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CERR Assesses Economic Activity Across Uzbekistan’s Regions Over Five Years Using Satellite Data
CERR Assesses Economic Activity Across Uzbekistan’s Regions Over Five Years Using Satellite Data

An analysis of nighttime satellite illumination data indicates a strengthening of economic activity across regions and an expansion in the number of territories exhibiting urban-type development.

The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) applied satellite-based nighttime lights (NTL) data to assess economic activity at the level of regions and cities in Uzbekistan.

The analysis shows that higher light intensity corresponds to higher levels of economic activity and more advanced urban infrastructure.

CERR’s findings demonstrate a high degree of consistency between satellite-based indicators and official statistics. In particular, according to estimates based on NASA nighttime lights data, nominal GDP per capita in Uzbekistan grew by 80.3% in 2020–2025, corresponding to an average annual growth rate of 15.8%, increasing from $2,090 to $3,887 over five years.

For comparison, according to official statistics, GDP per capita increased by 81.8% over the same period, with an average annual growth rate of 16.1%, rising from $2,048 to $3,881.

Economic Activity in Large and Medium-Sized Cities

According to the data, over the past five years the highest growth in gross regional product (GRP) per capita among regions was recorded in the city of Tashkent, where the indicator increased by approximately $5,000, reaching $9.3 thousand by the end of 2025 (according to official statistics — $9.2 thousand).

Estimates for 2025 also show high GRP per capita levels in a number of large and medium-sized cities. In Navoi, the NTL-based estimate reached $9.3 thousand, in Zarafshan $7.9 thousand, in Samarkand $7.2 thousand, in Kokand and Andijan $6.7 thousand each, and in Akhangaran, Yangiyul, and Bukhara ranged from $5.8 thousand to $5.2 thousand, respectively.

Relatively high growth rates of GRP per capita were also observed across several regions. In Tashkent region, the indicator increased by $1.8 thousand to reach around $4 thousand. In Navoi region, GRP per capita also grew by $1.8 thousand to approximately $4 thousand. In Fergana and Syrdarya regions, the increase amounted to $1.6 thousand, reaching about $3.5 thousand and $3.4 thousand, respectively.

Economic Activity in Small and Medium-Sized Cities

Relatively high GRP per capita levels were also recorded in a number of small and medium-sized cities. In Termez, the indicator reached $5.1 thousand, in Margilan and Chirchik around $5 thousand, and in Namangan $4.8 thousand. Economic activity levels also remain relatively high in the cities of Kagan and Urgench.

Economic Activity at the District Level

At the district level, the highest GRP per capita growth dynamics in 2020–2025 were observed in Mirabad district, where the indicator increased by $7.1 thousand, in Yakkasaray district by $6.3 thousand, and in Chilanzar district by $5.6 thousand. As a result, GRP per capita in these districts exceeded $10 thousand, which is nearly three times higher than the average across other districts and cities in the country.

Among districts, the highest growth rates of economic activity were also recorded in Karmana district (2.5-fold increase), Yashnabad and Bektemir districts (2.4-fold), as well as Sergeli, Yangi Hayot, and Mirzo Ulugbek districts (2.3-fold).

Expansion of Territories with High Economic Activity

The use of nighttime lights data also made it possible to assess urbanization processes at the district level. In particular, between 2020 and 2025, the number of territories with high nighttime light intensity (NTL above 10), characteristic of urban agglomerations, increased from 22 to 31. The average GRP per capita in these territories rose from $3.8 thousand to $7 thousand.

At the same time, over five years the number of districts with low nighttime light intensity (NTL below 1) declined from 129 to 85, confirming the transition of 44 districts toward an urban-type development model.

In these districts, NTL levels increased on average by more than 2.5 times, while GRP per capita rose from $1.7 thousand to $3.2 thousand.

Conclusion

The results confirm that satellite-based nighttime lights data can effectively complement official statistics and be used for timely assessment of regional economic activity.

This approach enables the identification of new growth points and allows for more targeted allocation of state support toward infrastructure development and investment activity in the regions.

Abdulaziz Gaybullayev, CERR

CERR Public Relations Sector

Tel.: (+998) 78 150-32-20 (417)

Uzbekistan nominated for Chairmanship of the UN Tourism Comission for Europe for 2025–2027 term
Uzbekistan nominated for Chairmanship of the UN Tourism Comission for Europe for 2025–2027 term

May 13. /Dunyo IA/. Uzbekistan has nominated its candidacy for the Chair of the UN Tourism Comission for Europe (CEU) for the 2025–2027 term.

This marks the first time in its history that Uzbekistan has put forward a candidate for this prestigious position, underscoring the country’s growing engagement in global tourism affairs and the high level of trust it has earned within international tourism bodies.

The UN Tourism Comission for Europe consists of 41 member countries from Europe as well as Central and Western Asia. It plays a pivotal role in shaping tourism policy across the region, promoting regional cooperation, and advancing sustainable and inclusive tourism development.

