At the invitation of the President of the United States, Donald Trump, the President of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, will pay a working visit to Washington, D.C. on February 17–19 of this year to participate in the inaugural meeting of the Peace Council. The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) has prepared an infographic presenting key indicators of trade, economic and investment cooperation between Uzbekistan and the United States over the past 9 years.

History of visits

The President of the Republic of Uzbekistan has visited the United States several times on working visits aimed at expanding bilateral Uzbek-American cooperation, as well as participating in events organized by the United Nations. The first official visit of the Head of our State to the United States took place on May 15–17, 2018 at the invitation of the U.S. President. During the visit, negotiations were held at the White House, the U.S. Congress and the Pentagon, and agreements were signed that marked the beginning of a new stage in the development of Uzbek-American relations.

In subsequent years, dialogue between the two countries developed through bilateral meetings and regional initiatives, including the C5+1 platform.

On September 20–24, 2025, a historic visit of the President of our country to New York took place to participate in events of the юбилейной 80th session of the UN General Assembly. The central event of the visit was the meeting between the Head of our State and U.S. President Donald Trump. The leaders of the two countries agreed to further strengthen Uzbek-American strategic partnership relations and expand practical cooperation.

During his stay in the US, the President of Uzbekistan also held a roundtable with representatives of the U.S. business community, as well as negotiations with executives of a number of leading multinational companies, corporations, investment funds and financial institutions, and took part in a ceremony for the exchange of signed bilateral trade contracts and investment agreements, including in the fields of critical minerals, civil aviation, chemical industry, energy and other priority sectors.

In order to create favorable conditions for the further development of bilateral interstate relations in trade, economic and tourism spheres, by Presidential Decree dated November 3, 2025, a visa-free regime for U.S. citizens entering Uzbekistan was introduced effective January 1, 2026.

Mutual trade indicators

The two countries operate under a Most Favored Nation trade regime.

Over the period 2017–2025, trade turnover between Uzbekistan and the United States increased 4.7-fold, from $215 mln to $1 bn. Exports grew 9.1-fold, from $32.1 mln to $291.7 mln, while imports increased 3.9-fold, from $182.9 mln to $712.3 mln.

The share of the United States in Uzbekistan’s foreign trade over this period rose as follows: in total trade turnover from 0.8% to 1.2%, in exports from 0.3% to 0.9%, and in imports from 1.3% to 1.5%.

In the structure of exports to the United States, the main share is accounted for by services — 81% (programming, financial, information and transport services), as well as petroleum products — 8.6% (aviation kerosene and others). These are followed by machinery and equipment — 3.7%; food products — 3.5% (dried fruits and vegetables, spices, rice and others); industrial goods — 3.3% (aluminum bars and profiles, rhenium metal and others); miscellaneous manufactured articles — 0.9%; chemicals — 0.4%; beverages and tobacco — 0.2%; and non-food raw materials — 0.1%.

In imports from the United States, machinery and equipment dominate — 59% (aircraft, automobiles and their parts, computer units, engines, pumps, machine tools and industrial installations). A significant share is also accounted for by services — 20.5% (financial, licensing, leasing and transport services). These are followed by chemicals — 9.7% (pharmaceuticals, binding agents and cosmetic substances); industrial goods — 3.8% (plastic and ferrous metal products and others); food products — 3.2% (poultry meat and by-products); miscellaneous manufactured articles — 2.2% (devices, instruments, paper products); non-food raw materials — 1.1% (cellulose and others); as well as beverages and tobacco — 0.5%.

Investment cooperation

As of February 1, 2026, there are 346 enterprises with U.S. capital operating in Uzbekistan, which accounts for about 2% of the total number of enterprises with foreign investment. Of these, 146 are joint ventures and 200 are foreign companies with U.S. capital participation.

The volume of foreign direct investment and loans from the United States over the past nine years has increased nearly 64-fold — from $8.6 mln in 2017 to $383.2 mln in 2025.

Overall, in 2017–2025 the cumulative volume of attracted U.S. FDI and loans into Uzbekistan’s economy exceeded $2.9 bn.

Investments were directed primarily into manufacturing industries (metallurgy, production of motor vehicles, beverages and textile products), mining industry, construction, services (real estate operations, education), as well as agriculture.

CERR Public relations and media sector

The development of trade and economic cooperation between Uzbekistan and Belarus, expansion of bilateral trade, enhancement of export potential, and strengthening of investment ties remain among the key priorities of economic relations between the two countries. Consistent efforts undertaken in this direction are contributing to the diversification of export markets, improvement of logistics chains, and expansion of cooperation between the business communities of both nations.

Against this backdrop, the Belagro–2026 International Agricultural Exhibition and Fair, one of the largest international events in the agricultural sector, was held in Minsk, Republic of Belarus, from 1 to 6 June 2026. An official delegation of the Republic of Uzbekistan participated in the exhibition, holding a series of meetings and negotiations focused on expanding trade and economic cooperation, increasing exports, strengthening investment partnerships, and implementing joint projects in the agricultural sector.

Within the framework of the exhibition, the National Pavilion of Uzbekistan, organized by UZAGROSTAR HOLDING, showcased a wide range of agricultural and food products produced in Uzbekistan. The pavilion was visited by Rahmatulla Nazarov, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Republic of Uzbekistan to the Republic of Belarus; Yuriy Shuleyko, Deputy Prime Minister of the Republic of Belarus; and Aleksandr Yakovchis, Deputy Minister of Agriculture and Food of the Republic of Belarus. During the visit, the parties discussed the quality and export potential of Uzbek agricultural products, as well as their prospects in the Belarusian market.

The exhibition also served as a platform for meetings with leading Belarusian retail chains, importing companies, and wholesale market operators. Discussions focused on establishing systematic supplies of Uzbek agricultural products to Belarus, expanding the range of exported goods, increasing bilateral trade volumes, and strengthening direct cooperation between Uzbek exporters and Belarusian importers.

In particular, meetings with the management of the Noviy Lebyajiy wholesale market in the Minsk district explored opportunities for exporting fresh fruits, vegetables, and processed agricultural products under long-term contracts, establishing sustainable B2B partnerships, and creating dedicated trading areas for Uzbek producers.

Special attention was also devoted to cooperation in the livestock sector. Following negotiations with the Belarusian organization Belplemjivobyedineniye, a cooperation agreement was signed to supply high-yield pedigree cattle to entrepreneurs in the Samarkand region of Uzbekistan. The agreement represents a practical continuation of ongoing efforts aimed at improving breeding programs and increasing livestock productivity.

Furthermore, the delegation visited the Ozerco-Logistik trade and logistics center in the Minsk district to study Belarus's experience in developing logistics and customs infrastructure. The visit provided valuable insights into international cargo storage and redistribution, digital logistics systems, and customs clearance procedures, creating new opportunities for exchanging best practices in export logistics.

In the area of investment cooperation, a meeting with the leadership of the Mogilev Regional Executive Committee resulted in the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding between MARAQAND MEAT LLC of Uzbekistan and the Mogilev Regional Executive Committee on establishing a modern livestock production complex in Belarus. The memorandum establishes a legal framework for expanding bilateral investment cooperation and implementing joint projects in the agro-industrial sector.

The Uzbek delegation also visited advanced agricultural enterprises in the Vitebsk region, where they exchanged experience on the development of intensive livestock farming, efficient farm management, strengthening the feed base, introducing digital agricultural technologies, and implementing joint investment projects.

