in Herat during the reign of Sultan Husayn Bayqara stand as a single complex. Zahiriddin Muhammad Babur was buried in Kabul. In a complex called Babur's Garden. There are also large cultural museums in Afghanistan. Our antiquities are kept in our museums in Kabul, Herat, and Mazar-i-Sharif.[2]" Undoubtedly, the main goal of our efforts today is to restore these historical ties, further strengthen the bonds of friendship and brotherhood between our peoples, and ultimately raise the development of our countries to a new level. To this end, Uzbekistan has been increasingly developing ties with South Asian countries in recent years.

It should be noted that the education sector in Afghanistan has experienced a deep decline due to the long-standing unstable situation. In such a situation, it should be noted that assisting the Afghan people in obtaining education and training personnel with modern knowledge and skills is one of the most rational ways to lead Afghanistan out of the crisis. In this regard, in accordance with the Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of the Republic of Uzbekistan dated November 13, 2017, "On organizing the activities of the Educational Center for Training Afghan Citizens under the Ministry of Higher and Secondary Specialized Education of the Republic of Uzbekistan," an Educational Center for Training Afghan Citizens operates in the city of Termez, Surkhandarya region. During the 2018-2019 academic year, 96 students studied at the Center in the "Uzbek Language and Literature" direction, all of whom received a bachelor's degree from the Alisher Navoi Tashkent State University of Uzbek Language and Literature.

Economic relations. It should be noted that the impossibility of achieving any positive results with weapons and troops in establishing peace and stability on Afghan soil was once again confirmed by the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan in 2021. From this perspective, today Uzbekistan's economic ties with Afghanistan serve as one of the important factors in establishing peace and economic recovery in the country.

According to estimates by the Statistics Agency of Uzbekistan, mutual trade turnover amounted to $653 million in 2021, $688.8 million in 2022, $784.1 million in 2023, and $999.9 million in January-November 2024[3]. Over the past five years, trade turnover has increased 2.5 times, reaching $1.68 billion in 2025, while Uzbekistan's exports amounted to approximately $1.5 billion. The parties set a new medium-term goal to increase the volume of trade to $5 billion. Therefore, today Uzbekistan is becoming one of the key investors in Afghanistan. Specifically, according to a $1 billion agreement signed between Uzbekistan and Afghanistan, Uzbekistan will participate in the development of the Tuti Maidan gas field in the Jauzjan and Faryab regions for 10 years. The Termez International Trade Center, established in the Surkhandarya region, plays a very important role in implementing such trade and economic instruments. This shopping center is the first trade zone in Central Asia serving various entrepreneurs, especially Afghan entrepreneurs, who cooperate with Afghanistan. The shopping center features permanent exhibitions and fairs, an Uzbek-Afghan business school, a medical clinic for the treatment and provision of medical care to patients who are citizens of Afghanistan, a hotel, enterprises specializing in the production of precious metal jewelry, a multi-currency system, and other conditions that allow entrepreneurs to trade freely.

According to analytical data, 60% of Uzbekistan's total international traffic passes through the transit routes of Central Asian countries and Afghanistan. Uzbekistan's access to seaports through Afghanistan is 2-3 times shorter than the ports with access to the Black and Baltic Seas, and 5 times shorter than the route to Pacific ports[4]. According to economic analysts, the cost of delivering one container from Central Asia to South Asia through Afghanistan to seaports will decrease from $900 to $286. In addition, transportation time will be reduced from 35 days to 3-5 days. At the same time, export potential will also increase sharply. Improving transport and infrastructure communications and attracting international transit carriers to Central Asia is one of the most important tasks uniting the countries of the region. Its resolution is determined by the need to improve the socio-economic situation in the region.

In conclusion, it should be noted that this prestigious international conference will contribute to the further expansion of ties between our regions, the opening of new horizons for cooperation, and our confident progress on the path of peace and development.

Furthermore, the Termez Dialogue, as a platform for strengthening interregional connectivity and restoring common historical, cultural, and civilizational ties, opens opportunities for the development of new international transport and logistics corridors through Afghanistan. In the current difficult conditions of growing mutual trust and conflict of interests, such a format of cooperation as the Termez Dialogue is of great importance.