The 71st meeting of the Commission will be held on June 4–6, 2025, in Baku, Azerbaijan. During this session, elections are scheduled to take place for the Chair of the CEU for the 2025–2027 term.

Uzbekistan’s nomination for this position is viewed as recognition of the country’s consistent reforms in the tourism sector, its practical efforts to strengthen regional cooperation, and its contribution to the development of sustainable and inclusive tourism.

If elected, Uzbekistan intends to promote new initiatives aimed at positioning Central Asia as a unified tourism destination, developing cross-border routes, widely implementing digital solutions, and enhancing regional dialogue within the framework of the United Nations World Tourism Organization.

Proposals on further development and increase of competitiveness of the jewelry industry were considered
Proposals on further development and increase of competitiveness of the jewelry industry were considered

President Shavkat Mirziyoyev was given a presentation on measures to further develop the jewelry industry, support jewelry production and sales, and increase exports of finished products.

Our country has a huge potential for increasing production and export of jewelry.

As the head of state noted, only 6 percent of gold mined in the country is processed, and exports of its products amount to only 78 million dollars, so it is important to create jewelry zones with special conditions for entrepreneurs, to review the provision of raw materials, training of specialists, production chain and sales system.

In this regard, the Ministry of Economy and Finance and the Chamber of Commerce and Industry have developed relevant proposals.

In particular, it is planned to improve the activity of the Uzbekzargarsanoati association, expand its powers and reorganize the management system.

In order to support manufacturers of the industry, it is proposed to apply the benefits provided for members of the Association "Uzbekzargarsanoati" to individual entrepreneurs - manufacturers of jewelry, who are members of the Association "Uzbekzargarsanoati".

The possibility of establishing a zero rate of customs duty and value added tax on equipment, packaging and marking materials that are not produced in Uzbekistan and used in the jewelry industry for the period up to October 1, 2026 is being studied.

The issues of creation of special jewelry centers including production, exhibition and trade areas were considered. Information was provided on the placement of pilot projects in Tashkent and Namangan region.

The issue of increasing the volume of jewelry exports was discussed. It was proposed to establish a zero rate of customs duty for export of jewelry made in our country to the United States of America under the GSP system.

The head of state instructed to finalize the presented measures and work out a program for the development of domestic jewelry production for the period up to 2027.

A masterpiece of our distinguished history
A masterpiece of our distinguished history

During one of his visits to the Kashkadarya province, President of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, emphasized the profound wisdom and exemplary value embedded in the literary works dedicated to our historical figures. In particular, he highlighted the significance of texts related to Amir Temur, most notably the Temur tuzuklari (Institutes of Temour), which he identified as a critical source for understanding our national heritage. The President stressed again the necessity of comprehensive scholarly engagement with this text, recognizing it as a testament to the intellectual and statecraft traditions of the Uzbek people.

The Temur tuzuklari commissioned by Amir Temur, occupies a prominent place in the historiography of world civilization. Its significance is multifaceted. First, the authorship is attributed to a statesman of exceptional strategic and intellectual capacity, and the text has remained a subject of sustained scholarly interest. Second, the clarity of the work’s prose enhances both its accessibility and its continued relevance. Third, the work was produced in a period marked by geopolitical realignments and intellectual developments that would later contribute to the European Renaissance. Finally, Amir Temur’s enduring stature within a multipolar global order, all of these factors emphasize the broader historical value of the text, which continues to engage both academic and general audiences.

Temur tuzuklari is a very simple yet deeply meaningful and richly substantive work. To write such a piece, the author must possess a broad worldview, have personally experienced the heavy footsteps of history and the hardships of building an immense state, and must have attained the status of a noble figure who could easily fathom the world, deeply understand history and geography, be well-versed in ethnonymy, toponymy, and be capable of drawing profound conclusions about life, the flow of the world, and the paths of existence, a figure at the level of a wise philosopher. In other words, the Turon saltanati (Turanian kingdom) was the creation of Amir Temur. He referred to himself as the “Sultan of Turan”. In 1391, these words were inscribed in Old Uzbek on stone in Dasht-i Kipchak Steppe. That empire was built through the arduous labor of our forefather, and its institutions did not emerge spontaneously, but arose from pressing necessity (emphasis by the author). Temur tuzuklari came about as a vivid expression of all of this.

Only an individual of Amir Temur’s stature, who, as the historian Nizomiddin Shomiy described, attained perfection and high rank through his own mature effort and determined striving,” and who had acquired firsthand experience in the art of empire-building, could have created the Tuzuklar. The authorship of such a piece lies solely within the capacity of such a figure; there can be no room for doubt in this regard. In fact, a close reading of the Temur tuzuklari reveals the expansive intellectual breadth of its author.

Another important point: it would be illogical, a fundamental error, to suggest that this intellectually rich and thematically mature work, which has been the subject of scholarly inquiry for six centuries and continues to attract global interest, was authored by an anonymous writer and merely “presented” to Amir Temur, with authorship later attributed to him as a gesture of “flattery”. Such speculation lacks credibility. Moreover, Major William Davy, Persian secretary to the Commander in Chief of the Bengal Forces, was the first translator of the Tuzuklar into English, emphasizing that Amir Temur was the genuine author of the work.