A total of 537 companies and brands, 125 speakers, and more than 1,000 delegates from 31 countries have confirmed their participation in the forum

One of the most significant exhibition and conference events in the country’s fuel and energy sector - Uzbekistan Energy Week (UEW 2026) - will be held at the CAEx Uzbekistan International Exhibition Center.

Uzbekistan Energy Week is a major annual international event, traditionally supported by the Ministry of Energy of Uzbekistan and Uzbekneftegaz JSC. It brings together industry leaders, innovators and experts, along with government representatives and international businesses to shape the strategic agenda, define long-term priorities and accelerate adoption of advanced energy solutions.

The broad UEW 2026 Programme is built around the theme “New Energy: Innovation, Sustainability and Regional Cooperation” and includes a series of specialised exhibitions and conferences covering two core areas of the energy sector – hydrocarbon production and electric power. These events play a strategic role in shaping industry agenda and setting priorities for both development and regional dialogue.

The UEW 2026 Programme includes the following key industry events:

Uzbekistan International Energy Forum, comprising:

– the 28th International Conference Oil and Gas of Uzbekistan

– the 6th International Energy Conference

OGU 2026: the 28th International Oil and Gas Uzbekistan Exhibition

Power Uzbekistan 2026: the 19th International Exhibition on Energy, Energy Saving, Nuclear Energy, Alternative Energy Sources

GETCA 2026: Specialised Section on Green Energy Technologies Central Asia

Over three days, the leading companies from across the fuel and energy sector will present their advanced technologies and showcase the latest industry developments. A total of 537 companies and brands, 125 speakers, and over 1,000 delegates from 31 countries have confirmed their participation in Uzbekistan Energy Week, including Austria, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Belgium, the United Kingdom, Germany, Georgia, Denmark, Egypt, Jordan, Italy, Kazakhstan, Qatar, China, South Korea, Kyrgyz Republic, Morocco, the Netherlands, Norway, the United Arab Emirates, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, the United States, Türkiye, Uzbekistan, France, the Czech Republic, Switzerland and Japan.

National pavilions will bring together companies from the Republic of Belarus, Germany, China and Türkiye, while Italy, Republic of Korea and Russia will be represented with their collective stands.

Uzbekistan Energy Week highlights the sustained interest of international investors and technology companies in the country’s energy sector. With a strong focus on sustainable development and advanced technologies, the event continues to strengthen its role as a leading energy platform in Central Asia.

Dunyo IA

The crises observed today in the system of international relations once again testify to the growing need for mutual understanding, unity, and the achievement of common goals for the states of Central and South Asia. In this regard, dialogue platforms that contribute to strengthening mutual understanding and trust are of particular importance. In this context, the Termez Dialogue serves as a platform for developing interregional cooperation. Its first meeting took place on May 19, 2025, aimed at strengthening regional connectivity and elevating cooperation to a new level.

The growing demand for this platform was reflected in the organization of a separate session dedicated to the Termez Dialogue within the framework of the Doha Forum in December 2025. The discussions highlighted the importance of practical approaches to enhancing interregional cooperation.

The current meeting of the Termez Dialogue is aimed at defining a new stage in the development of the platform - the transition from conceptual discussions to defining priority areas and practical mechanisms for realizing the potential of interregional cooperation.  During the Termez Dialogue, special emphasis is expected to be placed on strengthening cultural ties.

This is relevant because interdependence must be understood more broadly than just trade, infrastructure, and transport corridors. It includes social, intellectual, and cultural ties that unite the communities of the region. Revisiting this history creates an important conceptual foundation for modern regional cooperation.

It is noteworthy that even in the past, Termez, a city located between the Greco-Bactrian, Kushan kingdoms, and other ancient states where Zoroastrianism, Buddhism, Christianity, and Islamic traditions emerged and developed as a center of intercultural and religious dialogue, flourished during the Timurid era and became a major center of trade, crafts, and science^[1]. Indeed, if we look at our history, the countries of Central Asia and the South Asian region have always developed harmoniously as a single space, closely cooperating in all spheres. The works of the great thinker Abu Rayhan Beruni “India,” Zahiriddin Muhammad Babur “Baburnama” and other historical sources are clear evidence of these close ties.

Furthermore, the following remarks by Muhammad Sobir Turkestani, Deputy Ambassador of Afghanistan to Uzbekistan, deserve attention: “Both Uzbekistan and Afghanistan are located on the land between two rivers, which was once called Mawarannahr.” There are many similarities in our cultures.  The cultural heritage of Alisher Navoi is the wealth of the peoples of Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. The remains of our ancestor Alisher Navoi are in the Herat region. All the minarets built in Herat during the reign of Sultan Husayn Bayqara stand as a single complex. Zahiriddin Muhammad Babur was buried in Kabul. In a complex called Babur's Garden. There are also large cultural museums in Afghanistan. Our antiquities are kept in our museums in Kabul, Herat, and Mazar-i-Sharif.”^[2] Of course, the main goal of our efforts today is not to develop these historical ties, but to restore them, and to further strengthen the bonds of friendship and brotherhood between our peoples.

To this end, in recent years, Uzbekistan has been increasingly developing ties with the countries of South Asia.

At the same time, special attention is paid to the development of cultural ties and people-to-people contacts, which contributes to strengthening economic ties and realizing untapped potential.

This approach is relevant given the ineffectiveness of using only military-political means to ensure security. For example, the failure to achieve positive results was once again confirmed by the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan in 2021, which was carried out with the help of weapons and military to establish peace and stability on Afghan soil. In this context, Uzbekistan's economic ties with Afghanistan today serve as one of the important factors in establishing peace in the country and restoring its economy.

According to estimates by the Statistics Agency of Uzbekistan, mutual trade turnover amounted to $653 million in 2021, $688.8 million in 2022, $784.1 million in 2023, and $999.9 million in January-November 2024^[3]. Over the past five years, trade turnover has increased 2.5 times, reaching $1.68 billion in 2025, while Uzbekistan's exports amounted to approximately $1.5 billion. The parties set a new medium-term goal to increase trade turnover to $5 billion. Therefore, today Uzbekistan is becoming one of the important investors in Afghanistan. Specifically, according to a $1 billion agreement signed between Uzbekistan and Afghanistan, Uzbekistan will participate in the development of the Tuti Maidan gas field in the Jauzjan and Faryab regions for 10 years.

The Termez International Trade Center, established in the Surkhandarya region, plays a very important role in implementing such trade and economic instruments. This shopping center is the first trade zone in Central Asia serving various entrepreneurs, especially Afghan entrepreneurs, who cooperate with Afghanistan. The shopping center features permanent exhibitions and fairs, an Uzbek-Afghan business school, a medical clinic for the treatment and provision of medical care to patients who are citizens of Afghanistan, a hotel, enterprises specializing in the production of precious metal jewelry, a multi-currency system, and other conditions that allow entrepreneurs to trade freely.

According to analytical data, 60% of Uzbekistan's total international transport passes through the transit routes of Central Asian countries and Afghanistan. Uzbekistan's access to seaports through Afghanistan is 2-3 times shorter than the access to the Black and Baltic Seas, and 5 times shorter than the route to the Pacific ports^[4]. According to economic analysts, the cost of delivering one container from Central Asia to South Asia through Afghanistan to seaports will decrease from $900 to $286. In addition, transportation time will be reduced from 35 days to 3-5 days. At the same time, export potential will also increase sharply. Improving transport and infrastructure communications and attracting international transit carriers to Central Asia is one of the most important tasks uniting the countries of the region. Its resolution is determined by the need to improve the socio-economic situation in the region.