[1] Eldor Aripov: "Termiz muloqoti Markaziy va Janubiy Osiyo o‘rtasidagi o‘zaro bog‘liqlikni mustahkamlashda muhim ahamiyatga ega". (21.05.2025), https://daryo.uz/2025/05/21/eldor-aripov-termiz-muloqoti-markaziy-va-janubiy-osiyo-ortasidagi-ozaro-bogliqlikni-mustahkamlashda-muhim-ahamiyatga-ega

[2] Afg‘onistonda O‘zbekistonga aloqador madaniy boyliklar kam emas. (07.11.2023). https://xabar.uz/uz/madaniyat/afgonistonda-ozbekistonga-aloqador-madaniy-boyliklar-kam-emas

[3] O‘zbekiston Respublikasi Tashqi savdo aylanmasi. 2024-yil yanvar-noyabr oylari uchun dastlabki ma’lumot // O‘zbekiston Respublikasi huzuridagi Statistika agentligi. – B.4.

[4] Akmalov Sh. O‘zbekiston va Afg‘oniston: o‘tmishdan hozirgacha. Monografiya. – T.: “Zamon poligraf”, 2023. – B. 70.

In the year of a historic achievement for national sport – the first-ever qualification of Uzbekistan’s national football team for the FIFA World Cup – the documentary film “O'zbek futboli” has been unveiled, telling the story of more than a century of the formation and development of football in our country.

The production of the film coincides with an event that has become a source of national pride and a landmark moment in the history of modern Uzbekistan. The national team's qualification for the FIFA World Cup is not only an outstanding sporting accomplishment, but also a historic opportunity to revisit the origins of Uzbek football and pay tribute to the people, teams, and milestones that have shaped its legacy and brought this long-awaited success within reach over the course of more than one hundred years.

The idea for the documentary emerged in September 2023 during a meeting between the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, and representatives of the Uzbek diaspora in New York. During the meeting, an initiative was proposed to create a documentary dedicated to the history of Uzbek football and its development over more than a century. The initiative received the support of the Head of State, after which work on the project commenced with the assistance of the Press Service of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan and the Center for National Content Development (Content Center), under the leadership of Kobuljon Akhmedov.

“O'zbek futboli” is an effort to preserve for future generations the story of the individuals whose dedication enabled Uzbek football to travel the remarkable path from the first matches of the early twentieth century to the country's participation in the FIFA World Cup. The documentary is built upon archival materials, eyewitness accounts, and interviews with football veterans, coaches, sports experts, journalists, and current members of the national team.

Filming took place in Tashkent, Kokand, and London. These locations were carefully selected to trace the key stages in football's development – from its beginnings in Uzbekistan to the origins of the modern global game. Particular attention was devoted to historical accuracy, recreating the atmosphere of different eras, and presenting an honest and authentic account of the journey Uzbek football has undertaken over the past century.

The film explores not only the national team's road to its historic World Cup qualification but also the broader evolution of football culture in Uzbekistan. It tells the story of the emergence of the country's first football clubs, the growth of youth academies, professional teams, coaching traditions, the role of supporters, and the contributions made by many generations of athletes to the development of national football.

The documentary features legendary footballers of previous generations, current players of the Uzbekistan national team, coaches, referees, sports officials, journalists, and researchers of football history. By bringing together the voices of several generations, the film allows audiences to experience the story of Uzbek football through the eyes of those who lived it and helped shape it.

At its heart, the documentary conveys a simple yet powerful message: great victories are never accidental. Every success is built upon years of hard work, an unwavering belief in a dream, and the efforts of countless people across generations. Through this film, its creators seek to emphasize the importance of respecting history, preserving continuity between generations, loving one's homeland, believing in one's own potential, and uniting society around a common goal.

“O'zbek futboli” is a story about how dreams become reality when an entire nation continues to believe in them for many years.

Uzbek football is not merely the fulfillment of a dream. It is a reward bestowed upon generations of people who refused to stop believing in it.

https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1ZwkXogix-5oZmlgy5s1uWIzG5AJ7TFck

On 23 January, under the chairmanship of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, a videoconference meeting was held on the key tasks of poverty reduction and employment provision for 2026. In terms of both substance and the framing of issues, the meeting marked a turning point in the evolution of the country’s social policy.

The relevance of transitioning to a new model

The results of the reforms demonstrate a transition to the next stage of social policy. For the first time, poverty reduction has been placed in direct dependence on outcomes at the level of individual mahallas.

This shift is a consequence of the socio-economic results achieved. By the end of 2025, the national economy grew by 7.7%, significantly above the forecast level of 6.5%. GDP exceeded $147 bn, reaching approximately $3,900 per capita. Growth rates in all sectors surpassed those of 2024. Foreign investment reached $43 bn, while exports amounted to $33.8 bn. Inflation declined from 9.8% to 7.3% in 2025.