The composition of the Tuzuklar appears to have been an iterative process, spanning several years and undergoing multiple revisions, abridgments and expansions.

The Arab historian Mazhar Shihab, as cited by Ubaydulla Uvatov, affirms that “Amir Temur began recording his memoirs long before he assumed power”. This observation suggests that Temur maintained a long-standing interest in documenting his thoughts and experiences and that he may have been reluctant to delegate such a task to others, either  out of concern for accuracy or due to the absence of individuals he deemed suitably qualified.

The Temur tuzuklari, enriched with wisdom, also offers invaluable insight into Amir Temur’s character. The text depicts him as a champion of justice, committed to truth, loyalty, and the well-being of his people. He is portrayed as magnanimous, fearless, and principled ruler. He bravely strives to uphold the rights of the oppressed against the tyrants, for he knows that a country may endure with disbelief but cannot tolerate oppression.

Alisher Navoi, a contemporary of Amir Temur’s legacy, begins the seventh chapter (majlis) of his work “Majalis un-Nafais” (The Assemblies of the Refined) with the name of Amir Temur Kuragon. Navoi portrays the Sahibkiran as an intellectual and a man of high spirituality, awarding him the most prestigious place among the “refined souls”.

Navoiy also recounts a remarkable episode that illustrates the Sohibqiron’s powerful memory. When a long-sought criminal–Xoja Abdulkadir Marogi, famous composer, musician, the Qur’an reciter–was finally brought before Amir Temur, the man began reciting the Qur’an in a melodious voice. Moved by the recitation, Temur’s wrath softened and he forgave the offender. Deeply affected, the Sohibqiron then recited a line of poetry in response.

Navoiy was astonished by this poetic line. The Sohibqiron had recited the fourth line of a rubai (quatrain) composed by the renowned Sufi poet and sheikh Abusaid Abulxayr, who had lived about four centuries earlier. Amir Temur had become enamored with this verse and had committed it to memory. This incident reveals not only his deep appreciation for poetry but also his exceptional memory and reverence for spiritual literature. These are precisely such moments that justify the inclusion of Temur’s name in “Majalis un-Nafais”.

Amir Temur was deeply invested in ensuring the accuracy and truthfulness of the work being produced. In this context, the guidance, instructions, demands, advice, and reflections he directed toward the authors, reflecting his intellectual acuity and refined cultural sensibilities, are particularly compelling and merit close scholarly attention.

One thing appears particularly striking: for nearly two centuries after Amir Temur’s death, no information can be found regarding Tuzuklar or its fate. The work seemed to have been engulfed in a darkness of neglect and oblivion.

“The 'Tuzuk-i-Timuri” (Temur Tuzuklari) was a high document of the empire and a state secret; such a document exists in only one, at most two copies, kept in strict confidentiality and secrecy.

Major Davy once wrote the following about Boburnoma: “The book of Baburnama, too, remained in the shadows of neglect and forgetfulness until nearly the middle of the reign of Bobur’s grandson, Emperor Akbar (1566–1605), when it was finally translated from Chagatai Turkic into Persian. Until that time, no one in either Asia or Europe had questioned the authenticity of Babur’s memoirs. Nevertheless, this work, like Tuzuklar, eventually faced a similar degree of scholarly neglect.

An essential scholarly and cultural imperative now rests with leading institutions, including the International Amir Temur Public Foundation, the State Museum of the History of the Temurids, the Al-Beruniy Institute of Oriental Studies of the Academy of Sciences of Uzbekistan, Institute of History of the Academy of Sciences and the Center for Islamic Civilization in Uzbekistan, as well as with the broader intellectual community: namely, to locate the original manuscript of the “The 'Tuzuk-i-Timuri” - Temur tuzuklari, subject it to rigorous academic scrutiny, and reintegrate this foundational text into the corpus of the nation’s cultural and historical legacy.

The recovery of the authentic manuscript, an unparalleled artifact that reflects the political thought and historical consciousness of a pivotal epoch, would constitute a landmark achievement in the advancement of Uzbek historiography and civilizational self-understanding.

                                                 

        Muhammad ALI

                              Chairman, International Amir Temur Public Foundation

                                      Distinguished Writer of Uzbekistan, Professor

 

Press and media workers
Press and media workers

Dear friends!