In conclusion, interdependence is the most important task for the countries of Central and South Asia in terms of ensuring stability and sustainable development. In this sense, the Termez Dialogue, as a prestigious international forum, will be effective in further expanding ties between our regions, opening new horizons for cooperation, and moving confidently along the path of peace and development.

Furthermore, the Termez Dialogue, as a platform for strengthening interregional connectivity and restoring common historical, cultural, and civilizational ties, opens opportunities for the development of new international transport and logistics corridors through Afghanistan. In the current difficult conditions of growing mutual trust and conflict of interests, such a format of cooperation as the Termez Dialogue is of great importance.

Tashkent State University of Oriental Studies, Foreign policy and international economic relations Deputy Director of the Institute PhD., O. Abdurakhmonov

Eldor Aripov: "Termiz muloqoti Markaziy va Janubiy Osiyo o‘rtasidagi o‘zaro bog‘liqlikni mustahkamlashda muhim ahamiyatga ega". (21.05.2025), https://daryo.uz/2025/05/21/eldor-aripov-termiz-muloqoti-markaziy-va-janubiy-osiyo-ortasidagi-ozaro-bogliqlikni-mustahkamlashda-muhim-ahamiyatga-ega

Afg‘onistonda O‘zbekistonga aloqador madaniy boyliklar kam emas. (07.11.2023). https://xabar.uz/uz/madaniyat/afgonistonda-ozbekistonga-aloqador-madaniy-boyliklar-kam-emas

O‘zbekiston Respublikasi Tashqi savdo aylanmasi. 2024-yil yanvar-noyabr oylari uchun dastlabki ma’lumot // O‘zbekiston Respublikasi huzuridagi Statistika agentligi. – B.4.

Akmalov Sh. O‘zbekiston va Afg‘oniston: o‘tmishdan hozirgacha. Monografiya. – T.: “Zamon poligraf”, 2023. – B. 70.

Uzbekistan and Serbia are exploring new avenues for cooperation in environmental protection, sustainable natural resource management, biodiversity conservation and environmental education.

As an important step in advancing environmental dialogue, the participation of a delegation from the Republic of Serbia, led by Minister of Environmental Protection Sara Pavkov, in the 8th Assembly of the Global Environment Facility, held in Samarkand from May 30 to June 5, 2026, as well as in the international exhibition “Eco Expo Central Asia 2026,” held on June 2–4, can be highlighted. In particular, the Serbian side participated in the high-level plenary session on “Green Investments and Innovations” held as part of the exhibition.

One promising area of cooperation is the exchange of experience in forestry and sustainable forest management. Serbia has considerable practical expertise in managing forest resources and developing public–private partnerships. Between 2008 and 2023, the share of forested land in the country increased from 25% to 37%. Of Serbia’s forests, 53% are state-owned, while the remaining 47% are privately owned.

Cooperation in biodiversity conservation and the protection of natural ecosystems is another area of particular importance. Serbia has granted protected status to 460 natural sites, including five national parks, 17 nature parks, 20 protected landscapes, 68 nature reserves, 309 natural monuments and three protected habitats. Studying this experience is of practical interest for the further development and improvement of approaches to the conservation of natural areas and biodiversity in Uzbekistan.

Environmental education and scientific and academic cooperation represent another promising avenue for partnership. In particular, there is potential to expand cooperation between Serbia’s leading universities and the Central Asian University of Environmental and Climate Change Studies, Green University. Such initiatives could include joint academic programmes, scientific research, student and faculty exchanges, as well as the implementation of collaborative projects in the fields of climate change, biodiversity and sustainable development.

Serbian universities, including the University of Belgrade and the University of Novi Sad, have significant capacity in environmental sciences and are recognised among the world’s leading universities in relevant fields. This creates favourable opportunities for strengthening academic and research partnerships.

Eco Expo Central Asia 2027 could also serve as an important platform for further strengthening the environmental dialogue. The exhibition is scheduled to take place in June 2027 in Tashkent, alongside the Tashkent International Investment Forum, which will focus on “Sustainable Development and Green Investment”.

The Serbian side is invited to take an active part in the exhibition, which has already established itself as one of Central Asia’s leading environmental platforms. The successful organisation of Eco Expo Central Asia in Tashkent in 2025 and in Samarkand in 2026 demonstrated the strong interest of the international community in the region’s environmental initiatives.

The development of cooperation between Uzbekistan and Serbia in these areas will help expand the exchange of advanced practices, promote joint environmental and investment projects, strengthen scientific and educational ties and create new opportunities for advancing the principles of sustainable development and “green” economy.

Mahmud Khaydarov,

Chief Specialist of the Department of International Cooperation, Grants and Rankings of the National Committee on Ecology and Climate Change

The globalization of today’s economy, together with the current geopolitical and geo-economic situation in the world, is shaping economic cooperation between states not only on the basis of geographical proximity, but also through the convergence of mutual interests.

Uzbekistan’s independent and balanced foreign policy is contributing to a steady annual increase in the number of its partner countries. While preserving cooperation with its immediate neighbours, this multifaceted foreign policy primarily serves to strengthen mutually beneficial relations with countries in different regions of the world. In particular, Uzbekistan’s relations with the Balkan states have developed across various fields in recent years. Cooperation with Serbia deserves special mention in this regard.

Diplomatic relations between Uzbekistan and Serbia were established on 18 January 1995. Since then, cooperation between the two countries has developed steadily at various levels. Although the pace of bilateral cooperation was relatively modest in certain years, Uzbekistan’s increasingly proactive foreign policy and its reforms aimed at diversifying international relations have significantly strengthened Uzbek–Serbian relations in recent years.

Over the past three to four years, mutually beneficial cooperation and political and economic dialogue between official Tashkent and Belgrade have reached a qualitatively new level. Exchanges between the two heads of state have consequently become important milestones in bilateral relations. In particular, the meeting between President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev and President of Serbia Aleksandar Vučić, held on 20 August 2023 on the sidelines of the World Athletics Championships in Budapest, gave fresh impetus to cooperation between the two countries. The two leaders held their next meeting in Beijing on 3 September 2025. These meetings reaffirmed the parties’ interest in further expanding cooperation, particularly in trade, investment, industry, mechanical engineering, pharmaceuticals, agriculture, information technology, artificial intelligence, tourism, education and transport, as well as in intensifying interstate dialogue.

The fundamental principles of Uzbekistan’s foreign policy include, first and foremost, adherence to international law and the Charter of the United Nations, respect for state sovereignty and the inviolability of borders, friendship and mutually beneficial cooperation, non-interference in internal affairs, and the peaceful settlement of international disputes. From this perspective, the foreign ministries of the two countries are also conducting consultations on an equal footing and implementing measures aimed at advancing bilateral cooperation.

In August 2017, the Political Director of the Serbian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the President’s Special Envoy for Kosovo, Zoran Vujić, visited Tashkent. During the visit, prospects for political dialogue and cooperation with international organizations such as the United Nations, the OSCE and UNESCO were discussed with his participation.

In 2021, political consultations were held in Tashkent with the participation of Serbian Ministry of Foreign Affairs State Secretary Nemanja Starović. On 9 October 2025, the second round of political consultations between the foreign ministries of Uzbekistan and Serbia was held by videoconference.