Sustained economic growth ensured a significant increase in budget revenues, which were consistently directed toward addressing social issues, reducing poverty, and developing mahallas. As a result, in 2025 income sources were provided for 5.4 mn people, and 330,000 families were lifted out of poverty. Unemployment declined to 4.8%, while the poverty rate fell to 5.8%.

As overall poverty indicators decline, its geography is changing. Poverty is becoming localized, concentrated, and heterogeneous. Nearly one-third of low-income households and around one-fifth of the unemployed are concentrated in a limited number of mahallas, which necessitates a transition to a new model.

Against this backdrop, the primary indicator becomes the outcome achieved at the level of each mahalla. The persistence of poverty or unemployment indicates that measures require further calibration.

Accordingly, for the first time at the national level, a systematic classification of all territories by poverty level was conducted. Based on 20 criteria, 37 “difficult” districts and 903 “difficult” mahallas were identified, home to around 120,000 poor families and approximately 155,000 unemployed citizens. At the same time, work to shape the image of a “New Uzbekistan” has also begun in an additional 33 districts and 330 “difficult” mahallas.

A distinctive feature of the new approach is that “difficult” territories are viewed as points of structural transformation. For each mahalla and district, comparative advantages are assessed, including economic, agricultural, industrial, logistics, or service-related strengths.

Individual development programmes for mahallas are being formulated. Practice shows that even in the most vulnerable areas, ensuring stable access to water and electricity, basic infrastructure, and integration with markets can multiply household incomes.

In the current year, territorially targeted development becomes the main instrument for achieving the stated goals, as clearly articulated by the President.

Infrastructure as an economic asset

A particular emphasis in the new model is placed on revising regional policy priorities. As noted by the President, residents and entrepreneurs in “difficult” districts and mahallas primarily expect improvements in roads, water supply, and electricity provision, rather than an expansion of tax incentives.

Concentrating resources on a limited number of problem territories allows infrastructure investment to be transformed from general budget spending into an instrument of targeted socio-economic impact. In 2026, $1.6 bn will be allocated for regional infrastructure development, of which $990 mn will be directed to “difficult” districts and mahallas.

At the same time, transfers from the republican budget to local budgets will double.

Additionally, allocations of $4.1 mn to each “difficult” district and $165 ths to each “difficult” mahalla are envisaged.

In total, district hokimiyats (district executive administrations) and local kengashes (local representative councils) will receive an additional approximately $330 mn exclusively to support problem territories.

A key element of this model is ensuring stable energy supply for “difficult” districts and mahallas.

In 2026, each of the 903 “difficult” mahallas is expected to host the construction of a small solar power plant with a capacity of 300 kW, with a total investment of around $110 mn. These plants will be transferred to the mahallas free of charge, creating a local energy asset. Through the generation of “green” electricity, each mahalla will gain a sustainable additional income source of $33-41 ths per year.

The proceeds are intended to be used for energy-efficient renovation of housing stock, reducing utility costs, and improving quality of life. Operation of the solar plants will involve members of low-income households, simultaneously addressing employment and infrastructure sustainability objectives.

A separate emphasis is placed on supporting the most vulnerable households. An instruction has been issued to conduct targeted assessments of 6,700 families with a member having a first-degree disability and no able-bodied household members, followed by identification of needs for energy-efficient housing upgrades and the launch of “green” renovation.

Taken together, these measures form a model of territorial and energy resilience. The effectiveness of local authorities’ performance will be subject to public evaluation, reinforcing the transition to results-oriented governance.

Comparative advantages of mahallas

The President clearly defined key socio-economic targets for 2026, including the provision of permanent employment for around 1 mn people, lifting 181,000 families out of poverty, increasing the number of poverty-free mahallas by 2.5 times to 3,500, and reducing the unemployment rate to 4.5%.

Achievement of these targets is expected to be based on the comparative advantages of specific districts and mahallas in industry, agriculture, and services. This approach allows resources to be concentrated where they generate the greatest multiplier effects for employment and household incomes.

As an example of leveraging comparative advantages based on location and specialization of mahallas, the President cited Furqat District. Its advantages include, first, cooperation with neighboring economically active centers; second, deepening specialization among nearby mahallas and combining competencies; and third, increasing value added through the launch of processing activities.

Further measures were outlined within the framework of a differentiated approach to developing problem territories.

Deepening mahalla specialization

Primary attention will be focused on deepening mahalla specialization, as welfare levels are significantly higher in mahallas with deep specialization. Practice shows that in such mahallas, welfare levels are noticeably higher, while the number of recipients of social assistance is half as large, at around 7 people per 10,000 population.