Sincerely, from the bottom of my heart, I congratulate you, devoted representatives of national journalism, who devote their talent, skill and selfless labor to serving the people, respected veterans who have made a worthy contribution to the development of the sphere, on June 27, the Day of Press and Mass Media Workers, and express to you my deepest respect and kindest wishes.
As you know, liberalization of the information sphere and its development are priority tasks in the construction of the New Uzbekistan. Therefore, the new version of the adopted Constitution of the country enshrines the norms and principles of ensuring freedom of mass media activities, and the legal framework of the sphere is being improved.
It should be emphasized that in recent years the country has been opening up broad opportunities for freedom of speech and pluralism of opinion, which have contributed to further strengthening the participation, role and place of media representatives in socio-political processes.
We all know well and highly appreciate the growing influence of journalists in promoting openness and transparency in society, public control over the activities of state bodies and their officials, and the study and resolution of legitimate appeals from citizens.
We should note a significant increase in the number of topical reports on various topics in newspapers, magazines, television and radio channels, social networks, thematic programs, analytical commentaries, discussions on problematic issues with the participation of specialists and experts.
Critical and analytical materials, in particular, about shortcomings in the field of construction, ecology and environmental protection, road safety, as well as in social and economic spheres help to "wake up" some "dormant" managers and local officials, to make them work in a new way, to live the concerns of people.
In a word, our indifferent and noble journalists and active bloggers with their firm position and impartial word make a worthy contribution to solving acute problems of life, increasing the effectiveness of reforms, expanding the views and worldview of their compatriots.
All this undoubtedly testifies to the fact that our national media are already close to the level of the "fourth estate". Still, it will not be easy to achieve such a lofty goal; there are, of course, many obstacles and difficulties along the way.
However, no matter how difficult it may be, we will resolutely continue our work in this direction.

Dear friends!

Today, printing and journalism are becoming not only the "fourth estate", but also a key area comparable in importance to defense and security.
Therefore, the sphere needs more and more people like you, brave, sincere lovers of the Motherland, devoted to the profession, selfless people.
In this regard, our primary task remains the training of modern journalistic personnel with multifaceted professional knowledge and skills, high moral and intellectual qualities.
At the same time, we all realize that today more than ever it is important to fill the information space with high-quality and competitive national content.
I believe it is extremely important to cover the events taking place in the world taking into account our national interests, promptly and on the basis of deep analysis.
At the same time, the increase in the dissemination of false and unfounded information that misleads people poses an urgent task for us to improve the media literacy of the population. All controversial issues and problems arising in the information space should be resolved exclusively within the framework of the law, on the basis of legal norms.
I am sure that you, dear representatives of the media, will take an active part in solving such tasks.
Ensuring the legitimate interests of all employees of the sphere, stimulating their selfless labor will undoubtedly continue to be in the center of our attention.
On this significant day I once again congratulate you on your professional holiday, wish you all health, success in your honorable activity, peace and prosperity to your families.
Taking this opportunity, I cordially congratulate the media workers who have been honored with high state awards on today's holiday.
May the joy of inspiration and creative search always accompany you, my dear ones!

Shavkat Mirziyoyev,
President of the Republic of Uzbekistan

February demonstrated a noticeable acceleration in business activity in Uzbekistan
February demonstrated a noticeable acceleration in business activity in Uzbekistan

The Business Activity Index (BAI), estimated by the Center for Economic Research and Reforms, reached 1124 points in February 2026, increasing by 12.4% compared with the previous month (and by 24.2% compared with the same period last year, Chart No.1).

In February of the current year, the following changes were observed across the BAI components:

  • the component reflecting the number of transactions on business entities’ bank accounts increased by 22%;
  • the intensity of raw material purchases on the commodity exchange rose by 10.6%;
  • the component reflecting active business entities increased by 0.9%;
  • the trademark component grew by 9.4%.

In February 2026, the BAI also increased in 13 regions compared with the previous month (Chart No.2).

 

In particular, notable growth was observed in Andijan region (44.8%), Syrdarya region (41.7%), Tashkent region (33.3%), and Kashkadarya region (28.2%).

At the same time, in the Republic of Karakalpakstan the indicator slightly declined by 0.5%, remaining at a moderate level.

Banking operations

 

During the reporting period, the number of interbank payment transactions reached 6,760.3 thousand, increasing by 1,220.5 thousand transactions (22%) compared with January 2026.

An increase in interbank payment operations was recorded in 12 regions. In particular, a significant rise in banking operations between legal entities compared with the previous month was observed in Tashkent city (24.1%), Surkhandarya region (23.3%), Samarkand region (21.4%), and Navoi region (17.7%).

At the same time, this indicator declined in Syrdarya region (8.1%) and the Republic of Karakalpakstan (1.6%).

Exchange component

 

In February of the current year, the exchange component of the BAI reached 1.1058 points, increasing by 10.6% compared with the previous month.

This reflected a 36.2% increase in the number of transactions concluded, while the average volume of goods purchased per transaction declined by 15.1%.

The total turnover of goods traded on the UzEx amounted to 6,296 billion soums in February 2026, which is 6.5% higher than in the previous month.

Component of active business entities

 

During the reporting period, this component amounted to 1.0088 points, increasing by 0.9% compared with the previous month.

At the same time, the total number of operating business entities increased by 4,079 units, reaching 508.5 thousand.