The signing in 2022 of the Protocol on Cooperation and Interministerial Consultations between the two countries’ foreign ministries marked the beginning of a new period in Uzbek–Serbian relations. The document established a legal basis for the parties’ strategic plans to hold regular consultations, broaden cultural and humanitarian dialogue, and strengthen political cooperation in order to further develop relations between the two states.

In September 2025, the foreign ministers of the two countries met on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in New York. These engagements represented an important step towards establishing a new architecture of dialogue at various levels between Tashkent and Belgrade. As a result of these efforts, Uzbekistan appointed its first ambassador to Serbia in 2025, marking another important milestone in the further development of bilateral relations.

Although trade and economic cooperation between Uzbekistan and Serbia currently remains modest in scale, it is important to emphasize that the area holds considerable potential. Through Serbia, Uzbekistan has the capacity to expand its relations with other Balkan countries, including Croatia, Albania, North Macedonia, Montenegro and Slovenia.

A number of measures are being developed to increase Uzbekistan’s trade with the Balkan states and to prepare extensive cooperation programmes in mechanical engineering, pharmaceuticals, agriculture, the chemical industry, information technology and digitalization, the agro-industrial sector, tourism and many other important industries.

The geopolitical and geo-economic instability witnessed worldwide in recent years has also prompted Uzbekistan to further develop international transport corridors. Uzbekistan, which has direct access to every Central Asian country, is recognized as being favourably located for expanding links between China, India, Europe and other countries. In order to capitalize on these opportunities, the country is seeking to open new transport corridors along the Central Asia–Balkans route. For Uzbekistan, the comprehensive development of trade and economic relations with the Balkan states within the framework of the Trans-Caspian Corridor is of strategic importance.

There are currently around ten enterprises with Serbian capital operating in Uzbekistan, including two joint ventures, while the remainder operate as individually owned business entities. Although bilateral trade amounts to approximately USD 12 million per year, there is substantial untapped potential for developing economic, investment and trade relations.

An examination of the priority areas, agreements and contracts identified during official negotiations and business forums held between the two countries in 2023–2026 shows that imports of industrial equipment, machinery and mechanisms from Serbia are of particular importance to Uzbekistan. Key priorities include introducing Serbian technologies into Uzbekistan, establishing joint ventures, launching the production of automotive components in the country, localizing selected manufacturing industries, and turning Uzbekistan into a production base serving not only the Central Asian market but also European markets.

For Serbia, investment projects in Uzbekistan’s agriculture, food industry, food-processing equipment, digitalization, artificial intelligence, pharmaceuticals, textiles and automotive sectors are particularly relevant. These include introducing European technologies into Uzbekistan, applying European know-how and experience across sectors and industries, and contributing to regional development. This would enable the two countries to further advance industrial cooperation and implement promising joint projects in light industry, textiles, pharmaceuticals, automotive manufacturing and agriculture.

In conclusion, although political agreements between the two countries are important, the first essential factor in translating them into tangible economic results is the launch of transport corridors, while the second essential factor is creating broad opportunities for business. To make effective use of these factors, the following steps should be taken:

First, the transport corridor between the two countries should become more than merely a “freight route”; it should provide Uzbekistan with access to European global value chains through the Balkans.

Second, alongside increasing the volume of mutual trade, serious attention should be paid to its quality. Priority should be given to exports of high value-added goods rather than raw materials, semi-finished goods or basic products.

Third, mechanisms to promote investment between the two countries should be developed. Attracting Serbian capital and technologies to Uzbekistan’s economy, while expanding the presence of Uzbek businesses in Balkan markets, would generate significant benefits for both economies.

Fourth, joint production should be introduced through the establishment of industrial cooperation between the two countries. Rather than manufacturing a product in one country and exporting it to the market of the other, combining the resources and capabilities of both states to enter third-country markets would be more economically advantageous.

Fifth, transport and logistics integration between the two countries should be established. In the future, such integration would not only reduce transport costs but also facilitate the development of new transit routes, thereby expanding trade opportunities.

Sixth, efforts to develop human capital and introduce technologies into production should be intensified. In this context, economic cooperation would extend beyond the exchange of goods and further strengthen ties among specialists, researchers, engineers and entrepreneurs.

In summary, the new economic bridge between Uzbekistan and Serbia can serve as an important pillar of economic growth for the countries of Central Asia and the Balkans. As a result, Uzbekistan will gain opportunities to develop international transport corridors, improve the efficiency of transport and logistics processes, reduce cargo delivery times by two to three times, establish a dry port, and enhance its international trade and transit potential.

Nodirbek Rasulov,

Doctor of Economics, Professor,

Project Manager at the Institute for Macroeconomic and Regional Studies

On November 3, President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev, at the invitation of Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, arrived in Qatar on a working visit to participate in the Second World Summit for Social Development.

Over the years of independence, Uzbekistan and Qatar have progressed from establishing diplomatic relations to forming a comprehensive strategic partnership based on trust, mutual respect, and common interests in the political, economic, and humanitarian spheres.

Qatar recognized Uzbekistan's independence on December 30, 1991, and diplomatic relations between the two countries were established on November 27, 1997. In recent years, the intensity of contacts at the highest levels has significantly increased. A milestone event was the signing of the Strategic Partnership Agreement in Tashkent in April 2024, which solidified a new level of cooperation between the two countries. This document outlines priorities for expanding cooperation in investment, energy, transport, education, and culture.

In June and December 2023, Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani visited Uzbekistan, and in October of the same year, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev made a reciprocal state visit to Doha. These meetings marked a new stage in the development of bilateral interactions, giving the relationship between Tashkent and Doha a strategic direction.

Dialogue at the highest level continued within the framework of major international forums, such as the Summit of the Conference on Interaction and Confidence-Building Measures in Asia, the "Central Asia – Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf" summit, and other global events.

Evidence of the intensification of cooperation was the opening of the Embassy of Qatar in Tashkent in May 2023 and the Embassy of Uzbekistan in Doha in December of the same year. These steps marked a transition to a qualitatively new level of political and diplomatic presence.

An important milestone in the political dialogue was the visit of the Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs of Qatar, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, to Uzbekistan in April 2024. During the visit, the Qatari official was received by President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, where a wide range of issues were discussed, from strengthening political dialogue and expanding investment cooperation to partnership in the energy, transport, education, and culture sectors.

While in Tashkent, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani also held talks with Uzbekistan’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Bakhtiyor Saidov. During the meeting, the parties confirmed their mutual interest in further deepening cooperation between their foreign ministries, including through regular political consultations.

In turn, in March and October 2024, Uzbekistan's Minister of Foreign Affairs Bakhtiyor Saidov visited Qatar on working trips, where he met with Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, as well as with leaders of Qatar's Investment Authority and major companies. The meetings focused on expanding economic ties, involving Qatari capital in joint projects, and exploring prospects for cooperation in the transport and logistics sectors.

Particular attention is being paid to the development of trade and economic relations. In 2024, the volume of mutual trade amounted to 7.7 million USD, with exports at 2.2 million and imports at 5.5 million. From January to August 2025, trade turnover grew by 28%, exceeding 7 million USD. Leading positions in exports are held by food products, copper pipes, and services, while imports primarily consist of chemicals and lubricants.

A significant step forward was the first meeting of the Intergovernmental Commission on Trade-Economic and Scientific-Technical Cooperation, which took place in Doha on November 11-12, 2024. Additionally, in June 2024, Qatar Airways launched its first flight on the Doha-Tashkent-Doha route, opening new opportunities for business and tourism exchanges.