Currently, the 903 “difficult” mahallas encompass around 90,000 hectares of household and leased land. To transform this resource into a source of sustainable income, a new mechanism of a “social contract” between the state and the mahalla has been proposed. Mahallas that, by leveraging residents’ skills and rational land use, manage to increase household incomes by three to four times will receive additional financing of $165 ths for the development of road, water, and irrigation infrastructure. Implementation of this model is planned to begin with “difficult” mahallas.

To support deeper specialization, banks will allocate a total of $1.4 bn in loans. For production projects, 4% of the loan will be compensated, while for processing projects the compensation will amount to 6%.

Comparative advantages of mahallas

In 2026, $11.5 bn in credit resources are earmarked for the development of small and medium-sized businesses in mahallas, compared to $10.7 bn a year earlier. At the same time, banks have been tasked with strengthening entrepreneurship financing: alongside a planned $6 bn from external sources, the total volume of funds directed to mahalla-level projects should reach $8 bn.

Not only the scale but also the principle of credit allocation is changing. The model under which loans within the “Family Entrepreneurship” programme were issued on uniform terms at a 17.5% rate across all districts and cities is giving way to territorial differentiation. In particular, for the 37 “difficult” districts, the rate is reduced to 12%. This step transforms lending into an instrument for accelerating the development of problem territories.

In parallel, programme limits and target areas are being expanded. In all districts, the maximum size of concessional loans is increased by 1.5 times, from $2.7 ths to $4.1 ths. To support this decision, an additional $165 mn is added to the planned $297 mn.

Overall, the 2026 credit policy is shaped as a targeted development mechanism, a managed conversion of credit into employment, income, and local growth.

Institutional changes in system governance

A number of institutional changes are also envisaged to enhance the effectiveness of all governance levels involved in mahalla development.

Work in mahallas is moving away from an administrative-intermediary model and is being structured around specific projects. In this framework, the hokim’s assistant acts as a territorial development manager responsible for implementing project solutions.

To ensure integrated project governance, multi-level coordination is being introduced. Initiatives proposed by hokims’ assistants are paired with regional bankers; the first deputy hokim of the region provides operational oversight; and the “Reform Headquarters” supervises issues requiring inter-agency solutions. From February, a system of training hokims’ assistants in project management will be launched, starting with “difficult” mahallas. Each district will form a project portfolio followed by a transition to practical implementation.

One hundred “difficult” mahallas that demonstrate the best performance in job creation, income growth, and poverty reduction will receive an additional $82.5 ths each. Hokims’ assistants from these mahallas will be able to upgrade their qualifications in China, Turkiye, South Korea, and Malaysia.

In this context, work on developing mahalla master plans is being intensified. International experts are being engaged, alongside the potential of domestic universities. Final-year students in architecture programmes will be able to participate in the development of “difficult” mahallas, with the best projects being supported by state grants.

Overall, the institutional changes formalize a shift from a universal approach to a differentiated territorial policy.

Resource redistribution is justified by the structure of the economy: 62% of industrial production and 57% of services are concentrated in 50 districts and cities with high entrepreneurial potential. Growth in their budget revenues creates an opportunity to concentrate state efforts on problem territories.

This is evident from revenue dynamics: three years ago, additional local budget revenues in these 50 territories amounted to $72.2 mn, while in the current year they are expected to increase 8.5 times, to $610.5 mn.

As a result, greater attention can be directed to “difficult” districts and mahallas, where poverty and unemployment are territorially concentrated.

Conclusion

The decisions and instruments for 2026 demonstrate that Uzbekistan’s social policy is moving beyond traditional resource redistribution toward a model of managed territorial development. The new model rests on three interlinked pillars.

First, the concentration of infrastructure resources in “difficult” districts and mahallas, with the creation of long-term local assets, reduced household costs, and enhanced energy resilience.

Second, the expansion of employment based on comparative advantages and deeper territorial specialization, supported by financial incentives, access to credit, and solutions along value chains.

Third, institutional recalibration of governance, where a project-based approach and multi-level coordination align resources, responsibility, and measurable outcomes.

The essence of the current phase is that targeting becomes a technology focused on “difficult” territories. Exiting poverty is understood as an individual household trajectory, in which local conditions, skills, and infrastructure are decisive. The “Mahalla Seven” and the institution of hokims’ assistants serve as the connecting link, ensuring coordination and feedback until results are achieved.

Khurshed Asadov,
Deputy Director of Center for Economic Research and Reforms