The number of large enterprises increased by 51 units, reaching 4,161.
The number of small enterprises rose by 3.9 thousand, reaching 415.1 thousand.
The number of farms increased by 36, reaching 89.2 thousand.

Trademark component

 

In February 2026, the trademark component reached 1.0641 points, increasing by 9.4% compared with the previous month.

During this period, 430 trademarks and product names were registered by legal entities.

Islombek SaparmatovCERR

 

ACADEMY OF ARTS OF UZBEKISTAN.   OPEN CALL
ACADEMY OF ARTS OF UZBEKISTAN. OPEN CALL

OPEN CALL

The Academy of Arts of Uzbekistan invites you to participate

at the X Tashkent International Biennale

of Contemporary Art,

which will be held from 14 to 18 October 2024 in the city of Tashkent (Uzbekistan). Can take part in the Biennale artists of various areas of contemporary art and present your work on the topic

“Art and World”.

In addition to the main exhibition, the biennale will host a number of artistic and cultural events, such as exhibitions, lectures and master classes, an international conference, and a tour of the cities of Uzbekistan.

All expenses of foreign participants for their stay (meals, internal transportation, accommodation) in Tashkent, except for flights,

will be covered by the Organizing Committee.

Applications for participation in the Biennale are accepted until August 15, 2024 via Google form:

https://forms.gle/aUEMyfrsyQUsrp7b7

(detailed information is given in the attachment to this letter)

*Organizers have the right to make changes to the event program


*Application requirements

 

X International Biennale of Contemporary Art
(Tashkent, Uzbekistan, October 14-18, 2024)

 

Age:

No limits

Country of residence:

No limits

Field of Art:

All fields of art, Fine and Contemporary Arts

Financial Conditions:

All expenses of foreign participants for their stay (meals, internal transportation, accommodation) in Tashkent, except for flights, will be covered by the Organizing Committee.

Application order:

Applications for participation in the Biennale are accepted only via Google form:

https://forms.gle/aUEMyfrsyQUsrp7b7

 

Requirements for Art Works

 

Executor:

For participation, ArtWork could have one or more authors

Material:

No limits

Selection critiries:

The works made during the last 2 years should be submitted to the competition. In terms of theme and content, they should correspond to the thematic focus of this Biennale, be executed at a high professional level, be conceptual, and carry innovative processes of contemporary art.

The procedure for providing information about creative work to the Organizing Committee:

1)                Detailed information of the Art Work will be provided to the Organizing Committee by filling appropriate graph in the online Google form;

2)               All Author’s Art Works should be collected in one PowerPoint presentation file (electronic format). The presentation must include only names and photos of the work.

3)               Author’s ArtWorks should be provided from four angles;

4)               Photo criteries:

-Format: JPEG (JPG) or PDF

-Minimum resolution: 2048 × 1080 pixels

-Maximum size: 2 MB

5)               Received works will be checked by the Organizing Committee, and selected Art Works for Biennale would be provided to the authors.

Delivery method to the venue of Biennale :

1)                Applicants from Uzbekistan:

transportation of the Art Work to the venue of Biennale and back to destination carried out by the participant itself ;

2)               Applicants from other countries:

transportation of the Art Work to the venue of Biennale and back to destination must be carried as participants baggage (cost of the baggage should be included to the amount of the ticket)

Requirements for the weight of the work(s), already packed (for foreign participants):

up to 15 kg

*The cost of baggage is no compensated by the Organizing Committee of Biennale

Requirements for the size of packed work (for foreign participants):

up to 1 cu.m.

 

*The cost of baggage is no compensated by the Organizing Committee of Biennale

Additional conditions:

1)                Participant is responsible for the quality of packed work and safety of the Art Work before unpacking at the destination in Uzbekistan;

2)               Organizers are responsible for safety of the work for the period of Biennale;

3)               Organizers are responsible for the quality of packed work and safety of the Art Work after unpacking at the destination after shipping it back to the country of destination.

4)               Art works could be sold on a commercial basis after performing in the Biennale, regarding the agreement of each side.

 

*The organizers have the right to make amendments

 

 

 

The President of Uzbekistan noted the importance of adopting a long-term program of strategic partnership with FAO
The President of Uzbekistan noted the importance of adopting a long-term program of strategic partnership with FAO

President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev met with Director General of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) Qiu Dongyu on September 5.

The head of the authoritative branch structure of the United Nations system is in Tashkent within the framework of the ongoing International Forum on Food Security and Sustainable Development Goals for Landlocked Countries.

At the beginning of the meeting, the UN High Representative expressed his deep gratitude to the head of our state for supporting the successful holding of the forum, which is attended by representative delegations from more than 30 countries of the world.

In the course of the conversation, the sides considered issues of further expanding the strategic partnership between Uzbekistan and FAO in effectively responding to contemporary challenges and threats.

The sides noted with satisfaction the fruitful results of practical interaction achieved in recent years. Thus, the qualitative indicators of implementation of the country cooperation program for the period until 2025 have doubled.