Humanitarian and cultural cooperation has also been actively developing. During the pandemic, Qatari charitable foundations provided Uzbekistan with approximately 400,000 USD in humanitarian aid. In recent years, Uzbekistan and Qatar have regularly hosted cultural weeks, craft exhibitions, and concerts. In 2024, the "Culture, Crafts, and Tourism Week of Uzbekistan" was held in Doha, and the "Culture Week of Qatar" took place in Tashkent, attended by Qatar's Minister of Culture Sheikh Abdulrahman Al Thani.

Education cooperation is of particular importance. In September 2024, the agreement was signed in Qatar for the training of Afghan women at the Termez Educational Center, with financial support from Qatar.

Thus, the political dialogue, economic partnership, and humanitarian ties between Tashkent and Doha demonstrate a sustainable dynamic. The consistent implementation of the agreements reached suggests that bilateral relations have transitioned to a new level—one of strategic cooperation, focused on the long-term future and regional stability.

In this context, the upcoming visit of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev to Qatar and his participation in the Second World Summit for Social Development will undoubtedly continue Uzbekistan's consistent foreign policy, aimed at fostering mutual understanding and trust with countries in the Middle East. It will also open new opportunities for comprehensive, mutually beneficial cooperation between Tashkent and Doha for the sustainable development and prosperity of both nations.

«Dunyo» IA

Ahead of the upcoming “Central Asia–Republic of Korea” Summit, which will be held for the first time in a Heads-of-State format in the coming days, Bekzod Normatov, Leading Research Fellow at the Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan (ISRS), noted in a commentary for Dunyo that the new format opens up opportunities to take regional cooperation to a qualitatively new level.

According to his assessment, of particular significance are the development of technological partnership, localization of manufacturing, deep processing of raw materials, implementation of regional projects and the training of engineering personnel.

The inaugural “Central Asia – Republic of Korea” Summit should be viewed as a significant milestone in the institutionalization of relations between the region and one of its most technologically advanced and proven partners.

To date, a multi-level system of contacts encompassing political, economic, parliamentary, business and humanitarian spheres has been established. In particular, “Republic of Korea – Central Asia” Cooperation Forum was established in 2007, followed by the creation of the Permanent Secretariat of the Forum in 2017. The Economic Council has been operational since 2020, the meeting format for parliamentary speakers was established in 2023 and the inaugural Think Tank Forum was convened in 2024.

The very fact of transitioning from long-standing cooperation at the ministerial level to the format of heads of state demonstrates that former mechanisms no longer fully correspond to the scale of accumulated interaction and new objectives. South Korean side also directly attributes the summit to the growing strategic significance of Central Asia and the intention to elevate cooperation to a new level in the spheres of trade, investment, energy, critical minerals and supply chain resilience.

“In my view, it is of fundamental importance that today the objective interests of the two sides are becoming increasingly complementary. The Republic of Korea has advanced technologies, capital and expertise, while Central Asia offers significant resource potential, expanding markets and opportunities for access to new high-tech markets”, expert noted.

The expert emphasized that cooperation in critical minerals could become one of the most promising areas. The region possesses substantial reserves of critical minerals, while the Republic of Korea has advanced technologies for their processing and industrial application.

Establishment of a regular mechanism for meetings of the ministers of industry within the “C5+K” format is already under discussion, while bilateral efforts with Uzbekistan focus particularly on artificial intelligence in industry, investments and concrete projects.

At the same time, the expert believes that it is crucial here not to reduce the new format predominantly to the supply of raw materials from Central Asia to South Korea. For the states of the region, a model where cooperation encompasses the entire production chain – from geological exploration and extraction to the deep processing of raw materials and the manufacturing of components and finished goods – would be far more promising.

Localization of manufacturing, technology transfer, training of engineers, and joint entry into third markets are capable of making this partnership long-term and truly mutually beneficial.

Second important emphasis is the regional nature of the projects. Today, practically all Central Asian nations are interested in industrial modernization, the development of transport connectivity, digitalization, as well as increasing water and energy efficiency. Therefore, it is preferable to utilize the “Central Asia – Korea” format not merely as the sum of five bilateral tracks, but as a mechanism for implementing projects that unite multiple states of the region. This could pertain to cross-border production chains, digital logistics, energy infrastructure, water-saving technologies and personnel training.

Technological partnership appears to be an exceptionally promising direction. Korea possesses strong competencies in electronics, automotive manufacturing, battery technologies, artificial intelligence, power engineering, medicine, water resource management and the digitalization of industry.

Central Asia, for its part, offers a growing market, a favourable demographic profile, significant resource potential and an increasingly developed industrial base. The combination of these advantages can forge a completely new quality of economic cooperation.

ISRS expert specifically highlighted the issue of resilience. The current international situation demonstrates how vulnerable global transport, energy, and production chains have become. Therefore, Central Asia is interested not merely in attracting investment, but in creating its own internal capacities – alternative routes, localized manufacturing, technological competencies, and qualified personnel. The Republic of Korea could become one of the key partners in fostering such resilience.

In practical terms, expert notes that it would be advisable to focus on several key areas: formulating a joint portfolio of projects for the deep processing of critical minerals; establishing a mechanism for the preparation and financing of regional projects; developing cooperation in the field of artificial intelligence and the digitalization of industry; launching joint programs on water-saving technologies and significantly expanding the training of engineering and technical personnel.

In this sense, the primary outcome of the upcoming summit should be measured not by the number of signed documents, but by whether it succeeds in transitioning relations from predominantly trade and investment toward joint manufacturing, technology, and human capital.

For Uzbekistan, this format holds particular significance. Our relations with the Republic of Korea already bear the character of a special strategic partnership and possess a substantial practical foundation. Therefore, Tashkent can act as one of the initiators to ensure that successful bilateral experience gradually acquires a regional dimension.

Ultimately, the promising formula for cooperation appears quite clear: the resources, markets and strategic geographic position of Central Asia, combined with the technology, capital and expertise of the Republic of Korea, should be transformed into high-value-added products jointly produced within our region.

“Such an approach will make it possible to infuse the “Central Asia – Republic of Korea” format with concrete substance and enhance its practical returns for the nations of the region”, the expert concluded.

Dunyo IA

The initiatives announced by President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev during the Open Dialogue with entrepreneurs in Khiva, Khorezm Region continue to generate a strong response and heightened interest among representatives of the international business community, foreign investors, and transnational corporations.

The scale and depth of the announced reforms are being viewed by the global market as a clear sign of the country’s readiness to guarantee maximum capital security, ensure legal predictability, and create the most favorable conditions for doing business in the region.

The Open Dialogue sent a clear signal to the international business community. The meeting in the Khorezm Region not only summarized the large-scale transformation of the business environment in recent years, but also reaffirmed the country’s strategic course toward deep integration into global value chains, the promotion of exports, and the uncompromising protection of investors’ rights.

In recent years, the country has demonstrated impressive economic growth. The number of registered business entities has nearly doubled and exceeded 530,000, while 2.4 million permanent jobs have been created in the private sector, and export volumes have reached a historic high. However, the main message of the Khiva Dialogue is addressed to international partners and is focused on the future: Uzbekistan is building a highly predictable, secure, and favorable ecosystem for investment capital.

For foreign investors and joint ventures, opportunities for institutional support and access to financing are being significantly expanded.

The State Fund for Entrepreneurship Support has been reoriented toward supporting projects in the services sector and medium-sized businesses, while an additional 100 million dollars has been allocated to guarantee credit lines.