There are 34 projects in the active phase of implementation. Over the last year, 7 new projects were launched, including in the field of agriculture, school feeding, veterinary medicine, agrochemistry and other spheres.

The importance of preparation and adoption of a new five-year partnership program was emphasized.

Special attention was paid to promising joint projects and activities in the field of digitalization of the agro-industrial complex, exchange of advanced knowledge and experience, attraction of innovations and investments in improving the fertility of the land fund, cultivation and processing of organic agricultural products, modernization of irrigation systems, creation of modern clusters and logistics centers, research and development.

There was also an exchange of views on the global and regional situation related to food security.

Business Climate Analysis of Uzbekistan – CERR Survey
Business Climate Analysis of Uzbekistan – CERR Survey

In January, growth in the business climate was mainly driven by an outpacing increase in the expectations component. The agricultural sector and services became the key drivers of business confidence.

The Center for Economic Research and Reforms (CERR) presented the results of its business climate analysis based on monthly surveys of entrepreneurs across the republic. Based on the collected data, a composite Business Climate Indicator was formed, reflecting both current assessments of business conditions and expectations for the next 3 months.

Dynamics of Uzbekistan’s Composite Business Climate

In January of the current year, Uzbekistan’s composite Business Climate Index stood at 64 points (on a scale from −100 to +100), which is 23% higher than the level of 2025.

The improvement in the business climate was primarily driven by stronger assessments of the current business situation, which increased by 28%.

An additional contribution came from improved optimism regarding short-term business prospects. In particular, business expectations rose by 20%.

According to the survey, 22% of enterprises increased their number of employees. At the same time, 71% of respondents expect demand for their products to grow over the next three months, compared to about 60% in the same period last year.

The share of enterprises forecasting an increase in employment in the coming quarter rose to 65%, up from 58% a year earlier.

Sectoral Dynamics of the Business Climate Index

In sectoral terms, an improvement in the business climate compared to last year was observed in construction, agriculture, and services.

In agriculture, the Business Climate Index increased by 62% year-on-year and reached 77 points, compared to 48 points in January 2025.

Growth was mainly supported by a significant improvement in assessments of current conditions and more favorable expectations. The current situation indicator in the sector increased 2.7 times from 27 to 72 points, while expectations grew by 17% to reach 82 points.

44% of entrepreneurs assessed the condition of their business in the sector as “good,” compared to 39% a year earlier. Growth in demand for products over the past three months was reported by 46% of enterprises versus 39% in January last year. Expectations for further demand growth in the near term remain high at 71%, compared to 68% a year earlier.

In the services sector, the business climate increased by 25% compared to January last year, reaching 65 points versus 52 points a year earlier.

Growth was driven by a gradual improvement in current business conditions. Current assessments in services rose by 18% to 52 points. At the same time, a more pronounced increase was observed in the expectations component, which grew by 32% to 79 points, indicating a substantial strengthening of companies’ confidence in short-term prospects.

70% of entrepreneurs expect demand for their services to grow over the next three months, compared to 58% in January 2025. The share of enterprises expecting to increase employment in the coming quarter amounted to 61%, up from 54% a year earlier.

In the construction sector, the business climate increased by 13% to 61 points, compared to 54 points a year earlier. The current situation indicator improved by 43% to 57 points. Expectations were formed at the level of 66 points, showing a decline of 4%.

38% of respondents reported that business conditions in construction had improved over the past three months, compared to 35% a year earlier. The share of enterprises reporting workforce growth rose to 38% from 22% a year earlier. Expectations of demand growth over the next three months were expressed by 77% of entrepreneurs, compared to 61% in January last year.

In industry, the business climate slightly declined by 5% compared to last year, while remaining at a sufficiently high level of 54 points.

At the same time, optimism among industrial enterprises remains steadily high. In January, expectations increased by 10%, reaching 78 points, indicating a continued positive outlook regarding development prospects.

According to the survey, the share of respondents reporting an improvement in business conditions over the past three months reached 32%, compared to 30% a year earlier. Demand growth over the same period was noted by 38% of industrial enterprises versus 36% in January last year. Meanwhile, employment expansion plans strengthened — 69% of entrepreneurs expect to increase their workforce in the next three months, compared to 62% a year earlier.

Barriers to Entrepreneurial Activity

According to the survey, more than half (57%) of entrepreneurs see no barriers in their activities. Among the problems cited, the most frequent are taxation (11%), utilities (9%), and access to credit (8%).

 

CERR Sector for the Study of Sectoral Competitiveness and Investment Activity

Tel: (78) 150 02 02 (441)

CERR Public Relations and Media Sector

Tel: (78) 150 02 02 (417)


 

Eldor Aripov: Address of the President of Uzbekistan – stratetic vector of the country’s future development
Eldor Aripov: Address of the President of Uzbekistan – stratetic vector of the country’s future development

The Director of the Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies under the President of Uzbekistan (ISRS) Eldor Aripov, commented to Dunyo IA on President Shavkat Mirziyoyev’s Address to the Oliy Majlis and the people of Uzbekistan:

- The Address of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev to the Oliy Majlis and the people of Uzbekistan goes far beyond the scope of a routine annual political speech in its significance. It constitutes a strategic policy document that marks the country’s transition to a qualitatively new stage of development — the institutional consolidation of reforms and the formation of a sustainable growth model oriented toward the long term.