As part of the state program supporting high-growth companies, a system of grants and preferential financing of up to 10 billion sums has been introduced. This creates a strong platform for launching and developing high-tech and innovative startups with foreign capital participation.

In addition, in order to encourage joint ventures to enter global markets, the state will cover up to 50 percent of companies’ expenses for placing their products on major international electronic trading platforms.

A central part of the Dialogue was strengthening the inviolability of private property and ensuring absolute stability of tax legislation.

In order to reduce administrative pressure, a “single window” principle for assessing tax risks is being introduced. In Uzbekistan, duplicative inspections by regulatory authorities are being abolished, while the procedure for analyzing tax gaps is being adapted to international standards with the direct participation of the business community.

At the same time, penalties for administrative and criminal offences have been toughened for any unlawful interference by government bodies in the activities of business entities.

Uzbekistan is consistently implementing sustainable development standards and green growth principles, opening up broad prospects for institutional and green investors.

For enterprises investing in energy-efficient technologies and solar power generation, a package of tax deductions, accelerated depreciation mechanisms, and special tariff preferences has been introduced.

As part of the adaptation to international environmental standards and the requirements of the European carbon regulation mechanism, the country is launching a national certification system for “green” products, which will ensure the unhindered access of domestically produced goods to highly competitive global markets.

The holding of the Dialogue in Khiva underscores the state’s strategic priority of decentralizing the economy and ensuring the comprehensive development of the regions.

In the Khorezm Region, a special legal regime is being established for pharmaceutical, textile, and IT clusters, with direct integration into international transport and logistics corridors connecting Central Asia with the markets of the Middle East, South Asia, and Europe.

In special economic zones, the principle of full infrastructure readiness is being introduced. All engineering and utility networks are to be provided on a turnkey basis by the state before the arrival of the management company or investor.

The outcomes of the Open Dialogue in Khiva confirm Uzbekistan’s transition from a series of individual reforms to the establishment of strong institutional guarantees.

For international investors and transnational companies, this means a systematic reduction in country risks, direct state support at all stages of project implementation, and reliable access to the dynamic Central Asian market with its young and highly qualified human capital.

Today, Uzbekistan is firmly establishing itself as a stable and predictable jurisdictional hub for long-term international business.

Sadriddin Suyarov

Dunyo IA

Historical Background

The history of Uzbek - Finnish relations dates back to the early 1990s, when Finland became one of the first countries to recognize the independence of the Republic of Uzbekistan - on 30 December 1991. Just two months later, on 26 February 1992, diplomatic relations were officially established, marking the beginning of a new chapter based on mutual respect, trust, and a shared commitment to technological progress.

The first high-level visits in 1992 laid the foundation for political dialogue. During that year, Uzbekistan took part in the signing ceremonies of the OSCE Helsinki Final Act and the Paris Charter. In October of the same year, Finnish President Mauno Koivisto paid an official visit to Tashkent, further consolidating the partnership. Since then, cooperation between the two countries has developed steadily across political and economic spheres.

Legal and Institutional Framework

Today, the legal framework governing Uzbek-Finnish relations comprises eight active documents, including two interstate and six intergovernmental agreements. These include the 1992 Agreements on Mutual Protection of Investments and on Trade, Economic, and Technological Cooperation, as well as treaties on air and road transport (1996 and 1997) and agreements on avoiding double taxation and on customs cooperation.

New initiatives reflecting the modern stage of partnership are under consideration - such as a draft agreement on visa exemption for holders of diplomatic passports, a memorandum on cooperation in environmental protection, and a protocol on consultations between the foreign ministries.

Cooperation Priorities: Technology, Ecology, and Innovation

Finland, recognized globally as a leader in innovation, sustainable development, and green technologies, serves as a valuable model for Uzbekistan in its transition toward a digital and energy-efficient economy.

In 2017, a business delegation of nine Finnish companies specializing in engineering, agribusiness, telecommunications, and logistics visited Uzbekistan to participate in the AgroWorld Uzbekistan international exhibition. This visit gave new impetus to direct business-to-business engagement.

In April 2019, Tashkent hosted a delegation led by Mikko Koiranen, Deputy State Secretary of Finland for Foreign Economic Relations. The delegation included 29 representatives from leading companies and organizations - such as Nokia Siemens Networks, ABB, Wärtsilä, Uponor Infra, Tikkurila, ISKU, and Airbus Defense and Space. Discussions focused on implementing Finnish technologies in Uzbekistan, joint energy and raw material processing projects, and opportunities in smart cities and water management.

Later, in November 2019, Antti Koskelainen from the Finnish export credit agency Finnvera visited Tashkent, marking an important step toward deeper financial and investment cooperation. Meetings with the Ministry of Investment, Industry and Trade, the Ministry of Finance, and the Agency for State Asset Management addressed mechanisms for crediting and insuring Finnish export operations in Uzbekistan.

Trade: A Threefold Growth in One Year

Economic cooperation between Uzbekistan and Finland continues to expand. The two countries enjoy Most-Favored-Nation trade status, and regular meetings of the Joint Intergovernmental Commission on Trade, Economic, and Scientific-Technical Cooperation (five sessions to date, the latest held in Tashkent in February 2023) ensure a dynamic dialogue.

Trade turnover has shown remarkable growth in recent years: from USD 48.45 million in 2020 to USD 151.7 million in 2024 - an increase of over threefold. This upward trend reflects intensified business ties and growing interest among Finnish companies in the Uzbek market.

Investment and Business Cooperation

Finland is viewed in Uzbekistan not only as a trading partner but also as a source of innovation and investment. Currently, 14 enterprises with Finnish capital operate in Uzbekistan - four joint ventures and ten with 100% foreign ownership - active in sectors such as electronics, software, energy, agriculture, food processing, chemicals, and telecommunications equipment.

Finnish businesses are showing strong interest in renewable energy, waste recycling, eco-construction, water management, and sustainable agriculture. Uzbekistan, in turn, offers attractive conditions for investors - tax incentives, developed industrial infrastructure, and access to a 75-million-strong Central Asian market.

Finland’s Economic Potential: Opportunities for Partnership

Finland is one of Europe’s most advanced and innovative economies, known for its high living standards, sound macroeconomics, and strong industrial base. In 2024, its GDP exceeded USD 320 billion, with GDP per capita around USD 58,000. The economy is well-balanced, with services accounting for over 70%, industry 27%, and agriculture 2.5%. Inflation remains one of the lowest in Europe - around 3% - ensuring a stable and predictable business environment.

For Uzbekistan, cooperation with Finland opens wide-ranging opportunities for industrial, investment, and technological partnership, including:

• Energy: joint projects in renewable energy, smart grids, and energy storage; development of solar panel and wind equipment manufacturing.
• Water and Environment: Finnish expertise in water purification, waste processing, and efficient water management, particularly relevant for agriculture and urban infrastructure.
• Engineering and Electronics: creation of joint ventures in industrial equipment, automation systems, and telecommunications.
• Construction and Green Materials: Finnish participation in energy-efficient building projects, production of eco-friendly insulation and finishing materials, and smart home systems.
• Education and Science: joint engineering and IT education programs, establishment of research laboratories, and introduction of dual education models based on Finnish experience.
• Agro-Industry: cooperation in precision farming, agricultural digitalization, and production of eco-friendly export-oriented goods.

Finland’s experience in sustainable development and digital transformation makes it a strategic partner for Uzbekistan’s “green economy” agenda and industrial modernization. At the same time, Uzbekistan - with its abundant natural resources, young workforce, and expanding domestic market - offers Finnish companies favorable conditions for localization and regional expansion.