Over the past decade, Uzbekistan’s economy has undergone an accelerated process of qualitative and systemic transformation. While in the mid-2010s the country’s nominal gross domestic product stood at approximately USD 60–65 billion, it has now reached USD 145 billion, as noted in the President’s Address. In practical terms, this represents more than a twofold expansion of the nation’s economic scale over an unprecedentedly short historical period.

In recent years, average annual economic growth has consistently remained at around six percent. This reflects not only the preservation of positive momentum, but also the economy’s capacity for sustained growth amid external shocks — including the pandemic, disruptions to raw material supplies and logistics chains, and global inflationary pressures.

Sectoral indicators corroborate this assessment. Over the past decade, industrial output has more than doubled, whereas in the early 2010s industry played a largely auxiliary role relative to the commodity-based and agricultural sectors. Today, mechanical engineering, the electrical equipment industry, and the chemical sector make a stable contribution to the economy, while the share of processing and manufacturing activities in the GDP structure has already exceeded 80 percent.

The dynamics of the agricultural sector are equally indicative. Whereas ten years ago production volumes remained the primary benchmark, today — as emphasized in the President’s Address — the priority has shifted toward processing and the export of finished products. The expansion of fruit and vegetable processing and the growth of food exports are shaping a more resilient development model, reducing the economy’s dependence on fluctuations in harvest yields and prices.

Investment dynamics also reflect qualitative change. In recent years, investment in fixed capital has been growing at a rapid pace and has reached levels well above historical averages, whereas in the early 2010s this indicator was significantly lower. At the same time, the composition of investment has shifted: while previously it was concentrated primarily in infrastructure and state-led projects, a substantial share is now being directed toward industry, energy, transport, and digital solutions. As a result, investment is beginning to support not only current growth, but also the formation of the country’s future productive base.

External trade dynamics further reinforce this picture. Over the past decade, Uzbekistan’s export revenues have more than doubled: whereas in the mid-2010s exports of goods and services stood at approximately USD 12–13 billion, in recent years they have consistently exceeded USD 24–25 billion. Crucially, this growth has been driven not only by favorable price conditions, but also by changes in the structure of export supplies.

This transformation is most clearly visible in the manufacturing and processing industries. Over the past decade, exports of textile products have increased more than threefold — from less than $1 billion to around $3 billion and above — reflecting a shift from raw-material exports to finished goods. A similar trajectory can be observed in the electrical engineering, chemical, and food industries, where export volumes have risen several times over as a result of expanded production chains and access to new markets.

Macroeconomic balance warrants particular attention. Economic and investment growth has been accompanied by the maintenance of a controlled level of public debt and overall financial stability. This is especially significant, as recent experience shows that rapid growth without adequate balance often leads to the accumulation of constraints on future development. The Address underscores that Uzbekistan has deliberately chosen a more cautious, yet strategically advantageous, development trajectory.

A comparison of developments over the past decade leads to a key strategic conclusion: the republic has reached a stage at which further progress is determined less by the sheer size of the economy than by its quality. This is why the President’s Address places central emphasis on boosting labor productivity, advancing technological modernization, and deepening industrialization. The achievements to date are viewed as the foundation upon which the economy of the coming decade is to be built.

Compared with the starting point a decade ago, the country’s economy has become larger, more diversified, and more resilient. These changes provide a long-term strategic foundation for improving citizens’ well-being and strengthening Uzbekistan’s position in both regional and global markets.

Another notable aspect of the President’s Address is its clear illustration of the feedback loop between the state and its citizens, particularly in terms of aligning ongoing reforms with the everyday needs of the population.

An analysis of the Address indicates that its priorities fully align with the issues consistently highlighted in public opinion surveys and citizen appeals over recent years. At the center of attention are employment, income levels, access to social services, the quality of education and healthcare, as well as fairness and efficiency in public governance.

Whereas in 2017–2018 poverty in Uzbekistan was measured in double digits (around 35 percent), by 2024 it had fallen to 8.9 percent.

The projected reduction to 5.8 percent in 2025 demonstrates that the country is not only approaching the previously set target — reducing poverty to six percent by the end of the year — but is actually surpassing it.

Moreover, the Address highlights a strategic goal of eradicating extreme poverty by 2030, making the fight against poverty a central pillar of the country’s long-term policy framework. This achievement has been made possible through the effective implementation of a series of social programs and reforms aimed at sustainably increasing household incomes, creating employment opportunities, and strengthening social protection.

For a significant portion of the population, particularly young people and residents of regional areas, access to stable employment and reliable sources of income is the key determinant of social well-being. Support for small and medium-sized enterprises, as well as the development of industry and infrastructure highlighted in the Address, directly responds to these expectations. International organizations, including UNDP and the Asian Development Bank, note in their studies that such a focus on employment is among the most effective tools for social stabilization.

Equally important as an indicator that the state listens to its citizens is its focus on the quality of basic services. In the Address, education, healthcare, and workforce development are presented as strategic priorities rather than secondary concerns. This aligns with the public’s expressed demand for improvements in human capital and social mobility.

The section on public governance also warrants special attention. In recent years, one of the most frequent requests from citizens has been the reduction of bureaucracy and the enhancement of transparency and accountability among officials.

Taken together, the content of the Address suggests that the state demonstrates the ability to listen to its citizens and translate public expectations into elements of strategic policy.

President Shavkat Mirziyoyev plays a particularly important role in this process as the key architect of these reforms. International financial and analytical institutions have repeatedly emphasized that political leadership is a decisive factor in the successful implementation of comprehensive reforms in countries with transitioning economies.

In Uzbekistan’s case, consistency, political will, and a focus on long-term results have made it possible to synchronize macroeconomic stabilization, social policy, and institutional reforms within a single strategic framework. The President’s Address serves both as a concentrated expression of this strategy and as a tool for its further deepening.

Taken together, the President’s Address to the Oliy Majlis and the people of Uzbekistan constitutes not merely an agenda for the next stage of reforms, but a strategic framework for the country’s future development. Supported by empirical data and assessments from leading international organizations, it strengthens domestic consensus and enhances the confidence of the international community. Its key significance lies precisely in its role as a document that defines the sustainability of reforms and the country’s long-term competitiveness.

Dunyo IA

Proposals for the development of engineering education were considered
Proposals for the development of engineering education were considered

President Shavkat Mirziyoyev visited the Inno innovative training and production technopark in Almazar district of the capital.

This technopark was established three years ago. Innovative ideas and inventions for the development of industrial sectors are developed here. In order to train young people in modern professions, cooperation with higher educational institutions has been established. Every year seminars and workshops are held with the participation of about 15 thousand students and pupils.

There are more and more such innovation centers in our country. Industry, energy and information technologies are developing, new complexes are being launched. They require engineers and technicians with up-to-date knowledge and qualifications.

The activity of higher engineering schools established at Tashkent State Technical University, Bukhara Institute of Engineering and Technology, Tashkent State Transport University, Fergana Polytechnic Institute, Tashkent Architecture and Construction University and Tashkent University of Information Technologies has been presented to the President.

The decree of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan dated February 2, 2024 sets a number of tasks in this direction. In particular, according to the decree, the organizational and managerial activities of higher education institutions that train personnel in engineering and technology are being improved. The existing training programs are being studied and fundamentally changed in accordance with modern technologies and the requirements of employers.

The head of our state was informed about it.

At the first stage, higher engineering schools will be opened at 10 institutions of higher education. The supervisory board of the schools will include not only scientists, but also representatives of partner enterprises.

Two-year master's degree programs will be implemented in these schools, candidates will be selected on the basis of manufacturers' orders. In the first year, students will design new products on the orders of enterprises, conduct scientific research and study in in-depth modular programs. In the second year, they will test at enterprises technological processes related to the creation of prototypes of new products.

The President paid attention to the practical applicability and effectiveness of scientific research in higher educational institutions. It was noted that the attention paid to the education system should be really embodied in scientific achievements.

The head of state also familiarized himself with the inventions and advanced developments of researchers. In particular, energy-efficient devices, a cooling system protecting transformers from overheating under load, chemical reagents important for the oil and gas industry, modern approaches in construction, including road construction, engineering projects for hydraulic structures and modern solutions in the field of information technologies were presented.

Leaders of Uzbekistan and Qatar review prospects of expanding strategic partnership
Leaders of Uzbekistan and Qatar review prospects of expanding strategic partnership

Issues of practical implementation of agreements at the highest level and promotion of investment projects were at the center of attention during the telephone conversation held on December 17 between the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev and Amir of the State of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani.

The Head of our state warmly congratulated the Amir of Qatar on the national holiday - Foundation Day, wishing him health, well-being and success, as well as peace and prosperity to the friendly Qatari people.

Current matters of further expansion of multifaceted cooperation and strengthening of strategic partnership between our countries were discussed.

The results of active contacts and exchanges were positively assessed. In November this year, the first meeting of the Intergovernmental Commission and business forum were successfully held in Doha. In October, the Qatar Culture Week events were successfully organized in Tashkent.

With the participation of leading Qatari companies, investment projects are being implemented in the field of energy, development of transport and tourism infrastructure, agriculture, healthcare and other priority areas.

There is a regular direct flight service between the capitals, which facilitates the growth of mutual tourist flow.

During the conversation, the heads of state paid particular attention to the schedule of upcoming events in 2025, including the second dialogue summit “Central Asia - Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf”.

Exchange of views on topical issues on the international agenda also took place.