A Look Ahead

The partnership between Uzbekistan and Finland goes beyond traditional economic cooperation. It stands as an example of how innovation and sustainability can form the foundation of long-term, mutually beneficial relations. Joint projects in digitalization, green energy, and education are paving new avenues for the exchange of expertise, technologies, and investments.

Finland regards Uzbekistan as a reliable partner in Central Asia, while Uzbekistan views Finland as a strategic ally in advancing its “smart growth” model and building a knowledge-based economy.

The synergy between Finland’s pragmatic northern experience and Uzbekistan’s dynamic eastern development creates a powerful foundation for further strengthening bilateral relations - grounded in trust, innovation, and mutual respect.

The analysis covers the key thematic and semantic emphases of the President’s speech, the structure of core concepts and their interrelations, priority directions of state policy, as well as the strategic benchmarks for the country’s socio-economic development in 2026.

On 26 December 2025, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev delivered his Address to the Oliy Majlis and the people of Uzbekistan. Experts of the Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) conducted a linguistic content analysis of the President’s speech.

The analysis was carried out using modern linguistic methods and is aimed at identifying semantic priorities, key concepts and their connections. A word cloud and diagrams were also prepared to visually demonstrate the priority directions of state policy.

Analysis (from the original language)

In total, the President used 9,135 words in his Address. The creation of a word cloud made it possible to visualize the most significant themes and gain a deeper understanding of the priorities and directions of the country’s socio-economic development.

Figure 1. Most frequently used words in the President’s Address (26.12.2025)

The linguistic analysis showed that the most frequently used key words included “mahalla” – 49 times, “aholi” (population) – 35 times, “iqtisodiyot” (economy) – 28 times, “bozor” (market) – 26 times, “loyiha” (project) – 25 times, and “technology” – 22 times (Fig. 1).

Words such as “ta’lim” (education), “natija” (result) and “daromad” (income) were each used 20 times; “tadbirkor” (entrepreneur) and “sanoat” (industry) – 19 times each; “suv” (water) – 18 times; “elektr” (electricity) and “hudud” (territory) – 17 times each; “yoshlar” (youth), “infratuzilma” (infrastructure) and “qurilish” (construction) – 16 times each.

The analysis of two-word expressions showed that the phrase “Markaziy Osiyo” (Central Asia) was used eight times; “aholi daromadi” (household income), “qishloq xo‘jaligi” (agriculture) and “yangi bosqich” (new stage) – seven times; “yangi texnologiyalar” (new technologies) and “Toshkent shahri” (city of Tashkent) – six times each. Expressions such as “Davlat xizmatlari” (public services), “xorijiy investitsiya” (foreign investment) and “yangi tizim” (new system) were used five times, while “dual ta’lim” (dual education), “ish o‘rni” (jobs), “viloyat markazlari” (regional centers) and “tuman byudjeti” (district budgets) were used four times each.
Among three-word combinations, the most frequent expressions included “the next five years” – nine times; “based on dual education” – four times; and “water-saving technologies” and “water, electricity” – three times each.

Thus, the analysis shows that at the core of state policy are the mahalla, public welfare, and the transition to a new stage of development based on economic and technological transformation, with clearly defined strategic objectives for the next five years.

Thematic structure of the speech

The diagram below shows the distribution of the speech’s vocabulary by key directions, where the content is grouped into nine main thematic blocks.
The diagram clearly demonstrates that technological development and human interests, implemented at the level of the mahalla, are at the center of state policy. The ultimate goal of all reforms is to ensure public welfare through sustainable economic growth (Fig. 2).

Figure 2. Distribution of words by thematic areas in the structure of the speech

Interconnection of development directions

The analysis highlights key words that demonstrate the interconnection between various directions of Uzbekistan’s state policy in the coming years.
The transition of the economy to a technological and innovation-based growth model is a central element of state policy and implies a shift away from a raw-materials model toward high-tech industry. This direction is closely linked with such concepts as “investment,” “technology,” “market,” and “product.”

The block on economic growth and welfare reflects the key outcomes of reforms, including the increase of the economy to $145 bn and a twofold reduction in poverty over the past three years. It is directly associated with the concepts of “population,” “economy,” “mahalla,” and “services.”

The social foundation of reforms is built through the development of the mahalla and social solidarity. This direction is associated with “mahalla,” “youth,” “society,” and “values.”

Structuring vocabulary by thematic areas shows that the core of the President’s speech is technological modernization of the economy and a human-centered governance model based on the “mahallabay” system.

It emphasizes the interconnection between economic growth, improvement of public welfare and the development of local infrastructure, as well as priorities such as strengthening human capital, expanding employment and increasing the efficiency of public administration.

Figure 3. Interconnection of development directions

Among the highlighted semantic blocks are also tasks related to stimulating domestic demand, developing the housing and tourism sectors, modernizing the transport system, increasing productivity in agriculture and introducing water-saving technologies.

Special emphasis is placed on the “green” agenda, including the development of renewable energy, expansion of the “Yashil Makon” (“Green Space”) initiative, and strengthening resilience to climate risks.

In the foreign policy dimension, the analysis highlights Uzbekistan’s openness, strengthening of good-neighborly relations, and integration into the global economic system.

The linguistic analysis confirms that the idea at the core of the President’s speech is built around the triad “inson qadri – mahalla – farovonlik” (human dignity – mahalla – welfare), where the goal of reforms is sustainable growth, improved quality of life, and the further strengthening of Uzbekistan’s position.

Ilyos Rabbimov, CERR

CERR Public Relations Service

For inquiries, please contact:

(78) 150 02 02 (417)

Despite its limited access to the world's major ports, Uzbekistan can fully develop its transportation and logistics industry through the formation of land transport corridors, developing them throughout the Eurasian region. Being located in the center of the crossroads of trade routes during the Great Silk Road, Uzbekistan has a unique opportunity to become an important provider of logistics of cargo flows between China and Southern Europe, on the one hand, and the Indian Peninsula and CIS, Northern Europe, on the other hand.
Landlocked countries account for less than 1% of world exports. Moreover, the share of Central Asian countries in the global export of transport services is very small and is represented in the following proportions: Uzbekistan, which has access to the sea only through two countries – 0.1%, Kazakhstan – 0.3%, Tajikistan – 0.007%, Kyrgyzstan – 0.03%.
However, the transport complex of Uzbekistan maintains a dominant position in foreign trade in services and is one of the main sources of foreign currency inflow into the country. Transport services in the republic form 43% of the total volume of the country's service exports and 65% of the balance of foreign trade in services. Uzbekistan's transport service exports in 2022 amounted to $2.2 billion, and the positive balance of foreign trade in transport services amounted to $1.7 billion.


Figure 1. Uzbekistan’s share in global exports of transport services in 2022, %


Calculated according to UNCTAD and Statistics Agency of the Republic of Uzbekistan
One of the main problems of Uzbekistan's international freight transport is the underutilization of its export and transit potential, which reduces revenues from the export of transport and logistics services. For example, when comparing actual exports in tons, Uzbekistan is behind Russia by 20 times, Turkey by 10 times, and Kazakhstan by 9 times.
In 2023, the volume of interstate cargo transportation in the Republic of Uzbekistan amounted to 62 million tons, which is 16% higher than in 2022. The largest share in the volume of export-import cargo transportation of the republic falls on Kazakhstan (30%), to a lesser extent on Russia (26%), China (10%), and Afghanistan (4%). Rail transport accounts for the largest share (76%) of Uzbekistan's international cargo transportation (export, import, and transit). The export of transport services includes the transit of goods through the territory of Uzbekistan with a total share in the export of railway services of up to 45%.
The unrealized transit crossroads of Eurasia
One of the main global logistics trends is trade between China and the EU. According to the ERAI review, in 2023, the trade turnover between them amounted to 738 million euros, and according to EUROSTAT exceeded 104 million tons. In the current realities, rail transportation between Europe and China is carried out along the Eurasian route through the territories of Kazakhstan, Russia, Belarus; Mongolia and Russia (Naushki border crossing), as well as along the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route – TITR (Kazakhstan, the Caspian Sea, Azerbaijan, Georgia, the Black Sea).
Part of the cargo flows that previously passed through the northern corridor has been redirected to TITR. However, the Eurasian route continues to occupy a leading position. In 2023, a total of 674 thousand TEU passed along this route, which is 1.1% less than in 2022 (681 thousand TEU), but at the same time, in the first half of 2024, the volume of container traffic by China-Europe trains along TITR increased by 12.8% with a volume of 196.6 thousand TEU.
As can be seen, Uzbekistan does not fit into the list of major transit countries between China and the EU in the "Eurasian" and "Trans-Caspian" directions and claims only a part of the target markets mainly in direction along the Southern Corridor through Turkmenistan, Iran, and Turkey.
So, a limited number of international transport corridors pass through the territory of Uzbekistan. The main countries forming the transit of Uzbekistan are neighboring Afghanistan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan, as well as Russia, which is considered an important trading partner for the Central Asian countries. The transport isolation of the region, undiversified transport routes, and limited export deliveries mainly in the northern direction lead to a loss of profit due to the sale of domestic goods mainly to neighboring countries at a fairly low cost.
Transit Priorities
To sell domestic products at competitive world prices, Uzbekistan needs to develop additional export trade routes to other countries, such as China, the Asia-Pacific region, the Middle East, India, Pakistan, and others. This requires competitive and efficient transport and transit corridors that allow for increasing the volume of transit cargo through the Republic of Uzbekistan.
Therefore, the priority directions identified by 2030 for the development of international transport corridors and bringing the volume of transit traffic through the territory of the republic to 16 million tons include the task of increasing revenues from the export of transport services. The key task in this case is to increase the volume of multimodal cargo transportation in the directions of China – Kyrgyzstan – Uzbekistan (Kashgar–Irkeshtam–Osh–Andijan–Tashkent) and Uzbekistan – Afghanistan – Pakistan (Termez – Hairatan – Logar – Karachi).
China - Kyrgyzstan - Uzbekistan. The volume of cargo transportation of the PRC with such countries as Turkey, Iran, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, and Pakistan in 2023 amounted to almost 50 million tons, with the main volume of cargo transportation carried out by sea transport. Studies have shown that it is possible to attract part of the cargo to the "China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan" route, in the amount of about 10 million tons, and with the stable organization of cargo transportation along the route, the volume of cargo transportation by 2040 may increase by 4 times.
Uzbekistan – Afghanistan – Pakistan. The geographical proximity to Afghanistan, and further south to Pakistan and India, gives Uzbekistan the opportunity to unlock its existing potential and provide cargo transportation services in export, import, and transit traffic in the direction of South Asian countries (Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India), without competing for existing transport and trade corridors. Therefore, Uzbekistan is extremely interested in trade and transport cooperation with Afghanistan and in the implementation of the Trans-Afghan Railway project "Uzbekistan–Afghanistan–Pakistan." This road will allow establishing a direct rail link between Uzbekistan and Pakistan through the territory of Afghanistan with further access to the ports of the Indian Ocean.
The importance and effectiveness of the "Uzbekistan–Afghanistan–Pakistan" (UAP) project can be significantly increased if it is implemented in parallel with the project of building the "Uzbekistan – Kyrgyzstan – China" (CKU) railway line, which is the shortest way to connect China with Pakistan and India and will allow a multiple increase in the volume of traffic from/to China to the countries of Central and South Asia.
In this regard, within the framework of two strategic projects UAP and CKU, the ongoing activities on formation of new uninterrupted perspective multimodal transport corridors in the region are relevant. In November 2023 in Tashkent within the framework of the ECO Ministerial Meeting the Protocol of the multilateral meeting on establishment of the international multimodal route between Asia-Europe through “Uzbekistan-Turkmenistan-Iran-Türkiye”, was signed.

In November 2023, a Memorandum on mutual Understanding on the creation and development of international transport corridor “Belarus-Russia-Kazakhstan-Uzbekistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan” with access to the ports of the Indian Ocean was signed in Tashkent. In April of this year, Termez hosted meetings of transportation agencies and railway administrations of the countries-participants of this corridor, which resulted in the adoption of the Road Map, including the main activities for further development of the corridor.
It should be noted that the abovementioned documents are open for other interested countries to join the transport corridors.
Multifaceted Transport Policy
It should be noted that the policy of forming international transport corridors in Uzbekistan is somewhat different from the policies of several other countries and is aimed at attracting as many countries as possible to the active development of a branched network of transport corridors that ensure efficient foreign trade cargo transportation. As emphasized by the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, at the SCO Summit in Astana on July 4 of this year, "the multivariance of transport corridors is the most important condition for the sustainable development of our entire region."
However, the effective functioning of various corridor options is hindered by the lack of unified Cargo Transportation Rules, a unified Transport Document Standard that would be used on all types of transport, as well as the absence of digital platforms for providing customers with freight transportation services remotely from anywhere in the world. All this slows down the transport integration of Asian countries in the context of developing routes between Central and South Asia, and China, on the one hand, and the integration of Asian countries with European communications on the other.
To solve the problems of different legal and technical standards in freight transportation between European and Asian countries, which hinder the full-fledged transportation of goods without delays, it makes sense to develop new services for logistics and cargo transportation market participants, while applying modern technologies.
These include the production of universal wagons with variable gauge axle systems at the country's industrial facilities, with their further use both in Uzbekistan and southern countries, China and others, as well as the development of a digital platform for online registration of cargo transportation and transportation documents, which will lead to additional revenues from the export of transport services.
In this regard, the initiative of the President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev, announced in June at the OTS Summit on the formation of a Council of Railway Administrations within the framework of the organization and the placement of its directorate in Tashkent, is relevant. The Council could act as a regulator for the integration of the railways of China, the Asia-Pacific region, South and Southeast Asia with the countries of Central Asia, the Caucasus, and the EU.
To assess the prospects for the coordinated development of transport corridors, a forecast of foreign trade volume was made based on an analysis of panel data using a combined model of two directions of international cargo transportation: China-EU and China-CA. The results of this forecast showed that by 2050, the volume of trade between China and the EU will increase by 4.5 times compared to 2023, and between China and CA - by 5 times. At the same time, the total volume of trade between South Asian countries (India and Pakistan) with trading partners (EU, Russia, China, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan) will increase by 3.8 times compared to 2023.

In the near future, a clearly defined strategy for integrating Central Asian countries into the international transport network can help solve the region's problems and lead to an increase in the export of transport and logistics services and attract cargo flow, and later passenger flow, to the territory of the Asia-Pacific region, South and Central Asia. As the President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev said: "We are open to cooperation and ready to become a reliable partner in creating new transport corridors and integration projects."

Dildora Ibragimova,
Center for the Study of Transport and Logistics Development Problems under the Ministry of Transport of the Republic of Uzbekistan